Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.0-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.8 / 51.0-5.2

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump with edge in PA, AZ, and NV

According to Fox News, Emerson, and Noble Predictive Insights

ARIZONAFoxNews
Trump49
Biden45
Five Candidates:
Trump43
Biden39
Kennedy10
West2
Stein1
3/7 – 3/11; 1,121 RV
PENNSYLVANIAFoxNews
Trump49
Biden47
Five Candidates:
Trump42
Biden42
Kennedy9
West2
Stein2
3/7 – 3/11; 1149 RV
PENNSYLVANIAEmerson
Trump52
Biden48
Five Candidates:
Trump44
Biden40
Kennedy5
West1
Stein1
3/10 – 3/13; 1,000 RV
NEVADANoble Predictive Insights
Trump45
Biden40
Five Candidates:
Trump40
Biden33
Kennedy11
West4
Stein2
2/27 – 3/5; 829 RV

50 responses to “Trump with edge in PA, AZ, and NV”

  1. Tik Tok is a Chinese spying tool. Anybody stupid enough to use it should be allowed to do so. Both can be true.

    Like

  2. Nearly 4 years ago Fox News polled Pennsylvania and found it Biden 50 / Trump 42.

    Like

  3. Nevada is not a shocker. 

    Like

  4. Elon speaks out about Tik Tok ban.

    It’s actually a trojan horse Patriot Act II that will be used to ban any website or platform the US government doesn’t like. It also includes the ability to ban VPN’s.

    This comes form the government that is pushes the various Russian hoaxes and the Ukraine money laundering operation.

    https://x.com/MattAttack009_/status/1767946634523029717?s=20

    Like

  5. Bill could force Elon Musk to sell X if he does not comply with politically motivated attacks

    https://x.com/RadarHits/status/1767926680125903340?s=20

    Like

  6. I saw a FB post that reminded everybody that the PA COVID lockdown started 4 years ago today.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Yup it’s a Trojan horse. Rs are dumb as usual. I don’t know why they want to give victories to Demented. 

    Like

  8. Can it be used to ban Bunu? Please.

    Like

  9. Major US Jewish groups backing the new Patriot Act

    https://twitter.com/jakeshieldsajj/status/1768073257448878086?s=20

    Like

  10. Give Demented more losses. Sad that his numbers went down due to the negative SOTU. /s

    Totally, baited by mtg and the “Lincoln” response.

    Like

  11. STUPID BUNU POST Avatar
    STUPID BUNU POST

    We need Rand Paul as senate leader.

    These republicans are so fricking detestable.

    Like

  12. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    At least Bunu and Rand Paul admit they are not Republicans.

    Like

  13. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Now all they have to do is admit they are America hating anti-semites.

    Like

  14. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Salena Zito knows a lot about PA politics. Seems like she thinks the election will be close.

    I don’t think it will be close enough to overcome VBM fraud but hope springs eternal.

    https://hotair.com/salena-zito/2024/03/14/biden-cannot-afford-to-lose-a-single-pennsylvania-voter-n3784663

    Like

  15. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    I don’t think Tik Tok should be banned.

    But I think it should be forced to break its link to the CCP on national security grounds.

    Like

  16. The bill isn’t even about banning Tik Tok although that’s one of their goals.

    The actual goal is to be able to shut down any dissenting website they want to.

    Like

  17. BREAKING: Joe Rogan says he is supporting Donald Trump for President over Joe Biden.

    Like

  18. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Who is Joe Rogan?

    Like

  19. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Noem being sued for some kind of commercial she did about her dental treatment in Texas.Evidently instead of being treated in ND she flew to Texas and then did some kind of “influencer” video about it. It’s stupid but since I don’t want her as VP maybe the controversy will keep Trump from picking her.

    Like

  20. Who is Joe Rogan?

    ….He runs the biggest podcast on planet earth.

    Like

  21. Do a criminal referral against loon and the cryer and other drats.

    Hopefully. Wyoming acts against loon and if she is a lawyer, do debarnent procedures.

    Like

  22. And? I wrote a book that only Walt read.

    Like

  23. Why is legislation needed to stop a CCP national security threat? How delusional are people to think legislation is needed.

    Like

  24. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    What is a podcast?

    Like

  25. Trump talked big about banning TikTok in 2020 right at the time of Covid lockdowns that helped make it go viral. The weak leader he is…he backed down.

