According to new Morning Consult/Bloomberg polls:
 | ARIZONA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult |
| Trump | 49 |
| Biden | 42 |
| Five Candidates | |
| Trump | 46 |
| Biden | 40 |
| Kennedy | 7 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 0 |
 | GEORGIA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult |
| Trump | 49 |
| Biden | 43 |
| Five Candidates | |
| Trump | 47 |
| Biden | 39 |
| Kennedy | 5 |
| West | 1 |
| Stein | 1 |
 | MICHIGAN – Bloomberg/MrnConsult |
| Trump | 45 |
| Biden | 47 |
| Five Candidates | |
| Trump | 40 |
| Biden | 43 |
| Kennedy | 7 |
| West | 1 |
| Stein | 1 |
 | PENNSYLVANIA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult |
| Trump | 47 |
| Biden | 46 |
| Five Candidates | |
| Trump | 43 |
| Biden | 42 |
| Kennedy | 8 |
| West | 0 |
| Stein | 1 |
 | NORTH CAROLINA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult |
| Trump | 51 |
| Biden | 41 |
| Five Candidates | |
| Trump | 48 |
| Biden | 38 |
| Kennedy | 5 |
| West | 1 |
| Stein | 0 |
 | NEVADA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult |
| Trump | 51 |
| Biden | 43 |
| Five Candidates | |
| Trump | 48 |
| Biden | 34 |
| Kennedy | 7 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 3 |
 | WISCONSIN – Bloomberg/MrnConsult |
| Trump | 48 |
| Biden | 44 |
| Five Candidates | |
| Trump | 44 |
| Biden | 41 |
| Kennedy | 8 |
| West | 1 |
| Stein | 1 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
114 responses to “Trump dominates battlegrounds except for MI and PA”
Good morning.
Chicon
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looking at AZ, NV, and the strong Trump polls coming out of TX, will SOMEBODY please poll New Mexico?
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Nice results for Trump, which will irritate some here. I’m skeptical about the size of the margins in some those states. Call me a Poll Denier.
Chicon
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I hope Trump wins. I don’t think he will and it will not be due to fraud. Both can be true.
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Its not too late for the Democrats to replace the nephew of the cannibal victim.
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The free passes are having a bad am.
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Maybe Chicon can tell us who here would be “irritated” by polls showing Trump ahead.
This should be good.
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Its not too late for the Democrats to replace the nephew of the cannibal victim.”
Yes it is. That train left the station long ago.
There is no plan B because there is no one that would poll better than Biden.
The Dems have no bench. None. Zero. Zilch.
They don’t even have “dark horse” DW mentioned before.
It’s Biden or bust and it has always been Biden or bust.
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The free passes are having a bad am”
Really?
Something bad related to Putin or Trump?
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Tina – Seriously. Nobody here except Paul is voting for Biden. Everybody else wants Trump to win. The free passer stuff is old already.
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Bitter doesn’t deny polls; he just thinks they’re all wrong.
Chicon
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Zzzzzzzzzz I didn’t say they are wrong. I just don’t care about them. DW has done an excellent job showing present polls against past polls/results.
The irony is that I kept a polling site afloat and I am not interested in polls.
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I guess my point is jason, that they COULD replace him. I get that they have no bench. But even if nature took its course, and Biden didn’t wake up some morning then they would have to replace him. They could pull out someone like Mark Warner or Tim Kaine if they had to. Not saying that such a person would poll better than Biden, at least right away, but it is possible for them to find a replacement if they had to.
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The aggregator at the top of the page has been updated, and as you can see, the Trump floor of 268 EVs has solidified even stronger with these Bloomberg polls. However, the flip side is the margin of error states drifted further toward Biden, except that WI improved slightly toward Trump.
But with 268 well outside the MoE and probably even the Margin of Fraud, any candidate would much rather be in Trump’s position right now versus Biden.
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@JoeBiden
: “I think Florida is in play nationally.”
·806.1K Views
What’s that assembly there? A public school cafeteria or something? But Florida in play? Maybe his words are symbolic here, just like his cannibalized uncle.
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They are highlighting the 6 week abortion ban to save Biden. The problem is the ban was passed by a majority of the legislature that presumably represents a majority of the voters. I expect Trump to win Florida but abortion makes it closer than it should be.
