 | CALIFORNIA – LA Times/U of C-Berkeley |
| Trump | 34 |
| Biden | 52 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 28 |
| Biden | 40 |
| Kennedy | 11 |
| West | 3 |
| Stein | 2 |
 | IOWA – Selzer/Des Moines Register |
| Trump | 48 |
| Biden | 33 |
 | PENNSYLVANIA – Axis Research |
| Biden | 40 |
| Trump | 39 |
| Kennedy | 8 |
| Stein | 2 |
| West | 1 |
- Last week of the year. Will the scandals in Minnesota be investigated?
- Weekend thread……
- Merry Christmas!
- Christmas Eve
- Eve of Christmas Eve
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.0 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.8 / 51.0 | -5.2 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
57 responses to “Biden up ‘only’ 18 in CA. Trump way up in IA. Biden by 1 in PA.”
Biden won California by 29 points in 2020. If that margin has shrunk by ten points this cycle you just pared his national lead by about 2.2 million votes from 2020. The guy is in big trouble.
Also, the Selzer poll has been amazingly accurate the last four elections Accurate as in right on the money. A fifteen point spread is almost double Trump’s margin from 2020 (8 pts).
As I said, Biden is in big trouble. That’s obvious. The Democratic puppet masters know it. Two options. Hope for a Trump conviction before the election. The timeline is becoming problematic there…plus, as Jason mentioned yesterday, it is becoming increasingly apparent to the voting electorate as we get closer and closer to the election that these are bogus political prosecutions designed to interfere with a Presidential election. That’s more apparent by the day. Most don’t like that.
The other option is to can Joe and put someone else in his place. Of course, in that case, there is the problem of Kamala who isn’t any more acceptable to the voters than Joe. Her polling is in the toilet and how do you get rid of her without pissing off a very significant number of blacks? If Trump gets even 18 to 20% of the black vote the Democratic ticket is toast.
It’s easy to see why outlets such as the NYT are in full panic mode.
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After posting all that stuff on the prior thread we have a new one?
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jason NeverHaley2024!
March 5, 2024 at 9:01 am
Kommie Kory was a Kanadian Kommunist who was math challenged and was famous here for stating that candidate preference percentages could add up to 104% due to “rounding”. His last words here on election night 2016 were “I’m nervous”… never to be seen again.
Corey the Biden Troll is a self loathing sanctimonious Jew who actually thought Jay Cutler was a great QB instead of a whiny crybaby who passed for a lot of yards in meaningless games and in garbage time but was never up to winning games when it counted, instead blaming others for the losses.
The Biden Troll also claimed abortion was the most important issue to him but then voted for Biden and the its entire agenda including the advocating of partial birth abortions and beyond birth infanticide.
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jason NeverHaley2024!
March 5, 2024 at 9:19 am
Yeah, the fact the poster chose to post 30 meaningless and vapid posts in a row about TV ads was kind of typical of the Biden Troll. Also the fact he attacked people for spending too much time observing ads but then spent a lot of time researching all this data on “whiteness” in them.
But it wasn’t sanctimonious enough to be him, he would have spent more time on how superior he was for supporting Biden.
NYC was anti-woke, he wouldn’t be defending wokism on TV.
And that was not Amoral Scumbag’s M.O., which is to post some quote from a TDS moron or leftist garbage he picks up at CNN or MSNBS then say “see, they agree with me”.
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jason NeverHaley2024!
March 5, 2024 at 9:32 am
However, even if that happens, that case will still go forward with a new prosecution team.”
Yeah, but it won’t go forward before the election.Disqualifying Willis means her whole office is disqualified. A new team would have to be put together, review the evidence, decide on what charges might be dropped or modified, prepare for trial, etc.
Even NBC says that will lead to big delays.
“If a Georgia judge signs off on a bid to disqualify Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis from her racketeering case against former President Donald Trump and numerous co-defendants, it could delay any trial until well after the 2024 election — and possibly scuttle the charges altogether, legal experts told NBC News.
