After a week of almost no polls, suddenly inundated with new polls at a time when my connectively is limited. So I will dispense with the normal format, and just give you the goods:
Redfield and Wilton – May 2-4
PA: Trump 43 / Biden 41 / Kennedy 7 (509 LV)
MI: Trump 43 / Biden 37 / Kennedy 7 (522 LV)
GA: Trump 43 / Biden 38 / Kennedy 5 (486 LV)
AZ: Trump 44 / Biden 42 / Kennedy 7 (529 LV)
NC: Trump 44 / Biden 37 / Kennedy 5 (553 LV)
FL: Trump 47 / Biden 38 / Kennedy 6 (586 LV)
Obviously, Redfield and Wilton was not too skilled at picking which were battleground states. Now on to NY Times / Siena (4/28-5/09)
WI: Trump 40 / Biden 39 / Kennedy 8 (614 LV)
PA: Trump 41/ Biden 37/ Kennedy 9 (1023 LV)
NV: Trump 44 / Biden 30 / Kennedy 11 (614 LV)
MI: Trump 39 / Biden 42 / Kennedy 7 (616 LV)
GA: Trump 42 / Biden 34 / Kennedy 8 (604 LV)
AZ: Trump 44 / Biden 35 / Kennedy 8 (626 LV)
US Senate:
Baldwin 49 / 42 over Hovde in WI
Casey 46 / 44 over McCormick in PA
Rosen and Brown tied 41/41 in NV
Gallego 46 / 43 over Lake in AZ
–DW with unexpected limited availability today
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
55 responses to “Polls, Polls, Polls”
“My Goodness Gracious!” – CNN Freaks Out Over Latest Poll Numbers Showing President Trump Leading in 5 of 6 Swing States – Including Nevada by 13 Points!
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For those of you continually looking at Haley’s primary numbers believing she could augment Trump’s candidacy as a VP choice, it’s nothing more than fools gold thinking. In reality she has become a Dem tool, with anti-Trump and Obama affiliated organizations spending money to turn out re-registration of dems/indies gimmicks, in certain primaries, to gin up her percentages in order to diminish Trump’s. The recent Indiana primary, with Haley’s 20% showing, was one such primary. But, earlier ones also were played by the dems.
“Robert Schwartz, the co-founder of PrimaryPivot, told The Dispatch… that the super PAC, together with its nonprofit arm PrimaryPower, raised about $700,000 before the New Hampshire primary and expects to have an additional $300,000 to $400,000 to spend on its efforts in South Carolina, Michigan, multiple Super Tuesday states, and Georgia. The group has not disclosed its donors.”
“We only care about damaging Donald Trump,” Schwartz went on to tell POLITICO. “For better or for worse, the only thing you can do if you really want to stop Trump is to vote for Haley.”
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Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
“He states that the pollster’s “inability to meet polling standards caused ABC News’ 538 to cut Rasmussen from its polling analyses.”” Very happy to go.
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Damn. I voted for Haley in the PA Primary because Trump is a moron on Ukraine for free. I could have been paid? Damn it.
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They are stealing money. There were no ads or efforts to promote Haley in PA after she dropped out.
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Is the Biden Surge ongoing?
Chicon
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WV CD 1
might be interesting.
“Derrick Evans, candidate for the Republican nomination for U.S. House in West Virginia, contends that he can hold office despite his criminal conviction from Jan. 6. “(he was convicted on charges related to his entering the U.S. Capitol).
“In October, a WV Statewide News Poll showed that Evans making gains from three months earlier, rising from 38% to 44%, while Miller fell from 62% to 56% support. And while Miller has outraised Evans, his fundraising hasn’t fallen too far behind. As of April 24, election filings showed he had raised $781,505 compared with Evans’ $977,031.”
I still say Carol Miller (Inc. R) wins this primary.
I served with her in the WV House of Delegates.
She is solid conservative.
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“She is solid conservative.”
Screw that! Send s MESSAGE!!!
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Zzzzzzzz She is on page 351 of Tina’s RINO list.
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Janzam’s silly attack on Haley fails to show ANY Haley involvement with any anti-Trump or “Obama affiliated” organizations.
If you want to attack Haley, attack the fact she is a BLM apologist and enabler.
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Fetterman being elevated to “Zionist Jew” after saying only 30 out of 7000 people walked out from Seinfeld’s sppech.
@seph_lawlessWhy are Zionist Jews like Fetterman so obsessed with lying we all saw way more than 30 walk out on video which anyone can watch right now.”
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I guess Michael Cohen’s testimony is not doing much damage to Trump in the betting markets.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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I am ok with Nikita being veep. She is an incompetent rat and a Rino.
However, Rds is way better.
I would not be fine (and it will never happen) with Krispy Kreme or people like Quittens.
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Tina never calls Trump a RINO. Why not?
Asking for an A-hole.
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You supported a fat slob who poorly handled trumps transition, his last year in office/bridgegate, blamed trump for catching Covid, and recommended wrong Wray to fib ( Fat slobs personal attorney).
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More poles
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Tina is obsessed with weight? Why? And she still won’t answer why she refuses to call Trump a RINO.
