If you believe the new poll by Chism Strategies:
| Chism Strategies – PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump 40 |
| Biden 32 |
| Someone else 11 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
If you believe the new poll by Chism Strategies:
| Chism Strategies – PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump 40 |
| Biden 32 |
| Someone else 11 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
93 responses to “Trump tromps in PA”
firsf
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The 17 traitors need to go. Never trust the “bipartisan” senators.
“Bipartisan usually means that a larger-than-usual deception is being carried out”
-George Carlin.
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Blah, blah, blah….
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I don’t believe the new poll. GFY
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IDK Taylor seems kinda like normal chick…
1. She chugs a beer like a normie.
2. She fawns over a masculine man she is in love with…like a “normal” woman.
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Funding our nation’s security is treason. You have some odd definitions.
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Up early this morning. Regular annual doctor checkup at 8:30 a.m.
Not used to getting up this early.
Did appointment, did laundry, balanced the checkbook, wrote checks for monthly bills, organized files, emptied the dishwasher, loaded dirty dishes…and it is not even 11 o’clock yet.
I guess I now have time to start writing and submitting to the NFL the
–Chinese American national anthem
–the Hispanic American national anthem
–the Native American national anthem
–the Polish American national anthem
–the Italian american national anthem
–the LBGTQ-EIEIO national anthem
–etc.
you get my drift.
***********************************************************
BTW, I think Taylor Swift is hotter than a firecracker.
I would be her wrecking ball.
I would make her forget about Kelse.
(I know. Hard to get a mental image of she and I doing…’things’. You all will probably have to use some sort of mental bleach to recover.)
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Bitter, I don’t believe it either, but its a fact that by far PA is the state with the most disparate results in both directions. This illustrates the need for an aggregator of polls. If I had to guess, I would say Trump probably has a very slight edge in PA, but much depends on whether or not people will actually turn out for Kennedy, Stein, West and others. Actually casting ballots for them, so that the same persons don’t get their ballots cast for them after the polls close.
Further checking, I have confirmed that so far as I can tell, the Hedgehog Report Polling Aggregator is the ONLY one on the web that includes ALL polls, and that properly weights them for age.
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Thanks for all the work you do on this.
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I can’t imagine Democrats voting for RFK. I think he’ll pull more from Trump.
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They could do them all Pregame like they did “Let Every Voice and Sing”. A variety of music would be nice.
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Lift Every Voice and Sing
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A relevant analysis of the democrat and Republican Party characteristics. Even though I have consistently voted Republican, my respect for the R party has been replaced by lots of misgivings, as there appears to be little difference between these major parties, when important votes are on the line and counted.
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/02/republicans_live_up_to_being_the_stupid_party.html
“Democrats are evil because they support the murder of full-term babies and encourage confused teenagers to surgically mutilate their bodies for short term adulation but long-term misery, as the New York Times surprisingly pointed out. They want to control people, sacrificing individual liberty and free expression in favor of what they perceive as the “collective good.”
They believe themselves to be their own higher power. Their version of “natural law” is their whims of the day rather than “unalienable rights” endowed by our Creator.Republicans are stupid because they cannot articulate or enact any opposition to Democrat evil. They believe principled opposition is a watered-down version of Democrat policy. Like a battered spouse or child, Republicans crawl back to their abusers, hoping for a different outcome or a brief smile before the beatings resume”
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I remember Baris in 2020 discussing the difficulty in getting a geographically balanced sample in PA. Maybe that’s a reason for the disparity.
Chicon
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High praise from Walt. He dated Eve after she was expelled from the Garden, Nefertiti, Helen of Troy, Cleopatra, Peggy Shipton (before Benedict Arnold), etc.
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I feel I also must ad that I am happily married to a wonderful and incredible woman and if given the opportunity I would not have a fling with Taylor Swift.
Unless my wife allowed me to do so. Which is about as likely as either Trump or Biden winning all 50 states, plus D.C. in November.
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Plus, Taylor Swift would probably give me a heart attack.