For a new prosecutor to take over the sprawling 15-defendant case would be a “massive undertaking,” said Amy Lee Copeland, a defense lawyer and former federal prosecutor in Georgia, adding that the theoretical new prosecutor could decide to amend the charges or even “decide not to pursue it.”
“Under a 2022 Georgia law, when a district attorney is disqualified, the case is referred to the executive director of the Prosecuting Attorneys’ Council of Georgia, who is tasked with finding another prosecutor for the case.
From the horse’s mouth, “you have to look at the case as if you are starting from scratch”
“If Judge McAfee signs an order disqualifying DA Willis, it becomes incumbent upon me to select a special prosecutor and appoint a special prosecutor,” the council’s executive director, Pete Skandalakis, told NBC News.
Skandalakis, a former district attorney, said his office would “begin by looking for who has the resources and capability — not only personnel and expertise but also financial” to handle such a case.
“The bigger the case, the more expense is involved,” he said. He would also be mindful of “geography — who’s closest to the site” — and “who has an extremely high caseload and who has a light caseload.”
“You’re looking for someone who’s a neutral arbiter and can make decisions based upon the evidence,” and ideally someone who wants to take the case, Skandalakis said.
“As I read the statute, a DA cannot refuse an appointment, but it’s best to find somebody willing to take on the assignment,” he said.
In addition to various DA’s offices, Skandalakis could choose to keep the case himself, assign it to the state attorney general’s office or appoint a private lawyer as special counsel, but he said financial constraints make the last option unlikely.
“If I were to appoint a private lawyer, the statute constrains me to pay the hourly rate of an elected district attorney, which is about $70 an hour, and I can’t pay for him or her to hire an investigator” or other help, he said.
He said whoever takes over the case would be able to use the investigative work that’s already been completed by the DA’s office, but they’d also have the ability to do additional investigative work and to use — or discard — some or all of Willis’ indictment.
“You have to look at the case as if you’re starting from scratch,” he said.
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jason NeverHaley2024!
March 5, 2024 at 9:38 am
In other words this case would going to trial in 2025 earliest, maybe never. I would imagine there will be all kinds of motions related to the other defendants who already entered pleas alleging
Plus, this trial is designed to keep Trump from office. After November, win or lose, the driving force for these joke charges is gone. Skandalakis (I wonder if starting your name with “skandal” is good for an lawyer) is already talking about costs, which will be horrendous for a Trump trial.
In my view, for all practical purposes, a Willis disqualification would effectively end this circus.
That being said, this judge is under tremendous pressure to give her a pass and is up for re-election in a very liberal area. So disqualification is no given.
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jason NeverHaley2024!
March 5, 2024 at 9:40 am
other defendants alleging prosecutorial misconduct
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themohel
March 5, 2024 at 9:50 am
“this judge is under tremendous pressure to give her a pass and is up for re-election in a very liberal area. So disqualification is no given.”
This is the money shot. We’ll see what he does, but I’m not holding my breath.
I would think a decision against disqualification would be appealed, and those proceedings would come before the trial. It’s unlikely that case goes to trial by November, imo.
Chicon
Sorry, my posts are too valuable to waste
GFYs.
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Polls drop when they drop. This PA poll did not include Trump v Biden numbers, without the misfits. I have never heard of Axis Research before. The primary objective of the poll was to sample opinion on Biden’s natural gas policies in PA. And so this wasn’t primarily a POTUS poll.
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I predict Trump wins all the Super Tuesday races. Nikki the BLM Panderer will come in second in all the races.
After the results are in Nikki the BLM Panderer will either drop out or stay in.
Yes, the are bold predictions, but it is what I do.
I am never afraid of being wrong considering how extremely unlikely that is.
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Haley might win Virginia today. No party registration. You walk in and they ask which ballot you want. I see a lot of Democrats asking for the GOP ballot so they can mark Haley instead of Trump.