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Florida is in play.
-free passer
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Trump needs to worry about Florida because 12 people showed up at a public school cafeteria to hear the nephew of the cannibal victim talk about abortion.
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By the way, the PDF with the Morning Consult poll is literally 5,195 pages long, and they do NOT provide an index or table of contents.
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Nobody said Florida was in play. Are you trying to steal Jan’s HHR Clown title?
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The combined total in the Morning Consult for these seven battleground states is:
Trump 45
Biden 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 1
West 1
Someone else 1
Would not vote 1
Don’t know 5
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There is only one person who said Florida is in play:
“I think Florida is in play nationally.” — Biden (aka Nephew of Cannibal Victim)
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DW – We need you to review the 5,195 pages and find the preference of Inca-American llama owners. It will be interesting to compare the data from PA and Florida.
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Not voting for Biden
Don’t want Trump to win
Both can be true
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Over at 538, they went to post the Nevada results, and apparently just could not believe it was possible for Trump to be up 14 points with the misfits included, so they wrote Trump 48, Biden 37 instead of Trump 48, Biden 34.
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Got it. On page 3,254 it says that Inca-American Llama owners object 59% / 35% to Llama imports from Papua New Guinea because they may have descended from Llamas that ate the leftovers of Biden’s uncle.
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US Congressman (NJ-10) Donald M. Payne, Jr. has died at 65.
RIP
This is a Biden +60 or so seat, so no, an open race doesn’t help the GOP.
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538 always “adjusts” the polls.
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DW, the death of the leftist Representative does add one to the Republican majority between now and November (or January). Might not seem like much, but the majority was down to one.
Chicon
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538 “skews” the polls….
Chicon
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Tina, any word on Pecker being slapped around on the witness stand in the NY charade?
Chicon
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DW, the death of the leftist Representative does add one to the Republican majority between now and November (or January). Might not seem like much, but the majority was down to one.”
There are a couple special elections coming up that will expand the majority.
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Tina, any word on Pecker being slapped around”
Sounds painful.
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i knew that comment wouldn’t go long without someone saying something.
I was going to insert an “office” line, but…yeah, no.
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BOOM!
Quinnipiac
4/18 – 4/22 1429 RV
Biden Job Approval:
35/61
That one left a mark!
Meanwhile out on the campaign trail, the nephew of the cannibal victim:
“Four more years. Pause.”
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Pecker got snipped not slapped.
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Biden stinks according to Pew too:
April 8-14
8,709 A
Pew Research Center
Approve 35%
Disapprove 62%
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How anyone could approve of the Biden presidency is beyond me!
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Lest anyone yield to the temptation of thinking that Bloomberg/Morning Consult leans Republican, here is their scorecard from 2020:
ST: Trump/Biden
AZ: 48/47 Leaned Trump +1.3
CO: 39/55 Leaned Biden +2.5
FL: 45/52 Leaned Biden +10.66
GA: 48/48 Spot on.
IN: 55/38 Leaned Trump +1
KY: 59/35 Leaned Biden +2
MI: 44/52 Leaned Biden +5
MN: 42/51 Leaned Biden +2
NC: 47/50 Leaned Biden +4
OH: 49/47 Leaned Biden +6
PA: 43/52 Leaned Biden +8
SC: 51/45 Leaned Biden +5
TX: 48/48 Leaned Biden +5
VA: 41/52 Leaned Trump +1
WI: 41/54 Leaned Biden +12.5
They were never way off in the direction of Trump.
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DW, Comparing polling from two election periods really puts the current day data in a better perspective and a more hopeful light.
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Thanks…now of course its possible that Morning Consult is genuinely trying to get it right, and fixed some of their 2020 problems, and that is why such a difference. But at least its a fair comparison, given its the same race, same two candidates, just four years apart.
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And Democrats say the same about Trump. So here we are.
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Despite my best efforts, DW returned HHR to being a polling site. Nobody cares about big issues like has Sydney Sweeney replaced Kate Upton as the most perfect woman on the planet.
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I think it is obvious that Morning Consult has drastically over-compensated in Trump’s direction.
