Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.0-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.8 / 51.0-5.2

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Despite repeated polling, Florida still not in play

This time Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research:

FLORIDA FAU/Mainstreet Research
Trump51
Biden43
Three Candidates:
Trump49
Biden40
Kennedy6
April 15-17; 815 LV

Bonus content: I was intrigued by 538’s data, comparing Biden’s job approval against past presidents running for re-election as the incumbent. I re-arranged the data into a clearer table and provide it below:

IncumbentNet Approval TodayElection Day gap, Pop. VoteElectoral Votes Won
Biden (2024)-17.3??????
Bush (1992)-12.2-5.5168
Trump (2020)-8.5-4.5232
Carter (1980)-7-9.849
Obama (2012)+1+3.9332
Bush (2004)+2.1+2.4286
Clinton (1996)+14.8+8.5379
Reagan (1984)+17.3+18.2525
Nixon (1972)+20.4+23.2520

102 responses to “Despite repeated polling, Florida still not in play”

  1. By “Net Approval Today” I mean today for Biden, and the same number of days into the first term for the past presidents.

    Like

  2. Bondo Barr now claims he will vote for trump.

    remember he first said that trump should not have had the documents. He then said he could possess the documents.

    Like

  3. MAGA Mike does total surrender on Ukraine money laundering operation

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/04/total-surrender-johnsons-ukraine-aid-package-allows-biden

    Total Surrender: Johnson’s Ukraine Aid Package Allows Biden to Forgive 50% of “Loans” on November 15 and 100% of “Loans” to Ukraine Later On

    Like

  4. “whistleblower” in first Trump impeachment turns out to be part of Biden’s money laundering operation. Another hoax

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/yikes-impeachment-whistleblower-was-loop-biden-ukraine-affairs-trump-wanted-probed

    Like

  5. Same Florida poll has Rick Scott up 17 points.

    Like

  6. Don Jr calls out the compromised MAGA Mike

    https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1780934384796754108

    Like

  7. *Anti-Semitic post* Avatar
    *Anti-Semitic post*

    who funded hamas: the Likud party as we all know

    https://fxtwitter.com/beinlibertarian/status/1780946340584841564

    Like

  8. Good. Time to get it passed and stick it to Putin.

    Like

  9. i see anti-semitism is in full blown display this morning

    it must stink going to bed at night knowing you’re a racist pig

    Like

  10. Rand Paul praises Thomas Massie, and he calls on the compromised MAGA Mike to resign.

    https://x.com/ErinKYSpectrum/status/1780642126168002749

    Like

  11. Isnt is amazing that Nixon went from the second largest landslide win in Nov 72, to the lowest rated President in modern polling by Aug 74 (and much earlier, btw).

    Talk about a crash!

    Like

  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    “Johnson’s Ukraine Aid Package Allows Biden to Forgive 50% of “Loans” on November 15 and 100% of “Loans” to Ukraine Later On”

    Excellent

    Like

  13. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    who funded hamas: the Likud party as we all know”

    Damm, is Bunu now joining LIkud?

    Like

  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Btw I am against this “loan” BS anyway.

    Defending Ukraine and opposing Putin’s invasion is in OUR interest and as such we should invest in that purpose.

    Like

  15. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I call for Rand Paul AND Thomas Massie to resign.

    Like

  16. While Bitter is captivated by sticking it to Putin, communities around our country, especially near the southern border, could themselves use the money bring earmarked for the failing Ukrainian war with Russia. It took a year for the Ukrainian Parliament to pass a draft law, which when passed the NYTs is now reporting that young men are fleeing to escape. And yet the armchair warriors over here persist on sending more money to keep the Ukrainian blood flowing at the front lines. I wonder how many American people still want their money going to Ukraine?

    As for reauthorizing FISA without warrants, does anybody remember how it was abused in 2020-2021 when over 280,000 American citizens had their private communications violated by said searches by the FBI? 

    Is the new definition of conservative values include unaudited sums of money being sent abroad, dismissing the needs of our own citizens, coupled with domestic Orwellian surveillance by the FBI?  If so, conservative values have done a 180 from what they used to be.

    Like

  17. Tina, Mike Johnson makes McCarthy seem like a dream speaker.

    Like

  18. Free passers rejoice. 

    Fraudci just won another metal. 

    Like

  19. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    could themselves use the money”

    LOL

    Janzam back to shill for her hero Putin.

