Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.0-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.8 / 51.0-5.2

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump ahead 6 in Pennsylvania

According to the Bullfinch Group–the same pollster who found Biden ahead 3 in Pennsylvania the week before this new poll.

PENNSYLVANIABullfinch Group
Trump44
Biden38
Other12
3/29-4/3; 600 RV

79 responses to “Trump ahead 6 in Pennsylvania”

  1. Not only is Bullfinch not herding with other pollsters, they’re not even herding with their own polls!

    I saw a survey that had Trump substantially closing the gap in NYC proper, and only 11 behind in Queens (I can buy the Queens and Stalin numbers in Staten, and 25% in the Bronx seems legit; having trouble with 25% in Brooklyn and high teens in Manhattan until I see it). But if he does only lose the 5 Burroughs by 25-30, he’ll be doing a lot better in NEPA and some parts of NJ.

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  2. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Chip Roy has stated of the $120 billion given to Ukraine so far only $40 billion has been accounted for.”

    LOL

    Chip Roy is an isolationist moron who opposes aid. Of course he is going to say that.

    Janzam you are one gullible imbecile.

    Your only concern is that aid IS working and IS keeping your man Putin from enslaving Ukraine.

    You don’t give a damm about “audits”, that is just an excuse for your hatred of the Ukrainian people and their brave fight to survive.

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  3. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    I am watching the debate on Ukrainian aid.

    It is sad to see so many Democrats saying the right and moral thing while some Republicans just recite Putin talking points verbatim.

    Bunu thinks Johnson was bought off?

    Sorry, I think the Putin appeasers on the R side are more apt to have been bought off, their stance is disgusting.

    Republicans used to stand up to communist dictators. Now some of them kneel before them.

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  4. By the time I finished setting up, getting paint thinned to proper consistency and actually started on the fence at 10:30 this morning I finished 8 fence sections by 1 p.m.

    Told you I would be blitzing, now that the hardest part is done.

    Break now.

    Wife says we have a social engagement this evening…UGH!…so that will mean I will have to wrap up about 4 p.m. and not blitz til 7:30 p.m.

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  5. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden should lose a lot of the Jewish vote in NY. I am sure the orthodox community won’t vote for him. But will the upper West Side and East Side liberal Jews turn on him over Israel? There are almost 1.5 million Jews in NYC proper, over 2.2 million in the state.

    If they switched to R it would definitely have an impact. Unfortunately, I think too many Jewish liberals believe more in liberal causes than they do Israel.

    But there are other factors. Many are elderly. Do they feel more unsafe now with all the crime and pro-Hamas demonstrations?

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  6. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Wife says we have a social engagement this evening”

    Poor Walt, he doesn’t even get his schedule in advance.

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  7. I am convinced GF that Emerson poll of New Jersey (Biden +7, or Biden +5 with the others included) is no lie. Its why Monmouth still refuses to release questions 36-39 of their own poll, pretending instead that people would rather see these questions that they did release:

    “Does Your Part of The State Get Its Fair Share? It Depends”

    “Cost of Living is Key Factor in Desire to Leave State; Property Taxes Top Issue List”

    “Murphy Job Approval Holds at 50%”

    “Public Calls for Menendez Resignation”

    “Murphy is Most Recognized Name in Senate Field; Kim has Higher Favorables”

    These were all SEPARATELY released headlines from the same poll. But they refuse to release the Biden vs Trump numbers because they won’t participate in the notion that Biden is in trouble. They don’t want to depress the base of their party.

    Similarly, Unfairleigh-Dickinson University is sitting on their Trump vs. Biden poll, so far releasing only the Senate portion of the poll, with the rest held “for future release.” We will wait to see if the future ever comes.

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  8. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    111 Rs vote against Ukraine aid.

    Pretty sad. You can understand people who get their news from Putin propaganda sources like Zerohedge, Gatewaypundit and Tucker Carlson like Tina and Janzam fail to recognize the importance of opposing Putin’s dream of a new USSR or Greater Russia.

    But elected officials should know better.

    I know, many of them support Ukraine but are afraid of being primaried by the hostage takers.

    But they should stand on principle. Period.

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  9. Ukrainian flags are being waved on the House floor. UKRAINIAN FLAGS!!!!

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  10. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Bunu would prefer Iranian flags.

    Like

  11. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    After months of indecision, the Biden White House is on the verge of releasing the ArmyTactical Missile System, or ATACMS, to the Ukrainian Armed Forces to assist in the expulsion of Russian forces from their country.

    No final decision has been made on when the missiles will be delivered, but the report, now running exclusively on ABC News, indicates that it is a question of when and no longer if. This is a major change from July 2022, when Jake Sullivan opined that ATACMS could lead to a direct conflict with Russia.”