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I don’t think he is a Rino- you Did he do everything perfectly? No.
But way better than mute 43 and papa bush
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A lifetime Democrat who literally only became a Republican to run for President because Hillary was going to be the Democrats’ nominee is not a RINO? Amazing.
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zzzz
burp, repeat, same old garbage with you.
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Zzzzzzzzz At least I answer questions. You don’t.
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Bitter didn’t get the memo that the vast majority of Trump voters back him because they like what he stands for and because they like him.
Very few are like him; voting for a guy they loathe.
Chicon
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I am complex. Trump only gets my vote. Not my respect.
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Bitter doesn’t recognize people change, especially as they become older. Sometimes that change is for the better, and sometimes for the worst.
Because Trump aligned himself and donated to Dems decades ago should not reflect on his policies and actions today. He has, in fact, been more active in securing conservative policies than many of his so-called conservative predecessors.
As for a Haley, just because she has racked up a conservative resume in the past, her current behavior – becoming a tool of democrats to soften support for Trump, lack of support for securing our border, giving milquetoast approval of the BLM – marks her credentials as more socially progressive than conservative.
However, Bitter judges people on one issue, and one issue alone – giving money indefinitely to Ukraine, no matter how many more Ukrainian lives are lost by extending a futile war effort.
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I judge people on many issues. Trump failed on the Ukraine issue. Jan pretending that Trump only gave money to Democrats “decades ago” is just a lie. Apparently, giving Trump my vote in General Elections three times will not be enough. Cult members are never happy until you join them.
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Why is my vote not enough? Why do I have to like and respect him as a person?
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Demented failed on Ukraine. You know it. Don’t give demented a “free pass.”
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Zzzzzz The only person responsible for the invasion of Ukraine is Putin.
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Bitter, I’m with you. I will enthusiastically give Trump my vote a 3rd time (I never voted for him in a primary as I took a Dem ballot in each contest to vote against HRC and Biden), but I never wavered when November rolls around. I’ll never respect him personally, though I give him higher marks for immigration and border issues than just about any other Republican.
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A lifetime Democrat who literally only became a Republican to run for President because Hillary was going to be the Democrats’ nominee is not a RINO? Amazing.”
Really amazing.
Trump is the Mother of all RINOS.
RINO Emeritus.
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Because Trump aligned himself and donated to Dems decades ago should not reflect on his policies and actions today.”
Trump was funding Chuck Schumer and the Democrats as late as 2012. “Decades ago” my ass.
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no matter how many more Ukrainian lives are lost by extending a futile war effort.”
The ONLY person “extending the war” is your man Putin.
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GF – He tossed away any chance I would respect him when he mocked McCain’s war record and suffering as a POW. He will just have to be content with my vote.
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Janzam supports Putin’s invasion and war crimes but is “concerned” about “Ukrainian lives”.
There should be a special place in hell for people like Janzam.
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He tossed away any chance I would respect him when he mocked McCain’s war record and suffering as a POW.”
Yep, I will never forgive that. Truly despicable.
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GF – Im with you. Couldn’t have said it better
Bitter – Guess who has the highest average fora Met against the Phillies. You will hate him.
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Not sure. I expect a 2-2 split in the next 4 games. Sanchez is the worst Phillies starter and J.T. Realmuto has a sore knee.
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R preference poll for VP.
Surprised Tim Scott only has 4%.
I wouldn’t pick the Golden Calf because he is not eligible.
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wally backman,
and I can see what you mean about Sanchez
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Babylon Bee
“Latest Polls Show Biden Will Need Twice As Many Fake Ballots To Win Election This Year”
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With Biden Stalling, Israel Announces They Will Just Get American Weapons From Taliban”
Motorcyclist Who Identifies As Bicyclist Sets Cycling World Record”
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Nola and Suarez are the next 2 Phillies starters. If Suarez was pitching for the Yankees or Dodgers, he would probably be getting Cy Young buzz.
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Bitter – He’s getting a lot of Cy Young buzz, in fact, I just saw a “first quarter of the season” and had him as the Cy young in the NL
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Thanks, Vic. I don’t expect much respect for Phillies pitchers nationally. Except Wheeler.
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hard to overlook 7-0 1.50 (or so) ERA
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Where are the 380000 missing ballot images from 2020 Ga.
Is Bradley hiding them?
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https://nypost.com/2024/05/13/opinion/mr-fix-it-michael-cohen-bombs-on-the-stand-offers-no-new-evidence-to-convict-trump/
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I dont want to hear it. Ive had a really crappy day and that just capped it off.
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Vic – I will say it. The home plate umpire sucked for both teams. Phillies batter definitely went on the pitch where he walked. But the robots are not behind the plate yet.
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Jason will be excited to hear that they are making a movie about Bob Dylan’s life. Seriously. Will star Timothee Chalamet.
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So Bob Dylan will be played by Willie Wonka. Jason might actually have to see a movie.
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Jason or Bitter, have you ever played Lehigh Country club before. Considering playing a qualifier there and wanted to know about the course
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I have not
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I am terrible at golf. I do like walking around the courses but you can only do that by playing.
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NT
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