    NOT ONE CENT of the money going to Ukraine would EVER be spent on securing the border. The border is not being secured because the Dems are in power and they want open borders, it has NOTHING to do with money for Ukraine.

    The fact Janzam keeps repeating this despicable lie over and over just shows how utterly morally bankrupt she is and how transparent her wish for Putin to keep committing war crimes in Ukraine is

    Like

  20. It is delussional to think that if we somehow don’t assist the Ukraine with funding to aid fending off a brutal attack on their sovereign country that has resulted in countless deaths of women and children, that this money will somehow go to help the situation at the southern border.

    The Democrats control the Senate and White House. They will not fund even one cent to stem the flow of future Democrat voters at the southern border, so to conflate them is a false equivalency.

    Like

  21. delusional I wish this had an edit function

    Like

  22. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Ukrainian war with Russia”

    What Ukrainian war with Russia, you scumbag liar?

    Russia invaded Ukraine, not the other way around. This war is 100% the responsibility of Putin.

    GFY.

    Like

  23. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    VIc, she knows that is a baldfaced lie but she keeps repeating it here because her loyalty to her ex-KGB thug hero knows no bounds.

    Like

  24. https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/top-military-official-lied-about-jan-6-details-whistleblowers-5631388?src_src=copyreflink&src_cmp=t911

    Top Military Official Lied About Jan. 6: Whistleblowers

    Army Secretary Ryan McCarthy was among senior officials who did not tell the truth about what happened on Jan. 6, 2021, National Guard officials say.

    Like

  25. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    “Justice Department Agrees to Pay $100 Million to Simone Biles, Other Victims of Gymnastics Team Doctor”

    Maybe this money would be better spend securing the border…

    Like

  26. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I wonder how many American people still want their money going to Ukraine?”

    Should be 100%..

    Like

  27. We don’t need to look at why the Capitol was under protected and why there were fed embeds. Rather all j6ers must fry

    free passers

    Like

  28. Jason, I shill for this country, you apparently shill for only Ukraine. You shill to send more Ukrainian men to the meat grinder while you sit on the sidelines and root for more of the same. You use Putin smears as a crutch to distract from the how abysmal this war has been for Ukraine, especially for it’s dwindling number of young men.

    Like

  29. In other news,

    Housing plunged and lei went negative again,

    Like

  30. Conservative values used to include opposing Soviet/Russian expansion. It is not defined as bowing to Trump.

    Like

  31. “Putin smears.” A conservative should be ashamed of being on the same side of Putin.

    Once again….The only reason Ukraine has a draft is because Putin ordered a brutal, illegal, and unjustifiable invasion of Ukraine. ALL of the Ukrainian blood being spilled in Ukraine is due to Putin’s invasion.

    Like

  32. Zzzzzzzzz More excuses for the trespassers and lawbreakers who went inside the Capitol.

    Like

  33. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    the how abysmal this war has been for Ukraine,”

    The war has been abysmal for Ukraine. The destruction and the bombing and the shelling and the deaths and the torture and the rapes and the exiles and the displacements have been in Ukrainian territory.

    But the only person responsible for that is your man Putin.

    Like

  34. Who is Zelinksky: a man controlled by intelligence agencies
    part 1
    https://x.com/Truth_InMedia/status/1780958558512959495
    and
    part 2
    https://x.com/Truth_InMedia/status/1780958558512959495

    Like

  35. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Jason, I shill for this country,”

    Nah, you shill for Putin.

    You keep repeating how bad the war is for Ukraine but yet you pretend that your man Putin has nothing to do with it.

    You are a turd of a human being. Your lack of empathy for the people who were invaded and massacred and your constant excusing of Putin’s war crimes is truly disgusting.

    Like

  36. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!
    Bitterlaw Avatar

    Bitterlaw

    April 18, 2024 at 12:38 pm

    Zzzzzzzzz More excuses for the trespassers and lawbreakers who went inside the Capitol.”

    They get a free pass from Free Pass Tina.

    Like

  37. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    We don’t need to look at why the Capitol was under protected and why there were fed embeds.”

    This is like saying it is ok to rob a bank if there are too few security guards.

    Like

  38. Jason – Trump will continue to fund the Ukrainian defense against Russia

    If the United States were invaded by a foreign power, you can bet every single real American man (not Ron Paul followers – they would work for the enemy as long as they didn’t have to fight) would join up and fight until the death to ensure they were not taken over.

