According to Emerson:
| Emerson – WISCONSIN |  |
| Trump 45 | Trump 41 |
| Biden 42 | Biden 37 |
| Kennedy 7 | |
| West 1 | |
| Stein 1 |
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| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.0 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.8 / 51.0 | -5.2 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
18 responses to “Trump with lead in WISCONSIN”
good morning. Primero
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prior poll of WI by Emerson was a tie
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Dw stepped on my joke. Bastard.
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The future of Ukraine occupied territories…
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/02/26/georgian-region-shows-perils-of-ceding-land-to-moscow/
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A priest, a rabbi, and a pastor walk into a bar.
The bartender says “What is this, a joke?”
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My concern with this Emerson poll is that they under-sampled Madison. Stein gets more than 1% statewide and so they must not have called enough in Madison.
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Who is voting for Kennedy, that would be important to know.
If it is just Dems who think Biden is senile they will flock back to him in the GE.
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Same WI poll has the senate race:
Baldwin (D-Inc) 46, Hovde (R) 39
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The Kennedy factor, along with the others at 1% is an interesting discussion. It doesn’t matter who or how many vote for Kennedy in CA, NY, IL, HI, and MA.
Will have to look more into the polling details to see if there are any with questions that rank first choice, second choice, etc.
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When my son was in high school, there was a costume contest for Seniors. Entries included people dressed as cows with halos (Holy Cows) and people with pig masks wrapped in blankets (Pigs in blankets).
My son dressed as a rabbi and his friend was dressed as a priest. It was described as “The beginning of a bad joke.” They won.
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bitter. That’s awesome. Bet they coudlnt do that now though, sadly.
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Vic – It was 2015 in public school. I think it would still be ok.
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Hovde is a deadender. A certain loser.
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Kennedy will get a lot of votes in places that don’t matter.
The question is does anyone who voted for Biden in 2020 going to change their vote to Kennedy in swing states.
If that is more than 1 or 2% then it could be significant.
If Kennedy is polling 7% now, it probably means he will get 4% in the GE.
Stein, however, is different. She does have the potential of attracting some of the pro-Hamas, eco-terrorist, occupy WS, etc . In my view, these few votes could make more of a difference in swing states than Kennedy’s vote, which seems to be more “diversified”.
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“Number of Illegal Migrants Exceeds Population of 36 States”
Where is NYC?
WE ARE WINNING!
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Jason, first of all forgive me if you have stated your policy position on immigration reform before, I could have missed it.
I ask this question, because I do not know where everyone falls on a policy regarding immigration, so I ask this of you, and everyone. I see you use the phrase “we are winning” when describing some of our more “trump followers” and immigration. I dont know what they advocate, but I would like to know, from you and others, if you could write a new immigration policy for the US, one you think would help end the crisis and flood of new illegal immigrants (vs legal…remember, just from Mexico alone we allow 1M new visas per year) what would that policy be.
I am serious, I would love to see what solutions we could/would come up with if we were involved in the process in DC
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I think Hovde would need Trump to win Wisconsin by 5+ points to win his race. Not happening.
Chicon
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Senate Races currently in play
Flip – WV
In Play – OH, AZ, MT, NV (in order of flippage)
Could be in play – MD
If everything fell right – MI, WI (wi being the last)
We honestly have a good chance at a +4 night, with +6 not a shocking result thanks to Hogan running in MD. I am bully on NV. I think that is going to be the surprise state come election night.
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