According to new Fox News Poll:
Fox News/Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) – NORTH CAROLINA
| Trump 50 | Trump 46 |
| Biden 45 | Biden 37 |
| Kennedy 8 | |
| Stein 2 | |
| West 1 |
Fox News/Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) – Michigan
| Trump 47 | Trump 42 |
| Biden 45 | Biden 37 |
| Kennedy 11 | |
| Stein 3 | |
| West 2 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
92 responses to “Trump ahead in NC & MI”
1. Pretty large samples.
2. Trump benefits from 3rd party candidates.
3. Post-Hur report. Not much change.
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Two other polls of states that are not competitive:
South Carolina
Trump 50 / Biden 35 – Winthrop University
Maryland
Biden 55 / Trump 32 – Emerson
The numbers in Maryland with all the misfits on the ballot:
Biden 47, Trump 31, Kennedy 6, West 1, Stein 1
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The polls say what they say. I don’t RFK will get that many votes UNLESS Biden is the nominee and it looks like he is going to lose anyway. Then some Independents and Dems can vote for RFK and say at least they did not vote for Trump.
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And if somehow Dave Wissing is watching, the senate race in Maryland:
Hogan 44, / Alsobrooks 37
Hogan 42 / Trone 42
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Bitter, agreed, and why I don’t include the misfits in the HHR aggregator. I think a better picture is the head-to-head. We won’t get a sense for the impact these others might have until late in the race.
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is that the primary Vite in MD or general election
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I can’t believe Speaker Johnson declared a two week vacation. Was he scared that they were going to force the Ukraine bill to the floor?
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Here is a poll that won’t get much attention, but is perhaps more important than many polls:
Trump Favorability
Feb. 11-13
1,470 RV
YouGov
Favorable 50%
Unfavorable 49%
If Trump can stay in the positive on this metric, its probably game, set, match.
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MD poll for Senate is GENERAL election.
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interesting. Does Hogan entering the race present an unlikely pickup chance. Can you imagine if MD gives the R’s 51 seats. That would blow liberals minds
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Too bad there is not a third option – Detest Trump but he will get my vote despite that.
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Funny headline on Bongino, as Biden tries hard to put the Babylon Bee out of business:
NOT The Babylon Bee: Joe Biden Brings Fried Chicken to Black Family in North Carolina in Cringey Attempt to Reshape His Image
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your third option comment started me thinking about how history is going to view Trump, and then reminded me of the adage “history is written by the victors,” which is both, so evident, and a sad commentary on whose winning right now.
Who would have thought the Founding Fathers, the Pilgrims, the Settlers, renaissance men, even Lincoln, would now be taught to our children to be bad men. That all western societies that brought about great innovation, amazing advances, etc would be evil, yet mutilating our kids, acting with morality, and believing the best person is the right person to accomplish something would be wrong.
Thank you Barak Obama. Clinton started this demise with “oral sex isn’t really sex, and the definition of “is” crap, but Obama and his cabal of misfits drove us over the edge.
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DW, please tell me that’s not true. Can you imagine if an R had said even 10% of the cringeworthy things Biden has.
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https://hotair.com/karen-townsend/2024/02/14/awkward-joe-biden-brings-fried-chicken-to-black-family-in-north-carolina-n3782931
There is the link. Biden brought a hamburger for himself, but fried chicken for the black family. I guess he could have brought them a watermelon too had he seen one at the checkout.
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I would laugh, but its really not funny. TBH the dude is as racist as anyone and is really just using Black Americans to get elected. We all know what he really thinks about them.
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Never forget how Biden praised Obama for being a nice “clean” black, you know, as opposed to all the dirty ones.
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Time for a Trump endorsed MAGA to run against Hogan?
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Another unforgettable Biden comment to a black guy was , “You’re not black if you don’t vote for me.” The Dems long history of active racism percolates thru Biden’s words and behavior.
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” Trump benefits from 3rd party candidates.”
I’m not sure the GOP does as a whole benefits. If those Kennedy voters are also voting for dem senators and congressmen then it’s probably not worth it.
This is the entire argument used against Pat Buchanan. ALL his voters were voting GOP straight ticket minus the deepstate candidates at the top of the ticket.
It was a major help to the GOP to have him running as third party.
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I’m just not a fan of gimmicks like promoting Kennedy to try to win because it probably hurts the party overall.