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Former Trump CFO is going to be sentenced to 5 months in jail for allegedly signing off on Trump apt as 30,000 sq ft when it is 11,000 sq ft. He is 76 and this was in the scope of Trump’s assets a minor one. The plea deal does not require him to cooperate on anything else against Trump.
“Under questioning, Weisselberg acknowledged that the 30,000-square-foot figure was wrong. He tried to suggest, however, that he had little to do with the bogus calculation, “I never focused on the triplex, to be honest with you,” Weisselberg said. “It was almost de minimis relative to his net worth, so I really didn’t focus on it.”
He repeated similar lines as his testimony continued. “I never focused on the apartment Mr. Trump owned,” he said at one point. At another: “I didn’t correlate the square footage of Donald’s apartment. I never focused on it. It was always in my mind a de minimis asset of the overall of Donald J. Trump’s statement of financial condition. That was never a concern of mine. I never even thought about the apartment. It was de minimis in my mind.”
The plea deal does not require him to cooperate on anything else against Trump.
But they “got him” and he will probably spend 12 weeks in jail out of a 20 week sentence. That is what is important.
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Jason’s predictions are spot on.
Sometimes there is a free lunch…
Chicon
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Haley might win Virginia today. No party registration. You walk in and they ask which ballot you want. I see a lot of Democrats asking for the GOP ballot so they can mark Haley instead of Trump.”
Maybe they want to vote for Trump.
I think Trump wins VA.
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When I lived in TX, I remember Rush Limbaugh wanted all TX Republicans to vote for Obama because he thought Hillary the more formidable candidate.
Even though I didn’t do it, I supported the idea.
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“Jason’s predictions are spot on.”
Bitter, if I ever get gored by one of Amos’ cows or trampled by accident by Lupita or mauled by a bear on Blue Mountain or the 300+ cholesterol triggers the Big One or I get careless cleaning a gun the 845th time I do it this would be nice remembrance plaque to have at the A-Hole parlor room for future A-holes to enjoy.
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I will just leave this here.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html
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I would agree that Trump most likely wins VA today, but Haley will show some strong numbers and probably based on her 40% or so, she will see it as evidence that there is a path forward, and take it as a win, and continue her campaign.
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PPP-D out with a US Senate poll for FL:
Feb. 29-March 1
790 V
Mucarsel-Powell (D) 41%
Scott (R-inc) 44%
I am not a gambler, but if I was, I would gladly place the bet that Scott covers that spread easily.
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“Haley might win Virginia today. No party registration. You walk in and they ask which ballot you want. I see a lot of Democrats asking for the GOP ballot so they can mark Haley instead of Trump.”
So, DW can tell if you’re a Republican or Democrat just by looking at someone. Cool trick.
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MI, you would think that trillion dollar figure would wake more people out of their slumber, making them aware how unhealthy our economy really is!
New headlines saying Michelle Obama is definitely not running for president. But, more important than that declaration is Victoria Nuland is retiring from the State Department this month. Why? She’s the one spearheading the Russia/Ukraine war. Also, it’s worthy to note her last retirement was after Trump won the 2016 election.
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If Haley continues to depend on a path forward by attracting dem voters how does that make her a desirable Republican candidate?
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“So, DW can tell if you’re a Republican or Democrat just by looking at someone. Cool trick.”
My point was I [fore]see as in, I predict many dems will ask for a GOP ballot. Why not? They hate Trump and want to stop him at all costs, and here is a chance to slow him down in the Virginia Primary as there is nothing else on the ballot. The Senate primary is not until June.
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A high profile example of Nikki Haley’s primary base:
“Cuban told Bloomberg News of his choice during a visit to the White House, as Breitbart News reported, making plain his antipathy towards the man shaping as the Republican presidential nominee for 2024.
The 65-year-old minority Dallas Mavericks owner said he voted for Nikki Haley in the Texas Republican primary and will be backing Biden in the general election if he faces off against Trump, having once admitted he too harbored ambitions for the highest office in the land.”
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In that poll of PA, the most important issue for PA:
Where is ABORTION?
