Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
69 responses to “Election Night Thread for crazed liar’s House seat.”
Michigan Guy -GFY
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Kanye West who created one of the greatest anti Bush ads is endorsing Trump for president in 2024.
https://twitter.com/_DannyMerry/status/1757408558717505708?s=20
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Stop being Anonmous, you p*ssy.
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exactly. Show some huevos and identify yourself
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Yeah. Republicans impeached somebody who won’t be removed from office. But I guess it SENDS A MESSAGE!
Before you bitch and moan, he should be removed from office over the border crisis. But he won’t be.
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The House R’s know the Senate won’t convict Mayorkas. But having a publicized trial will produce discovery and information about Mayorkas that otherwise many aren’t aware of. Also, because immigration is such a big issue in the upcoming election, putting Mayorkas on trial will showcase all the lies and contortions of the law that were intrinsic in his performance as a “servant of the people.”
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Michigan Guy -GFY
BL don’t be a coward and give us your prediction.
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Dem 54
Rep 46
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i predict the Dem will win by 5 tonight. I hope I am wrong
— DW
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From RRH Elections:
”As a half foot of snow descends on Long Island and all schools and most government services close for the storm, New York Governor Kathy Hochul (D) is having Long Island voters in NY-3 brave the storm and trek to the polls, safety concerns be damn. We are sure the 10,836 raw vote advantage Democrats banked with the early vote has nothing to do with Hochul’s decision to go forth with the special election in the blizzard.”
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MAGA Mike Johnson rejects Ukraine money laundering bill; impeaches Biden’s corrupt Homeland security director instead
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4463791-speaker-johnson-ukraine-aid-rebuff
But Johnson is sending clear signals that he won’t bring the bill to the House floor because it lacks the tougher border security measures House Republicans had demanded months ago, at the outset of debate.
“[In] the absence of having received any single border policy change from the Senate, the House will have to continue to work its own will on these important matters,” Johnson said Monday night in a statement. “America deserves better than the Senate’s status quo.”
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And all of that will only matter to the people already voting for Trump. Most media won’t really cover it but will be sure to broadcast the vote where he is not convicted and not removed.
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I’m going to be positive:
R 51
D. 49
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It’s snow. Storm was over hours ago. People who want to vote will be able to vote.
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Suozi 51.6%
Pilip 48.4%
The snow is going to do her in. The special election should have been extended or postponed for a week. If the Dems thought they would lose a close race they would have done that in a NY minute.
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DW – We have to figure out how to ban “Anonymous” posts. Post under a handle, p*ssy.
We also have to require an e-mail address. Dave required it.
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i will check on that Bitter. Limited access through tomorrow night.
–DW
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Ok. Sometimes, legitimate posters like you do display as Anonymous.
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There is no way to fill in a name. Posting as Anonymous is the only option.
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Kiev Regime plotted a false flag by luring Macron to Ukraine to kill him and blame it on Putin.
https://twitter.com/GabeZZOZZ/status/1757506454410477843?s=20
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They just found a big boulder in the Oak Island swamp.
It has to mean something.
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“A Republican Super Pac reportedly hired snow plows to clear the roads near polling stations in New York’s 3rd district earlier today.”
https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/george-santos-special-election-replacement-seat-news-b2495373.html
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Anonymous At least put your name in the post like we do when we can’t log in, then we will know who we are talking to
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Isn’t California a sanctuary State? Why are they arresting these wonderful people who just want to live the American dream?
Hundreds of Chinese immigrants arrested by California Border Patrol in single day.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/immigration/2855088/hundreds-chinese-immigrants-arrested-california-city-single-day/
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early vote is 60/40 Suozii, which normally we could make up, but on a snowy day…who knows
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Queens vote 82% in Suozi has about a 5000 vote lead. None of Nassau in. Not sure wht the split is.
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VictrC,
One could put a name in the post such as DW sometimes does but then there is nothing at all to stop someone else from putting that same “name” in their posts, pretending to be them. There are people here who would absolutely do that.
So, it is better to have multiple Anonymous “posters” since there does not appear to be any other option. Read the posts or don’t read the posts. Decide if you agree or disagree with them based on what is being said not who you think is saying it.
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Hi
Look at how risky this is since I am not actually DW
_DW
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Ok the 82% Queens vote is only 12% of the overall vote, so Nassau is the much bigger vote.
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Tom Suozzi Democrat 15,470 61.7%
Mazi Pilip Republican 9,620 38.3
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County Suozzi Pilip Total votes Percent of votes in
Nassau 52% 48% 2,851 2%
Queens 63% 37% 23,133 86%
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Tom Suozzi D 16,506 61.1%
Mazi Pilip R 10,501 38.9%
Total reported 27,007
County Suozzi Pilip Total votes Percent of votes in
Nassau 51% 49% 3,054 2%
Queens 62% 38% 23,953 89%
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BOOM!!!
Evidence emerges claiming CIA MASTERMINDED entire Russian Collusion Hoax leveraged against President Trump..
https://twitter.com/DesireeAmerica4/status/1757591011868430645?s=20
Just like they killed JFK, the CIA created the Russia Gate hoax to destroy General Flynn and President Trump.
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Democrat cities have become zombie wastelands in the USA.
It will be tough for a republican to win in one of those places.
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hmmmm with early voting 51/49 in nassau im begining to think there might be a chance, just depends on how many braved the weather. BTW republicans will be way more apt to brave the weather to vote than Dems. They want “no cost” voting , meaning they don’t want to have to actually go to vote
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Looks like the R will have to win Nassau by about 6k votes to offset the Queens vote that is 90% in.
