According to Emerson, and SurveyUSA:
 | INDIANA – Emerson/The Hill |
| Trump | 55 |
| Biden | 34 |
 | MINNESOTA – SurveyUSA |
| Trump | 38 |
| Biden | 42 |
- Last week of the year. Will the scandals in Minnesota be investigated?
- Weekend thread……
- Merry Christmas!
- Christmas Eve
- Eve of Christmas Eve
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.0 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.8 / 51.0 | -5.2 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
74 responses to “Trump way up in IN, Biden with edge in MN”
The Biden Troll’s candidate is going to mandate cheap prices…
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So grocery stores are required to pay $20 an hour, and diesel prices are through the roof adding to the cost of getting food to stores, and this clown in the white house thinks its the stores ripping people off.
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Regardless Trump’s numbers in Minnesota, Biden sitting at 42% isn’t exactly a show of strength.
For example, in May of 2020, Morning Consult found MN at Trump 38/Biden 55
Also in May of 2020, Mason-Dixon had Biden at 49, while in June Gravis had Biden at 58, Fox News at 51. July, PPP-D had Biden at 52.
These sorts of numbers show a candidate who is on pace to easily carry a state. And Biden did 52/45.
But look at the numbers in MN for 2024, Biden at 37, 40, 42, again 42, 45, and his best number is from some British outfit called Stack Data Strategy putting him at 50.
Mark it down, Biden is in trouble in Minnesota. Not saying Trump wins it, because he is hated there too.
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Demented underperformed in the men primary
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/minnesota-democrats-vote-uncommitted-protest-joe-biden-no/
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https://newrepublic.com/post/179593/joe-biden-uncommitted-problem-super-tuesday
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Looks like gas prices shot up over 20 cents a gallon in the last week in my locale.
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Trump came very close to winning MN in 2016, lost by 40k, less so in 2020 with all the VBM
It will depend on that 20% “uncommitted” plus 10% for other candidates. Most will vote for Biden but if he loses half of them it could make a difference.
But even if Biden is forced to spend resources there it would help Trump.
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November 30, 2009 at 9:39 am
Which person best represents the core values of the Republican Party.
Ron Paul – 1%
They must have polled Bunu.
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Ok, I was successful in getting rid of Nikki Haley the BLM Panderer so I no longer need my NeverHaley2024
I am switching to another important issue, the protection of Ukraine against the Russian invaders
So I am now jason Slava Ukraini (Glory to Ukraine!)
Hopefully it will be as successful as my anti BLM Panderer campaign.
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Jason, why do you hate the Jews? 😉
Chicon
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What the Ukrainians have done to the Russian Black Sea fleet without the benefit of having their own Navy is pretty darn impressive. Another Rooskie boat on the bottom in the last couple days.
Chicon
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Who will be more high tonite?
Demented or the ccp spy balloon?
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Scarfarce praises demented’s cognitive ability.
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Yep, the $65 million Sergei Kotov joins the Moskva at the bottom of the Black Sea.
Impressive.
“UK Defence Secretary Grant Shapps shared the video, stating “the Black Sea is not safe for Putin’s Navy”.
“Until recently that would have been unimaginable. Now because the West backed Ukraine, it’s undeniable,” he said.”
Someone should do a welfare check on the Janzam and Tina the Putin Lapdogs.
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Funny I was calling Bunu Bunu as early as 2009.
At that time he also posted as Acroso and Invalid.
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Tina reads the liberal rag New Republic? Who knew?
Truth be known, they probably are less fake news than Zero Hedge and Gateway Pundit, so it might be an improvement.
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Supposedly Biden has been at Camp David for 4 days just rereading the speech over and over.
Sometimes you can over coach people.
Let’s see.
I mean, I won’t be seeing it, I rely on Bitter for such things. He has a cast iron stomach and can actually sit through Obama, Hillary and Biden speeches.
I would probably vomit after the first 5 minutes.