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One of the most disgusting displays of media bias against blacks was when the very FIRST EVER black woman was elected Lt. Governor in VIRGINIA. Nothing but silence from the media, because she is a Republican. Had she been a Democrat leftist, they would have been all over it.
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Btw I saw youtube deleted Buchanan’s historic NH victory speech when it went woke.
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“Russian President Vladimir Putin has further destroyed the Trump-Russia collusion narrative, stating a preference for Joe Biden over Donald Trump due to the current U.S. president’s predictability and experience.
During a state television interview reported by the Financial Times on Wednesday, Putin broke his silence on the U.S. political landscape. He described Biden as “more experienced, predictable, an old-school politician.”
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I recall another failed attempt at pandering was back in the 2004 race, when John Kerry was in Iowa, and had his head sticking out a bus window, while he was holding out two ears of corn, so as to impress the voters that he knew what corn looked like.
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My husband has a dismal election prediction: that there will be pandemonium between now and November, especially involving the millions who crossed the border illegally, creating havoc and overwhelming the police. He feels it could possibly be the end of free elections – fair ones were destroyed in 2020..
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Another Maryland poll by Gonzales:
Biden 53%
Trump 32%
Biden 45%
Trump 28%
Kennedy 18%
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Zzzzzzzzzz
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Deep State? Zzzzzz
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Except in the case of the Civil War where the losing side wrote the Lost Cause nonsense.
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I would also point out regarding these NC and MI polls from Fox News, that while the margins are tighter than other polls of the two states, Fox News is notorious for finding good news for Dems.
In 2020, Fox News’ final poll of NC had it Trump 46 / Biden 50, and of Trump course won the state.
Then in MI in 2020, Fox News had it Trump 40 / Biden 52, more than just a little bit off the final result.
I am not saying the current poll is right or wrong per se, just providing the historical context against their 2020 polling.
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Your husband should step away from the computer and get some fresh air.
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A 20 point lead for Biden over Trump in Maryland probably seems ho hum in a noncompetitive state like Maryland. However, it’s not a good number when you consider Biden took the state by 33 in 2020. Just saying…
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Phil, the MD polls with the misfits included says to me that even in a deep blue state, voters are longing for other options:
Biden 47, Trump 31, Kennedy 6, West 1, Stein 1 (Emerson poll)
Biden 45%, Trump 28, Kennedy 18 (Gonzales poll)
The Biden campaign should have many worries right now, and polling under 50% in Maryland with third party/indy names on the ballot is one of them.
I would like to see a current poll of Virginia with all these other names. So far we have heard nothing from Christopher Newport University, while VCU had Biden up three in late Dec, early January, and Roanoke had Biden up 4 in November.
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I am not going to start a new thread with this new poll below, simply because they included Joe Manchin, who has not said he is running, and they had no Trump vs Biden matchup in the poll.
National Public Affairs – TEXAS
Trump 42 / Biden 35 / Kennedy 6 / Manchin 4 / West 3
Feb. 6-8; 807 LV
I will include this in the aggregator however.
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“DEVELOPING: France has passed a new law which will send you to jail for 3 years if you criticize mRNA ‘vaccines’ or ‘gene therapy’ According to the law, which was passed quietly and secretly through the French parliament on Wednesday, advisement against mRNA or other treatments which are deemed ‘suitable’ based on current ‘medical knowledge’ can lead to a 3 year prison sentence and up to a $48,400 fine.”
https://twitter.com/DiedSuddenly_/status/1758151213030273368?s=20
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How nice of France. In the 18th century, using such a law, you would have been thrown in prison and fined for speaking out against bloodletting as a cure, you know, based on current medical knowledge.
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FANI WILLIS’S LOVER STORMS OUT OF THE COURTROOM DURING EVIDENTIARY HEARING
https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1758152484835496118?s=20
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Former friend of Fani says Fani and Wade began dating shortly after meeting at a conference in 2019.
Chicon
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A new poll just released by Redfield and Wilton (a UK polling firm), and they have Trump up nationally 42/41, with Kennedy getting 8, others 3.
Biden job approval under water at 38/50.
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Hi missed he fat fani storks today. Go busy with something else.
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Phil brought up Biden’s underperforming in Maryland. Here is a peek at all the polling we have thus far in deep blue states, just to see if Maryland is unique.
