According to North Star Opinion Research, who shows an increase for Trump against their poll done in March. Furthermore, Stein and Oliver are on the ballot there, and Kennedy expects to make it:
 | ARIZONA – North Star Opinion Research |
| Trump | 48 (+2) |
| Biden | 42 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 42 (+5) |
| Biden | 32 (-1) |
| Kennedy | 13 (-5) |
| Stein | 3 |
| Oliver | 2 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Lake | 38 |
| Gallego | 39 |
| Quintana | 9 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
69 responses to “Trump Up 10 in Arizona against entire ballot”
1st!
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Az is out of play.
no way is the faux Ryano pole correct.
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DW, Rasmussen’s final poll in 2020 was Biden, 51-44. They had Clinton +2 in 2016. In 2012, they were off with Romney +1. But they nailed 2004 and 2008. Except for 2012, their horse race numbers have been very accurate.
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Keri Lake appears to be closing the gap.
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Good news: Biden Campaign Spending Millions in Attempt to Flip North Carolina Blue
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DM Register/Ann Selzer: Iowa Generic Congressional Ballot Polling
IA-01
🟥 GOP: 53% (+12) 🟦 DEM: 41%
IA-02
🟥 GOP: 57% (+21) 🟦 DEM: 36%
IA-03
🟥 GOP: 55% (+15) 🟦 DEM: 40%
IA-04
🟥 GOP: 60% (+25) 🟦 DEM: 35%
6/9-14 | 632 LV
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Might Trump win Arizona big enough to drag Kari Lake across the finish line?
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DW, I found bad data for 2020. The final Ras poll was 48-47 Biden. I pulled an earlier poll from that election cycle from RCP that had Biden up 51-44.
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Ras has trump plus 10 over demented
6/20
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I don’t think Trump is up 10, but it’s also certainly not tied – not if he’s polling even in MN and VA.
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Trump is preceding more discreetly this time. He seems very goal-oriented to get elected by as broad a demographic as possible. This weekend he’s having a rally in Philly, followed by one in Virginia next Friday with Glenn Youngkin a day after his debate with Biden.
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Paul Ryan exposed Biden as a complete moron in their debate. Revisionist history by the RINO Hunter (who won’t call out the ultimate RINO – Trump)
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“Full disclosure: I personally am not totally against this, but what say the immigration deadenders.
Come from India or China, go to a junior college, get a green card.
Tina, NYC?
Any free passes for Trump.”
-IF Trump starts deporting those who came over since Jan 20th 2021, I might be OK with such a program, BUT ONLY AFTER a lot of illegals are deported FIRST. Woman at work, legal immigrant from Philipines, adopted a child there 8 years ago, still trying to get her here legally. I have little to no problem with Trump SAYING he will do something. Once he becomes President, there are certain things that need to go through Congress. Hopefully, a Republican Congress will concentrate on the right things, and delay initiatives like this until illegal immigration is back under control (aka ENFORCE THE CURRENT LAWS ON THE BOOKS!)
Bitterlaw, the closer we get to the election, I hope to be around more. Hiring people has been very hard, and we are very busy, so very limited time.
Hope all of you are well! Catch Game 7 on Monday night, should be a good one!
Let’s Go Oilers!
Cheers!
-NYCmike
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What happened to Hitler?
“Congresswoman Jackie Speier, Jonestown Survivor: Trump Has “All the Trappings” of Being the Next Jim Jones”
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Come from India or China, go to a junior college, get a green card.
Tina, NYC?
Any free passes for Trump.”
-IF Trump starts deporting those who came over since Jan 20th 2021,”
Ok, NYC gives RINO Trump a free pass, we knew he would. Remember, this is the guy who called Rubio a traitor for shaking hands with Chuck Schumer, but who gave Trump a free pass on funding Chuck Schumer and Harry Reid for decades “because he wanted to build in Manhattan”. This was the guy who gave Trump a free pass for signing huge spending bills because “he was only signing them”.
So not a surprise he gives the Mother of All RINOS Trump a free pass on a green cards for everyone who “graduates” in basket weaving, climate change and transgender studies at a junior college.
What say Tina? Free pass?
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There is no way Quintana the Green candidate is getting 9% in the AZ senate race.
But if he even gets 5% Gallego is probably toast.
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Send him a check
https://www.eduardoquintana4senate.com/
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It’s too bad Bitter is too scared to go into, as he puts it “81% black/13% white” area of Philadelphia, we could use a first hand account of the rally.
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Jan…he is getting financial backing from multi millionaire Silicon Valley types and East coast investors this election. He needs their money and is toning things down…he is smart enough not to be a public a**whole that will embarrass his biggest source of raising money this election.
The “All in” podcast interview was the best Trump has done to date. He just needs to repeat it about 1000 more times and he will win.
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*asshole
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Zzzzzzzz. I went to that area many times because my son went to Temple. Another failed comment by the Second Tier A-hole.
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Also, Jan gave the 81/13 demographic breakdown.