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Here too.
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Kerry says we will all feel better about Russia’s war crimes in Ukraine if they reduce carbon emissions.
No, you can’t make this sh-t up.
“Outgoing Special Presidential Envoy for Climate (SPEC) John Kerry claimed that people would “feel better” about the ongoing war in Ukraine if Russia would “make a greater effort to reduce emissions.”
“If Russia wanted to show good faith, they could go out and announce what their reductions are going to be and make a greater effort to reduce emissions now,” Kerry said during a foreign press briefing on Tuesday in Washington, D.C., his last as the SPEC, as he departed from the position Wednesday to reportedly join President Biden’s presidential re-election campaign.
“Maybe that would open up the door for people to feel better about what Russia is choosing to do at this point in time,” he said.”
Translation:
Yes, your apt building was destroyed and your children killed, but Putin IS reducing emissions, don’t feel bad.”
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Damm, Mike Tyson (58) is making a comeback, will get back in the ring against a 27 year old.
There is also a rumor Joe Biden (81) wants to run for President, but it is not confirmed and some sources quote Jill Biden as saying “that’s ridiculous”.
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Noooo, not Never Haley, it’s now Slava Ukraini!
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I don’t rely on others. However, my wife is going on a trip to Hawaii with her sisters tomorrow. We may watch a movie tonight.
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Bitter, duty calls.
Someone has to do this, we can’t rely on the MSM.
We need your unfiltered view.
Tell your wife she needs to rest up for the flight.
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I forgot Kerry was alive. Then Jason spoiled it.
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We will see a lot of this.
Van Jones on why Biden should try to get Nikki Haley voters:
“I think he needs to — to talk to her donors and her supporters and say, if you want to a year from now, watch Russian tanks rolling through Europe, then, you know, endorse Donald Trump and get on that bandwagon.”
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I forgot Kerry was alive. Then Jason spoiled it.”
Sorry.
Does it help he looks like the living dead?
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Biden’s approval according to Rasmussen just tanked further…39/60. I have never seen it that low
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Has someone done a welfare check on Loon Paul?
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I am not worried. I think Biden’s approval needs to drop under 20 for it to be a problem.
Yes, I said anything under 45 was fatal for a President, but that was Trump.
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Governor Younkin has endorsed Trump. I kind of like him as a vp choice, but I don’t know enough about him
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Uncommitted was also a problem in Hawaii for Demented.
Mn would appear to be the bigger problem for demented down the road.
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DW – I also have not seen Ras with a Biden approval that low. It’s actually very predictible on Ras. On the weekend his approval rating will go way up, then by Thursday go way down. Lots of evangelicals don’t answer on the weekends, hence Biden approval increases.
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I will let you now.
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Thanks. Whatever you are letting.
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Youngkin would be a great VP pick.
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Youngkin would be great because VA polls close at 7:00 pm and the votes are counted relatively quickly. If Trump picks Youngkin and makes a huge push to flip VA, then imagine the shock on election night coverage where Trump rolls out a HUGE lead in Virginia, because the communist areas around DC always hold back anyway, and then if by 7:45 or 8:00 pm it appears that Trump/Youngkin will win Virginia, this shock will cause the people in Atlanta, Milwaukee, Detroit, and Phoenix to think about whether or not its worth it to risk a felony conviction for pulling out of the car trunk that stack of illegal and invalid ballots.
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HHR veterans will recall that some people discounted phone polls on weekends before the GE because many people were at high school football games or had bad cell phone coverage in rural areas. I think this first appeared as a reason McCain was really beating Obama.
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Jason – Do you really think Younkin will move the needle in VA? Is he still popular there. I haven’t looked at his approval ratings so I don’t know. I still think Haley might be the best choice, but, Younkin defnitely appeared to suburban women
Bitter – I didn’t post that to cast aspersions on the polling or to try to justify it. Just saying that Ras is very consistent. Higher numbers for Biden after the weekend, lower numbers by end of week. It could be any of a million reasons I guess. I offered one potential one. I could be wrong.
