But beware the tiny sample sizes:
 | VIRGINIA – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 42 |
| Biden | 49 |
 | VERMONT – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 28 |
| Biden | 59 |
 | UTAH – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 46 |
| Biden | 38 |
 | TEXAS – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 51 |
| Biden | 42 |
 | TENNESSEE – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 59 |
| Biden | 34 |
 | NORTH CAROLINA – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 54 |
| Biden | 40 |
 | MINNESOTA – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 39 |
| Biden | 46 |
 | MASSACHUSETTS – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 34 |
| Biden | 59 |
 | COLORADO – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 44 |
| Biden | 48 |
 | CALIFORNIA – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 37 |
| Biden | 56 |
 | ALABAMA – Florida Atlantic University |
| Trump | 57 |
| Biden | 38 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
37 responses to “11 states polled by FAU.”
first again
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very odd sample. Better for Trump in some states (CO, NC) neutral in other (TX, the south) worse in others (MN, VA)
so not sure what to make of it
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Zzzzzzz Trump received more endorsements from BLM than Haley. Jason always leaves that out, too.”
You can’t choose who endorses you.
But you can certainly choose who you pander to.
GFY.
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I don’t care what she said. She is better on the issues than Trump but that won’t matter now.”
I agree she is better on the issues, certainly on Ukraine. At least as stated at the moment.
Could I actually trust her not to change her mind on ANY issue at the drop of a hat or the next MSM rebuke? No.
I agreed Trump was better on the issues in 2016 and I didn’t vote for him either.
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The latest polling does not seem that good for Trump. He is winning where he won last time and losing where he didn’t.
That won’t get him elected.
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Vic, they were polling for the super tuesday data, and did the general election as an aside. They should know better than to release something with a sample size of under 400. I am going to place these into the battleground grid, but with less of a share in the calculation because of the tiny samples which hugely increase the margin of error.
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“The latest polling does not seem that good for Trump.”
He is up in WI, PA, MI, and NV. Oh and Maine too.
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Charles Barkley is not getting invited back on CNN….
The reason I think the Democratic Party and Mr. Biden, President Biden, is losing black votes is they only care about black people every four years,” Barkley said.
“They come into our neighborhoods and say, ‘We’re gonna make stuff better.’ ‘We’re gonna to do this, do this, do this.’ And then finally us black people are like, ‘I don’t know, man, other than my ability to dunk a basketball, all my neighbors’ hoods are still the same, our schools are still the same.’ And that’s why I think black people are leaving disappointed in the Democratic Party.”
“I ain’t gonna lie,” Barkley continued. “I voted Democratic every time just because I thought thought it was gonna help black people and poor people— because black people, poor white people, they’re in the same boat—and like, I didn’t care who the president was.”
Barkley continued, “I’m not gonna lie, but I only voted Republican one time in my life, and that was for John Kasich, and I didn’t know he couldn’t win”
“But then I’m starting to look like, ‘Man, I understand why black people are leaving and want to vote for somebody else’ because every four years they come into our neighborhoods and say, ‘Man, we’re gonna make things better for you,’” Barkley added.
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I don’t see anything in today’s polls I really liked.
He was up 1 in the last PA poll you posted 40-39, I can’t get excited.
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+8 in Utah?
If he only wins Utah by 8 he is toast.
The VT, CA, VA, MA are terrible margins. CO is bad.
TN and NC look good but frankly that slew of polls is a real downer.
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111 sample sizes?
lol
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I hope FAU sucks.
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DW, do as you will, but I wouldn’t include any of these given the tiny samples; such a small n will have a wide MOE, low confidence interval.
*MAYBE* keep CA since that is almost 700.
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Yeah, good point, small sample size might work for VT but 125 seems very low for MN.
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I unskewed those polls and extrapolated to 1,000 voters for each sample.
Trump is winning every state.
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Jason, from what I see, the only poll in that grouping worth noting is CA (as noted, larger sample if still not quite as big as one would like). I’d take a 19 point loss in CA over a 29 point loss any day, that easily shaves 1.75 million right off the Dem NPV total and helps the down ballot elections in the state immensely.