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The shooter at Lakewood church yesterday used a rifle “that had “Free Palestine” written on it, according to a federal law enforcement source.”
https://x.com/marcorubio/status/1757075265933418533?s=61&t=uLyKpWBwDwyCK292uUHCSA
The heretic Joel Osteen had the weirdest grin on his face in his press conference after the tragedy.
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Polling has consistently shown that Kennedy hurts Biden more than Trump.
Baris is very clear on this point, that multiple candidates that seriously siphon off votes helps Trump because Trump’s core support is solid, albeit well below 50%.
So lets say in a sample state the two-way battle is
Trump 45 / Biden 44
Add Kennedy and it changes to Trump 40 / Biden 37 / Kennedy 9
Then add three more candidates, and Trump will still have 40, and the others bleed more.
Add 100 more candidates, and Trump would still sit at 40. Its because the Trump base will never abandon him from a more Trump-like candidate.
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I guess the shooter wasn’t enjoying his best life now.
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Walt told me that his current wife, no 237, is the best. I met her. She is a lovely and intelligent woman.
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Will Putin take over a strip of the Suwałki Gap if Trump is elected? Will he do so believing that he can get away with it without a full scale war with the US? We know that this is one of Putin’s main goals.
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Will Trump think the 2-3 % of GDP that Lithuania and Poland spend on defense is adequate? Or will he throw them under the bus?
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The Lakewood shooter was transgender. Woman pretending to be a man.
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Osteen is a heretic? I will let HHR’s Protestants sort that out.
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Osteen is a heretic. I won’t bore you with the details.
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@libsoftictok
Colorado Springs shooter: nonbinary
Nashville school shooter: trans
Aberdeen shooter: trans
Denver school shooter: trans
Iowa school shooter: trans/genderfluid
Lakewood Church shooter: trans
The modern LGBTQ+ movement is radicalizing our youth into becoming violent extremists.
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And the answer to stop shootings in churches that the left will demand is that the church stand down and either change their beliefs or close their doors.
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https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2024/02/11/the-media-is-lying-about-trumps-nato-comments-n4926349
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Not all countries are up to the 2% mark. Belgium is not. Is he encouraging Russia to invade Belgium?
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I do think Trump is signaling to Putin that he could take a little bit of territory without a world war.
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Just checked and found out that Chism Strategies is a Democrat polling firm.
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Trump was at the Great American Outdoors Show in Harrisburg addressing the NRA on Friday. The venue where he spoke holds about 8000 and was packed to the rafters with a huge overflow. I did not go but know several people who did and they said it was crazy.
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Ron Johnson is a true advocate for the people of this country. He was the only senator who held hearings on the COVID vaccine, questioning their safety because of the many testimonies saying they were inflicting harms on those taking them. He also was against the secretly devised, horrific border bill, which he said was managed more by McConnell than Langford. He is now arguing against the stand-alone bill, passed on Super Bowel Sunday, primarily giving something like $60 billion to Ukraine – a country struggling to conscript people to fight for a fatigue-worn Ukrainian populace, with free elections cancelled, newspapers & people restricted from free speech, and little to no oversight on the borrowed funds from this country. Meanwhile, our own border is open, creating a a greater substantial security risk than any suppositions about Putin (who is doing poorly in overcoming Ukraine) going wild and invading other countries. It’s not a well-founded excuse to bleed our own country to protect another country.
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PA 2020
Joseph R. Biden, Jr.Kamala D. HarrisDemocratic 3,461,221 49.87%
PA 2016
Donald J. TrumpMichael R. PenceRepublican 2,970,742 48.17%20
PA was extremely competitive in both 2016 and 2016 and if you add it all up over 13 million votes cast in the two election and the difference is about 30k in Biden’s favor (noting that in 2020, had the Libertarian vote gone to Trump he would have won despite the fraud).
So there is no reason to think it will be any different in 2024. The problem is the VBM and EV irregularities are now baked into the system.
THAT is why I think Trump is the underdog here, I actually think he is more popular than Biden.
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Jan the Putin Stooge with a bunch of lies again.
Not one penny of the Ukraine aid would ever be spent securing the border.
But the Putin boot licker knows that.
And pls let us know when there will be a “free press and fair elections” in Russia before you say anything about Ukraine.