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General Election – Emerson
Trump 45% Biden 45%
Some interesting items from the poll. First of all RCP has it Biden 51%, Trump 49%, but that’s only when they push undecides and not what the poll says when you click on the link. It says 45-45. Next, you can see that people are voting Biden because they don’t like Trump more than they like Biden, whereas for Trump on a 3-1 basis, they are voting for him because they like him vs dislike Biden.
More info from the poll
“Biden leads Trump among voters under 30, 43% to 37%, with 20% undecided. When these voters are forced to choose between Biden and Trump and their support is included in the total, 58% support Biden and 42% Trump,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said.
Voters were asked why they support Biden or Trump.
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Trump Biden
Emerson3/5 – 3/6 45% 45%
Economist/YouGov 44% 42%
Morning Consult 43% 44%
CBS News 52% 48%
I&I/TIPP 42% 43%
NY Times/Siena 48% 44%
FOX News 49% 47%
Forbes/HarrisX 52% 48%
Wall Street Journal 47% 45%
Harvard-Harris 53% 47%
Quinnipiac 45% 49%
Rasmussen Reports 47% 41%
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Ras w/o the Ras himself if a crummy pollster with an in-house bias.
Republicans may not answer the phone on weekends when they are out shooting, fishing, and going to church.
Both might be true.
Regardless, Dems always have the time to answer pollster calls between fornicating, illicit drug use, protesting, and collecting public welfare benefits. 😉
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You could be right. I just remembered the high school football posts from 2008.
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Here are the latest national polls – have to say, those that force it to 100% don’t seem very reliable
Trump Biden
Emerson3/5 – 3/6 45% 45%
Economist/YouGov 44% 42%
Morning Consult 43% 44%
CBS News 52% 48%
I&I/TIPP 42% 43%
NY Times/Siena 48% 44%
FOX News 49% 47%
Forbes/HarrisX 52% 48%
Wall Street Journal 47% 45%
Harvard-Harris 53% 47%
Quinnipiac 45% 49%
Rasmussen Reports 47% 41%
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Bitter – that was pending but I took out hte hyperlinks so don’t approve my previous post
Also, again, I wasn’t trying to justify, was just saying.
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Put me in the supporting my party’s candidate camp.
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Funny.
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Put me as caring for various issues.
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Republicans may not answer the phone on weekends when they are out shooting, fishing, and going to church.”
Pretend I am a R and put me on the shooting option.
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I limited myself to one category. If there was an “I care about the issues, hate Trump but hopes he wins and then resigns 1 minute after he is sworn in” category, I would have chosen that one. GFY
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I don’t know if Youngkin would swing VA but that is not the reason I would pick him.
I think he brings balance to the ticket in the sense he is agenda not personality driven and could attract moderates and independents. He could campaign on the parental rights, school choice, immigration issues effectively.
His drawback is being a white male.
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“I care about the issues, hate Trump but hopes he wins and then resigns 1 minute after he is sworn in” category,”
Fine with me as long as the VP is not Haley or Vivek.
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Among Trump voters, 33% support him because they like Trump”
That many, huh?
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Biden leads Trump among voters under 30, 43% to 37%, with 20% undecided. When these voters are forced to choose between Biden and Trump and their support is included in the total, 58% support Biden and 42% Trump,”
Not a good number, actually.
This group also has the lowest voting percentage.
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Have to agree with Jason, no Nikita or Vivek.
I would have given both departments to run, or press sec (Vivek)
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Is there a dog catcher dept?
That is the only one I would reluctantly give the BLM panderer.
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Putin hardest hit.
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Have to agree with Jason,”
Look it happens, law of averages.
No need to panic, you will recover.
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Isn’t Vivek a billionaire or something?
I doubt he wants to be Press Secretary.