    Like

  39. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Has Free Pass Tina said whether she gave a Trump a Free Pass for being the Mother of all RINOS along with the Free Pass she gives Putin for invading Ukraine?

    Maybe I missed it.

    Like

  40. We know that in 2016 and 2020 there were many universities who put out POTUS polling data both for the state local to the school as well as other states. These polls seemed endless. Where are the universities now? They have nearly closed up shop and gone mute.

    Other than Siena, Marist, Emerson and Florida Atlantic University, the university polling of states has gone dry.

    Why? No funding perhaps? No, these liberal places are flush with cash. Students no longer going into political science degrees? No…hmmm…what could it be?

    Where did these all go?

    Baldwin Wallace University
    Bluegrass Community & Technical College
    Christopher Newport University
    Colby College
    East Tennessee State University
    Fairleigh Dickinson University (currently sitting on a NJ poll and not releasing results)
    George Mason University
    Goucher College
    Hampton University
    Hendrix College
    Monmouth University (currently sitting on a NJ poll and not releasing results)
    Montana St. University
    Rutgers University
    Sacred Heart University
    Saint Leo University
    South Dakota State
    St. Cloud St. University
    Stetson University
    Stockton University
    University of Akron
    University of Arkansas
    University of Delaware
    University of Maryland
    University of Mass. – Lowell
    University of Montana
    University of Nevada
    University of North Florida
    University of Wyoming
    Washington College
    Western New England University

    All of the above, NO POLLS for the 2024 POTUS Race. What’s the matter? Cat got your tongue?

    Added to these, the ones below only released 1 or 2 but it was months ago, and since have gone silent:

    Meredith College
    Muhlenberg College
    Saint Anselm College
    Suffolk University
    University of CA – Berkeley
    University of Georgia
    University of New Hampshire
    University of Southern California
    University of Texas – Tyler
    Vanderbilt University
    Winthrop University

    Hello? Where did you all go?

    Like

  41. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Jason – Trump will continue to fund the Ukrainian defense against Russia”

    Shhhh….. Tina and Janzam might hear you and refuse to vote for him.

    We need every vote we can get even from the “Pooty Poot” admiration society.

    Like

  42. Bitter, when a country goes thru a brutal war, blaming one side or the other doesn’t make the pain or blood spilled any less. You can continue the Putin smear to shame those wanting the money to be applied to our own country, but it doesn’t alter the reality in how futile it is to continue such a lopsided devastating war.

    Like

  43. The compromised MAGA Mike now thinks there is a new “Axis of Evil.”

    https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/1781000686424977907

    “Johnson gets one briefing in a SCIF, and all the sudden he thinks Russia, China, and Iran are an “Axis of Evil”. He is either incredibly gullible, or he is compromised. Regardless, he is unfit for office. This dumbass is openly admitting he wants to fund WW3.”

    Like

  44. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Biden gets confused when a reporter tells him in Pennsylvania: “When you drive around the area, you see a lot of Trump signs, not very many Biden signs…”

    Biden: “You aren’t driving in the right areas, pal”.

    I guess the guy didn’t drive through Bitter’s neighborhood.

    Like

  45. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    blaming one side or the other”

    LOL

    You really don’t have an ounce of morality, do you?

    RUSSIA INVADED UKRAINE.

    There is no “blaming one side or the other”. 

    Only one country and one man is to blame.

    But you know that.

    Like

  46. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    wanting the money to be applied to our own country,”

    Actually, if you weren’t so stupid, you would realize aiding Ukraine IS applying to our own country because it is in OUR interest to do so.

    The cost of letting Putin annex Ukraine will be much greater in the future than preventing it from happening now.

    Like

  47. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    thinks Russia, China, and Iran are an “Axis of Evil”.

    Hmmm…..

    You really think they are not?

    Like

  48. the jew hating Paul followers say the following “Russia, China, and Iran are an “Axis of Evil”.” as if that is a negative.

    THEY ARE THE AXIS OF EVIL

    Like

  49. “The man who transformed El Salvador from one of the most dangerous countries in the world to one of the safest, President Nayib Bukele, is despised by liberals.

    When he won reelection in a landslide, liberal media outlets ran headlines stating that democracy had ended in El Salvador and that the country had become a one-party state. However, El Salvador is not Cuba.

    Bukele did not eradicate opposition parties, nor did he imprison them or seize control of the press. Instead, he delivered on his promises. He made the country safe by locking up criminals.

