According to the Wall Street Journal polling:
 | ARIZONA – The Wall Street Journal |
| Trump | 47 |
| Biden | 42 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 39 |
| Biden | 34 |
| Kennedy | 11 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 1 |
 | GEORGIA – The Wall Street Journal |
| Trump | 44 |
| Biden | 43 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 38 |
| Biden | 35 |
| Kennedy | 8 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 1 |
 | MICHIGAN – The Wall Street Journal |
| Trump | 48 |
| Biden | 45 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 39 |
| Biden | 37 |
| Kennedy | 12 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 2 |
 | NORTH CAROLINA – The Wall Street Journal |
| Trump | 49 |
| Biden | 43 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 42 |
| Biden | 34 |
| Kennedy | 10 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 1 |
 | NEVADA – The Wall Street Journal |
| Trump | 48 |
| Biden | 44 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 37 |
| Biden | 33 |
| Kennedy | 15 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 2 |
 | PENNSYLVANIA – The Wall Street Journal |
| Trump | 47 |
| Biden | 44 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 41 |
| Biden | 38 |
| Kennedy | 7 |
| West | 3 |
| Stein | 1 |
 | WISCONSIN – The Wall Street Journal |
| Trump | 46 |
| Biden | 46 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 38 |
| Biden | 41 |
| Kennedy | 10 |
| West | 1 |
| Stein | 1 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
22 responses to “Trump with edge in 6 of 7 battleground states”
First
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Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) and GBAO (D) did these polls for the Wall Street Journal. The polling here and prior polls seem to support the idea that Kennedy hurts Biden some in the south, out west is a wash, but Kennedy hurts Trump some in the rust belt.
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DW – I guess the election will turn on how many people throw away their votes on RFK, Jr. and how many voters who were planning on sitting it out are motivated by abortion to vote.
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Scary numbers for GA and WI. The rest seem ok.
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very time I stop in, the llama-lover is continuing his fantasy that “new comprehensive laws” will be enforced by the Democrats, BECAUSE the current laws don’t work……..except from 01/20/2017-01/20/2021……which he ignores.”
Zzzzz…..
NYC is the one that ignores that Trump didn’t enforce “existing immigration laws” either, millions of illegals came in under his watch too.
But heck, another 7-8 million more illegals have entered while NYC is still promoting the Cotton-Perdue bill restricting LEGAL immigration by 50%.
If the Dems win the House, Senate and Presidency, ALL of them will be legalized and become citizens.
WE ARE WINNING!
Maybe NYC can come and tell when “current immigration laws” that haven’t been enforced in 40 years are being enforced.
The Dems will thank him for his “winning” strategy.
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I expect RFK’s numbers to dry up over time.
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https://nypost.com/2024/04/03/us-news/trans-basketball-player-who-hurt-rival-was-once-suspended-for-ogling-teammate-report/
The suspension for leering at a topless teammate raises an interesting question. Would a female lesbian be suspended for the same act or would they get away with it? Or would that be anti-LGBTQWhatever.
I have been against males competing in female sports since this nonsense began. The injuries are going to continue until it stops. Of course, there have always been injuries in female sports but this is going to make it worse.
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I think RFK will end up with between 5-10% nationally and at least 10 million votes. That is better than any third party candidate since Perot.
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They are anti-science biology deniers.
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The key for Kennedy is where does he get those votes. He could pull 15% from CA, NY and MA because they don’t matter. And in the battlegrounds he could be under 5%.
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Btw, the expenses for my trip to NY to find NYCmike and get him back to HHR were only $1287.56 because I pretended I was an illegal and got a suite at the Four Seasons for free and also a pre-loaded credit card Mayor Adams was handing out that I used for dinners at Peter Luger’s and Le Bernardin.
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Bitter you can reimburse me at our dinner in Philly, no problem.
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So here are the battleground states as defined by these pollsters:
Redfield & Wilton: FL, NC, GA, AZ, PA, & MI.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult: NV, NC, GA, AZ, PA, MI, & WI
Wall Street Journal: NV, NC, GA, AZ, PA, MI, & WI
Emerson: NV, AZ, GA, PA, MI, WI
It is stunning that even though Maine has polled with Trump ahead, these two electoral votes are largely ignored, and its not considered a ‘battleground’ even though these two EVs could be critical should Trump fail in the rust belt but flip AZ, GA and NV.
Someone needs to wake up Redfield and Wilton and explain to them that FLORIDA is not a battleground state. NC isn’t really either.
If they want to include NC, where Trump leads by more than 6 with or without Kennedy, then by all fairness they should include CO, NH, VA, MN, NM, and yes, even NJ, where Biden leads by only 5 according to yesterday’s Emerson poll.
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NYC, the Blackhawks helped out your Isles last night.
I hope all is well.
Chicon
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WI Gov Evers vetoed a bill to prohibit men in women’s sports in WI.
This could help Trump in a close election.
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Trump has taken a hit at the betting odds site Predictit.
Not sure why exactly. Biden now favored 49-45.
There is a meme on the MSM headlines that “Biden has made a comeback in the polls”
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Biden has made NO comeback in the polls. This is pure wish-casting.
Even FoxNews national poll had Trump up 5. Their prior poll was Trump +2
I could cite poll after poll, and sure there are some that have seen slight movement toward Biden, there is nothing that can be called a trend and not statistical noise.
They have been pushing this Biden surge message for a couple of weeks now.
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Trump, RNC raised $65.6 million in March, ended the month with $93.1 million in cash on hand.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/03/trump-rnc-raised-65-6-million-march-00150300
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New Pa pole
https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/rust-belt-poll-keystone-battleground-for-april-2024/
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Just to show how desperate they are for the “Biden surge” in the polls, Marist, one of the worst of them, just dropped a poll into the mix showing Biden +2 nationally, but to get there, they had to juice their party id in the weighting of the poll to D+7 nationally! That is not going to be even close to happening.
But let that sink in, weighting to D+7 only got Biden a two point lead.
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Careful, DW, “skew the polls” is warming up in the ‘pen.
I agree that the “Biden rally” is hogwash.
Chicon
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New thread.
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