    Like

  26. 11 months ago Noble Predictive Insights polled Nevada, and back then they found it Trump 40/Biden 48

    Like

  27. A Joe Rogan endorsement is the best one Trump could have. It helps in running another FU establishment campaign version 2. However he is taking a more moderate establishment approach on the issues.

    Like

  28. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!
    JeffP Avatar

    JeffP

    March 14, 2024 at 12:01 am

    Yes Jason I do believe Putin would resort to tactical nukes over Ukraine. I have little doubt.”:

    Zzzzz…. I knew JeffP would crap his pants over Putin’s BS. It shows you how ignorant people can be swayed by bluster and bluffs.

    Putin won’t be nuking Ukraine, but someone should tell him Moscow will be a sheet of glass if he tries.

    This is a completely empty threat, a Ukraine that is destroyed by radiation (which would also affect Crimea and Russia itself) is of no value to Putin. Ukraine is only valuable to Putin if it can be captured relatively intact so its population can be enslaved and its resources plundered.

    Militarily, tactical nukes cannot be used on a front 1000 miles + long, they can only be uses against concentrated positions which do not really exist.

    But Putin can be happy he got a least one idiot to believe him.

    Like

  29. Jason is correct on the Rooskie Nukes.

    Sue me.

    Chicon

    Like

  30. In my haste, I forgot to include the PA senate race from Emerson:

    Casey 52, McCormick 48

    Like

  31. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    McCormick is sending me at least one letter requesting money a week.

    Since he is competitive, I will send him a check.

    Like

  32. jason Slava Ukraini! Avatar
    jason Slava Ukraini!

    Jason is correct on the Rooskie Nukes.

    Sue me.

    Chicon”

    Don’t feel bad, these things happen.

    Although I should probably get the Suicide Hotline number in case I ever agree with Bunu.

    Like

  33. Jeff – I don’t listen to it. If it is geared towards people already supporting Trump, I don’t know if it will help.

    Like

  34. Once again, Emerson asked what’s most important in the 2024 election. Here is what PA voters said:

    The economy is the top issue for 36% of voters, followed by crime (12%), immigration (11%), threats to democracy (11%), healthcare (9%), education (7%), housing affordability (6%), and abortion access (4%).

    Abortion at 4%? Come on! You are supposed to just love killing babies! What’s the matter with you people?

    Like

  35. Ohio Northern University – US Senate

    against all three potential GOP candidates, Brown cannot get over 44%.

    Brown 44, LaRose 36
    Brown 42, Dolan 39
    Brown 43, Moreno 37

    Like

  36. I guess nobody told Biden since his PA ads are based on the economy and abortion.

    Like

  37. I do appreciate the perspective of others on the campaign strategies in their area and state. Abortion will be a big issue in my area. I doubt it will be as big where Jason lives. Biden is not likely to appear in Jasonville to give speeches.

    Like

  38. Bitter, abortion (or, perhaps, ABORTION!) access is certainly a higher priority in suburban areas than other areas. The Dobbs decision makes it a state issue. Were I in charge of a federal campaign on the Republican side, my focus would be on that.

    Chicon

    Like

  39. DW, I know people who post on political message boards are not the norm, but it always makes me suspicious when a poll has 20% not picking either candidate.

    Like

  40. In a sane world, Republicans campaigning for Federal office would just say, “This issue is for states to decide. The economy sucks….”

    But they will be pressed relentlessly on it and will find a way to screw it up.

    Like

  41. In May of 2020, Fox News polled Arizona and found it Trump 42, Biden 46. So this their first poll of the state in 2024 is a remarkable turnaround.

    Like

  42. Do people understand the BRICS allies Russia has aligned themselves with? They can withstand any economic sanctions and have since the war began. Russia and China have advanced weapons we don’t possess. Zelenskyy is on shaky ground politically. The arrogant US neocon approach to foreign policy and proxy wars, who never experienced the destruction of a world war on their own soil is absolutely clueless how Putins intimidation tactics work on the EU citizens. It’s a fools errand to reason with people sometimes. I am only commenting on facts and realities not taking a position.

    Like

  43. You are taking a position.

    Like

  44. Europeans who “experienced a world war on their soil” are in their 80s or older.

    Like

  45. It doesn’t matter it’s generational.

    Like

  46. Putin has had the west by the balls for decades. Watch the BBC series Putin and the West. He made a fool out of Tucker using his KGB tactics last month.

    Like

  47. I heard that VP Harris is touring an abortion clinic today. DW says abortion will not be a big issue in the election. Both can be true.

    I wonder if politicians used to visit slave auctions while campaigning before the Civil War.

    Like