According to a new Emerson Poll:
| Emerson – MICHIGAN | |
| Trump 46 | Trump 42 |
| Biden 44 | Biden 39 |
| Kennedy 6 | |
| West 1 | |
| Stein 1 |
Emerson’s November poll of Michigan was Biden 44/Trump 43.
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
101 responses to “Trump tops Biden in MICHIGAN”
To close for comfort. Won’t overcome the MOF.
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Okay, interesting revelation here by Emerson. They are saying in the write-up that the current MI poll is an improvement for Biden over their January poll which had it Trump 47/Biden 41. The problem is they never released that January poll. They sat on it until now, when they had results that they liked better, apparently.
So I will add the January poll and this new February poll to the database.
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Democrats are abandoning Genocide Joe in Michigan for GOOD reason
https://www.foxnews.com/media/msnbc-biden-problem-mi-2020-voters-turn
MSNBC warns Biden ‘has a problem’ in MI as his 2020 voters turn on him: Not ‘stupid enough to elect you again’ Pro-Palestinian Democrats are threatening to stay home in November over Biden’s handling of Gaza
“You cannot keep killing people with our money and just keep thinking that ‘Oh, we are stupid enough to elect you again because we’ll fall in line, we’ll forget.’ How can- this is an insult to me as a voter,” Khan said, regarding U.S. support for Israel.
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Good article stating the same thing I did…. that Trump’s SC win was not all that impressive at all….a warning not a triumph.
“The most ominous message last night was that Trump got beaten like a rented mule in metropolitan and suburban areas.
About 80% of the US population lives in metropolitan or suburban areas. Trump lost those areas in South Carolina in a big way. That calls into question Trump’s ability to appeal to those voters in sufficient numbers to carry swing states”
https://redstate.com/streiff/2024/02/26/trumps-win-in-south-carolina-is-a-warning-not-a-triumph-n2170567
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activists for Gaza scream ‘f*ck Joe Biden’ outside Michigan campaign stop “Working Class says Hell No! Genocide Joe,” read one banner.
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“You cannot keep killing people with our money”
Killing Hamas terrorists is a great investment.
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“Working class”
LOL
They are about as “working class” as the Nazi Paulbot is a Republican or a conservative.
The working class in America supports Israel.
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Rob is still scheming to become preznit
https://twitter.com/miguelifornia/status/1762067778486337634?s=20
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“Donald Trump himself says the first thing he’s looking for is someone he thinks would be a good president. Gabbard is strong, smart, savvy, a fierce defender of this country, a vet, and has the bearing and gravitas to sit behind the Resolute Desk. Can you imagine her delivering an important address to the nation, standing strong at a gathering of international leaders, and saluting the soldiers at the bottom of Air Force One?”
Huh, no.
Tulsi is only attractive to some conservatives because she is a Dem rebel and an isolationist.
But she is still a Dem and still a liberal.
The only thing I like about her is that she is not woke, but as Trump’s VP given his age and physical condition she would have a good chance of becoming President and then you have another Dem liberal as President,.
Would she ensure Trump’s win? I have my doubts, she went nowhere as a Dem candidate.
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Let me make clear that my position on What am I doing here Vivek is the same as with BLM Panderer Nikki Haley.
Neither is fit for dog catcher in Bittersville let alone President.
Put either one on the ticket and it does not get my vote.
I say this in case Trump reads this blog so he can’t say later he wasn’t warned.
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Trump is more of a friend of Israel than Biden. You can bet if Trump was President he wouldn’t be calling for any ceasefire before the Israelis succeeded in their goal of wiping out Hamas.
Bunu the Nazi moron as usual is misinformed.
“Trump has pledged at recent campaign events that his administration would “revoke the student visas of radical anti-American and antisemitic foreigners at our colleges and universities, and we will send them straight back home.”
“When you look at the demonstrations going on in the United States, people are very surprised when they see, you know, 50 and 100,000 people demonstrating, and they say, ‘Palestinians, we’re for — we’re on the side of the Palestinians,’” Trump told Univision. “I would say, ‘Wait a minute, what’s going on here?’”