By the way, the party id for this PA poll was:
Republican 39%
Democrat 43%
Independent 14%
Libertarian 1%
Green Party 0%
Something else 3%
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Nikita was very angry this am.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/i-get-do-what-i-want-do-ainsley/
-Tina
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at the end of the last thread Bitter posted a proposed ad where Biden ties Trump to the insurrection, commanding his troops to attack the capitol building, something even Hitler didn’t do.
Sure, they will run ads like that. Maybe worse. But people are still paying three times the amount for food. That’s a more damning ad against Biden that they watch every time voters pay at the grocery store.
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The food inflation does not lie.
https://confoundedinterest.net/2024/03/02/factchecking-biden-and-krugman-awful-jobs-situation-and-re-accelerating-inflation-food-prices-up-21-under-biden-food-spending-as-share-of-disposable-income-hits-3-decade-high/
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https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/03/05/iowa-poll-donald-trump-holds-big-lead-over-joe-biden-in-likely-2024-presidential-election-rematch/72774826007/
-Tina
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here come the Biden rescue polls, after the SC decision
General Election – I&I/TIPP
Biden 43%, Trump 42%
General Election – Morning Consult
Biden 44%, Trump 43%
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With Trump up BIGLY in FL, IA, OH and elsewhere, and slashing Biden margins down in CA and NY, I TOTALLY buy those TIPP and Morning C*msock polls.
For those who remember Messy, he/she/it made a fool of themselves this morning at RRH. It’s worth a gander for the laughs.
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https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2024/03/05/tremors-in-the-dark-force-architect-of-the-ukraine-crisis-aka-world-war-reddit-state-dept-executive-producer-victoria-nuland-will-retire-this-month/
The above piece is posted mainly for its Victoria Nuland photo. It’s said that after 40 a person grows into a face representative of who they really are. The Nuland face is far from pleasant. In fact the tongue in cheek opening salvo is “if George Soros and Madeline Albright had a love child it would be Victoria Nuland.” She has been more a CIA operative in Ukraine than anything having to do with helping the Ukrainian people.
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Oh wow, Messy. Blast from the past. Zhe has to be going crazy. What is Xhe saying
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Messy? One less problem for HHR, one more problem for RRH.
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Apparently Sinema is dropping out. No three way race. Probably helps the Dems. Probably.
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So they are following St. Rush Limbaugh’s 2008 playbook?
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Chicon is a jealous A-hole pretender. His praise is meant to create a fissure in the A-holes.
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Bitter, seems like. I just got back from voting in a district that typically votes 60% dem 40% GOP, and there were two people sitting at a desk, one behind a stack of GOP ballots, the other behind a stack of Dem ballots. The stack of Dem ballots was tall. The woman handing out GOP ballots was nearly out of them.
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Because no Republican or RINO Trump can win without some Democrat votes.
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DW – Thank you for the report. Too bad Trump is a moron on Ukraine and will not receive my primary vote
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That is not good, Sinema dropping out. I think that now the Dems hold the seat. I think she took more votes from Gallego than from Lake.
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The only reason the Putin Toadies oppose Ukraine aid is because it is working and is money well spent.
They don’t give a damm about “deficits”. They just hate the idea the aid is being put to good use to thwart the invasion and is keeping Putin from winning. THAT is the problem with the aid.
Hundreds of times more money than the aid to Ukraine is being poured into all kinds of ratholes like climate change and “equity” and pork barrel projects but the Putin lapdogs don’t care. They only worry about their hero “Pooty Poot”.
The truth will set you free. Let’s cut the BS.
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janzam
March 5, 2024 at 11:29 am
If Haley continues to depend on a path forward by attracting dem voters how does that make her a desirable Republican candidate”
Any R that attracts Dem votes is highly desirable in my view.
You really are a certified imbecile..
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Trump is a Dem that attracts R votes.
I guess that makes him “undesirable”?
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”TMI… If George Soros and Madeline Albright had a love child, it would be Victoria Nuland.”