Chicon
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Bitter, how many years now have you been drooling over Kate Upton? I remember you having the same conversations with MD years ago.
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Well, to be fair to Kate Upton, she is a mom now.
I have to admit I was shocked she’s only five years older than Sweeney.
BTW, after a quick perusal of her social media, I will say Sweeney still has a ways to go to catch up.
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There is a new name for the college protester morons.
“Hamasholes”
I don’t know how Bitter feels about suing for copyright infringement.
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The agenda pollsters could be setting up a scenario where they show Trump ahead, he gets convicted in the kangaroo court, and then they show a massive shift to Biden and declare the election over.
Don’t put it past them.
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The approval numbers are down for Demented.
we just reached $6 a gallon for regular.
I know the free passers want to talk about porn lady.
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So tired of this free passer nonsense when nobody here wants Biden to win. Do you even read the posts or just stop by with links?
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I am currently defending the lawsuit by Mass-holes against the A-holes.
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I am 56. Being a mom makes Upton hotter, not less.
Vic prefers Upton because the Mets are still paying her husband to play for another team.
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Jason – I think that we have to suspend Jan as HHR Clown. Tina has staked her claim.
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Choomah shut that shit down quick!
Protestors arrested outside home yet no arrests outside Kavanaugh or Barrett’s house
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War criminal Bibi Netanyahu condemns America’s college campuses students as Nazis.
https://x.com/marionawfal/status/1783184474127073406?s=46 Also ICC likely to issue arrest warrant for Bibi Netanyahu
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Portend of things to come? As of this morning, with ~95% in, Trump, unopposed, won Pennsylvania with 788,833 votes for 82.8% of the vote. Haley, who dropped out weeks ago, still received 156,539 for 16.4%.
Biden, also running essentially unopposed, received 921,505 votes for 88.8%.
In 2020, Trump lost the state by ~82,000 votes.
Will enough of those Haley voters, clearly itching to make a statement here, switch to Trump in the general to make a difference? I just don’t see the enthusiasm on the GOP side.
Even though our country is in serious decline and Bidens corpse has the approval rating of a one termer … I am not hopeful for PA.
Trumps best path to 270 is WI I guess.
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Jason, there is clarity on the ATACMS issue. Ukraine has had an older version of the missiles for awhile, and they have a range of 100 miles.
The US finally sent the current version, which has a 165 mile range. The new version debuted today, to great effect. Excellent news.
https://redstate.com/streiff/2024/04/24/us-long-range-missiles-make-their-combat-debut-in-ukraine-and-put-all-russian-forces-under-the-gun-n2173262
Chicon
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JeffP-Haley is worse than Biden.
It would be a good thing if the “haley only” people left the party.
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The feeling owning #Bitcoin in cold storage.
https://x.com/CarlBMenger/status/1782684540802040207
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bitter. – yeah…that’s the reason I like her 😉
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Zzzzzzzzz. There are no-Haley only people at HHR. The Paulbots should leave.
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I voted for Haley because Trump is a moron regarding Ukraine and she is a conservative Republican. I don’t bow to Trump but he will get my vote in November.
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Ron Paul will always be the leader of the GOP.
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Since this.
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Look up Kate Upton Cat Daddy.
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Ron Paul covers the betrayal of MAGA Mike:
“Speaker Johnson stiffed the Republican majority that elected him and pushed through a massive gift to the warfare state. Members waved Ukraine flags and chanted, ‘Ukraine!’ While I find it disgusting, in some ways, it seemed fitting.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/you-only-had-listen-ron-paul-destroys-mike-johnson-betraying-america
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One can only imagine the dirt they have MAGA Mike.
Eventually well how they got to him in like 10 years.
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song going viral on tiktok lol
https://twitter.com/CatchUpFeed/status/1782934348901101726
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Boomer reps are demanding the ban of tiktok because they know they losing control of the FAKE News narratives.