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I don’t think we should show any poll with Trump losing lest it affect morale of the MAGA troops.
Especially since we are all at least honorary MAGA now (except for the trolls)
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Whatever.
I see nothing good in any of that.
It is an HHR tradition that “THE POLLS ARE WRONG”.
So be it.
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During his State of the Union address Thursday night, President Joe Biden will reportedly announce an order for the U.S. military to build a port in the Gaza Strip for delivery of humanitarian aid.”
This is stupid. It will put American troops within reach of Hamas terrorists and in effect the US will now be aiding Hamas who will steal most of the aid.
The aid should be given to the Israelis to distribute and/or a neutral organization set up to do that.
This could be a huge clusterf-ck.
I say this as a person who support most US interventions, I would not be opposed to the US being part of a post war peacekeeping operation like the one in the Sinai, but we are not going to be able to distinguish civilians from Hamas terrorists.
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Its basic science. Tiny sample size means HUGE margin of error. The CA and TX polls are reasonable size, the VA sample is on the smallish side. The others should not have even been released, whether they showed good news or bad news.
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The EU left looks to ban free speech
https://x.com/The_Real_Fly/status/1765758204527472890?s=20
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Jason needs a good poll today…here is a new national poll by a Dem polling firm that did the poll for some Dem organization.
Feb. 27-March 1
2,000 LV
GS Strategy Group
Third Way
Biden 45%
Trump 46%
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Sweden celebrates the globohomo movement after officially joining NATO.
https://x.com/JackPosobiec/status/1765832122374250775?s=20
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sorry. As I said before it’s a mixed bag
+14in NC is great
-4 is CO is great
-19 in CA is a positive
+9 in Texas is status quo
Utah. He always polls badly and they have voted for a third party candidate both in 2016 and 2020
va is bad
MN is not good
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okay, but the sample size of the MN poll was 125 likely voters…what’s that a margin of error around +12/-12 or something absurd like that? Similarly, the ‘good news’ in CO, is mitigated by the sample size of 170 likely voters. NC’s 251 sample is also reason to ignore the apparent good news.
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Yeah just toss them. Polling 101. Huge error, small sampling size.
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Trump is NOT going to win NC by 14, you can take that to the bank. The state was Trump +3 and then +1.5.
However, if the bottom falls out for the Dems, I can see a mid to high single digit race. If Trup is lucky, he might just barely crack+10, but I have a hard time seeing that with the Triangle and AA areas still turning out at a decent clip.
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Don’t tell Jan. She thinks it is a winning strategy.
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I agree with you DW and GF. None of those results will hold in November
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Sir Charles says what he believes and doesn’t care if it offends Left or Right. Plus he was a great player.
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13169161/Karen-Berg-Kentucky-Democrat-Senator-child-sex-dolls-pedophiles-KENNEDY.html
News you won’t see on MSNBC.
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I hope the Rs have money to run these ads…
https://redstate.com/videos/2024/03/07/these-new-ads-targeting-biden-are-absolutely-brutal-n2171071
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Katie Porter says the CA primary was rigged.
Does that make her an election denier? A friend wants to know.
“Thank you to everyone who supported our campaign and voted to shake up the status quo in Washington. Because of you, we had the establishment running scared — withstanding 3 to 1 in TV spending and an onslaught of billionaires spending millions to rig this election.”
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“Overall, a majority, 63 percent said they will not watch Biden’s address. Of those, 47 percent said they will not watch it and that they do not want to. The remaining 16 percent said they would like to watch it but they will likely not be able to. Just 37 percent, overall, said yes, they plan to watch it.
Among registered voters, 43 percent said they will not watch Biden’s address and do not want to watch it, and another 15 percent said they would like to watch it but probably will not be able to, and 42 percent said yes, they plan to watch it.”
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Trump-Ramaswamy soon
https://x.com/PapiTrumpo/status/1765894642602594675?s=20
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New dementia Joe solution to the border crisis!
https://x.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1765577695469986188?s=20
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Deepstate CIA director pledging to withhold information from Trump going forward
https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1765875412272582673?s=20
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