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Ma, that Temple Bait is good.
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If Trump was in my kitchen. I would sneak out to buy lunch without greeting him. He will get my vote. Nothing more.
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Actually surprised that bait worked, had low expectations.
But I have had that experience many times, sometimes you snag one when you are least expecting.
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Opposite for me. I sent him 24 bucks the night of the conviction but might not even vote for him.
Also I would certainly shake his hand. He is no better or worse than any other politician i have shaken hands with.
Bitter is ashamed of his support for Trump so he makes up this fake “moral” reservations about Trump.
Is Trump and less “moral” than Joe Biden? Obama? Kamala? Or how about JFK? Lyndon Johnson?
I have zero “moral” reservations about Trump. My issues with him are policy only.
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If Trump was in my kitchen. I would sneak out to buy lunch without greeting him. He will get my vote. Nothing more.”
Nah, you would run into your neighbor’s kitchen and let them know you refused to shake Trump’s hand and then bask in their glowing admiration.
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Zzzzzzzzz Trump is an amoral scumbag who deserves nothing but my vote only because Biden (and all Democrats) are worse.
Jason is looking for reasons to not vote for Trump so he can have a 1 for 3 voting record. Only 1 more than Robbie.
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Trump going to Virginia Beach for rally this coming Friday.
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Zzzzzzzzzz. Lies and more lies. My neighbors all know who gets my vote
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New ActiVote national poll:
Trump 52
Biden 48
With Kennedy:
Trump 44
Biden 42
Kennedy 14
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Why is .333% Trump supporter Jason not at today’s rally?
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Bitter is a lawyer so not good at math.
Currently I stand at .500.
But depending on the VP pick I could rise to .666 or fall to .333.
My vote is in Trump’s hands. I hope he chooses wisely.
No Putin stooge isolationist Vance. No BLM sycophant Haley. No “what the f–k am I doing here” Vivek.
If Trump wants to put any of these idiots a heartbeat from the Presidency he can do it without my vote.
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Why is .333% Trump supporter Jason not at today’s rally?”
I thought more than one A-hole would be too much for the rally.
When you pulled out at the last moment it was too late.
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he’s not going to choose Vivek as his VP. He knows he’s psycho Pauliac type who brings nothing to the table. I doubt he chooses Vance. Vance is a moron who brings nothing to the ticker but his isolationism (which ironically Trump isn’t as much as trumpistas believe he is)
Haley…i could see him do that
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Vic, if Trump choses Haley he will lose a substantial number of his base, especially after he publicly announced she was out of contention for his VP. One name recently mentioned recently was Devin Nunes. I personally believe he would be a strong choice, one who has also proven his loyalty to Trump.
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From the WSJ:
”Historian Niall Ferguson recently invoked what he calls his own personal law of history: “Any great power that spends more on debt service (interest payments on the national debt) than on defense will not stay great for very long. True of Habsburg Spain, true of ancien régime France, true of the Ottoman Empire, true of the British Empire, this law is about to be put to the test by the U.S. beginning this very year.” Indeed, the Congressional Budget Office projects that, in part because of rising interest rates, the federal government will spend $892 billion during the current fiscal year for interest payments on the accumulated national debt of $28 trillion—meaning that interest payments now surpass the amount spent on defense and nearly match spending on Medicare.”
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I just upgraded my phone. Testing HHR on the App.
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Biden appreciates your possible support.
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I said I was not going yesterday. You had time to hitch up the buggy and go.
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When you are as busy as I am you need a lot more lead time than that. Especially with the Eurocup AND the Copa America going on a the same time
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Biden appreciates your possible support.”
He should thank Trump, not me.
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Vic, if Trump choses Haley he will lose a substantial number of his base,”
Zzzzz…
Are they going to switch to Biden?
He won’t lose ANY of his base, his base votes for him, not the VP.
And he will gain a bunch of independents and never trumpers.
Win-win.
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One name recently mentioned recently was Devin Nunes.”
LOL
I was thinking who could possibly bring in FEWER votes than Devin Nunes.
I can’t think of anyone.
And I like the guy.
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If Trump wants to win he should pick Youngkin, Haley, Rubio or Scott, all of them bring something to the table. The first two help the most.
Burgum doesn’t help or hurt.
Pretty much all the other names will cost Trump votes.
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Nope, you’re wrong, as usual, Jason Slava Ukraini.
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Et tu, Andrew Cuomo?
“That case, the attorney general’s case in New York, frankly, should have never been brought. If his name was not Donald Trump and if he wasn’t running for president. I’m the former AG in New York. I’m telling you, that case would have never been brought. And that’s what is offensive to people. And it should be”
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janzam
Nope, you’re wrong, as usual, Jason Slava Ukraini.”
Wow, that there is some deep thinking by the Putin Nurse.
But it doesn’t even beat the usual “Putin good, Zelensky bad”.
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Rational thinking.