“DEVELOPING: TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew released a video announcing that he will fight for the rights of American Free Speech and encouraged Americans to be vocal about the vote to ban the platform.”
https://x.com/dom_lucre/status/1783254930918158655
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“Half a TRILLION has been sent globally to the most corrupt country on earth. Not a single audit. Meanwhile Ukrainians are partying like never before while Americans are living paycheck to paycheck and are audited for sending $600 to a friend.”
https://x.com/Stalingrad_Poor/status/1783154244117553604
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David Sachs (from the all in podcast, which is must watch)
https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1783220583075111401?s=46(edited)
one down (TikTok); three to go (telegram, X and Rumble) for the corrupt boomer reps.
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Ron Paul will always be the leader of the GOP.”
LOL
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JeffP is always willing to show his TDS ignorance.
His comments on PA are asinine.
Here were my comments this morning. Without knowing exactly what areas had competitive primaries that brought out more voters, saying the primary vote showed “lack of enthusiasm” is a crock of crap
“Hard to read anything into this but Rs only trailed D’s by 47k votes on the Presidential ballots in PA. Also Dean Phillips, who has much less name recognition than Haley got 7% of the Dem vote.
However the D vote for Casey was 110k more than what McCormick got.
Rs exceeded the D vote in Berks, Bucks, Northhampton and Monroe and were about even in Lehigh, Dauphin and Centre, these were all counties Biden won in 2020. But Erie, which was won narrowly by Biden in 2020, had a big D advantage in this primary.”
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JeffP and I have had our differences in the recent past, however the PA primary numbers he posted were troublesome for republicans, including the presidential race. He may be right about the R’s chances of winning that state come November. One small positive glimmer, reported by those on the ground in PA, is that there are lots of Trump signs and virtually no Biden ones. Maybe someone living in PA can validate that observation.
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There were not many competitors races so turnout would be lower. For every place with many Trump signs, I am sure there were areas with many Biden signs. In my area, there are not signs for Trump or Biden.
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Also, I’ve been hearing a lot about Biden’s progressive fingers disseminating the core protections of Title 9 for women, giving the gender obsessed crowd the ability to control all female/male areas by simply assigning themselves the gender they chose – biology be dam*ed. Somehow I think this infringement on women’s rights, especially their right to privacy and fairly compete in athletics, would serve as a counter balance to the Dems exploiting the abortion issue.
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Lawfare scumbags now going after indicting still more alternative electors from the controversial 2020 elections along with numerous Trump aides. Dems will go to any lengths to bury Trump and anyone near him.
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Palestinian protestor blames Alex Baldwin attacking her as cause of her injuries
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It won’t. Keep pretending abortion won’t matter.
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Will there ever be a time when Dems have gone too far, and they are called on their brazen lawlessness?
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So Verlander gets $43M to pitch 20 games a year…then gets to go home to that every day.
What was that Rod Stewart song…”some guys have all the luck…”
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Bitter – so what are we supposed to do? Reinstate Roe v Wade because suburban PA women are angry?
I am not sure what you keep getting at with the Abortion argument. Will it be an issue in some states. Yes, most likely. Will it trump the economy in those same areas? We will see.
What I am trying to understand is if you think that the SC should have left Roe v Wade in place because it might help us in elections
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I personally think the overturning of Roe vs Wade was inevitable, as it was such a poorly constructed ruling. However, the republican’s messaging about the new ruling has been weak and terrible. DeSantis has been the only one who seemingly has projected the strength of conviction and clarity to handle it better.
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Except DeSantis is a Democrat plant.
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Yep
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Flynn: Deliver the Truth Whatever the Cost (2024) Traile
The movie now available to rent and buy!
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I thought Roe should have been overturned because it was bad law in terms of the Constitution. I knew it would hurt Republicans. Both can be true.
I know you hate suburban women but abortion has hurt Republicans since Dobbs. Ohio (!) passed a very pro-abortion law. I know in your pro-Braveheart zeal that you see nothing but a Trump landslide on the horizon.
I am resigned to
abortion being legal in a majority of states. I don’t won’t to pay for it. I feel no empathy towards women who have one or more for reasons unrelated to rape or health issues. Whenever I hear one of these women who elected to kill their child and later had fertility problems, zzzzzzzzz.
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Trump-Flynn 2024!
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No consequences for bad behavior brings lawlessness. Once the FBI and DOJ got away with Russia Gate we became a Banana Republic basically.