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Very true Jason, and why I expect it to be close one way or the other. And overall, I am holding off on including any data involving third party candidates. Its easy in a poll in February for someone to claim support for some of these other names, but wait until after the conventions and after big D and R money gets spent, and then we will see about the third party candidates.
And of course we don’t yet know who the Dem candidate will be.
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The R senators posing against the bill are shameless hypocrites.
Ukraine is or is not in our strategic interest. If you are stupid and believe it is not, vote against aid.
But tying the Ukraine aid to border control is shameless pandering and hypocritical nonsense.
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Correct
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Shipwreckedcrew
@shipwreckedcrew
Here’s how SCOTUS avoids the immunity question:
1. Take up the case, set it specially for after Fischer.
2. Order the parties to also brief Smith’s use of Sec. 371 Count re “Conspiracy to Defraud the US”, and the Sec. 241 Count re “Conspiracy against Rights.”
3. Fischer throws out the 1512 counts.
4. SCOTUS throws up the 371 count since no monetary benefit is alleged — basis for all “fraud” charges in federal law — and the 241 count since “counting” votes isn’t contemplated by the statutory langauge which relates to interference with the casting of votes.
All four counts are lost because the SCO hasn’t properly alleged violations of federal law based on the statutory language and façtual allegations.
No need to reach the question of POTUS immunity.
10:00 AM · Feb 12, 2024
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Note that Trump actually got a higher percentage of the vote in PA in 2020 than he did in 2016 (48.7 vs 48.2) and 400k more votes.
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“I do think Trump is signaling to Putin that he could take a little bit of territory without a world war.” (Polly)
Is this the same incursion deal made by Demented at the onset?
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Janzam the Putin lapdog claims Ukraine doesn’t have free speech (BS) and free elections (BS), so thus it should be annexed and enslaved by a country that really has no free speech and really has no free elections.
You gotta love it here.
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“I do think Trump is signaling to Putin that he could take a little bit of territory without a world war.”
I wish Trump would signal to Putin to get out of every square inch of Ukraine.
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Motion to quash hearing. Judge appears to have caught on to the lies of fat fani, the home wrecker, and Wade Widdle Waddle. Looks like fani also sold or gave indictment results to a journalist or book writer ahead of time.
Seriously, if the Ccp Governor, hee haw, is scared sheotliss of Fanni, he should recuse his,elf and push a decision to the lt Governor, or defer to the ag. Come on Hee haw, grow a pair.
MizDonna
@donwill94062871
Sea change today in GA hearing.
Not going well for Fani’s team for the first time in the entire case. Could it be bc the judge knows she lied and now they don’t get the benefit of the doubt.
12:15 PM · Feb 12, 2024
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It’s a bad signal from either of them.
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But Biden was trying to avert a full blown war. And trying to give Putin an off ramp.
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But he needs help to solve the border crisis that he allowes, like he allowed Pooty poot to invade Ukraine.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/02/10/the-list-64-ways-joe-biden-opened-americas-borders-to-the-worlds-migrants/
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In Tina’s world, Putin just had to invade Ukraine because Biden made him do it.
In the real world, Putin is solely responsible for the invasion and the resulting death and destruction.
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Zzzzzzzz Biden did not allow Putin to invade Ukraine. Putin (like Lee Harvey Oswald) acted alone.
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Boom
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The dems placed some poison pills inside the Ukraine money laundering bill to try to impeach Trump should he win.
of course
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1757100563756351672?s=20
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The euro trash deadbeats are not paying their nato dues again.
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Kentucky senator Rand Paul calls out traitor Mitch McConnell for setting up a Trump impeachment 3.0
https://twitter.com/RandPaul/status/1757060091625296325?s=20
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”Not one penny of the Ukraine aid would ever be spent securing the border.”
