According to a new Marquette poll:
 | WISCONSIN – Marquette University Law School |
| Trump | 49 (-2) |
| Biden | 51 (+2) |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 44 (+2) |
| Biden | 42 (+1) |
| Kennedy | 7 (-5) |
| West | 3 |
| Stein | 2 |
| Oliver | 1 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Hovde | 47 |
| Baldwin | 52 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
36 responses to “Trump with Edge in Wisconsin, Hovde down 5”
First. I only claim them after N/T is posted.
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I am trying to pinpoint when Democrats stopped just being wrong and became evil enemies. Maybe the 2000 election started the current death match. Or maybe it goes back to the nomination of Robert Bork to SCOTUS.
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I think dems have had the lead on unfair tactics for a long time. Bork, Clarence Thomas hearings exemplified such tendencies. However, it was when Obama became president that they ramped up more of “I can crush you but you better not do the same to me” attitude that has only worsened during the era of Trump.
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Heh, watch him being cancelled soon, I guess he outlived he usefulness.
“Nate Silver’s first forecast of this election season gives Donald Trump a 66% chance of winning at the moment”
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Good number for Hovde, who I consider a moron.
if the wins, Katy bar the door, Rs will win all the other contested seats.
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LOL
WSJ tears Vance a new a-hole:
“The editorial board criticized Vance, a first-term senator, as “a young man in a seeming hurry to be Don Jr., though that role is already taken,” and as a “political opportunist” in opposing U.S. aid to Ukraine.
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Are the deadeners still claiming the demented freezing video-Russian hoaxes?
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Quinnipiac asked this question:
Do you think Donald Trump should be sentenced to prison based on the NY guilty verdict?
Yes 40% No 55%
Among indies:
Yes 36% No 59%
That settles it. The hack judge will NOT sentence Trump to jail on July 11th. Oh, how he wanted to. Boy, did he want to. This poll makes it clear it would backfire big time. These were not the numbers Democrats were hoping for — Phil
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Phil I agree. However it would be nice is the higher/highest Ny court intervened or a federal court.
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Are the deadeners”
New movie: The Night of the Deadeners
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He could sentence Trump to jail pending appeal so they can get the headlines.
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Actually the fact 40% of Americans think Trump deserves jail for the kangaroo trial and verdict is pretty scary.
It shows how polarized the country is.
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Rough day for the Nate Silvers out there…
2024 GE: NYT/
@SienaResearch
Likely voters
🟥 Trump: 48% [+1]
🟦 Biden: 44% [-2]
–
Registered voters
🟥 Trump: 48% [+2]
🟦 Biden: 42% [-3]
[+/- change vs April]
——
Full field (LV)
🟥 Trump: 40%
🟦 Biden: 37%
🟨 RFK Jr: 7%
🟩 Stein: 2%
🟪 Oliver: 1%
–
Full field RV
🟥 Trump: 39%
🟦 Biden: 32%
🟨 RFK Jr: 9%
🟩 Stein: 2%
🟪 Oliver: 2%
——
Biden (LV)
🟢 Approve: 38%
🔴 Disapprove: 59%
——
538: #1 (3.0/3.0) | 1,226 LV | 6/20-25
https://nytimes.com/2024/06/26/us/politics/trump-poll-hush-money-conviction.html
Suddenly on the same day Quinnipiac and the NY Times/Siena become right-wing propaganda pollsters.
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A priest in Florida bit a woman’s hand during a physical altercation while he was administering Communion to the congregants of his church, officials said.”
Is this like biting the hand that feeds you?
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I am sure Bitter will still be going to Mass despite the risks of rabid priests….
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I saw some of Bowman’s concession speech. He attacked “outside Jewish money”, and then thanked the Muslim communities of San Francisco and Dearborn for “all they did for my campaign”.
You can’t make this sh-t up.
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Bunu lost an ally in Congress.
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Nate Silverhack responds to liberals attacking him for saying Trump is a 2-1 favorite to win.
“I began making election forecasts in 2008, and in literally every presidential year since then, I haven’t really had to deal with a conflict between what I personally wanted to see happen and what my forecast said. This year, I do have that conflict. The candidate who I honest-to-God think has a better chance (Trump) isn’t the candidate I’d rather have win (Biden).”
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AOC posted a “tribute” to Jamaal Bowman
@JamaalBowman
. Son of a single mother. Grew up in public housing. Dedicated his life to teaching. Became a school principal. Founded a prized school to serve Bronx youth. Elected as the 1st Black Congressman for NY16. Never took a dime in corporate money. A true public servant”
There were only 2 problems.
That “Jamaal Bowman” is a woman in Germany.