    President Bukele claimed that his country went 365 days without a murder. And while the exact number has been called into question, it is an indisputable fact that the country now has the lowest murder rate it has seen in 30 years, plummeting by 70%, and now stands at only 2.4 per 100,000 in 2023, making it the second lowest in the Americas, just behind Canada.”

    It’s amazing how the press, world wide, uses the phrase “ending democracy” to the real liberators of law and order democracies. They applied it to Bukele just like they are doing to Trump, especially in the orchestration of multiple criminal trials. Bukele also did not imprison or eradicate opposition leaders or parties, controling the media in lifting his country out of troubled waters, like another foreign president has done.

    Like

  50. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    n how futile it is to continue such a lopsided devastating war.”

    Ahh, yes.

    So maybe now Janzam can tell us how much of Ukraine’s sovereign territory should be sacrificed to the invaders and how many millions of Ukrainians she thinks is ok to be enslaved by Russia.

    We have been asking this question for months, never got an answer.

    Like

  51. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    lso did not imprison or eradicate opposition leaders or parties, controling the media in lifting his country out of troubled waters, like another foreign president has done.”

    Damm, Janzam actually dares criticize her hero Putin?

    Nah….

    Like

  52. DC is an Axis of Evil

    Like

  53. Yahoo/YouGov asked an interesting couple of question:

    Do you approve or disapprove of the job (…) is doing/did as President?

    Joe Biden: 44-54 (-10)

    Donald Trump: 51-46 (+5)

    Do you think things in this country…?

    Were better off under Trump 47%

    Are better off under Biden 39%

    Yahoo/YouGov | D33/R27 | RVs | 4/11-18

    Like

  54. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    39% think we are better off under Biden?

    Scary.

    Like

  55. RFK now on the ballot in Michigan.

    Like

  56. https://twitter.com/jacksonhinklle/status/1781010240365805880

    Boden wants to keep the Palestinians subjugated

    Like

  57. Leftists are lying to get onto Trump’s jury so they can rig it!

    “Conservatives are saying they are principled and telling judge they dont want to serve Do you see what happens here?”

    https://x.com/JackPosobiec/status/1781007937814581624

    Like

  58. J6er being tortured by the Boden administration

    https://x.com/MtnMama406/status/1780833600101142792

    Like

  59. NATIONAL POLL:

    @cygnal

    Trump 46.6%

    Biden 45.4%

    Trump 41.5%

    Biden 39.4%

    RFK Jr 8.6%

    West 1.8%

    Stein 1.1%

    Like

  60. It does. There should be a small … in a circle on the right side of your post. Unless only I can do it.

    Like

  61. Then call Putin and ask him to end the war by withdrawing to pre-invasion borders

    Like

  62. There is only 1 side to blame. Putin.

    Like

  63. The Biden Surge continues.

    Chicon

    Like

  64. Ok. What is the point of using Boden instead of Biden?

    Like

  65. I think only you have it

    Like

  66. https://twitter.com/cspan/status/1780992800638619911

    tense exchange between Hawley and the traitor Mayorkas who runs the “homeland security”

    Like

  67. Jeo B

    Like

  68. Jeo Bo.den is a solana meme coin that is very popular

    https://twitter.com/OldRowSwig/status/1779266984846172576

    Like

  69. Not looking good for people who lied about Trump supporting the Ukraine money laundering bill!

    https://x.com/JackPosobiec/status/1781030901691936884

    Like

  70. MAGA Mike and neocons used Trump as fodder to try to pass their latest scam bills

    Like

  71. This is the uniparty.

    Crooked MAGA Mike announces new 100 billion dollar uniparty bill

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/uniparty-reveal-speaker-johnson-pass-953-billion-foreign-aid-package-using-democrats

    Like

  72. Trump having a couple of good polling days, and it brings out all the kooks.

    Like

  73. DW, Biden, not Trump, is surging. The media said so.

    Chicon

    Like

  74. ugh. Go back to your moms basement you racist moron

    [Moderator note: This was in response to a removed antisemitic post]

    Like

  75. The media and free passers said so.

    minor edit, chicon.

    Like

  76. Back from NC.

    “”””””””””””””””””””””””””

    Massive Mt. Ruang eruption sends plumes nearly 70,000 feet high

    Story by Matthew Cappucci

     • 23h • 

    I tell you, this man-made global warming is really getting BAD!