“Trump has not publicly called for Israel to show restraint or try to limit civilian casualties, and doing so would be at odds with his often bellicose rhetoric while in office, when he would frequently antagonize the likes of Iran and North Korea.
Instead, Trump has suggested prolonged fighting between Israel and Hamas may be unavoidable because of long-standing animosity between the two sides.”
He has insisted he would take a much harder line against Iran, which has long backed the military wing of Gaza’s governing body, but has suggested the Israel-Hamas conflict will have to play out.”
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So is Bunu now going to attack “Genocide Donald”?
Stay tuned.
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“Trump has not publicly called for Israel to show restraint or try to limit civilian casualties”
So Bunu, what do you say to that.
Are you going to accuse Trump of genocide?
Yes or no?
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Has Deadend Nicky dropped out yet, or is still SENDING A MESSAGE?
Chicon
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Trump is a moron regarding Ukraine. Trump supports Israel. Both can be true.
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The final results in the SC GOP primary were:
Trump 59.8 (+20.3)
Haley 39.5
Pollsters:
Trafalgar (+21)
Emerson (+22)
Insider Advantage (+22)
Monmouth (+26)
Suffolk/USA today (+28)
CNN (+31)
The Citidel (+33)
CBS News (+35)
Winthrop (+36)
Morning Consult (+37)
Once again Trafalgar is your gold standard.
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I am back. I lost my WordPress account and cannot seem to restore it. So I will post as “anonymous” with my name below.
-Tina
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Dw, Trafalgar does seem to be the best in biz.
I toss everything from Quinn, Cn and n, and faux.
-Tina
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Glad to see you, Tina.
Chicon
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Tina, same happened to me, but I was able to use the forgotten password thingy and get my account back.
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Hi Tina,
It’s nice to see both you and Jan back.
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new from Harvard-Harris, national poll:
Trump 53, Biden 47
Trump 44, Biden 37, Kennedy 18
Trump 44, Biden 36, Kennedy 17, West 2, Stein 1
I am very skeptical that Kennedy would ever get anything north of 6% nationally. Even if he is well funded and can run ads.
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New Monmouth national poll finds:
“More than 8 in 10 Americans see illegal immigration as either a very serious (61%) or somewhat serious (23%) problem.”
“Concern about illegal immigration has increased among all partisan groups.”
“A similar level of concern among Democrats now stands at 41%”
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Tina, glad you’ve returned!
In the meantime, Haley continues to use DJT’s name “unwisely,” blaming him for Alexis Navalny’s death. However, according to Ukrainian intelligence he died from a blood clot.
“Earlier today, Ukrainian intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov disappointed Western journalists who asked him about Russian dissident Alexei Navalny’s death in prison in Siberia. Budanov confirmed the Kremlin’s claims that Navalny died of a blood clot. Navalny was not murdered.”
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I agree, but what he gets in individual states is more important than his national numbers.
For example, if in Michigan the disaffected Dem voters turned to him it would be great.
Not likely, however, since he is a strong Israel supporter and Hamas critic.
Still, he was accused of anti-semitism so that might get him some votes among the less informed Hamas supporters in Michigan.
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“Earlier today, Ukrainian intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov disappointed Western journalists who asked him about Russian dissident Alexei Navalny’s death in prison in Siberia. Budanov confirmed the Kremlin’s claims that Navalny died of a blood clot. Navalny was not murdered.”
Zzzzz…. what BS.
He was in a labor camp in Siberia in terrible conditions. Why did he get a blood clot? Did he have good medical attention?
He was murdered anyway you look at it, and Putin is responsible, not Trump.
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Jason, the big one is Stein in Wisconsin. The 2% statewide that she grabs out of Madison could swing the state to Trump, and nationally the entire election to Trump.
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”Why did he get a blood clot?”
