Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.0-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.8 / 51.0-5.2

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump with Edge in AZ and PA, way ahead in WI and MI

This according to Kaplan Strategies:

ARIZONAKaplan
Trump47
Biden43
April 20-21; 874 RV
PENNSYLVANIAKaplan
Trump46
Biden41
April 20-21; 802 RV
WISCONSINKaplan
Trump48
Biden38
April 20-21; 802 RV
MICHIGANKaplan
Trump51
Biden36
April 20-21; 804 RV

28 responses to “Trump with Edge in AZ and PA, way ahead in WI and MI”

  1. Oh wow, looks like demented support has continued to drop.

    It’s probably due to the high inflation (grocery) and gas prices. We are way over $6. It happened quickly and it’s not even summer. There are concerns now with stagflation.

    The continuing $$$ to the grifter scheme does not help.

    Also, the illegals immigration crisis is now past the border states.

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  2. Demented is now begging the grifter not to hit Russian oil refineries.

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  3. Adam Shiftys luggage was stolen in Sf.

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  4. Poor Putina. Ukraine did not surrender yet. Maybe tomorrow if she gets her wish.

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  5. The refineries should be the prime target. F Putin.

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  6. Those numbers in MI and WI are too good to believer.

    Dealing with the Bragg fiasco trial, Pecker appears to not have been a good witness for the prosecution.

    FOX reporter: Pecker also said when he spoke to Trump about Trump reimbursing Michael Cohen for paying adult film actress Stormy Daniels, Trump told him he had no idea what Pecker was talking about.

    Pecker testified again about purchasing the lifetime rights to former Playboy model, Karen McDougal’s story as well. He said he did that in part because he and Cohen had concerns it would hurt Trump’s campaign. Notably, he did not say those concerns came from Trump himself.”

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  7. DW, what do you make of this quote from Kaplan re: methodology…

    The polls were conducted using an online panel of cell phone users with responses collected via web and text.

    Chicon

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  8. “The polls were conducted using an online panel of cell phone users with responses collected via web and text.”

    Most pollsters do a blend of cell phones, web, text, etc.

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  9. Arizona now has more republicans than Dems. Maybe this is why the miserable AG there whipped out more indictments of Trump’s team in order to continue the legal chaos of lawfare.

    The Data Shows a Widening Gap Between Registered Republicans and Democrats According to the Secretary of State’s recent report: 2024 – 5.77% or 236,000 more registered Republicans than Democrats. 2022 – 4.03% or 166,000 more registered Republicans than Democrats. 2020 – 3.04% or 130,000 more Republicans than Democrats. In just four years, the registration advantage has nearly DOUBLED with most of the gains in the last two years.”

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  10. So if no plane ever hit the Pentagon, then apparently all those people who were reported to have been on that plane are not dead, but are being held against their will in a government warehouse, stored right next to the Ark of the Covenant, outer space aliens, big foot and the loch ness monster.

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  11. Good, humorous news for a change:

    “How do you handle antisemites who won’t get off your lawn?

    Well, leave it to the woikin’ stiffs in hardhats at Harvard University to figure this one out. They turned the sprinklers on. Doing routine maintenance gardening work just like the union contract says meant they had to turn the sprinklers on to maintain the grass, with the programmed switch going off at 2:00 a.m. just like it was supposed to do.

    Snowflakes ran running. Who knew all it took was some rain to melt the snowflakes, who as one may imagine, whined and complained mightily.”

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  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden claims “women would send very salacious pictures” to him when he was a senator in the 1970s: “I’d just give them to the Secret Service.”

    I guess he would be the first senator with Secret Service protection.

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  13. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    So if no plane ever hit the Pentagon, then apparently all those people who were reported to have been on that plane are not dead, but are being held against their will in a government warehouse”

    They, along with plane, are stored in the Deep State warehouse.

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  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I thought JeffP the TDS moron told us there was “no enthusiasm for Trump”

    “According to a recent Economist/YouGov survey, former President Donald Trump supporters are overwhelmingly more enthusiastic about voting than those of President Joe Biden. 

    56 percent of respondents said they were “somewhat” thrilled, while just 26 percent of voters said they were “extremely” enthusiastic. 

    In addition, 54 percent of Republican respondents described themselves as either extremely or very enthusiastic to vote, while just 46 percent of Democrats said the same. 

    With Biden voters, 51 percent of respondents said they were “extremely” or “very” enthusiastic to vote, while 31 percent of them said they were “extremely” enthusiastic.”

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  15. I wonder what ever happened to Waingro and GeauxLSU?

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  16. And where is Phil?

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  17. Phil has been here recently.

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  18. ok, I have not seen his comments.

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  19. I think Geaux disappeared before HHR went under. I think Waingro made it on the lifeboat.

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  20. I have a feeling that we will hear more from some of the old-timers as the election gets closer.

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  21. Thanks, BL and DW for keeping the site going. I come here regularly for the polls. I just avoid posting.

    Liked by 1 person

  22. Welcome. Did you have a prior handle?

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  23. I just update my WordPress information to show my former handle “Jeff G.” I try to keep quiet and just enjoy the information.

    Liked by 1 person

  24. new thread. And welcome back Jeff G

    Like