Lol, she needs to be arrested.
-Tina
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WeThePeople2016
March 5, 2024 3:56 pm
BREAKING 🚨 A Georgia House commission with powers to discipline and remove prosecutors voted 97-73 for Senate Bill 332 which could disrupt Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis’ prosecution of President Donald J. Trump.
The bill only needs approval from Governor Kemp, who has said he will sign the measure. (AP)
https://t.me/THEREALTORIABROOKE/43912
-Tina
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Jason, get real. Trump attracts a broad spectrum of voters, while Haley is actively seeking dem voters to fill in for the Republican ones not voting for her! I sometimes think you like to argue more for argument’s sake vs making sound points.
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In the Iowa Dm pole, La Dem Nikita loses to Demented.
-Tina
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Consensus at RRH is that Sinema dropping out is better for Lake than it is the Democrat running. Time will tell.
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and in the PA poll, Haley gets slaughtered by Biden. 39-19. Oof.
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Jason, get real. Trump attracts a broad spectrum of voters”
Actually, his problem is attracts few outside his base.
That is why Haley is a much better candidate for the GE.
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Haley is not going to be the nominee. So, doesn’t matter
Not only Dems are voting for Haley, its absurd to make that claim
I still think Sinema dropping out hurts Lake more than Gallego. to quote Bitter, sue me
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Trumps attracts such a broad spectrum of voters that only 4 Rs/conservatives at HHR thought he was the best choice.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/just-another-witness-comes-forward-explosive-information-fani/
-Tina
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Yeah, I think Sinema dropping out does hurt Lake. Like Trump, she has burned a lot of bridges unnecessarily. She did that because it looked like she was going to win the Gov race (and probably did) and she did a lot of trash talk against the McCain wing of the R party. In the end, she needed those votes just like she needs them now.
SHe tried a peace overture to Meghan McCain, saying she was just joking, but McCain didn’t buy it.
I think the McCain wing, if you want to call it that, would have voted for Sinema, which wouldn’t hurt Lake. Now, they will probably vote for Gallego.
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Fat Fani also has other issues.. Apparently, she used (abused?) Covid funds for her/her office to go after Trump. She also ignored a congressional subpoena. A criminal referral is needed here.
It’s also beyond time for the Ga AG and Hee Haw to make their moves.
-Tina
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Very interesting.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/03/why_the_trump_scotus_victory_is_bigger_than_it_looks.html
-Tina
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Here is the polling data around the question of who is hurt more by Sinema’s departure.
Rasmussen – 2/21-26
Lake 45 (+3)
Gallego 42
Lake 37 (+4)
Gallego 33
Sinema 21
Emerson – 2/16-19
Lake 39
Gallego 46 (+7)
Lake 30
Gallego 36 (+6)
Sinema 21
Noble Predictive Insights 2/6-2/13
Lake 37
Gallego 47 (+10)
Lake 31
Gallego 34 (+3)
Sinema 23
J.L. Partners (poll done for Lake) 1/29-2/1
Lake 46 (+2)
Gallego 44
Lake 40 (+1)
Gallego 39
Sinema 13
PPP-D – Jan 5-6
Lake 46 (+1)
Gallego 45
Lake 35
Gallego 36 (+1)
Sinema 17
Three polls say its a wash.
One poll advantage Gellego.
One poll very slight advantage Lake.
Overall, it looks like its a wash to me.
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“Trumps attracts such a broad spectrum of voters that only 4 Rs/conservatives at HHR thought he was the best choice.”
In closed primaries his % is just a wee bit higher than at HHR. I know that bothers some here a bit, but that’s the way it goes.
Chicon
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What states would Haley win that Trump wouldn’t? Also, how have the sweater-wearing Country Club types done in the Rust Belt?
Jason has spent years telling us that the party has changed and that it won’t go back. Now he’s telling us a Bush/Romney/McCain type is a better candidate than the guy who rode those tides of change to the White House.
C’mon man…..
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N/T
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