New York:
All we have is four polls from Siena College, not exactly a right-wing conservative polling firm:
September: Biden +21
October: Biden +9
November: Biden +10
January: Biden +9
In 2020 Biden carried NY by 23 points. Four years later its down to 9 points.
California:
The average gap of the last six polls is 19.8, of course in favor of Biden. In 2020, Biden carried California by 29 points.
Illinois:
Emerson polled the state back in mid-October and found a gap of only 9 points. In 2020, the win for Biden was a 17 point gap.
Massachusetts:
Emerson also polled this state last fall finding only a 19 point gap, favoring Biden, while the gap in 2020 was 34.
Washington:
There were two polls last fall, and the average is a gap of 12 points. In 2020 the gap was 19 points.
Maryland is NOT alone. I would love to see some fresh polling in NJ, CT, DE, and OR.
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“Too bad there is not a third option – Detest Trump but he will get my vote despite that.”
Bitter, I recently saw in one of the major news outlets that a panel of voters expressed that very sentiment i.e. they can’t stand Trump, but are at least open to voting for him because of how obvious Biden’s mental decline has become.
Good morning, HHR!
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DW, those deep blue state declines check out given the national numbers showing consistent Trump leads. Dems cannot afford high single to low double digit wins in place like CA, IL and NY because their national PV wins are based solely on those few large blue states.
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GF, I have heard the same. Various versions of, “Yes, Trump is a jerk. But sometimes it takes a jerk.”
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DW, I personally can’t stand the guy, but I have to look out for my interests. When the moral preeners complain about his personal life, I often concur, but note that the Dems threw away that component of a candidate’s job requirements when they not only tolerted Bill Clinton in 1992, but spent the next 8 years excusing every awful thing he was accused of or openly did.
As has often been said, I am not electing my preacher, I am choosing the leader of the most powerful nation on earth whose job it is to protect me.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/02/breaking-fani-willis-is-done-nathan-wade-testifies/
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Leave fat Fanni alone.
Julie Kelly 🇺🇸
@julie_kelly2
Commentators and reporters on the Left already trying to reshape this as an interrogation of a “personal relationship” btw Wade and Willis. It’s just a love story, y’all!
8:47 AM · Feb 15, 2024
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https://www.zerohedge.com/political/fani-pounded-nathan-wade-testifies-cash-money-reimbursements-and-good-friend-destroys-her
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I suspect that Tina used to be very heavy and then lost a lot of weight. Nothing else explains why she is compelled to talk about somebody’s appearance as a criticism. It really undercuts her seriousness.
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More polling on Trump favorability. This time Cygnal:
Trump 45/53
Biden 42/55
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The fat fani hearing is better than tee vee.
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If some people are pining for a 3rd presidential option maybe Manchin will throw his hat into the ring. His VP pick has already been voiced —-> Mitt Romney.
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So it appears as if the KC shooting was a bunch of “teens” who got into an argument…watch how quickly this disappears from the headlines, as it appears they were people of color.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/02/brutal-nathan-wade-squirms-sweats-bullets-as-trump/
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The people handcuffed were African Americans, and the gunfire may have been between gangs. However, the KC officials, backed by the media, are either slow or silent in delivering any details. If this were a white male with a hateful manifesto, the details would have been broadcasted immediately, in bold amplification.
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Add a schlong.
Fat Fani update:
Judge McAfee said he would not entertain testimony at the hearing related to prosecutor Nathan Wade’s alleged lack of qualifications for his job, noting that it is at the discretion of the district attorney to hire anyone with “a heartbeat and a bar card.”
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Of course gun control is always brought up as a remedy to gun violence, rather than addressing mental health issues, lack of bail or inadequate sentencing by permissive prosecutors (especially those funded by Soros), siding more with criminals than their victims.
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Our culture is deteriorating at such a fast track speed. The distortion of gender, sexuality, race, honesty, religion, family values is not only accepted but actively promoted by the Dems. How low it can go is anyone’s guess. But, under the Biden regime we have broken barriers that earlier would never have been crossed. I’m actually getting discouraged we will ever be able to dislodge ourselves from the social dissonance we’ve cultivated around us, as the democrats seem to have a finger on every scale weighing the outcomes of trials, elections, even information dissenting from what they want distributed or enforced.
