Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Single Digit races in Washington State

According to Elway:

WASHINGTONElway Research
Trump34
Biden42
U.S. Senate:
Garcia30
Cantwell39
May 13-16; 403 RV

42 responses to “Single Digit races in Washington State”

  1. Elway was a great QB for the Broncos.

    Don’t know how good he is at polling.

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  2. In 2016 Elway’s final poll of WASHINGTON state was:

    Hillary 48 (+17)

    Trump 31

    Final results:

    Hillary 54 (+16)

    Trump 38

    So they were at least in that poll pretty spot on, and that’s what I recall about their reputation further in the past.

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  3. Friday fun:

    Which of the following was NOT spoken by Biden:

    A) O Earth Rider, thanks for the Great Lakes

    B) Putin may circle Kyiv, but he’ll never win the hearts of the Iranian people

    C) [Nancy Pelosi] helped rescue the economy in the Great Depression.

    D) Newt Gingrich was named after a fish, you know, the newt–a small salamander.

    E) Stand up Chuck, let ’em see you. Oh, God love you. What am I talking about.

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  4. There is no “none of the above” so Ill say D….but I feel a little bait taste in my mouth.

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  5. Well done…D is correct. Who names their kid Newt?

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  6. Of course his birth name is Newton, but that’s not much better.

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  7. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I actually thought Newt was short for Newton.

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  8. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Ah ok, so it was Newton.

    Still weird for a first name.

    I didn’t want anything exotic so my kids have common Inca names: Pariapichiu, Nyunyuma, and Llulaillaco.

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  9. https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/05/huge_pro_trump_crowd_in_the_bronx_shows_something_profound_happening_in_america.html

    The Bronx event yesterday was not only surprising as to its size, but also its significance in DJT attracting such a diverse, receptive crowd in an area most republicans would never venture. The threat of a counter protest during the Bronx rally all but evaporated, with only a couple hundred people showing up having hardly any exposure. Today some pundits are saying even Antifa are too frightened to protest in the area of the Bronx where the speech was held. Initially Trump called for a “meet and greet” event. However, the response was so great it was renamed a “rally.” And, the permitted number of 3,500 evolved into 25,000 to 30,000. One older woman interviewed was asked if she supported Trump. Her face instantly scowled and she instantly said “no!” However, she added she liked his policies, and even though she was a dem would vote for him based on his policies not his personality.

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  10. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    So we get back to the secret of Trump’s success, which is that he appeals to working class voters. If you look at the videos of the rally, the vast majority of the attendees were working class and/or minorities.

    One woman said “what they are doing to Trump is what the system has always done to us”.

    Now, I understand the frustration of the Dems and the TDS morons, how can a billionaire who owns Trump Tower and Mar El Lago and his own Boeing 757 identify with the working class? They can’t get over it, and it shows when Gov. Hochul calls the people at the rally “clowns”, even though most probably voted for her ticket.

    I think a lot of that “appeal” is hypocrisy and bad policy, but it doesn’t matter what I think. What matters is that the R party needs to be populist and needs a wider base to remain relevant.

    Trump brings that dynamic to the table because he knows how to tap into it. Nobody else does, at least not yet.

    In 2016 I was convinced anybody could beat Hillary except Trump. It turns out I was wrong, only Trump could have beaten Hillary.

    In 2024 I thought the Golden Calf was the best candidate to beat Biden, not Trump. I still think that, but I certainly give Trump a better chance of winning than I did a year or even 6 months ago.

    Liked by 2 people

  11. jan, in other words, Biden is sitting at -17.7 net job approval.