I personally think it is the worst job in the administration. No matter who the President is, it involves having to lie incessantly several times a day.
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Astronomers speak of red shift light versus blue shift as an indication as to the direction of the light, toward us or away from us.
For the states in the 2024 election where we have enough polling to get an average, we can easily compare the final 2020 results against the current average to see if electorate is moving toward Biden or Trump.
Here we go:
State / 2020 gap / 2024 gap
MT / 16 / 21.5
SC / 12 / 16.5
IA / 8 / 11.4
OH / 8 / 10.7
FL / 3 / 9.1
GA / 0 / 6.8
TX / 6 / 6.3
NC / 1 / 5/6
NV / -2 / 5.1
AZ / 0 / 4.6
PA / -1 / 4.0
ME / -9 / 3.8
MI / -3 / 3.6
WI / 0 / 2.3
MN / -7 / -2.6
VA / -10 / -4.3
CO / -13 / -7.2
NH / -8 / -7.3
CA / -29 / -21.7
MD / -33 / -22
Redshift everywhere, and no blueshift.
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Plus you have to deal with the WH Press Corp, an insufferable group of arrogant self entitled a-holes.
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LOL
Harris County District Attorney Kim Ogg went into Love Park Community Center Tuesday morning to cast a ballot for her own primary race — only to be told someone had already voted in her name, according to spokesperson Michael Kolenc.”
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She condemned the BLM riots. Just wanted to get on the record for anybody searching the Annals in the future.
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Illegal and likely registered to vote?
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/illegal-alien-spotted-wearing-biden-harris-2020-t/
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That Emerson poll mentioned earlier is a joke. The tell that its way out of whack is the sample of voters said that they gave Biden a +1 on personal favorability. If that is anywhere near true then we are so far gone might as well give up.
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DW most polls have him -15 or more
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As a stats guy, I wouldn’t call it a “joke” so much as it is a clear outlier i.e. the 1 in 20 polls that proves that the confidence interval correct.
Emerson has plenty of other polls at the state level which are quite good for Republicans overall.
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She condemned the BLM riots”
Zzz… she later issues a watered down generic condemnation of riots that every politician did.
But this is what Bitter is pretending she didn’t say. Let the annals show what she REALLY said:
“It’s important to understand that the death of George Floyd was personal and painful for many. In order to heal, it needs to be personal and painful for everyone,”
This is a sordid and despicable attempt to pander to BLM by trying to “nationalize” the actions of a rogue cop in a liberal city who caused the death of a criminal. Nobody else in America was responsible for this crime, unless you also want to blame the Police Dept who hired and trained him. Nationalizing this event was exactly what BLM wanted to happen and the core of their argument to burn down cities was exactly the point Nikki Haley was trying to help them with – everyone is a racist and should feel guilty and should be blamed for George Floyd’s death. As the Golden Calf correctly said when he skewered her on this:
“DeSantis, who’s battling Haley in early GOP primary states to be the main alternative to Donald Trump, accused Haley of “adopting this left-wing mindset.”
“I remember when the George Floyd riots were happening, I called out the National Guard,” he said, as Fox News reported.
“I said I’m standing with police, she was tweeting that it needed to be personal and painful for every single person. I’m thinking to myself, ‘Why does that need to be personal and painful for you or me? We had nothing to do with it.”
I won’t vote for someone who is that spineless and that afraid that she could not resist this type of shameless pandering.
I don’t care if she is running against the ghost of Fidel Castro.
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“Emerson has plenty of other polls at the state level which are quite good for Republicans overall.”
True.
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Zzzzzzz Trump received more endorsements from BLM than Haley. Jason always leaves that out, too.
I don’t care what she said. She is better on the issues than Trump but that won’t matter now.
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If given the choice, I would rather have Haley making decisions regarding Ukraine than Trump.
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Hey,
I see where airline prices to Haiti have plummeted.
Anyone want to go with me to vacation in Haiti?
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NT
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