Perhaps Navalny was vaccinated – lots of clots produced from COVID shots. Of course, it seems Russia was a country who didn’t go hook, line and sinker for the COVID story brought to the world by Fauci. So, scratch that possibility.
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Its like saying the Titanic victims died because they stupidly didn’t come up with a way to keep themselves warm while treading water in the freezing cold North Atlantic. And for those who stayed on the ship, they cluelessly didn’t realize that they needed to learn how to breathe underwater and deal with the crushing pressures at deep ocean depths.
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Welcome back.
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According to Jan, Zelensky murdered an American journalist. Navalny just happened to pass away in a Siberian resort.
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As I said a few weeks ago, I have personally met a man who survived a Siberian prison where the guards regularly played Russian roulette with the man’s life. They left him overnight in an unheated latrine, with only drafty plank walls protecting him from the sub-zero temps. In desperation to stay warm, he fell on the floor only to have hundreds of insects come up through the planking to start feeding on him. He survived that night. Others didn’t. It was just a sport to the guards. Russia and other communist countries are not our friends.
China puts people into prison whose only crime is illegal speech, and then they are killed without any anesthesia, as their organs are removed while they are alive and watching, so the organs can be sold at market value.
Communists are not our friends.
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themohel
February 26, 2024 at 10:01 am
Has Deadend Nicky dropped out yet, or is still SENDING A MESSAGE?
Chicon”
The Mohel is thoroughly confused.
Nothing “deadender” about Haley.
Since she is actually a BETTER candidate for the Rs to field in November, meaning she does better against Biden than Trump does, under this foolish definition it would make Trump the deadender.
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I tried but I think my account was closed out. I don’t recall the key code od some other code
Tina
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well an illegal did kill an American. I was covered up by the press even by faux.
I believe they also categorized the illegal as “white.”
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2024/02/24/biden-supported-illegal-alien-kills-22-year-old-university-of-ga-nursing-student-laken-riley/
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Nope. Trump will be the nominee. A vote for Haley at this point has the same impact as a vote for Christie.
#sendamessage
Chicon
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I do not know how to close accounts. If I did, Bunu would be gone.
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Nikita will not have any more Koch bucks. She is irrelevant pos and trump should ignore her.
-Tina
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Janzam’s sordid and despicable attempt to give her hero Putin a pass on Navalny’s death shows how utterly morally corrupt she is.
Navalny was in his 40’s. He died because he was kept illegally and immorally in horrible and inhumane conditions because Russia is lawless police state.
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I will try to set up a new account but I only use one email, so it’s a hassle.
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Nope. Trump will be the nominee. A vote for Haley at this point has the same impact as a vote for Christie.”
Zzzz.. “impact”….major goal post moving alert!
Haley is a completely legitimate candidate that actually has MORE of a chance of winning in November than Trump.
As such, she is no deadender and the “send the message” meme does not apply to her in any way.
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What is a cock buck?
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I agree. He should ignore her, and simply run against Joe. The suburban country club Republicans won’t choose him over another Republican; he needs to get the sweater types to choose him over Joe.
Chicon
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The data is mixed on the question over who does better in Nov against Biden, Haley or Trump.
GA:
FoxNews: Trump +8 / Haley -6. CNN: Trump +5 / Haley +6. Redfield: Trump +10/Haley -8
AZ:
VCreek: Trump +5/Haley +7. Redfield: Trump +7/Haley -8
MI:
FoxNews: Trump +2/Haley -8. Glengariff: Trump +8/Haley +10. CNN: Trump +10/Haley +12
PA:
Muhlenberg: Trump -1/Haley +5. Redfield: Trump +7/Haley -10. Siena: Trump +5/Haley +10
WI:
Marquette: Trump +1/Haley +15. FoxNews: Trump +3/Haley -9
What I see here is very disparate results depending on the given pollster. But there is no clear indication as to which candidate does better against Biden. But in reality, Biden isn’t going to be the nominee for the Dems anyway, so all this is a moot point.
