Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Biden Job Approval by State

Civiqs (D) has been providing job approval data, by state, for some time now: https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_biden?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true&map=true

Morning Consult has now published their own map of Biden job approval:

https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/joe-biden-approval-rating-by-state

This allows for an averaging of the net job approval from the two polls, which I provide below, with the battleground states in bold typeface:

Wyoming -59
West Virginia -55.5
North Dakota -51
Oklahoma -49.5
Kentucky -46.5
Idaho -44.5
Alabama -40
Arkansas -39.5
Tennessee -38.5
Nebraska -38
South Dakota -37
Indiana -36
Utah -35.5
Missouri -34.5
Montana -33.5
Kansas -32
Louisiana -31
Ohio -29.5
South Carolina -28.5
Mississippi -28
Texas -28
Nevada -25.5
Iowa -25
Arizona -22.5
Georgia -21.5
Florida -20.5
Michigan -20
North Carolina -20
Alaska -19.5
Pennsylvania -19.5
Maine -19
Virginia -15.5
Minnesota -15
Delaware -14
Oregon -13
Wisconsin -13
New Hampshire -12
New Mexico -12
Colorado -10.5
New Jersey -10.5
Rhode Island -9.5
Illinois -7.5
Connecticut -7
Washington -4.5
New York -1
Massachusetts 0.5
Maryland 1.5
Vermont 1.5
California 2.5
Hawaii 4.5

57 responses to “Biden Job Approval by State”

  1. first

    Like

  2. When I see Lee Zendin I think of lesbian rock band Lez Zeppelin.

    Like

  3. Joe’s as popular as Jason! 😉

    Chicon

    Like

  4. From this data, one can see how completely out of play TX and OH really are, and how it would be great to get polls from Oregon, New Mexico and Delaware, though I suspect some of the disapproval in these three states are from the far left who think Biden is too conservative, but will vote for him over Trump.

    Like

  5. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    themohel

    June 24, 2024 at 1:14 pm

    Joe’s as popular as Jason!

    Chicon”

    Nah, I don’t live in Hawaii.

    Like

  6. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I am sure fake moderate Tester will love to see that MT number.

    If Sheehy can tie him to Biden, just by showing how often he votes with Biden and the all the left wingers in the Senate, he should win.

    Like

  7. Ma, Jason demolished that popularity bait; got to get our money back.

    Chicon

    Like

  8. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Because I am so fair minded, I am repeating this post so Tina can have a chance to answer.

    jason Slava Ukraini!

    June 24, 2024 at 10:53 am

    Hey Tina, did you give RINO Trump a free pass for his proposal to “automatically grant a green card to EVERY foreign student graduate including community college”?

    A friend wants to know.”

    Like

  9. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Ma, Chicon doesn’t know a rejected bait when he sees one.

    Like

  10. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    When I see Lee Zendin I think of lesbian rock band Lez Zeppelin.”

    Ok, i’ll take the bait.

    Who is Lee Zendin?

    Like

  11. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Excellent:

    The $1billion lawsuit represents 101 plaintiffs including hostages, Nova festival survivors, and families of people who were murdered. It claims UNRWA knew some of its personnel were members of Hamas, that its personnel had taken part in the October 7 massacre and had held Israeli people hostage. It also claims that UNRWA helped radicalize a Palestinian population into supporting terror against Israel through its textbooks.

    While many of the claims have been made by Israel over several years, the lawsuit alleges for the first time that by paying UNRWA staff in cash in American dollars, it had put $1billion of the currency into circulation which enabled Hamas to buy weapons which were used against Israel and also benefitted the terrorist group who took a percentage of money changing.

    In other words, UNRWA funds terrorism in Gaza with cash payments, American dollars. UNRWA employees held Israeli hostages. Its personnel are members of Hamas. Hamas controls Gaza. Supporting Gazans means supporting Hamas. Gazans continue to elect Hamas leaders. They are complicit in terrorism against Israel. 