And there were 2 prior black congressmen from that district, well known, Adam Clayton Powell and Charles Rangel.
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Whenever AOC speaks I am reminded that vile lisab thought AOC was qualified to serve in Congress but I am not.
I really hope nothing good ever happened to lisab after she stopped posting.
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lisab was ok. I normally would not have much tolerance for a “utopian socialist” but she “evolved” over the years, and in the end was quite critical of the teacher’s unions and woke education. You could have a conversation with her, she wasn’t into talking points.
I don’t know why Bitter didn’t like her. She was responsible for one of the great moments of HHR history. It was due to her goading him into attending the school board meeting that we got to see the combative anti-woke Bitter that we all love but see so little of.
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The Dems have their own deadenders.
Briahna Joy Gray
The Democratic Party is a captured corporate party that is wholly disinterested in the wellbeing of working class or historically marginalized people outside of a cynical branding exercise. It’s time to stop complaining about them and simply stop voting for them.”
I was surprised how many people agreed with her and said they were voting for Stein.
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Zzzzzzzz She reminded me that there was a meeting. She did not write what I said.
lisab was a fraud. She was a union leader. She was a hard leftist who wanted to drag successful schools down rather than help students in failing schools with reforms like vouchers and school choice. She played most at HHR for fools. She came to hate me and I loved it. F her.
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I think she evolved on the union thing. It could have been one of the reasons she left the country.
I didn’t say she wrote what you said. I said she goaded you into going.
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Damm….. I should retire. I am prescient in addition to being a genius. This is EXACTLY what I said Trump’s “miracle plan” was.
“The United States could threaten to halt weapons deliveries to Ukraine if it refuses peace talks, under a plan presented to Donald Trump by two of his former Pentagon advisers.
Russia would separately be warned that any refusal to enter negotiations would result in increased military support for Kyiv.
A ceasefire would be arranged on the basis of the front lines as they are when talks begin.
The plan was drawn up by retired Lt Gen Keith Kellogg and Fred Fleitz, who both served as chiefs of staff on the former president’s national security council.
“We tell the Ukrainians: ‘You’ve got to come to the table, and if you don’t come to the table, support from the United States will dry up,’” Lt Gen Kellogg said.
“And you tell Putin: ‘He’s got to come to the table and if you don’t come to the table, then we’ll give Ukrainians everything they need to kill you in the field.’”
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I won’t support this plan because it rewards Putin for the invasion and I don’t see anything about reparations or war crime charges.
But it does support my contention that Trump has zero interest in having Putin annex Ukraine uinder his watch.
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Also, Janzam and the rest of the Putin toadies will hate to heart this, but AFTER the ceasefire we will have to arm Ukraine to the teeth or the Russians will just invade again.
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Goad? Zzzzzzzz.
She was a union leader until the day she left. She was Tgca’s puppet master and used him to attack me. She hated and mocked people of faith. Maybe Jason forgets her sneering contempt for religious people when she toured somewhere to live when she moved (again!) to follow her husband from job to job. If she died, I hope it hurt.
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Mexico 0 Venezuela 0 still first half.
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I went to several meeting lisab did not know about. I posted the videos.
She became a stalker who had to be critical of schools in my town. She tried to make it a negative that the high school had an orchestra and listed the date and time of the concert. Most high schools around here do. They also have bands and choirs.
I once praised her for working with abused students but realized she was not committed to it as she wandered from job to job. Most teachers I know find where they want to teach and stay for decades.
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Trump is a moron on Ukraine. He is too beholden to the Jan and Tina Isolationists.
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Bowman’s district, including Westchester County and the Bronx is not at all the same as the Harlem based district in Manhattan that elected Adam Clayton Powell and Charles Rangel.
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It was the 16th District, but the boundaries have changed over the years.
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Trump is a moron on Ukraine. He is too beholden to the Jan and Tina Isolationists.”
Yep, if there is one thing Trump has been consistent his whole life is that he has always been an isolationist and a protectionist.
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We don’t know who will win in November.
But there is a key difference between 2024 and 2020, which is that Trump is ahead instead of behind at this point.
In my view, it is easier in politics to stay ahead than come from behind. These polls showing Trump ahead cement the view that he can win, and as we know, the candidate that the public thinks will win usually does win. Yes, that didn’t happen in 2016 but it did in 2020 and many elections prior.
Nate Silverhack’s opinion is important because he wouldn’t be sticking his neck out unless he was pretty convinced he was right. Yes, he would stick his neck out to predict the Dem would win because if he was wrong there is no issue, nobody would blame him. But predict Trump will win and he doesn’t, Silverhack would have a tough time coming back from that.
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NT in about 20 minutes
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