The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Presidential Polls – Ohio:

	AVERAGE	X	52.0	44.7	2.6	7.3
Pollster	Dates/Sample	MoE	Trump	Harris	Oth	Gap
Trafalgar Group	11/2-11/4; 1,095 LV		52.1	45.2	1.6	+6.9
AtlasIntel	11/ 1-11/4; 1,022 LV	4.0	53.5	44.6	1.3	+8.9
Emerson College	10/30-11/2; 900 LV		55	44		+11
Morning Consult	10/23-11/1; 1,254 LV		53	44		+9
Miami University	10/28-10/30; 859 RV		49	46		+3
Trafalgar Group	10/25-10/28; 1127 LV	2.9	51.7	45.6	1.2	+6.1
J.L. Partners	10/22-10/24; 997 LV		53	44		+9
OnMessage	10/19-10/22; 600 LV		52	44		+8
Focaldata	10/3-11/1; 2,161 LV		53	44	1	+9
ActiVote	10/5-10/28; 400 LV		54.1	45.9		+8.2
CCES/YouGov	10/1-10/25; 3,091 LV		52	45		+7
Bowling Green State University	10/10-10/21; 1000 LV	3.6	50	43		+7
Rasmussen Reports	10/9-10/14; 1051 LV	3.0	51	44		+7
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 1,243 LV		52	45		+7
NRSC	10/13		53	42		+11
University of Akron	9/12-10/24; 1,241 RV		51	44		+7
The Washington Post	10/3-10/7; 1,002 LV		51	45		+6
Marist College	10/3-10/7; 1,327 LV		52	46		+6
Bowling Green State University/YouGov	9/18–9/27; 1,000 LV	3.6	51	44		+7
The New York Times/Siena College	9/21-9/26; 687 LV		49	43	4	+6
RMG Research	9/18-9/20; 781 LV		54	43		+11
ActiVote	8/28-9/30; 400 LV		54	46		+8
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 1,488 LV		52	43		+9
Focaldata	9/3-9/16; 667 LV		52.2	45.6		+6.6
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 1,558 LV		52	44		+8
Emerson College	9/3-9/5; 945 LV		54	45		+9
SoCal Strategies	8/31-9/1; 600 LV		52	43		+9
Rasmussen Reports	8/13-8/17; 1,267 LV		50	42	5	+8
ActiVote	8/2-8/22; 400 LV	4.9	56	44		+12
AARP	7/23-7/28; 600 LV	4.0	48	39	11	+9
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Gap	Trump	Biden	Ken.	Gap
Final Average		9.9	51.5	41.6
Final Average (Inc. RFK)			48.0	38.7	7.7	9.3
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1		51	41	?	+10
Marist	6/3–6/6; 1137 RV		48	41	5	+7
National Public Affairs	5/28-5/29; 802 LV	+8	54	46
			48	40	7	+8
Zogby	4/13-4/21; 643 LV	+9.6	51.6	42
Florida Atlantic University	3/13; 705 LV	+11	51	40
East Carolina University	3/8-3/11; 1,298 LV	+10	48	38
SurveyUSA/ONU	3/6-3/11; 1,241 LV	+12	50	38
			44	32	13	+12
Emerson	3/7-3/10; 1,300 RV	+10	54	45
			47	38	6	+9
Emerson	1/23-1/25; 1844 RVs	+11	47	36
			45	31	8	+14
Big Data Poll	11/16-11/19/23; 1,352 RVs	+13	43	30
Emerson	11/10-11/13/23; 1000 RVs	+12	50	38
Data for Progress (D)	10/31-11/2/23; 597 LVs	+8	51	43
Ohio Northern University	10/16-10/19/23; 668 RVs	+5	45	40
			42	35	11	+7
Emerson	10/2-10/4/23; 438 RVs	+12	45	33
Change Research (D)	9/16-9/19/23; 1,559 RVs	+5	48	43

U.S. Senate:

	AVERAGE	47.2	45.0	2.2
Pollster	Dates/Sample	Moreno	Brown	Gap
OnMessage	10/19-10/22; 600 LV	49	47	+2
Fabrizio Lee	10/17; 1,000 LV	47	44	+3
Morning Consult	10/6-10/15; 1,243 LV	47	46	+1
NRSC	10/13	45	43	+2
Rasmussen Reports	10/9-10/14; 1,051 LV	45	44	+1
ActiVote	9/23-10/20; 400 LV	52	48	+4
The Washington Post	10/3-10/7; 1,002 LV	47	48	+1
Marist College	10/3-10/7; 1,327 LV	48	50	+2
Bowling Green State University/YouGov	9/18–9/27; 1,000 LV	45	49	+4
The New York Times/Siena College	9/21-9/26; 687 LV	43	47	+4
RMG Research	9/18-9/20; 781 LV	48	46	+2
Morning Consult	9/9-9/18; 1,488 LV	44	46	+2
ActiVote	8/16-9/22; 400 LV	51.1	48.9	+2.2
Morning Consult	8/30-9/8; 1,558 LV	43	46	+3
Emerson College	9/3-9/5; 945 LV	44	46	+2
SoCal Strategies	8/31-9/1; 600 LV	45	50	+5
Rasmussen Reports	8/13-8/17; 1,267 LV	42	47	+5
ActiVote	7/20-8/12; 400 LV	47	52	+5
AARP	7/23-7/28; 600 LV	42	46	+4
Remington Research Group	6/29-7/1	44	50	+6
Marist	6/3–6/6; 1137 RV	45	50	+5
National Public Affairs	5/28-5/29; 802 LV	46	54	+8
Florida Atlantic University	3/13; 705 LV	36	47	+11
East Carolina University	3/8-3/11; 1,298 LV	41	45	+4
SurveyUSA	3/6-3/11; 1,241 RV	37	43	+6
Emerson College	3/7-3/10; 1,300 RV	34	39	+5
Emerson College	1/23-1/25; 1,844 RV	37	39	+2
Emerson College	11/10-11/13/23; 1,000 RV	32	42	+10
Data for Progress	10/31-11/2/23; 597 LV	44	47	+3
Ohio Northern University	10/16-10/19/23; 668 RV	26	48	+22
Emerson College	10/2-10/4/23; 438 RV	33	35	+2