    I am sure the HHR Putin Toadies are opposed to this.

    Like

  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I hope some Israeli flags are waved after the Israel vote.

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  13. It is depressing that so many Republicans have abandoned opposition to Russian expansion.

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  14. I have to agree. It’s sad that the despicable, cowardly, scumbag Paul movement has infiltrated enough republicans so those who would normally Vote the right way, voted against this so they wouldn’t get primaries by ignorant dumb a+*es.

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  15. Sad day for Janzam.

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  16. Final rounds of candidates going on today. This is one of the most entertaining candidates I’ve ever seen.

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  17. ZERO money for the US border or border fencing.

    America last policy as usual

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  18. Jason, somebody missed something on the ATACMS. It’s been there for awhile.

    https://redstate.com/streiff/2024/04/20/putins-war-week-112-n2172657

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  19. The only way, Anonymous, to get actual funding that will actually be spent on the border is to elect TRUMP as president.

    Like

  20. STUPID BUNU POST Avatar
    STUPID BUNU POST

    globohomos take over US congress bc of corrupt MAGA Mike

    https://x.com/The_Real_Fly/status/1781767552684703785

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  21. Demoncrat proclaims Ukraine border is “our” border not the southern border.

    https://x.com/The_Real_Fly/status/1781768455068274702

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  22. The fact that Boden rewarded Kamala with the VP position after she mercilessly called Boden a racist in all the DNC debates proves what a loser the democrats chose as their nominee.

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  23. it’s depressing that so many fake Rs have abandoned the border

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  24. Forebod’n Boden is as good as Dark Brandon.

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  25. Where do I get a Vote GloboHomo banner to put in front of my house? It has a nice ring to it.

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  26. UKRAINIAN FLAGS ON THE HOUSE FLOOR!!

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  27. Pelosi: US border wall a luxury our country can’t afford (We can only afford to fund the Gaza genocide and Biden’s Ukraine money laundering operation)

    https://twitter.com/RealJamesWoods/status/1781778951343620410

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  28. Bunu should have his medications on automatic refill.

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  29. Seems like right now the Phillies, Mets and Braves just can’t lose.

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  30. Well, Biden/Harris won in 2020 so I think their choice paid off. Unfortunately.

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  31. CBS News/YouGov survey released Sunday found that 61% of Republicans say the US should not send more weapons and other military assistance to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for his nation’s war against Russia.

    That holds true even when pollsters differentiate between self-identified “MAGA” Republicans and those who do not associate with the direction in which Trump, 77, has dragged the party.

    The Republican House is not following the will of its constituents, full stop. This has to do where most republicans/conservatives believe our tax dollars will be better served, and it’s not shipping them off to Ukraine.

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  32. Cory Mills

    No flag except the American Flag should ever be flown or brought into the U.S. Congress chamber. I wish those who waved flags of Ukraine on the chamber floor loved America and our open borders as much as they do foreign nations. It’s a sad day in the US Congress when many of those who cheer for Ukraine funding vehemently opposed support to US border security.

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  33. Zzzzzzzzzz. Jan knows that since I have been at HHR. I have supported strong U.S. border security. Jan also knows that Ukraine and US border security are completely separate issues because Biden will NEVER strengthen the U.S. border.

    Enough of the inane sniping.

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  34. like I said earlier, our border will never be secured with Biden in power. We must elect Trump to fix our border

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  35. http://mills.house.gov/about

    Above is a link to Cory Mills, an amazing veteran congressman from Florida. His thinking is the same as mine, and neither of us are isolationists or Putin lovers. Rather he represents someone not in sync with outsourcing monies and border protection overseas when it is severely needed here. The Ukraine package could have been tied into border security here too. The Dems would have thrown a hissy fit…but what else is new with that party.

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  36. Mills is a military veteran, highly credentialed, experience going into war zones, brave, patriotic – the real deal!

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  37. CNN fake news proclaims that MAGA Mike is the new Winston Churchill for passing Biden’s money laundering bill

    https://x.com/mtracey/status/1781862584817193093

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  38. UKRAINIAN FLAGS! DO YOU NOT UNDERSTAND? UKRAINIAN FLAGS!!!!

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  39. Don’t listen to those who say Kennedy hurts Trump more than Biden. The internal polling of the campaigns clearly shows the opposite. Proof? This headline:

    “National Democrats Are Desperate to Take Down RFK Jr.”

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  40. Jan does not want to support Ukraine, Israel or Taiwan. She refuses to accept that America has strategic interests in the world. But she claims she is not an isolationist. Absurd.