Never brought that up as to why Ukraine funding should be limited or entirely stopped. That’s your’s and Bitter’s lynchpin excuse why Ukraine should get money we don’t have, and have to borrow. My reasons involve the lunacy of sending money, with little to no oversight, to a country having a Junior Dictator making decisions forcing his countrymen to fight a war they are running away from. You refuse to take into account how Ukraine is being fractured by this war, losing a generation of young men and a leveling of their villages and communities. Any article or personal testimony, though, aligning with any negative overview of Ukraine’s war effort involving Zelenskyy’s unsympathetic, over-zealous command, is immediately mocked as siding with Putin. Again your insight, and understanding is deprived of a realistic picture of what’s going on in Ukraine, and instead seem to be looking at it like winning or losing video game.
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Bitcoin is going to 100 million a coin. Get ready
https://twitter.com/softsimon_/status/1757078397287821562?s=20
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More and more countries are joining the BRICS in sidelining the U.S. dollar and supporting a new currency. If we lose our reserve currency status our own economy will crater. Printing money will no longer support our foolish spending habits, including sending money overseas, while we either put off or simply ignore our own national security problems here. How will people on this blog react if or when this happens? I know, Jason and Bitter will empty out their own savings accounts to continue the Ukraine bail-out.
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JD Vance and Rand Paul are anti-American assholes.
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Just when you thought it was dead but it’s back!
https://twitter.com/gregzaj1/status/1371686325032783875?s=20
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Jan – You have posted here for years. I used to value your insights. It is sad to see the person you purport to be here. You literally do not care how many victims that Putin created – dead, injured, raped, kidnapped, displaced, etc.
You call Zelensky a Junior Dictator based upon Russian propaganda. You claim he is the cause of Ukrainians suffering rather than Putin. You will NEVER admit how many dead Ukrainians are acceptable as part of your surrender wish because, to be honest, any number is acceptable to you.
It makes me sad and sick that we will be forced to vote for Trump together because I hate the soulless person you have become. I guess my only hope is that Trump picks Haley for VP so Trump will get my vote while you sit home lighting candles to Braveheart.
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But I do hope your husband is doing better.
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Trump wants to just print money. I thought you knew that.
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Bitter, eventually one of us will see who has succumbed to propaganda and who is seeing the reality of current day circumstances.
Continually saying posters, who don’t support the vast amount of aid going unaudited to another country are either Putin stooges or unsympathetic to the atrocities of war, is garbage. However, the villains here are mainly the incurious nature of those who flatline on seeing Ukraine in only a one-dimensional way, when there are many more factors attributing to it’s misery – government corruption, the rise of an authoritarian leadership, fears of involuntary conscription and death, an unnecessary elongation of war leading to further death and destruction of a country. Yes, Putin initiated this war, but people like Victoria Nuland and the Biden Administration augmented it, and the multinational moguls and Ukrainian Oligarchy are profiting off it. It makes me sad, as well, that you are so stuck on stupid in not seeing beyond your own windshield appraisal of the war.
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“Trump wants to just print money. I thought you knew that.”
Would be smart.
The current political situation in the USA is actually both sides daring the other side not to print money. Be like ole GWB and blow up the system. Let Lehman and bear go bankrupt for capitalism. Then we’ll get 60 dem senators in and Obama!
Or when Churchill put the UK back on the gold standard after WW2 even though Keynes told him not to (and they threw him out of office and almost had a communist revolution afterwards)
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Since 2008 GFC, assets have gone up 15% a year on average.
That’s NOT a 15% tax you’re paying each year….it’s actually a 15% reduction in your working salary each year. So this is a compounding 15% wage deflation that has occurred over the past 16 years. And this is likely underestimating the amount of money printing.
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“Ich bin ein Berliner.”
—John F. Kennedy,
“Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall.”
—Ronald Reagan,
“I would encourage [the Russians] to do whatever the hell they want.”
—Donald Trump,
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As long as you’re on the bitcoin standard though, everything keeps getting cheaper.
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The power of one GOOD senator:
https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/1757198898714509668?s=20
JOHN FETTERMAN ON RAND PAUL HOLDING UP UKRAINE BILL
JOHN FETTERMAN: “We’re only here because of just one prick. And he decides that the rest of all of our schedules and our lives and holding up this bill getting to the House for all of this aid. It’s incredibly frustrating and there’s no work being done. It’s just bad performance art.”
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Jan is unhappy that Zelensky is unnecessarily prolonging the war. Wow.
