Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump ahead in North Carolina, race for Governor tied

According to Cygnal/Carolina Journal:

NORTH CAROLINACygnal
Trump43
Biden38 (-1)
Kennedy9 (+2)
NC Governor:
Robinson39 (-1)
Stein39 (+1)
Ross4 (+1)
Turner1
May 4-5; 600 LV

56 responses to “Trump ahead in North Carolina, race for Governor tied”

  1. The Republican will win the Governor race.

    Chicon

    Like

  2. I am going to try to get into the habit of always posting the change in numbers when the same pollster previously polled the same race, so you can quickly see any trajectory in the numbers.

    Like

  3. Comments are up to date.

    Jason hardest hit.

    Like

  4. Rasmussen job approval held at 40/59

    Like

  5. Right now Trump is +1.2 RCP average nationally.

    Same date in 2020 and 2016 compared to election day gap in [brackets]:

    2020: Biden +4.4 [Biden +4.5]

    2016: Clinton +6.5 [Clinton +2.1]

    Like

  6. In 2016, there was definitely a SHY Trump vote that polling didn’t pick up. People were just embarrassed to admit that they were for him instead of Hillary.

    That factor is now gone, but I do wonder now about how many people have replaced embarrassment with FEAR? They see the lawfare going on, and fear that if they tell a pollster they support Trump, then they might get an IRS audit, or they might end up in some kind of trouble.

    Like

  7. New Big Village national poll

    Trump 41 (+1)

    Biden 42

    Kennedy 9

    Like

  8. Zzzzzzzz No fear here.

    Like

  9. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    It’s fun being hardest hit when you don’t even know what the hit was about.

    “Comments up to date”

    Have no idea what that means, I guess you had to be there.

    Like

  10. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!
    themohel Avatar

    themohel

    May 9, 2024 at 12:09 pm

    The Republican will win the Governor race.

    Chicon”

    I hope so, but your theory that everybody who votes for Trump will also vote for Robinson in the Governor’s race so far does not pan out in the polling.

    We are going to have to trash it or skew it.

    Like

  11. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    @Liz_Cheney

    Withholding aid to Israel is wrong and dangerous. America must not abandon Israel. Doing so would mean victory for Iran and all its terrorist allies.”

    Zzzzzz…you want Biden to win. So f–k off.

    Like

  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden endorsed his own impeachment in 2019…

    @JoeBiden

    President Trump withheld Congressionally appropriated aid to Ukraine unless they granted him a political favor. It’s the definition of quid pro quo. This is no joke—Trump continues to put his own personal, political interests ahead of the national interest. He must be impeached.”

    Like

  13. Impeach Demented. 

    Like

  14. National Poll:
    @coefficientpoll

    🟥 Trump: 43%
    🟦 Biden: 39%
    🟪 3rd Party: 12%
    ⬜ Undecided: 7%

    Independents
    🟥 Trump: 38%
    🟦 Biden: 30%
    🟪 3rd Party: 22%
    ⬜ Undecided: 10%

    D35/R32/I33
    • May 1 | 1,755 LV (MoE: ±3.26%)

    Like

  15. I got a message from TDT telling me not to worry about those numbers; with the MOE taken into account, it’s really 42.26 for Biden and only 39.74 for Trump. Biden will then remind those undecideds why they hate Trump and win them, so it’s really almost 50 for Biden, a ten point blowout!

    Like

  16. I am not seeing any movement toward demented in most, if not all, national poles. Maybe, I missed a few. 

    Like

  17. Monmouth finally released questions 36-39 of their NEW JERSEY poll from late February. They released bits and pieces of this poll over the last several months, but always held back questions 36-39 for future release.

    Now they are claiming these questions related to voter impressions of the World Cup games that will be played in NJ in 2026.

    So they are claiming that they did this massive poll of New Jersey, during a presidential election year, and somehow forgot to ask about the Trump vs. Biden race.

    Like

  18. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    The Never Trumpers are attacking each other. NeverTrumper Jonah Goldberg is sounding the alarm. Some have had it with Biden, including vociferous NeverTrumper Michael Rappaport….Pass the popcorn.

    Like

  19. jason–its the same as what I posted at the end of the last thread:

    WOW, Biden is out there performing miracles! Miracles of healing incurable terminal illnesses!! Look at this from RRH, one of the “Never Trump” moderators whose was terminally infected with an incurable case of TDS:

    MOSHEM May 8, 2024 at 5:19 pm

    I got a new profile signature….35, M, Registered DINO, NY-17

    TRUMP 2024. He's crazy and dangerous, but not a Hamas enabler.