    Like

  77. POLL:

    Should I go out now and start doing some fence staining now until 7:30 p.m. to get ready for blitzing it on Saturday?

    YES

    NO

    Like

  78. NO

    Walt, take it easy, check on cash cow in a bit, and then put your feet up for the rest of the night.

    Liked by 1 person

  79. no

    you and the fence will be here 100 years from now. it can wait.

    Like

  80. New national Morning Consult:

    Trump 42, Biden 42.

    Means that their upcoming release of Battleground states will likely be the same as their prior releases…unchanged.

    Like

  81. After loosing 2 jurors this morning out of 7 selected, making it 5, 7 more were magically found this afternoon completing the 12 needed. Opening arguments are set for Monday. Friday will be spent finding alternants. What a travesty!

    Like

  82. Emerson 4/18

    Trump 46

    demented 43

    (truth social trump?).

    Like

  83. Trump officially opposes MAGA Mike’s Ukraine money laundering bill.

    Not looking good for those who lied about him supporting it once again

    https://x.com/RepMattGaetz/status/1781023904443556103

    Like

  84. Fed just did 112 million in emergency repo today

    A big US bank is probably insolvent as usual, and as we know nearly 100% of US banks are financially insolvent at the moment.

    https://twitter.com/ICOffenderII/status/1741511706394714476

    Like

  85. Until Hamas releases those hostages, Israel should bomb anything that even remotely looks like a Hamas supporter in Gaza.

    And those Hamas-sympathizers in our country should get the historically appropriate treatment that Winnie Mandela gave the apartheid sympathizers in South Africa…her special brand of necklaces.

    Jews were and have been the most unjustly treated people in history. The world gave what is now the state of Israel to them as a safe space in 1948. Fools try to treat the Palestinians as some tortured and mistreated native people, when prior to Israel being established were nothing but a bunch of nomads and small clusters of settlers living on a land full of nothing but rocks and biblical historical sites.

    If those Jew-hating people want to stand by Hamas and they pay the price for it, so be it. Whether those fools are in Palestine or in the US. War is hell.

    Pray for the Peace of Jerusalem.

    Albertus Magnus

    Like

  86. Who rattled Bunu’s cage?

    Like

  87. Nancy Pelosi heaps praise on MAGA Mike on the MSNBC “news” show for passing new Boden’s legislation.

    https://x.com/carrieksada/status/1781016030443385026

    Like

  88. Don Jr disgusted by MAGA Mike’s behavior

    https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1780934384796754108

    Like

  89. Pulse is covering how MAGA Mike has been compromised

    REVEALED: Mike Johnson staffer threw Anti-Trump tantrum.

    Speaker Johnson’s Policy Chief Worked as Lobbyist for Pro-Ukraine Firms. Speaker Mike Johnson’s top policy advise……

    Like

  90. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Hey Bunu, GFY.

    Like

  91. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Worked as Lobbyist for Pro-Ukraine Firms.”

    Nothing wrong with being pro-Ukraine.

    What is shameful and wrong is being pro-Putin and pro-Hamas.

    Like

  92. STUPID BUNU POST Avatar
    STUPID BUNU POST

    Hikaru wins vs Firoujza to take lead !

    The age of Hikaru is upon us.

    Like

  93. At 10:00 on National Geographic channel, there is a show about the conquest of the Incas. Not a safe space for Jason.

    Like

  94. Against the voter here at HHR, I changed clothes and went out and did the top parts (6 to 12 inches) of SIX sections of fence. Was easy on my back.

    That means that Saturday, IF IT IS NOT FRIGGIN’ WINDY OR FRIGGIN’ RAINY, I can blitz those 6 sections of fence and probably do another 6 or before dark. Maybe more if I work like a maniac.

    After Saturday, next window of opportunity is Monday…and Tuesday.

    *****************************************

    If Sat., Mon. and Tues. are ALL weather cooperative days, I could have ALL the interior fence part painted by the end of the day on Tuesday. But I will have to stop and get more 5 gallow buckets of paint sometime.

    Like

  95. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    BIDEN: “I see a future with a planet! We save the planet as this guy busting his neck doing. From climate change. Literally!”

    Like

  96. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    At 10:00 on National Geographic channel, there is a show about the conquest of the Incas. Not a safe space for Jason.”

    Depends. Are they going to discuss reparations?

    Like

  97. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Walt hasn’t done this much painting since Noah asked him to paint the Ark.

    Liked by 1 person