Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Biden up only 9 in NEW YORK, Trump ahead in ARIZONA

According to new polls from Siena and Noble Predictive Insights:

NEW YORKSiena
Trump38 (+1)
Biden47
Other3
May 13-15; 1,191 RV
ARIZONA Noble Predictive Insights
Trump44
Biden41
Five Candidates:
Trump43
Biden36
Kennedy8
Stein2
West1
5/7 – 5/14; 1003 RV

21 responses to “Biden up only 9 in NEW YORK, Trump ahead in ARIZONA”

  1. DW – Any substantive posts are obviously yours. The inconsequential stuff is mine. Just ask Tina.

    Like

  2. i would frame it another way. The informative posts are DW’s and the fun posts are yours. There. Fixed it for you

    Like

  3. Trump doesn’t need AZ or NV if he wins GA and PA.

    Like

  4. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden administration will confirm its 200th judge in the Senate today.

    Elections have consequences.

    Like

  5. Hey DW, is there a Jewish vote crosstab in that poll?

    Would be interesting if Biden’s Jewish support dropped in NY, that might have consequences elsewhere.

    There are 80,000 Jews in Nevada, representing 2.5% of the vote. Probably higher since Jews have a higher voter participation than many other groups.

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  6. Your posts suck Bl.
    However, I thank you for keeping the blog alive.

    Like

  7. We need each other despite the mutual contempt.

    Like

  8. Sometimes this blog seems to run on contempt more than just honest difference of opinions.

    Like

  9. Good morning all!

    With GA strongly coming back to the fold this cycle, we only need PA, and I’m glad to see the trend of Trump leading there continuing in poll after poll. The other states are nice to have, but if you’ll allow this excess, it is the keystone to this election.

    Like

  10. But I don’t hate you.

    You seem to hate me.

    Like

  11. The guy that was the leader in Iran who died when his helicopter crash…

    is he still dead?

    Like

  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Interesting tidbit in the Harvard Harris poll.

    The only VP pick that helps Trump is my favorite pick Scott.

    Impact of various VP choices on the electorate (More likely to vote Trump minus less likely):

    Scott: +6

    Vivek: —

    Rubio: —

    Gabbard: -1

    Noem: -7

    Burgum: -6

    Stefanik: -11

    Scott helps with Indies, blacks and Hispanics.

    Like

  13. I don’t hate anybody here except Bunu. I hate how wrong some people are.

    Like

  14. Yes. He’s as dead as Francisco Franco.

    Liked by 1 person

  15. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!
    janzam Avatar

    janzam

    May 22, 2024 at 12:18 pm

    Sometimes this blog seems to run on contempt more than just honest difference of opinions.”

    Zzzzz…

    You deserve utter contempt.

    Like

  16. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I have to judge people by what they are here at HHR. I fully understand people may have different personas in real life.

    Maybe in real life Janzam is not an amoral pathological liar and a supporter the killing, rape, torture, exile, displacement and enslavement of innocent civilians and of other war crimes.

    Maybe in real life she has other sources of news than anti-semitic conspiracy fake news sites.

    You never know.

    Like

  17. If vetted, I have no issues with Scott.

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  18. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Geezus, WND still exists?

    LOL

    I think I last clicked on it like 10 years ago, probably by accident, I see it is the same garbage now.

    The “subscribe now” hook is “SECRETS OF THE DEEP STATE”.

    Like