    There are 101 plaintiffs so far, with a further 800 expected to join the lawsuit. The lead plaintiffs include hostage Ditza Heiman who was held by an UNRWA teacher for seven weeks. The lawsuit claims the homeowner said he was a teacher at an UNRWA school for boys and often she was fed with food labelled to show it was for UNRWA schools.

    It also includes Nova Festival survivor Talia Biner who has been unable to work since witnessing the bodies of her friends and boyfriend murdered and hearing women being raped and Gadi Kedem who had six members of his family, including his daughter and grandchildren, murdered on the day of the attacks at kibbutz Nir Oz.

    The lawsuit names the names of UNRWA officials who allegedly helped Hamas carry out the massacres on October 7. 

    The lawsuit names six former and present UNRWA bosses, including Commissioner General Philippe Lazzarini, saying: “Hamas did not carry out these atrocities without assistance. It was aided and abetted by, among others, the above-named defendants who are current or former senior officials [at UNRWA] and UNRWA itself who collectively spent over a decade prior to the October 7 attack helping Hamas built up the terror infrastructure and personnel that were necessary to carry out the October 7 attack.”

    It added that UNRWA was “warned repeatedly that their policies were providing assistance to Hamas. In the face of those warnings, defendants continued those very policies.”

    Like

  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I will be watching Italy vs. Croatia for the Europcup at 3 pm (eastern)

    i apologize I might not post for a couple hours, I know how disruptive and stressful this will be for a lot of you, but i do hope to be back later with the posts you all love.

    Liked by 1 person

  13. It autocorrected from Lee Zeldin. GFY.

    Like

  14. I heard a radio ad for York County tourism. They did not mention the “Lupita Petting Zoo.”

    Like

  15. 2024 GE:
    @MorningConsult

    🟦 Biden: 44% [=]
    🟥 Trump: 44% [+1]
    🟪 Other: 8%

    10,159 RV | June 21-23

    Like

  16. watching glorious Italia take on Croatia with my youngest son

    Like

  17. Soccer? Bad parenting.

    Like

  18. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Italy is blowing chances.

    Like

  19. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I heard a radio ad for York County tourism. They did not mention the “Lupita Petting Zoo.”

    Bastards.

    But they still talk about the old Smeltzer cigar factory right down the road.

    https://yorkblog.com/yorkspast/smeltzer-cigar-factory-bittersville/

    Like

  20. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Good picture of downtown Bittersville where the cigar factory used to be.

    Like

  21. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Asked if his VP candidate will be at the VA rally, Trump said “they will be there”.

    Some are interpreting this as Trump’s pick will be non-binary.

    Stay tuned.

    Like

  22. that was a great save by the Croatian GK on the header. Can’t believe they didn’t score

    Like

  23. Those looking for trends or trajectory, here is a list of pollsters who do national polling, comparing their most recent JUNE poll against their previous one:

    4 Polls) Biden’s number dropped: Rasmussen -3 to 40; Marist -1 to 49; Reuters/IPSOS -2 to 39; RMG Research -2 to 42

    2 Polls) Trump’s number dropped: FoxNews -1 to 48; YahooNews -1 to 44

    6 Polls) Biden’s number same: CBS 49; Morning Consult 44; ActiVote 48; Redfield & Wilton 41; Cygnal 45; Monmouth 43

    6 Polls) Trump’s number same: CBS 50; DailyKos/Civiqs 45; Emerson 46; ActiVote 52; Monmouth 44; Economist/YouGov 42

    5 Polls) Biden’s number increased: FoxNews +2 to 50; DailyKos/Civiqs +1 to 45; YahooNews +1 to 45; Emerson +1 to 45; Economist/YouGov +2 to 42

    7 Polls) Trump’s number increased: Morning Consult +1 to 44; Rasmussen +1 to 49; Marist +1 to 49; Reuters/IPSOS +2 to 41; Redfield & Wilton +1 to 41; RMG Research +1 to 43 Cygnal +1 to 47

    Biden dropped in FOUR, while Trump dropped in only TWO.
    Biden increased in FIVE, while Trump increased in SEVEN.

    Clearly, this data is statistical noise, with any advantage to Trump, a very slight advantage. And yet 538 has Biden SURGING into the lead, because he significantly re-weights the Fox News polls, because he argues its a right-wing news outlet, and so he has to “correct” this bias in their polls.