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  41. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    It’s a sad day in the US Congress when many of those who cheer for Ukraine funding vehemently opposed support to US border security.”

    Zzzzz…..

    The Rs that supported Ukraine are not against “border security”.

    They are just smart enough to understand our strategic interests around the world and the southern border are separate issues and both have to be dealt with.

    Only isolationist idiots believe they are mutually exclusive.

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  42. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Yahoo headlines

    Israeli strikes kill 22 in Gaza, mostly children.

    After rocky start, Kamala Harris emerges as the Biden campaign lead prosecutor on top issues

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  43. ”Jan does not want to support Ukraine, Israel or Taiwan”

    I’ve never said I didn’t want to support Israel or Taiwan. If you notice, though, the major portion of that aid package is being allocated to Ukraine, not Israel or Taiwan. Ukraine has already received huge amounts of aid from us,, especially when compared to what neighboring European countries are giving. Only about a third of that Ukrainian aid has been accounted for as well, supposedly going towards armaments. The other monies go where? Pensions, official salaries and oligarchs pockets perhaps? Additionally, our own supply of munitions has been so severely reduced that many in the military have said we are not well equipped to defend Taiwan should China invade it. Israel, OTOH, is being micro-managed by the Biden administration to have a cease fire, while Biden continues to supply aid to Gaza (going directly to Hamas), and even Iran who is actively engaged in warfare with Israel. 

    Our aid packages, foreign policies, and intentions have literally become a circus of hypocrisy.

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  44. This will have the war-loving neocons pitching a tent! Woot woot – more Americans in a war zone – oh, yeah, baby!!

    Chicon

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  45. Despite a handful of denunciations, on this blog, towards those wanting to constrain further offshoring of money to Ukraine, I will stand by what has become a majority of the Republican electorate – that our concerns of sovereignty should be focused on our own failed borders. This should be a primary stance of the opposition party standing up to the Biden Administration’s many destructive foreign/domestic policies. The fact some republicans, however, joined in the dem theatrics of waving Ukrainian flags in the House chamber is reprehensible, and will negatively echo and impact the upcoming 2024 elections. Trump’s apparent endorsement of a Ukrainian “loan” will also not sit well with many of his supporters. It was a bad move by him.

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  46. and just like that NBC out with national poll showing RFK hurts Trump more than Biden….false!

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  47. Matt Taibbi is a liberal who appears to have a greater conservative perspective than many of those in House, including the weak Speaker:

    ”On a Saturday to mark and remember, congress funds two wars and hands the intelligence agencies sweeping new surveillance power, getting nothing in return.”

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  48. Zzzzzzzz Supporting American strategic interests is necessary despite Jan’s isolationist nonsense.

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  49. Zzzzzz Domestic policy and foreign policy are not mutually exclusive. If I had lived in 1941, I would have opposed the New Deal and supported Lend Lease. Now, I support securing the US border AND aide to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan.

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  50. DW, I think it remains to be seen who RFK hurts the most. Party affiliation means less these days than policy, IMO. RFK is seen as a renegade to progressive dem party politics, much like Trump is viewed by establishment republicans. For instance RFK is pro US border defense, critical of big pharma and the Intel departments, themes favored by many republicans and opposed by Dems. The stunts put on by Johnson lately – passing big budget and Ukraine funding bills – just might shove some disillusioned R’s over to RFK.

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  51. THEY WERE WAVING UKRAINIAN FLAGS! IN AMERICA! UKRAINIAN FLAGS!!!!

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  52. “Zzzzzzzz Supporting American strategic interests is necessary despite Jan’s isolationist nonsense”

    LOL, higher up on the tread, Bitter, you said it was “absurd” to say I was an isolationist.

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  53. No. I said it is absurd for you to pretend that you are not an isolationist. Read it again.

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  54. I edited the comment so it is clear even to you. You absolutely are an isolationist. Own it.

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  55. A Ukrainian soldier texts from Donbas:

    – “The whole unit was watching [US House]. After the vote, one could hear all over the trench: “YESSS!””

    That’s so strange. Jan said the Ukrainians don’t want any more weapons coming to them.

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  56. Jan- Here are a few questions for you:

    1. If Putin had not ordered the invasion of Ukraine, would Biden have spent more money on securing the US border?

    2. If Ukraine falls and Putin orders Russian troops to Ukraine’s borders with its European neighbors, are American interests more or less secure?

    3. If Ukraine falls, will Biden secure the US border?

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  57. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Trump’s apparent endorsement of a Ukrainian “loan” will also not sit well with many of his supporters. ”

    F–k’em.

    They can vote for Biden.

    Either way what is important is that Ukraine gets supported.