BTW, that Fani Willis is really a condescending piece of work. She has broken so many laws, been openly rude and uncooperative, and yet she looks like an inconvenienced princess on the stand. Oh well, she’ll probably just get a little slap on the wrist.
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Jan, it won’t stop until Western Civilization is destroyed and the world is filled with only nations where the people have no freedoms and are constantly oppressed.
All but the rich and powerful will live hand-to-mouth however they can, with no more middle class and no path to an education and improvement. Sort of like the dark ages where the rulers with the most powerful armies win.
Things will be run like the old USSR model, where everyone is a technical criminal because the laws either cannot be followed, or are too confusing and contradictory to be correctly followed. And then the rulers can prosecute who they want, and look the other way and not prosecute their supporters. This is already happening on the documents case and so many other examples.
For instance, one of the largest Christian universities in the nation has been fined tens of millions on a spurious charge, but really are being fined simply because they are large and they go against the secular university liberal indoctrination. They oppose the left, and so they must be crushed.
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DW, what is the name of the university being fined? I hope not Hillsdale.
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Jan, it was Grand Canyon University.
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1. The judge is running interference for Fani…
2. Fani reminds me of my younger days in the hood of Detroit.
3. I don’t see this affair impacting the Trump case regardless.
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Caveat on word affair. In our culture today many people would not define what Wade as an adulterer because of his children “agreement” with his wife. Sad but reality.
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🇺🇸 Mike Davis 🇺🇸
@mrddmia
BREAKING:
Big Fani is a Grey Goose girl.
And she pays cash.
12:37 PM · Feb 15, 2024
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11.6K
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Not a very reputable place.
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Shipwreckedcrew
@shipwreckedcrew
Pres. Trump’s legal team filed a Reply just moments ago to the Smith SCO’s opposition to his motion for stay.
RIGHT AT THE BEGINNING they cite Jack Goldsmith’s article yesterday in Lawfare calling out SCO Smith’s outrageous requests at every juncture to get the case to trial regardless of all the due process considerations.
There are reasons I posted a link to Goldsmith’s article.
First, he’s no friend of Trump but has deep GOP roots.
Second, his criticism of Smith was categorical and direct.
Third, he’s taken SERIOUSLY in the DC legal establishment, right up to Justices and their Clerks.
The Trump team just proved my point — when Jack Goldsmith supports your position, you make use of that in a forum like the Supreme Court.
He’s not a bomb thrower, and he’s not overtly partisan in his commentary.
He knows Jack Smith’s willingness to ignore norms and stretch statutes in pursuit of his own agenda as well as anyone. And he called Smith out on it even though his sentiments with regard to whether Trump should be re-elected probably match Smith’s.
But Goldsmith has integrity, and his words carry weight.
2:57 PM · Feb 15, 2024
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Crappy University that should be fined, DW.
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Jerksmith keeps mentioning a public interest in a speedy trial”
He has not defined what the public interest is and it’s the defense that has the right to a speedy trial.
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Fat Fani took campaign monies whenever she needed $$$. She had “excess” lying around
Fani also didn’t do nuffin.
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Queuing hee haw and useless R ag:
“When I took out a bunch of money from my first campaign, I kept some of the cash from that.”
Fat fani
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https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-takes-large-lead-over-biden-in-february/
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Paul, not that I’m a fan of Christian schools per se, but the DOE is refusing to hand over its documents detailing the alleged problems they have with GCU, relying instead on broad-based allegations. Thus, it’s fallen to NGOs like the Goldwater Institute to find out why. The Fed’s refusal to be open about its actions tells me all I need to know.
However, we know that you are a petty leftist tyrant who relishes at using the government against those you hate. Thus, your attitude fits your prejudices perfectly.
Why Is Biden Admin Targeting Grand Canyon University? We’re Suing to Find Out. (goldwaterinstitute.org)
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zerohedge: “This Is Scary”: Soros Prepares Takeover Of 200 Radio Stations Ahead Of US Presidential Election
https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1758192227040334083?s=20
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I can’t post the meme because it is a photo saved on my phone and thus lacks a weblink (I tried to find one), but the photos is of a young woman in thoughtful repose, captioned with;
“I am a Democratic Socialist because using the violence of govenment to violate the rights of my neighbors gives me a real sense of belonging and community.”