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Don’t get me wrong. Nikki Haley is a serial panderer who could not even resist pandering to BLM and is not fit for office. I wouldn’t vote for her if she was running against Putin.
But I think the calls for her to drop out are stupid especially since politically speaking she is very smart to stay in the race.
Both can be true.
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I was referring to several national polls that show Haley doing better than Trump nationally against Biden.
I understand that may vary from state to state.
It still does not negate my point that Haley is no deadender.
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But in reality, Biden isn’t going to be the nominee for the Dems anyway, so all this is a moot point.”
Not really.
Would Haley do worse than Trump against Kamala or Newsome?
I doubt it.
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Agreed that Haley is a legitimate candidate.
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I thought La Dem Nikita was having issues in Ohio and Texas, if she were the nominee. If true, huge red flags.
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I will try to set up a new account but I only use one email, so it’s a hassle.
You can just make up an email. I have been here 20 years and never used a real email.
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I also think Trump should choose Rds as the vp. Nikita is too polarizing.
-Tina
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La Dem Nikita”
LOL
Trump, who was never a conservative and has been a Republican for the last 5 minutes of his life for convenience purposes, gets a pass from Tina.
Meanwhile Haley, who has actually been a conservative and a Republican her whole life, is called “La Dem”.
You have to love it here.
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Here is a good poll. The Dem org in NC hires a Dem polling firm to check on the NC Governor’s race, and its:
Stein (D) 42%
Robinson (R) 43%
Feb. 15-19
1,622 LV
Change Research (D)
Carolina Forward (Dem)
Wes would be glad and weigh in that the race clearly favors the GOP at this point.
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I agree that the Golden Calf is a much better VP candidate.
Especially since I won’t vote for a ticket with Haley the BLM Panderer on it.
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Putin is a thug, a war criminal and an enemy of the US. He almost certainly killed Navalny, like many challengers previously.
We haven’t gone to war with Russia over the above. Should we now? Or are those searching for more funding using this as pressure to get more $$?
There needs to be an American interest when spending American money or blood. The American interest is the stability of Europe and the prevention of China from feeling emboldened about Taiwan.
The American interest is NOT that Putin is a bad guy. I know A-holes tend to make muddy waters, but the world is loaded with bad actors we do nothing about.
Chicon
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It’s kind of incredible more emotion is being registered here about a Russian dissident’s political imprisonment and sudden death – Navalny – when lips are zipped regarding our own political dissidents being politically imprisoned with at least two dying by suicide – the J6ers.
After 3 years in prison some of the more vocal J6 dissidents have been moved to prisons and essentially disappeared. Many of those, kept on ice for years in jail, have been in total isolation, not given hygiene privileges, have had medicine and medical care withheld, punished frequently by beatings or having contact with their families withdrawn. Furthermore, 3 years after the 4-hour J6 event, more people are being hunted down – even those simply standing outside the Capitol or acting as independent journalists — continuing to be charged with bogus, upgraded misdemeanors having their lives upended and ruined. But, not one word here is written indicating support or sympathy for such ongoing citizen abuse in this country. Reminds me of how border battles overseas are more deeply felt and compensated for than our own border invasion.
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Even if I put in a new email address, it is trying to send me a pin. how do you get past that?
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I have spoken out against leftist lawfare many times here.
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I have been politically active in PA since I started college in 1986. Ran for office at the local and Federal level. I don’t know any Republicans who belong to country clubs. I know Dems who do. Maybe Republicans join country clubs in Illinois.
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Mf-er. No wonder Chicon’s A-hole Application was never approved. I thought it was a real e-mail and you were stalling.
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The American interest is NOT that Putin is a bad guy.”
BS. It most certainly is.
Putin is the “modern” architect of the Russian ambition of a return of the Soviet Union or “Greater Russia”. That is HIS stated goal.