    As I said many times before, Trump is not going to let Putin annex Ukraine on his watch. Those who think the opposite will be very disappointed.

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  58. Jason – I disagree. Trump proved that he was a moron regarding Ukraine with his “24 hour solution.” Ukraine’s fall would anger Democrats who hate him. Republicans and isolationists like Jan and Putina would celebrate.

    Liked by 1 person

  59. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    ”On a Saturday to mark and remember, congress funds two wars and hands the intelligence agencies sweeping new surveillance power, getting nothing in return.”’

    Zzzzzz…

    Actually we got A LOT in return.

    We got needed support for our allies and to confront our geopolitical adversaries and tools to fight terrorism.

    The idea that Rs had to “get something in return” to vote for the interests of the US and to combat terrorism is absurd.

    Not only absurd, shameful and despicable.

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  60. Bitter – all 3 questions require one answer. Securing our own border should be a priority over another country’s border – period. If there is a government in place like Biden’s, where they don’t want to protect our border, the opposition party (supposedly that would be Republicans) should impose every possible measure available to make that happen, including opposing legislation, budgets, and foreign bills the Biden Administration is proposing. Instead, the republicans folded like a cheap suit, and got little to nothing for our own safety. Why even have an opposition party who acts in sync with the party on the left? 

    Furthermore there is far more of a national security risk having an unmonitored, Swiss cheese type of border here than presuming what Russia’s next moves will be should Ukraine fall. None of this even takes into account Ukraine’s well known governmental corruption with unaudited funding, the $35 trillion debt crunch we are under, borrowing more to give more overseas while neglecting people undergoing hardships from our ever increasing inflationary economy.

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  61. So many words to avoid answering simple questions. I tried to make it simple and you failed.

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  62. And I tried to clarify an issue that you argue in too simplistic of a fashion.

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  63. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Janzam wrote a bunch of drivel but never did answer any of the questions.

    And of course we are still waiting for her to tell how much sovereign Ukrainian territory she wants to gift to the Russian invaders and how many millions of Ukrainians she is ok with being enslaved by Putin.

    Hundreds of threads, we still don’t have an answer.

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  64. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Instead, the republicans folded like a cheap suit, and got little to nothing for our own safety.”

    The isolationist Putin lovers might have got nothing.

    America and its allies got a lot for their overall security.

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  65. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Some of the R morons in Congress kept talking about “leverage”.

    Why would you want to “leverage” something that is OUR interest.

    “Leverage” my ass.

    If you believe defending Ukraine is in OUR interest then there is no reason to leverage anything.

    The defense of the southern border and countering Putin’s aggression are different issues.

    Trying to tie the two together “for leverage” is idiotic.

    Republicans should all favor Ukraine aid and Dems should all favor border control.

    Both can be true.

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  66. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

     Securing our own border should be a priority over another country’s border – period”

    Actually, this is wrong too.

    Border security should be a priority. Defending our global interests should be a priority.

    They are not mutually exclusive and there is no reason we shouldn’t do both.

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  67. https://x.com/bgatesisapyscho/status/1781907076416979255?s=46

    Reports Zelensky has already spent the $60,000,000,000 and will need more cash by May.

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  68. James O’Keefe to Drop Bombshell Undercover Video Exposing Intel OfficialsJames O’Keefe to Drop Bombshell Undercover Video Exposing Intel Officials! Intel agents threaten to plant child porn on congressmen computers to blackmail them. They signed FAKE letter against Trump!

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/04/omg-james-okeefe-drop-bombshell-undercover-video-exposing/

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  69. Zzzzzz It’s not cash. It’s weapons and military aid.

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  70. Ok so apparently I missed absolutely nothing on the thread today.

    Good to know

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  71. HOW MUCH OF OUR CASH WENT TO BUY UKRAINIAN FLAGS?????!!!!

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  72. If someone was angry at some else and stabbed then in a vein with a sharp pencil…just before they attacked would they holler:

    “I’m gonna pencil-vein ya!

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  73. Ukraine Gets Their Billions Despite CIA Director Reportedly Warning Zelenksy To Stop Stealing So Much Money

    https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1782239183777439791

    Hersh went on to note that one estimate by analysts from the Central Intelligence Agency put the embezzled funds at $400 million last year, at least; another expert compared the level of corruption in Kiev as approaching that of the Afghan war, “although there will be no professional audit reports emerging from the Ukraine.”

    But, remember, the first rule of sending money to corrupt Ukraine is… you don’t talk about how corrupt Ukraine is (or you get impeached).

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  74. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Zzzzzz…. Hersh..

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  75. Seems like demented got no bounce. In the polling. He was back remember? 

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