This according PPP (D):
 | NEBRASKA – PPP |
| Trump | 57 |
| Biden | 34 |
| CD_02 (Omaha): | |
| Trump | 46 |
| 43 | |
| CD_02 (5 candidates): | |
| Trump | 37 |
| Biden | 34 |
| Kennedy | 9 |
| Stein | 4 |
| West | 4 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
42 responses to “Trump up 23 points in NEBRASKA, 3 points in Congressional District 2”
1st!
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This is the poll I have long been waiting for, The very first on NE_02. And with it being PPP-D saying Trump up three, he has a pretty solid path to 269 EVs!
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“This is the poll I have long been waiting for…”
Well, this and the still absent NJ numbers. I think we’ve given up on NM for now.
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Refresh page and notice NE2 has been added to the aggregator, and puts Trump at 269 with it in his column instead of presumed to be part of the Dem numbers. NE_2 is now a battleground electoral vote.
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I had long suspected it would be a battleground, even if Biden wins it in the end. But people keep screaming “suburbs!” as though Omaha is a carbon copy of SEPA or the Collar counties of Chicago.
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I almost want it to be 269-269 vs a decisive win just to see liberals absolutely explode in rage.
then, when I actually write that, I don’t think it’s what’s best for the country. A decisive win would make things calmer, a 269-269 win would divide the country like it was 1860. Still…I see this as the most probable outcome
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I think the 1860 comparison is absurd unless you are personally prepared to kill your neighbor over an election.
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Bitter – with all due respect, I disagree, as I don’t think you read the sentence as it was intended. I didn’t say we would be going to civil war, I said it would divide the country in a manner not seen since 1960, and I think that is a safe statement.
Even in our most “divided” since then, you could count on 30-40% being in the middle, the rest on the margins, that number is 20% AT BEST right now, easily 40% are on the margins and will align with their party no matter what.
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1860 not 1960
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The announcers on the Mets broadcast tonight (yes, I subscribe to watch them lose), just said, “no free passes”
Guess they must be reading HHR-PE
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Imagine the pressure on Trump electors if 269-269.
There will be mobs camped out in front of their houses.
Soros will be offering to pay them millions to switch.
Better not rely on that scenario.
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hoping we don’t rely on it, but if you look at the map, that is a very possible scenario
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I think the 1860 comparison is absurd unless you are personally prepared to kill your neighbor over an election.”
I don’t think it is absurd at all.
Are we really less polarized now than the country was in 1860? I doubt it
We may just be polarized on more issues than just slavery, but I would bet there are indeed millions of people willing to kill each other over these issues.
“From the river to the sea” is a call for genocide against Jews, just one example.
The GW protesters voted to execute the school administration, and the school administration is composed of Marxists too.
If you think about it, “defund the police”is actually a call for crime with no consequence, the end result being that you could indeed kill your neighbor for whatever reason, including an election.
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hoping we don’t rely on it, but if you look at the map, that is a very possible scenario”
Possible yes. Probable, no. I doubt it is statistically more than 2% likely.
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Jason. It calls for Trump to win GA and AZ, which I believe he has a very good chance of doing, garnering NE-2, again, a possibility, then winning NV and none of the iron/rust belt states.
Not so far fetched…willing to go to 10%??
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Killing your neighbor absurd? How about slitting the throat of your fellow student?
Antisemite Stopper
@StopChiAntisems
·
Pro-Hamas agitators at DePaul University in Chicago harass Jewish students. One masked agitator is seen standing on a pillar and threatens to spear a Jewish student with his flag.
Antisemite Stopper
@StopChiAntisems
Pro-Hamas agitator at DePaul University in Chicago displays 10 fingers, followed by 7 fingers, and then the throat-slitting gesture in front of Jewish students. The terrorist sympathizer is proud of October 7th, 2023.
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Bitter censoring my posts again.
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I guess 10% is reasonable.
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BTW, same states with the electoral votes they had in 2020 would result in a Biden win 272-266 instead of the 269-269 it would be this year
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Zzzzzzzzz
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want to really blow your mind. The same exact states that would result in a 269-269 election this year, would have produced a 299-239 Dem victory in 1980. So when we say the GOP will never win again because demographics are changing, seems to be they are helping us currently.
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Spending money to listen to the Mets? Damn. I thought Joe Rogan, Alex Jones and Truth Social were a waste of time and money.
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Biden:
“Can you imagine a kid, two years old, saying, ‘Mom, don’t take me across the Rio Grande. It’s against the law.’ Give me a break.”
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wow so he’s basically condoning illegal immigration, and then saying we are awful people because we deny a two year old access. Nice
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Single mother of two breaks down how she pays 50% of her income to the government, and she doesn’t even include payroll taxes paid by the employer (as opposed to her herself) or the 15-20% yearly inflation rate which is also a tax.
https://twitter.com/ULTRA_MAJESTY/status/1785903067306537280
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Discussing the MMT scam
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Biden’s net job approval at 538 dips down to -17.7. Oof.
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So in the WV primary for US Senate, to replace Schumer’s lap dog, a new poll came out showing Justice over Mooney 67-23.
So Mooney releases an internal to show he’s down ONLY 49-35.
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There are no current posts trapped in the filter.
Jason hardest hit.
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I don’t know why…. the post I referred to yesterday was released.
GFY.
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Bragg calls Stormy to the stand. The case is not about the NDA so she really has nothing to contribute except to somehow embarrass Trump. Banana republic.
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For once some good news: “Princeton Students Stage Hunger Strike”
They won’t last more than a couple of days.
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Meanwhile: Nathan Wade Says His Affair with Fani Willis Is “American as Apple Pie”
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Also, if you click on link for Maine polls, I now have separate sections for the polling of just ME_01 and ME_02. Neither of these are currently in play, but the polling is there. For Nebraska, I intend only to show NE_02, as the other districts are not at all in play.
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Because I released it.
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They won’t last more than a couple of days.”
We can always hope….
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Bitterlaw
May 7, 2024 at 10:26 am
Because I released it.”
Yes, we understand. You censored it. You released it.
GFY.
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I don’t know how the filter works. You are not worth censoring. F off.
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I don’t know how the filter works”
That is obvious.
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In an announcement detailing the clauses to which it had agreed Monday in the latest proposal for a deal, the terror group said, “During the first phase, Hamas releases 33 Israeli detainees (alive or corpses).””
I think Hamas wants like a 10-1 exchange rate on hostage-prisoners.
So in this case maybe Israel should propose they execute 10 prisoners and give Hamas 10 corpses in exchange for every hostage corpse.
Fair is fair.
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Did you start your blog yet?
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Putin sworn in for 5th term. But I read at HHR that Zelensky is the problem.
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