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Jan. Nunes is an absolute no go. Just barely ahead of Vance as someone he should never ookc
as for Haley…Trump should pick his VP based on who helps him most in the election and who would make the best President, not who shows loyalty to him. That’s literally the last qualifier in choosing a VP.
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A state-by-state breakdown of abortion laws 2 years after Roe was overturned (aol.com)
WV is in the group that is “reported” as “A near total ban on abortion”
What is reality for WV is:
–You can get an abortion up to 8 weeks gestation if pregnancy is due to rape or incest.
–You can get an abortion if the fetus is non-viable.
–You can get an abortion in cases of medical emergency.
–you can get an abortion to save the life of the mother.
*************************************
So I guess that “qualifies” as a “near complete ban”?
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Vic, Nunes attributes go much further than his loyalty to Trump. He represented the Central Valley farming community in CA. Was a well respected member of Congress, lots of experience with Intel agencies, honest and not a “yes” man without questioning and doing timely research on current issues at hand. He is basically a solid, sensible, reasonable, listening representative of the people.
Haley, OTOH, is a ladder-climber, her ambition outranks her skill sets, she is disliked by the grassroots who simply don’t trust her. As for me I agree with all that, plus I think she is too invested in outside wars, while too milquetoast regarding domestic issues and our eroding fiscal policy. Her actions too, during her final days in the presidential primaries, were less than appealing to many voters.
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It is going to be Ben Carson.
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Zzzzzzzzz. Every single person who runs for office – including Trump – is a n ambitious ladder climber. Jan assumes that because she only allows Trump supporters in her world that Trump’s base is larger than it really is. Trump needs people Jan hates in order to win.
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ok. I’ll bite
nunes is not presidential material. He has no executive leadership, not very well liked outside hardcore Trump supporters and his district.
Haley is a two term governor, Un Ambassador, appeals to undecided voters and those on the fence about Trump. She’s a solid conservative, with conservative positions and the record to prove it. I do not like the way she wavers too easily, trying to be everything to everyone, including those who will hate her because she’s an R. She needs more fortitude to stand by her conservative values and positions.
out of all the potential candidates for VP, besides DeSantis, she brings the most to the table, and is most ready to be President. Rubio and Scott are close behind.
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It’s going to be Burgum or Vance.
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it will not be Vance. He’s a moron
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I think Burgum is a weak pick.
But he doesn’t cost Trump votes and he is strongly pro-Ukraine.
Vic is correct, Nunes is a complete lightweight compared to Haley.
The difference is I would vote for a ticket with Nunes on it.
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Trump Rally Friday in Chesapeake VA, only a few miles from the NC border. I have to work or I would go.
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Vic, Trump’s core supporters are self.described MAGA. RSBN is the network who follows him around to all his functions. It is hard core MAGA. TPUSA is a growing youth organization supporting his candidacy & has denounced Haley. She would be a poison pill to his presidential run. You, OTOH, appear more of an establishment republican, & it’s understandable you would see Haley from a different perspective than populist conservatives do.
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“Populist conservatives” must not be very bright if they think Trump is a conservative. As President, Trump is a member of the Establishment.
Win or lose, I look forward to when loyalty to Trump is not considered the definition of conservatism.
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if trump picks Haley he will win. Period.
if he picks Vance or Nunes. He loses. Plain and simple
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Vic. you & I will simply have to agree to disagree on the best VP choice for Trump.
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Jan. I’m just not sure what you expect from a VP. It seems you want someone whose loyal to trump as qualities 1-5.
I want someone who could step in and be the President. Neither Vance nor Nunes are Presidential material. They lack the experience, leadership, policy chops, and mostly, neither would be the President I’d all Americans, they would be the President if a very very small sect of people. If I had to choose between then I’d choose Nunes, and he is not ready to be a President.
anyway, the argument is somewhat mute since neither will be the VP. Trump wants to win this time.
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Trump made a statement today he has chosen his VP, he hasn’t told them yet, and they will be at the debate. Kind of sketchy and dramatic at the same time. While I do think having someone on board with your vision of governance and policies is important (similar to qualities one seeks in a marriage), having the skill sets, domestic/foreign policy knowledge and savvy is mandatory. I don’t see either Nunes or Vance as lightweights like you do. It seems to me their major flaw, for you, is their lack of enthusiasm to advance the war in Ukraine. Nonetheless, I’m starting to get the drift Trump’s choice will be someone few are talking about.
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Paul Ryno was working with hillary on the Steele documents from the get go.
This is why you can never trust a never Trumper.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/06/huge-kash-patel-drops-bomb-british-court-reveals/
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Its very easy to see the internal polling based on behavior. Internal polling clearly shows that Kennedy hurts Biden more than Trump. We know this because the DNC has opened lawsuits in the following state in a desperate move to force Kennedy off the ballot:
DE, HI, NV, NY, & NC
If Kennedy hurt Trump more, Democrats would DEMAND he be on the ballot.
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I love Vance … in the Senate. I hope he’s not the VP pick.
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Oh no….
“NYT: The War in Gaza Is Dividing the LGBTQ Community”
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