    Like

  20. You whine when you think you have been censored.

    Like

  21. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Zzzzz… when my posts don’t appear they have been censored.

    And I don’t whine about it. I merely point out the stupidity.

    Like

  22. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Bitter wants a free pass on post censoring. He should know better.

    Like

  23. Add OH, OK, and DE to the states where Kennedy has the signatures to appear on the ballot.

    I am intrigued by Delaware. Zogby had Trump down only 11, but did not include Kennedy in the survey. This strikes me as a state where someone like Kennedy would siphon off more from Biden than from Trump. Much the same way Maryland has polled both with and without Kennedy.

    We need a solid pollster to poll Delaware.

    Like

  24. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Breaking…

    Don King endorses Trump.

    I admit I am less surprised at the endorsement than I am of Don King still being alive.

    Like

  25. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Shhhhh….. Biden is resting….

    President Biden

    @POTUS

    I will not rest until every hostage, like Abigail, ripped from their families and held by Hamas is back in the arms of their loved ones. They have my word. Their families have my word.”

    Like

  26. Censorship involves effort and interest. Neither are present here.

    Like

  27. And every time you point it out, they are posted. GFY

    Like

  28. Netanyahu tells Biden to F off. Good.

    Like

  29. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Censorship involves effort and interest.”

    Must be a new woke interpretation.

    Actually the definition is

    ‘the institution, system, or practice of censoring

    Which is exactly what happens when a post is censored and goes to “moderation”.

    Like

  30. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    And every time you point it out, they are posted.”

    Sound like a really good argument for not censoring them in the first place.

    Like

  31. Jason never accused Dave of censorship even though he actually did set up the filter to catch words like stuff, Jenna, and the poster, IP 727.

    I guess Jason only likes poking an A-hole.

    Like

  32. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Dave never censored any of my posts, or anybody else’s for that matter.

    And in fact you used to deride idiots like Neville Allen who claimed their posts were censored.

    Like

  33. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    If you want to establish offending words or material, it is your blog.

    But in that case tell us what it is.

    Like

  34. I do not censor posts. If I could, we would be Bunu-free. I did not set up any filter and don’t know how to change it.

    When you have your own blog, post the link here.

    Like

  35. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    So basically you claim to be an incompetent censor?

    Okayy…I can buy that.

    Like

  36. Irony Meter explodes as Jason criticizes somebody who falsely claimed his posts were censored while falsely claiming his own posts are censored.

    Like

  37. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Irony Meter explodes as Jason criticizes somebody who falsely claimed his posts were censored while falsely claiming his own posts are censored.”

    LOL

    Convoluted garbage.

    My posts HAVE been censored. You already admitted that by stating you don’t understand your own filter.

    I already accepted your explanation that the reason I am being censored is that you are incompetent.

    Now stop digging and GFY.

    Like

  38. Why would I censor you but not Bunu?

    Like

  39. DW – Jason is whining again over a fake issue. Please address his nonsense. You have the same access to settings as I do.

    Like

  40. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I am watching a show on the Sphinx, they just found a bunch of mummified crocodiles, I really don’t have time for Bitter’s silly attempts to reinvent the definition of censorship.

    Like

  41. Jason, if you’d just say the right things, you wouldn’t be censored.

    Chicon

    Like

  42. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    And BTW, you are the one who brought up this issue, the censored post was several threads back.

    Bitterlaw Avatar

    Bitterlaw

    May 9, 2024 at 1:03 pm

    Comments are up to date.

    Jason hardest hit.”

    Gratuitous trash?

    No free lunch.

    Like

  43. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Jason, if you’d just say the right things, you wouldn’t be censored.

    Chicon”

    I get that.

    I am just trying to find out what the “right things” are.

    Like

  44. I am watching the same show. GFY

    Like

  45. I never understood censoring “stuff.” The other words, ok, maybe, but that one always got me.

    Wasn’t IP the “pickle puffer” guy?

    Like

  46. IP 727 definitely had issues with gay people. And women. And minorities. And…

    Like

  47. Neville Jason is really beyond boring now.

    Like

  48. I don’t know why stuff was banned. I think Jenna was the name of a porn star that had appeared in some links before Dave blocked them.

    Like

  49. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Casino was another one.

    Like

  50. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Neville Jason”

    Best you can do?

    Epic fail.

    Maybe Tina can help you.

    Like

  51. Hit a nerve? Good.

    Like

  52. Maybe they should send Egyptologists to Oak Island. They seem to find what they are looking for.

    Like

  53. New thread. Jason and Chicon will like it.

    Like