    Like

  12. **ANTI-SEMITIC BUNU POST** Avatar
    **ANTI-SEMITIC BUNU POST**

    UN court orders war criminal Bibi to halt Rafah operation

    “ICJ Ruling: “Under the genocide convention, Israel must immediately halt its military offense and any other action in Rafah which may inflict on the Palestinian group in Gaza conditions on life that could bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.” The ICJ ruling follows South Africa’s emergency request to stop Israeli operations amid a severe humanitarian crisis in Gaza, emphasizing the need to protect Palestinians from actions that could lead to their destruction under the Genocide Convention. The ICJ, also known as the World Court, is the principal judicial organ of the United Nations. It adjudicates disputes between countries and issues binding rulings based on international law.”

    https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1794004215712428444

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  13. US Top house senate democrat Choomah calls for Bibi replacement: preparing for bibi to be the fall guy. https://www.instagram.com/reel/C4f9r4Yr0Sx/?igsh=czFmMXUyaHp4ZTJz

    Like

  14. ”In 2016 I was convinced anybody could beat Hillary except Trump. It turns out I was wrong, only Trump could have beaten Hillary.”

    I did not like nor did I “support” Trump during his first presidential run until he became the official R nominee. After that it simply became a “binary” choice between him and Hillary. Unfortunately Jason Slava Ukraini excoriated everyone who made that choice, just like he now does with anyone finding fault with indefinitely giving aid to Ukraine, in lieu of our own dire need for “aid” here within our own borders.

    Liked by 1 person

  15. Bunu, why do you hate Jews so much? Why do you hate America so much?

    It’s a shame that these leftists and cowardly Paul supporters dont know what a genocide is.

    Armenia – That was a genocide

    Cambodia – Khmer Rouge, Pol Pot – that was a genocide

    Rwanda – 600,000 Tutsi’s killed in three months. That was a genocide

    Ukraine – over 5,000,000 killed by your guy Stalin in the 1930’s

    Jews – Of course your God, Hitler (who I am sure Ron Paul prays to each night) how many were killed, with your approval Im sure if you had been alive

    Palestinians – oh wait…never happened. Their population has grown more than 10x in the past 50 years.

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  16. And Bibi will tell the UN and its joke of a “world court” to take its gavel and ram it down the throat of the antisemitic judge who issued the ‘ruling’

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  17. And Schumer as well. He has no right to demand regime change in another country.

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  18. And sorry, but the UN’s court doesn’t issue “binding rulings.” And if you think its wonderful to have some world court telling America what to do, then why don’t you go join your komrads in Gaza or some middle east dictatorship where you can watch them throw dissidents off the roof.

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  19. Zzzzzzz Jan knows that no money spent on military aid to Ukraine would have ever been spent by Biden to secure the border or address the needs of Americans.

    Like

  20. A turning point in the 1980 election for President was during the Winter Olympics, during the pool play round against communist Czechoslovakia, when the hard-nosed US hockey coach Herb Brooks watched as a Czech player, during a stoppage of play, demolished American star player Mark Johnson with a cheap shot.

    As the crowd booed, and Johnson lay on the ice, the scene epitomized the state of political affairs and the malaise of the Carter Administration. The communists could do whatever they wanted. Their role was to subjugate, and our role was always to roll over. They got to play professionals, we were forced by unfair rules to play amateurs. They got to bully the world with their plan of worldwide communist domination, and we were supposed to submit.

    Then ABC Sports captured the moment the Czech player circled around near the American bench, and Coach Brooks yelled curses at him, saying I’m going to ram that stick down your throat. The American spirit was still alive. An American stood up and said, ENOUGH!

    Al Michaels, commented, “Woah, an inglorious moment for Herb Brooks,” but it was actually a glorious moment.

    Enough of Jimmy Carter foreign policy.
    Enough of his crippling inflation.
    Enough of his blaming America first.

    44 years later…

    Enough of bunu spouting antisemitism.
    Enough of Biden’s dangerous foreign policy.
    Enough of his crippling inflation.
    ENOUGH of his putting Americans LAST and everyone else first.

    That is what you heard and saw at the Bronx rally yesterday. May true Americans all over the country stand united as one and say ENOUGH! We won’t put up with this any longer.

    Like

  21. The recent NJ massive rally went viral as are the photos and interviews from the Bronx rally. These crowd turn-outs can only be viewed as positive signs that the Trump campaign is broadening it’s voter margins.

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  22. Man sometimes I wish Warren was the candidate so Donald Trump could walk out at the RNC convention to Siminole Wind playing.