The conquest of Ukraine and all its resources and manpower is just one step towards that goal. For that he has sacrificed over 100k Russian lives and 250k wounded and hundreds of billions in equipment. He has displaced 10 million people, killed tens of thousands of innocents, bombed residential areas, schools and hospitals and is responsible for the rape, torture, kidnapping, and exile of tens of thousands more.
So it IS in the US interest not only to stop Russia, but to counter him personally as the representative and architect of the regime perpetrating these atrocities.
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And never forget in this argument that UKRAINE is the prize. Latvia, Moldova, and the many Asian “Stans” are just the decorative sprinkles on the whipped cream.
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Zzzzz… Bitter knows what a “country club Republican” means. He know it does not necessarily mean you have to belong to a country club anymore than a “soccer mom” has to have a kid playing soccer.
But let’s pretend he doesn’t know, here is one definition.
“Country Club Republican” also known as a “Country Club Conservative” or “Establishment Republican” is an expression employed, usually pejoratively, to describe certain members of the Republican Party in the United States. Some of the characteristics attributed to country club Republicans are higher than average income or inherited wealth, hailing from politically or socially prominent families, fiscally conservative opinions but with liberal, moderate or indifferent views on social issues such as abortion, censorship, and gay rights. They are more likely to have attended prestigious colleges and universities than other Republican Party members.”
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but the world is loaded with bad actors we do nothing about.”
Maybe
But Putin is ONE bad actor we have to do something about.
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good banter today
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Just out of curiosity, I am wondering if any of you are able to check the Constitution and provide an explanation as to how Donald Trump of the State of Florida (already filed and running in the various states with that address) would be able to run with Ron DeSantis (or anyone else) of the State of Florida and both Presidential and Vice Presidential candidate would be able to receive Florida’s 30 electoral votes.
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Trump would have to change his state of residence.
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DeSantis can not be on the ticket. We’ve discussed that many times before here. Most already know this
plus…he’s not going to be on the ticket anyway
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So, words have no meaning. Must be a Qu’chua concept.
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even if it was possible I’m not sure DeSantis gets many more votes in mi pa and Wi for trump
he would assure Ga and most likely Az
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It would not be possible to change his state of residence this late in the game since he has already filed in every state as a resident of Florida.
For some reason, there are a whole lot of people, including Trump himself last week, who seem to think that DeSantis and Byron Donalds are on the “short-list.”
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In 2000, the tell that Cheney was picked as veep was when he suddenly changed his residency from TX to WY. Easy to work around that requirement.
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Cheney was out of office and of course had long ties to Wyoming.
Trump cannot change his state.
Is DeSantis going to resign as Governor and suddenly move to a new state?
Is Byron Donalds going to end his House reelection campaign and resign from Congress (allowing Democrats to be even one more seat closer) because he no longer resides legally in Florida?
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Changing addresses is possible. Look at Cheney. He was a residence of Texas and then switched to WY. What month was that?
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it is an easy work around and has been done a few times before
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Trump has “ties” to Ny or Nj.
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It was possible for Cheney as a private citizen to “move back” to his old state.
It is not the same circumstance or an “easy workaround” for a sitting Governor or anybody else who currently holds office in Florida in addition to not really having a past residence in any other state.
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The late in the game bs carries no meaning.
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If Wes were alive, he would be aghast at how ignorant some people are.
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HarrisX polled Democrats as to who they would favor in the likely event that Biden suddenly dies of old age:
Harris 26%
H. Clinton 17%
Newsom 9%
Sanders 5%
Buttigieg 4%
Warren 4%
Whitmer 4%
Manchin 3%
Cuomo 3%
Ocasio-Cortez 3%
Klobuchar 2%
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Exactly, an easy work around.
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it is too late for Trump to “change states” because he is already an official Presidential candidate from Florida.
This is common sense stuff. The “VP candidate” would have to do it and if you think about it, it is completely unfeasible for DeSantis or Donalds.
Trump’s campaign absolutely knows this. Whether the candidate does or not is a different story.
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Switching demented for Kampala only means we win by an even larger margin.
Kampala was in charge of the border and she helped trigger the inflation crisis/economic malaise.