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Wes is smiling somewhere…
“Less than a week after he announced his intention to run for the U.S. Senate, potentially setting up a rematch against Montana Sen. Jon Tester (D), Rep. Matt Rosendale (R) has reversed course and is dropping his bid.”
This is great news for the GOP and bad news for fake moderate Tester.
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I should be used to it by now, but I’m not, as to how the government can withhold information, documents at will, such as the Grand Canyon U. for example, or the ongoing Seth Rich laptop case. Any lefty associated with the government can also ignore subpoenas, bleach requested emails at will, lie to Congress or the courts and walk away unpunished. That’s why the DJT indictments, with little evidence behind said charges, creates so much public indignation.
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Rosendale knew he had no chance against an attractive candidate both endorsed by Trump and supported by the GOP establishment.
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Well classified data is usually a violation of free speech because they keep prosecuting for leaking it.
But then again the entire war on terror was one constitutional violation given it was prosecuting with warrant or even a right to a lawyer people based on association (freedom of association is part of free speech)
Almost every US politician is highly corrupt.
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Progressive Dems should undergo psych evaluations, as they are becoming so unhinged!
“Radical Illinois State Rep. Anne Stava-Murray (D-Naperville) has proposed House Bill 4876 to amend current legislation, the Abused and Neglected Child Reporting Act, to say an “abused child” is one whose parents deny abortion services, or “gender-affirming services.”
The definition of an abused child under the proposed bill is “a child whose parent or immediate family member, or any person responsible for the child’s welfare, or any individual residing in the same home as the child, or a paramour of the child’s parent denies the child access to necessary medical care, including, but not limited to, primary care services, abortion services, or gender-affirming services.”
The bill also states that healthcare providers would not face any form of disciplinary action if they were to perform services sought out by minors without parental consent.”
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National Geographic channel had a special series on the assassination of JFK. I can’t imagine how terrible it was to live through those awful days. I think Walt and Marv are the only ones old enough to remember it. Maybe Tina.
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I like not being killed by terrorists. I am a fan of the War on Terror.
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very smart war. People have no idea of what foods on outside the country and how many attacks have been foiled I et the past 20 years, with their genesis in all parts of the world.
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weird. Had me as anonymous
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Hi Bitterlaw,
I remember the JFK assassination well. Dad was an Air Force pilot at the time and his squadron was placed on strip alert. (Meaning the aircraft were positioned on a ramp area near the departure end of the runway fully fueled and awaiting further orders). The thinking at the time was that there would be an attempt by a hostile nation to decapitate the senior military command structure. Fortunately, none of that happened and his squadron stood down and resumed their normal operations.
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Marv,
When I was single I was often on strip alert.
But, unfortunately, the women would not cooperate.
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ret,
Yep, I had the same problem.
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Seriously, though….
Mr. Bitter, I do remember vividly he assassination of JFK. Another guy and I were out of class putting up some finishing touches on our senior class gift beatifying the entrance to the gym and the other guy (who is a doctor now) came back from the office and said president Kennedy has just been shot. I admonished him and said that is not something to joke about. He said “No, it is the truth!. We went back to class, the principal put the breaking news coverage on the intercom and piped it in to all the classrooms We did no school work, just sat there in stunned silence that afternoon. The bells rang to change classes and we dutifully did so –though the halls were deadly silent ss we shuffled on to the net class to hear the rest of the breaking story. more than a few people were teary eyed.
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retlaw,
I forgot, are you actually Walt?
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hi Marc. Good to see you back as well
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Marv. Hiw does apple change Marv to marc
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Trump/Kennedy with Ramaswamy as Secretary of State: promises a 1-Day blood bath, Heads going to roll, if he wins ’24.
optech.news/trump-kennedy-jr-and-ramaswamy-invited-to-first-crypto-presidential-forum-bitcoin-news
1)) Returns the US dollar to a commidty gold based currency by closing down the Federal Reserve and negating all US debt owed to those private bank monopolies.
2)) Ends the Russian/Ukraine War in a day. Here’s the deal: The US pulls out of Nato in exchange that Putin pulls out of the Ukraine.
3)) Restores the Rights of the States to bureaucratically regulate all intra-State trade and commerce by disbanding all the Federal bureaucracies.
President Trump does this on Day 1 after sworn into Office, and manages the feathers flying for the next 4 years.
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