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  23. John Anderson is still alive and pretty sure he’s a republican.

    Greatest meme opportunity lost

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  24. Comparing RCP average against HHR:

    NC: RCP – Trump +7.2 | HHR – Trump +6.8

    MI: RCP – Trump +0.3 | HHR – Trump +0.3

    NV: RCP – Trump +7.2 | HHR – Trump +7.5

    GA: RCP – Trump +5.5 | HHR – Trump +5.4

    AZ: RCP – Trump +5.4 | HHR – Trump +5.7

    WI: RCP – Trump +0.7 | HHR – Trump +0.6

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  25. PA: RCP – Trump +2.4 | HHR – Trump +2.6

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  26. Chuck Schumer: “Our ultimate goal” is to give every illegal alien citizenship. The open border is by design. Democrats want to remake the electorate and replace American citizens.

    https://x.com/CortesSteve/status/1794062318243926380

    Get those new voters and dump the Gaza refugees into Redstates

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  27. Here is the count so far in 2024 polling, where Kennedy is included, and he is likely to be on the ballot everywhere:

    NV: 16 polls, Trump led 15, one tie.

    NC: 21 polls, Trump has led all 21.

    AZ: 22 polls, Trump led 21, one tie.

    GA: 18 polls, Trump has led all 18.

    That’s the path to 268 EVs. Now on to the closer battlegrounds:

    NE-02: 1 poll (PPP-D) Trump led by 3 points.

    PA: 25 polls, Trump has led 17, with 2 ties, and Biden led 6.

    ME: 2 polls, Trump led in both of them.

    WI: 18 polls, Trump led 13, with 2 ties, and Biden led 3.

    MI: 25 polls, Trump led 18, with 1 tie, and Biden led 6.

    MN: 7 polls, Trump led 1, Biden led 6

    VA: 6 polls, Trump led 1, Biden led 5

    NH: 5 polls, one tie and Biden led 4

    CO: 5 polls, Biden led all of them.

    NM: 1 poll, Biden led.

    Liked by 1 person

  28. DW, I love coming here for the numbers.

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  29. I saw the story about the murder of married American missionaries in Haiti (23 and 21 years old) by gangs. A strong President would send overwhelming force to Haiti to protect and evacuate Americans. If Haitian gangs get wiped out in the process, zzzzzzzzz.

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  30. But we don’t have a strong President.

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  31. Your Haiti post, Bitter, regarding the murdered American missionaries is spot on. What a waste of lives to lose two gentle-looking, compassionate people by people having no mercy.

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  32. Caveat emptor

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  33. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Gird your loins..

    “This past week, Haley not only endorsed Trump, but Trump indicated that there will likely be a place for her in his next administration, clearly moving on from the primary rivalry they had.

    “Well, I think she’s going be on our team because we have a lot of the same ideas, the same thoughts,” Trump told a local New York area cable station the day after her endorsement. “We had a nasty campaign, it was pretty nasty. But she’s a very capable person, and I’m sure she’s going to be on our team in some form, absolutely.”

    Some form means cabinet at least.

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  34. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I thought Paulbots wanted to do away with the United Nations and the “globalists”.

    Until the UN does something blatantly anti-semitic, in which cases the Paulbots LOVE the UN and the “globalists”.

    Hypocritical scumbags.

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  35. ”Some form means cabinet at least.”

    Not likely. There are many jobs outside of cabinet positions, including ambassadorships….like maybe to Iceland.

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  36. I’m still trying to deal with the fact Jan agreed with me that the US military needs to make Haiti’s streets a kill zone for the gangs involved in the murder of Americans.

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  37. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    We had a nasty campaign, it was pretty nasty. But she’s a very capable person, and I’m sure she’s going to be on our team in some form, absolutely.”

    “On our team” is not ambassador.

    Bet on it.

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  38. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Haley went from “birdbrain” to “very capable person” really fast….

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  39. Will get a new thread about 10 a.m. unless Bitter wants to put up one sooner

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