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I will try to ignore Jan’s support for Putin’s victory.
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We need to have a law that says you and your family go on front lines if vote and fund wars.
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Time for a discharge petition to get the Ukraine/Taiwan/Israel funding.
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Quite a few GOP not running for reelection that could help make it happen.
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La dem Nikita aka demented minus dementia light has issues in this pole;
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Most Poles would prefer Nikki over Trump.
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Anybody who votes for Donald Trump is casting a vote for Russia to defeat Ukraine. If you vote for Trump that is what you will help happen.
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Breaking; House speaker rejects the senate Ukraine grift bill.
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Tina making a strong push to seize the clown trophy. She has no respect for me but ignores that Jason and Vic also reject her nonsense that Haley is a Democrat – and Jason won’t even vote for her.
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Bl please delete this. I did not mean to post it twice.
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Nikki Haley is a Democrat
Zelenskyy is a Nazi
Putin is a Christian
Trump is a Conservative
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Holy cow. Talk about 0 for… Bunu gives the Lions and Bucs a run for their money, starting at 0 and 4…though no one will ever be a big a loser as his God, Ron Paul…O for 151. I mean, how does someone lose 151 elections in a row. Oh right…he just has to be a porking, rabid racist anti-semite who is a coward. Got it
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Last few posts weren’t me. Maybe robbie is back!
Ron Paul served honorably in the military I might add.
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No, those are not Robbie Style attacks.
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https://www.breitbart.com/
“It funds Ukraine to the tune of another $61 billion,” Vance explained, saying the bills fail to “meaningfully address the problems that we have within our own defense industrial base.”
“It does not actually articulate or force the articulation of a strategy for how to end the conflict to begin with. So you basically have a blank check — or a near blank check — for a strategy that’s completely gone off the rails.”
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https://twitter.com/hodgetwins/status/1757205713510965504?s=20 Trump all day!
Kanye West: it’s Trump all day. you know what it is!
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“Rand Paul just said 800,000 illegals came into the US in the last month. At this rate Joe Biden will allow in almost 10 million illegals this year. So what is the Senate doing about it? Sending $60 billion to Ukraine.”
https://x.com/Bubblebathgirl/status/1757105787510325530?s=20
disaster!!!!!!!!!!
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btw….Jon Stewart is back (!) a decade letter on the daily show covering the election https://youtu.be/NpBPm0b9deQ?si=WVm8xXF_SmIzh9Rb
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Sending Funds, that eventually come back to the US anyway in weapons production dollars, has NOTHING TO DO with securing the border. Zero. Both can happen, they do are not mutually dependent or associated.
Believe it or not, its possible to chew gum and walk at the same time.
All those complaining about $61B going to the Ukraine are obviously either ignorant, or purposely misleading people. The United States is not sending over, or would not send over, $61B in cash the for the Ukraine to spend as it sees fit. Most of it comes in the form of military aid, and weaponry.
That weaponry is built here in the USA, and USA alone, so that $61B actually is being spent here in the USA. Given to the US companies, who pay US Taxes with the money we pay them for the weapons. Who then employ US workers who get paid to build the weapons, and they pay taxes. The materials used in the weapons…guess where they come from. Yup, the USA, who then pay taxes on the money paid by the company for the raw materials…etc etc etc
So can we stop blindly thinking the money is going into a hole. This does not happen in a vacuum.
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If Trump re-takes office, he will end all support for Ukraine on Day 1. That is what his voters are voting for.
Trump will pull the U.S. out of NATO. There will be nothing to stop him. That is what his voters are voting for.
You choose him, you get it all.
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Wrong.
He will not end all support for Ukraine Day 1. He understands that it would essentially cede the country to Putin
He will not pull us out of NATO. He didn’t the first term, he will not this term. I think he will actually govern with more sense than he did the first term. He may push for everyone to pay what they owe, but the United States is not pulling out of NATO.
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last post of the evening
How do you tell a Socialist? Well, it’s someone who reads Marx and Lenin. And how do you tell an anti-Socialist? It’s someone who understands Marx and Lenin.
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Ok
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