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Anyone know what % Santos got in Queens in 2020?
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Dem cities are getting crazier.
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I mean 2022
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yes, suozzi won 52%-48% so not looking good…except SUPER LOW TURNOUT
in 2022 48,800 came out in Queens country, this year half of that
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Dems are light years ahead of the GOP on using early voting to harvest low propensity voter ballots. The GOP has no clue what that even is, let alone how to do it themselves. They think it’s “cheating”. 🙄🙄🤣. This augurs well for the Dems in November, regardless of what polls say.
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Nassau county had 220000 votes
If 110,000 show up in Nassau country, she needs to win by 53-47 in the county to overcome Queens and a 7k deficit
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I tend to agree with the other Anonymous above.
Stubborness about early voting because Trump is bitter about it hurt Republicans in this race and will in other races from those who are following him.
Republicans in some states have embraced early voting and have done much better than those in other states.
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santos won by 7.5% in the election, we just need to win by 0.1%…so I think as things stand, she has a good chance, All going to depend on how many R’s got out to vote in Nassau county vs dems who stayed home
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yes, suozzi won 52%-48% so not looking good”
He didn’t run in 2022.
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The House needs both more pro-Ukraine Republicans and more pro-Israel Democrats to counter the idiots in both parties. At least Suozzi will be a very pro-Israel voice in his party.
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sorry meant zimmerman, can not compare a presidential election year stats to a mid term replacement runnoff
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Early voting will NEVER benefit Republicans, but it is not as bad as VBM, which is the real killer.
Personally, I think Rs should vote on ED because that lowers the chance their ballots will be thrown out.
The “if you can’t beat them join them” meme does not work here because the Dems control the big urban centers. EV is good for them because they can count a lot of illegal ballots. If Rs EV all they do is cannibalize their ED vote.
Rs should be fighting to restrict both EV and VBM. If they don’t, they will continue to lose to fraud.
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good chunk of nassau just came in…fat lady is warming up and the car is outside with the engine running.
sorry guys
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Trump was right again!
“The Obama administration justified spying on the Trump campaign by saying foreign governments had incidentally found evidence of Russian collusion. Now, Michael Shellenberger reports that this was a sham: The CIA asked foreign governments to spy on Trump associates for them ahead of 2016, then used that spying to justify their own espionage. This isn’t election skullduggery. It’s flagrantly illegal, anti-constitutional behavior. Arguably, it’s treason. Who will go to jail? Everyone involved in this deserves it far more than any official in the Trump White House.”
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Trump is right that EV and VBM “hurt him”. It hurt him because of fraud.
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Tom Suozzi D 55,154 58.7%
Mazi Pilip R 38,843 41.3%
Total reported 93,997
County Suozzi Pilip Total votes Percent of votes in
Nassau 58% 42% 69,487 46%
Queens 62% 38% 24,513 91%
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is man is sacrosanct
We have one really good senator
https://twitter.com/QTRResearch/status/1757597771106758727?s=20
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Rs were very stupid and wrong to expel Santos.
Bitter calls him a crazed liar but is he any worse than Bowman, Omar, AOC, etc.
If being a liar is grounds for expulsion there would be very few left.
The GOP got bullied into expelling Santos.
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another self inflicted wound. Dems would never have kicked him out of congress if he were a dem, they would have waited for the election.
we seem to be allergic to winning and actualy helping the American people
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But Dems are locking in and banking their low propensity voters during the early voting period. GOP makes no effort to do the same with their low propensity voters. ED voting is not enough. Getting voters who usually vote Election Day to vote early doesn’t work. Ignore them, and get unlikely voters in the bag during early voting. Harvest those ballots. Gun shows, Auto shows, Churches, Nursing homes. Amish communities, etc etc. GOP has no clue how to do this. They better figure it out fast, or Dems will enact federal legislation that makes it impossible for them to lose.
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they just called it
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10:08 is me btw. I can’t figure out how to subscribe and get my username. Glad to have found y’all. –BayernFan
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hey, welcome back, great to have you!!!
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Not a great night for all the other Long Island freshmen Republicans who voted to oust Santos. They are going to have a hard time holding their seats in November.
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they think by doing the “right thing” the voters will think they are bi-partisan and thereby vote for them. They don’t understand Dems. They eat their own in order to win. It will not win them any points in november
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Tom Suozzi D 73,719 55.2%
Mazi Pilip R 59,971 44.8%
Total reported 93,997
County Suozzi Pilip Total votes Percent of votes in
Nassau 54% 46% 108,980 70%
Queens 62% 38% 24,513 91%
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As usual R’s win election day, D’s carry early voting by a mile.
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because Dems know what to do during EV, and GOP has no clue.
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because most republicans think its lazy and cheating.
i agree
still, R’s need to get better at it, use it to bring in thr marginal voter
all can be true
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Donald Trump issues lengthy statement attacking Mazi Pilip. Says she is a “foolish woman” for not backing him more strongly and that MAGA stayed home because of it. Trump declares in the statement, “I want to be loved.”
Pilip looks like she might lose the district by 8 points which is exactly the margin Trump himself lost it by when he was on the ballot.
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New York is wasteland though.
Trump did well there but there no saving a place like that.
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well…tbh Suozzi would have won in 2022 if he hadn’t have run for governor. She had absolutely no name recognition
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Every single person on the Epstein flight log has endorsed Biden.
Zero for Trump so far.
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