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Oh Bitter – you know me for 20 years and know me way better than that. If I could think of a way to get Suburban women back to the tent, I would. Heck, I think nominating Haley to be VP would be a great start. I am a big tent Republican, much like yourself.
As for a Trump landslide, you also know me better than that. I wish he were not the candidate, and that we could finally move on from him. I wanted RDS the entire time. In 2016, I wanted Rubio before he imploded at Christie’s hands. I think he’s a bad guy morally, but did a darn good job as President, and hope, if elected, he does it again. I also think he has maybe…and I mean maybe…a 1 in 3 chance of getting elected, and it will probably be by a sliver or even 269-269.
I agree with your last sentence as written. Abortion is a very difficult issue that too many people try to make out to be easy.
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F it. Enough of the anti-Semitic garbage. I will weather the storm of repeat posts. GFY, Bunu.
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I meant last paragraph as written. I am resigned that it will be legal in some states, banned in others. I still think its a terrible, divisive issue that I wish we didn’t have to talk about.
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Free Palestine isn’t antisemetic lol
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Vic – I have to admit I thought your post was written by Jan. I sometimes look for fights and, in my zeal, find them.
I have tried to deal with my belief that abortion is a a heinous act with the fact that many women I know and respect support it.
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BS. Free from what? Jews. “From the river to the sea” calls for the destruction of the Jewish state and all Jews in Israel. I would ban you if I could.
Hey, Chicon – I would ban somebody for being an anti-Semitic America-hating bastard. Do you have an issue with that?
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Trump is prochoice anyways so why does it matter?
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The Ron Paul was based on fighting the neoconservative movement.
Now the left are finally starting to stands up to the terrorists and war criminals in DC as well.
Free Palestine is a movement that both left and right can come together for.
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Anti-Semitic Mf-er. I will find a way to ban you.
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Bitter, fire away. Anti-semitism is not protected speech, imo.
Chicon
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Does anybody have a problem with banning anti-Semitic America-hating bastards?
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America First!
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”Vic – I have to admit I thought your post was written by Jan. I sometimes look for fights and, in my zeal, find them.”
Your “Braveheart” reference was the tell, Bitter. Poor Vic had to be the victim of a backlash intended for me. Responding to your landslide comment – it would be wonderful to have a Trump win big enough to quash all the lawsuits saying he didn’t win. However, I have no expectations about the 2024 election. In fact it would kind of surprise me if he could come out on top after all the debris being thrown at him by the Dems.
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Janzam-zero chance the dems let him take power even if he wins anyways.
There will be a DEI military coup before the lunatics ever cede power.
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bitter. Ban away. He’s a scumbag if the worst kind
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The GOP has no coherent message to run on…no vision … no leadership, they are reactionary on every issue. They refuse to use political leverage in legislative matters like protecting the border and addressing economic instability.
Trump is neutered by all the lawfare.
Sorry to be such a negatron. Just my perspective.
I am pretty sure the GOP turnout has been tepid in almost every primary and exits consistently show suburban voters won’t vote for Trump.
Enthusiasm is an issue. As I shared months ago… the normies aren’t motivated much by legal banana republic treatment. They don’t care much about Ukraine. They care about interest rates, affording a home, groceries, gas prices, etc…this election should be a layup…I have never seen a more politically apathetic environment in my lifetime.
I am more positive about flipping the Senate than anything at this point.
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JeffP-
Trump was the best president we’ve had in over 100 years. Bush was a war criminal who plotted to put his brother Jeb! in the WH
luckily was had Trump to put an end to it.
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REPORT: King Charles Dealing With ‘Paralysis’
This is going to be a short reign. Hope Kate beats Cancer.
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The pro Palestine protests are at 1939 Jew hating level.
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I can’t wait to go back to Europe in the fall. Other than Paris the rest is pretty nice. No detours through the Middle East this time.
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London has gone down the crapper too. Worse than Paris.
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Go to familia sagrada. It’s the best thing on that continent…..or probably anywhere really.
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Trump the madman destroys “weak, slow moving, lethargic, gutless, and lazy” AG bill bar for endorsing him for president in 2024 for president.
https://x.com/atensnut/status/1783332901381177402
Going scorched earth on the never Trumpers this time.
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Seriously. Do people pay for Trump’s posts?
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