Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Advantage Trump in 5 battleground states

According to a pollster called P2 Insights:

ARIZONAP2 Insights
Trump47 (+6)
Biden36 (-2)
Kennedy7 (-2)
6/11-6/20; 650 LV
GEORGIA P2 Insights
Trump45 (+2)
Biden35 (-4)
Kennedy6 (-1)
6/11-6/20; 650 LV
MICHIGANP2 Insights
Trump43 (-2)
Biden40 (+3)
Kennedy8 (+1)
6/11-6/20; 650 LV
WISCONSINP2 Insights
Trump45 (+1)
Biden42 (=)
Kennedy4 (-3)
6/11-6/20; 650 LV
NEVADAP2 Insights
Trump40 (-1)
Biden37 (-3)
Kennedy8 (-1)
6/11-6/20; 650 LV

26 responses to “Advantage Trump in 5 battleground states”

  1. Let’s hope that Hee haw controls Rattburger and his/Fulton county corruption in Ga.

    Like

  2. AZ and Ga appear out of play and Biden’s peeps appear to have conceded Fl.

    Like

  3. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Phil said I was right and right after that there is a new thread?

    Obvious anti-Ahole discrimination.

    Like

  4. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Bummer….

    “Former first lady Michelle Obama is reportedly unwilling to publicly campaign for President Biden as he seeks re-election. A new report out today explains that Obama is reluctant in part because of the way the Biden family treated her close friend and Hunter’s ex-wife Kathleen Buhle. “

    Like

  5. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Seeing a lot of Biden ads on the cable channels I watch, mostly reality TV.

    But they are basically themed on how great Biden’s agenda is, which is contrary to what most people experience. It says created jobs, invested in infrastructure, working for America blah, blah, blah. But it rings hollow as people see how expensive food is, rents are, mortgages are. How chaotic the borders are. How unsafe their communities are.

    Maybe I am just conditioned to dislike the ads, but I really don’t see them resonating.

    I would say Biden is winning the ad volume war 2-1 while Casey and McCormick are about even.

    Like

  6. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Hmmm… I guess the Dem and MSM campaign to portray Trump as cognitively impaired is not working.

    Less than 50 percent of Democrats in a new Gallup poll say they are happy that President Biden is their party’s presidential nominee, compared to 79 percent of Republicans pollwed (sic) who say they are pleased former President Trump is their nominee. 

    The figures, released by Gallup as Biden and Trump meet for their first debate on Thursday night, raises more questions about whether an enthusiasm gap could hurt Biden in the matchup with his GOP rival this fall. 

    The Gallup poll found that more than 50 percent of Democrats said they would prefer another candidate to be their nominee.

    Working against Biden in the Gallup poll are perceptions of his age, with Americans  far more concerned that Biden, 81, is “too old” to be president than Trump, who is 78. 

    Fifty-nine percent of respondents reported they were very concerned with Biden’s age while just 18 percent reported the same of Trump. Forthy-one percent reported that they were “not concerned” that Trump was too old at all, while just 14 percent shared that view of Biden.”

    Like

  7. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Here we go, just in time for the election…

    An ongoing bird flu outbreak among U.S. dairy cows has led to three confirmed human cases in dairy workers, and although there aren’t any confirmed cases of human-to-human transmission, experts warn safety measures like masks, vaccines and safety goggles will be needed if a pandemic is declared due to the virus’s deadly nature…

    Experts have cautioned that if a bird flu pandemic is declared, safety measures will need to be put in place to mitigate the spread. Dr. Donal Bisanzio, a senior epidemiologist with the nonprofit research institute RTI International, told Forbes methods like masking and social distancing should be the first implemented

    Like

  8. Yesterday’s national polls were a pre-debate set-up. Quin’s next poll will be “Biden’s debate performance completely eliminated Trump’s sizable pre-debate lead!”

    Chicon

    Liked by 1 person

  9. I don’t know if the real Biden will be on the stage. It would be so easy for them to swap him out for a stunt double.

    Like

  10. agreed chicon

    Like

  11. “I would say Biden is winning the ad volume war 2-1 while Casey and McCormick are about even.”

    Your analysis might be correct, but you should mention that data is only reliable for moronic reality-tv viewers, when most thinking voters dont watch much of.

    Like

  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Ah yes, “thinking voters” watch network TV and cable news.

    Sorry, forgot.

    Like

  13. Ah yes, “thinking voters” watch network TV and cable news.

    Sorry, forgot.

    Not sure what they watch or how they get their news, but people who obsess over the Kardashians or the Bachelor are not the typical thinking likely voter.

    Like

  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I wouldn’t know a Kardashian from a Paris Hilton.

    Like

  15. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Anybody else not watching the debate?

    Like

  16. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I get all my perspicacity, erudition, astuteness, discernment, and percipience from Oak Island, Man vs Food, Deadliest Catch, Gold Rush, Moonshiners, etc.

    Like

  17. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I can’t believe CNN will actually air the debate at the same time as the Uruguay vs. Bolivia game for the Copa America.

    They will lose millions of viewers of people who would love to watch the debate if not otherwise engaged in this important game.

    I hope the US Soccer Federation sues to block this debate for conflicting with the Copa America schedule.

    Like

  18. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Trump fact check debate site

    https://factcheckbiden.com/

    Like

  19. Jason – outside chance the boys and I go to the Argentia quarterfinal game in houston next week. we were supposed to go to Brazil Colombia in SF…but not sure yet if we will stay in TX and go to games in Austin and houston instead

    BTW Holland can thank Georgia for beating Portugal, and Turkey getting the late goal against Czechia…allowed them to play Romania instead of England or Spain…though the way England is playing, maybe they are the lucky ones.

    Like

  20. 100 Years ago athletes from around the world were descending on Paris for the 1924 Olympic games. Included were the British runners Harold Abrahams and Eric Liddel, whose victories at the games were immortalized in the 1981 film Chariots of Fire.

    That film is so old now that both of the actors for these two are now dead.

    Eric Liddel, the “Flying Scot” died at the end of WWII in a Japanese prison camp. He had a chance to get out once, but gave it up so a pregnant woman could have his place.

    Like

  21. Debate thread opens at 8:30.

    Like

  22. That was back when men were MEN. Eric Liddel giving up his chance for freedom so a pregnant woman could have hers. In modern times, in that situation, the pregnant woman would be persuaded to have an abortion to reduce her hardship, and the man would have taken the chance to get out. And if there were objections, that the seat should go to a woman, then he would just identify as a trans-woman and take the seat on the plane to get out of the prison camp.

    Liked by 1 person

  23. Oof…new IPSOS/Reuters Biden Job approval: 37/57

    Like

  24. Silverhack now has updated his methodology to ensure that his “house effects” on the polling average can make a tie out of numbers showing an overwhelming Trump lead in national polling. First he just threw Rasmussen out altogether, even though the Ras numbers are not much different than those from Quinnipiac. Then look at his math below:

    Trump +6

    Trump +6

    Trump +3

    Trump +2

    Trump +1

    Trump +1

    Trump +1

    Trump +1

    Tie

    Tie

    Tie

    Tie

    Tie

    Biden +1

    Biden +2

    Biden +2

    ===========

    538 Average: Trump +0.1

    ===========

    Must be ‘New Math” or something.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

    Like

  25. it’s like my soon to be ex calculating how much she’s gotten in cash lmao

    Like

  26. There is no way Trump is up by double digits in AZ and GA.

    Like