    Like

  24. wow!!! Wow!!! Wow!!!! What a save. Viva Italia!!

    ugh and then immediately a goal after another amazing save.

    Like

  25. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Wow, a lot happened in 2 minutes.

    Liked by 1 person

  26. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Goalie makes great save then screws up a minute later.

    Never push the ball back to the middle, geezus.

    Like

  27. I guess Modric want to make up for the mistake…..

    Was only 33 seconds between missing the penalty and scoring.

    Like

  28. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Modric is a legend…

    Like

  29. then. Italy misses a header with the goalie froze.

    Like

  30. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Italy needs a goal or they are out.

    Like

  31. no. The announcer is wrong. They will get through with 3 points. Two other groups will have third place teams wirh 2pts or less

    Like

  32. so italy is already ahead of Hungary in third place teams so they only need to beat one more third place team and at -1 goal differential they should beat group C and F

    Like

  33. That’s what Mrs. Jason said. Zing!

    Like

  34. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Wowwwwwww!

    Like

  35. ARE. YOU. KIDDDING. MEEEEEEE

    with 39 seconds go Italy scored!!!!!!

    Like

  36. 1-1? Only in soccer is that running up the score.

    I miss soccer-hater Wes.

    Like

  37. whoops…

    PPP-D was commissioned to do a poll of WA-03 by a NW progressive group, and the intent was to show the incumbent democrat running away with the race in her attempt at re-election. Instead, the Republican, who lost the race for the open seat in 2022 is ahead in this poll, 46 to 45. Trump also leads in this district 50-45.

    Like

  38. Bitter, I will try to fill in…I hate soccer too…

    Like

  39. I only like international tournaments, but the youngest one plays it all day…talks about it all night…keeps slipping into an english accent. Told me last week he’s not worried about college because he’ll be signed by Barca or man City by then. He’s 8!! HAHA

    I reminded him that you’re one torn up knee from being poor if you play, so he asked if Columbia Univ had a soccer team, and said he’d follow me there, but only if I moved to NYC when he got in.

    It’s nice that they still want you around at 8. Let’s see if he makes the same statement at 15

    Like

  40. Yeah, I’ll help with the soccer hate — Phil

    Like

  41. Vic – If he likes it, that is great. College is a good backup plan.

    Soccer is fading in my town. Girls are drawn to field hockey and lacrosse. Boys are big on lacrosse now. Radnor boys have won the state championship for the 4th year in a row.

    Like

  42. The 10yo played Lacrosse for the first time this year and LOVED it. He cared more about checking the other kids than scoring 😉

    Like

  43. Phillies just turned a triple play! Runners at 1st and 3rd. Line drive back to the pitcher. 1 out. Throw to first to get runner going to second. Throw from 1st to 3rd to get runner going home without tagging.

    Like

  44. And now the announcers are coming up with 118 year stats on triple plays. Is there anything Elias Sports Bureau does not know?

    Like

  45. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!
  46. thank god. Other than the obvious horrendous pick of Vivek and Paul, can’t imagine few worse than Vance

    Liked by 1 person

  47. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    There is a rumor Trump’s debate prep involves going to nursing homes to speak with dementia ravaged residents.

    Like

  48. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    can’t imagine few worse than Vance’

    Hey, Janzam likes him.

    Yeah, I know, not a coincidence.

    Like

  49. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden’s DOJ lets Assange off the hook with time served and a bogus guilty plea.

    I expected nothing less.

    Of course, Assange deserved a fair trial before being executed.

    Liked by 1 person

  50. agreed.

    Like

  51. Bunu and Jan will be excited over Assange.

    Like

  52. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Brazil 0 Costa Rica 0

    Could have made some money on that score…

    Liked by 1 person

  53. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Youngkin still rising on the betting sites.

    Let Trump see the light.

    Like

  54. Jason. That’s crazy. I am hoping to take the boys to Brasil Colombia in a week

    Like

  55. AJC poll has Trump +5 in Georgia.

    Like