I don’t even fear Nuissance as he inherits these problems,
-Tina
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This will trigger the gop-e and the open borders lunatics.
-Tina
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump·
Crooked Joe Biden’s Border INVASION is destroying our country and killing our citizens! The horrible murder of 22-year-old Laken Riley at the University of Georgia should have NEVER happened! The monster who took her life illegally entered our Country in 2022…and then was released AGAIN by Radical Democrats in New York after injuring a CHILD!! When I am your President, we will immediately Seal the Border, Stop the Invasion, and on Day One, we will begin the largest deportation operation of illegal CRIMINALS in American History! May God Bless Laken Riley and her family!!! Our prayers are with you!
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I was wondering when trump was going to mention this. Now, the corrupt msm, including faux news will have to mention it.
-Tina
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Xi had another high ranking official hauled away in front of all of China. He also has political prisoners who disappear, and has an enslaved population of Mooslims. Launch the Nukes!!!!
Venezuela’s rulers ain’t exactly sweet to dissenting people. Launch the air raids!!!
Leaders of many African nations kill political opponents and their own people. Bomb the bastages!!!
Iran does the same with political opponents, sponsors terrorism, and is not quite kind to women who don’t like the Muslin headwear. More nukes!!!
So, no; jailing, torturing and killing political opponents are not against American interests. Invading another country and thereby threatening European security does.
BTW, here’s a little Bitter and Jason logic. Unless they are ready to fund wars in all the situations listed above, they are complicit in the rape, torture and killing of thousands. Shame on them.
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Have we ever seen a 20 + defeat by a R candidate in the sc primary before. Aren’t those pretty close?
Trump won the delegate count 47 to 3.
-Tina
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This is “The Ficus”, right?
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“We need a new president“
Agree 82%
Disagree 19%
.@Harvard/@Harris_X_/@HarrisPoll, 2,020 RV, 2/21-22
2024 Election Reality
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Sounds like 82 percent are saying no to Trump and Biden.
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Sounds like people are tired of the Clinton groupie and rotties president.
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https://www.zerohedge.com/political/biden-operative-inserted-fani-team-according-insider-jim-jordan-reveals-new-whistleblower
-Tina
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But, not one word here is written indicating support or sympathy for such ongoing citizen abuse in this country.”
That is of course a blatant lie, I and many other here have written extensively about how many J6 defendants were overcharged and that there was a two tiered system of justice if you compare their prosecutions and sentences with those of the BLM activists who fire bombed government buildings and police stations.
In any case, this is a complete red herring.
Navalny’s murder has nothing to do with J6. Nada, zilch, zero.
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True. It also has nothing to do with support for Ukraine.
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BTW, here’s a little Bitter and Jason logic. Unless they are ready to fund wars in all the situations listed above, they are complicit in the rape, torture and killing of thousands. Shame on them.”
Bitter, let’s nominate this for Worst False Equivalency in the history of HHR.
You are off the hook.
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I see that Chicon has decided to assume the role of Tgca. I just hope he doesn’t own fish.
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That’s the best you can do? C’mon man….
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So, no; jailing, torturing and killing political opponents are not against American interests. Invading another country and thereby threatening European security does.”
Heh, the Mohel is at war with himself.
The war in Ukraine is not about jailing, torturing and killing political opponents. The killing, rape, torture, displacement and exile of Ukrainians is a direct consequence of Putin’s actions in Ukraine, and THAT makes him a bad guy and makes it in our interest to oppose him.
Nobody here ever said we should go to war against Russia to counter Putin domestic policies, although we should use our military, political and economic influence to destabilize such a regime, just like we should Iran, Venezuela and the other countries you mention.
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Tina handles stupid nicknames. Jason invents/handles false equivalencies. My job is to put warning labels on stupid posts.
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What Putin does to Russians does not impact US strategic interests. What Putin does to Ukraine and its citizens does affect US strategic interests. Both can be true.
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Exactly.
Chicon
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