Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

IOWA Polls

Presidential Polls – Iowa:

AVERAGE53.044.58.5
PollsterDates/SampleMoETrumpHarrisOthGap
InsiderAdvantage11/2-11/3; 800 LV5246+6
SoCal Strategies11/2-11/3; 435 LV5244+8
Emerson College11/1-11/2; 800 LV5445+9
Selzer & Co.10/28-10/31; 808 LV44473+3
Cygnal9/27-9/28; 600 LV51.344.6+6.7
Selzer & Co.9/8-9/11; 656 LV4743+4
PollsterDates/SampleGapTrumpBidenKen.Gap
Cygnal7/8-7/9; 600 LV+125139
Selzer/Des Moines Register6/9-6/14; 632 LV50329+18
Zogby4/13-4/21; 405 LV+1.946.544.6
Selzer/Des Moines Register2/25-2/28; 640 LV+154833
Cygnal (R)2/12-2/13; 600 LV+94940
John Zogby Strategies1/2-1/4; 500 LVs+125139
Emerson12/15-12/17/23; 1094 RVs+84840
Emerson10/1-10/4/23; 959 LVs+104434
Cygnal (R)9/29/23+94738
Emerson9/7-9/9/23; 896 RVs+115039

12 responses to “IOWA Polls”

  1. This thread is for storing the 2024 polls of Iowa.

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  2. DW, one suggestion for the tracker averages. A cutoff date for polling would be helpful as some of the 2023 polls are well behind us now. I don’t know what RCP uses off the cuff, but over the years, it seemed like even they left stale polls on the average for far too long.

    And thanks for doing this!”, BTW. Nice to have some numbers to crunch.

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  3. DW has done a great job revitalizing HHR.

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  4. thanks GF, My plan for now, based on 2020, is to use the last 7 polls, but they are weighted, to account for stale ones.

    –DW

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  5. Kill the bill and phuq the amnesty whores

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  6. Senstor. Mike rounds now against the amnesty-grift bill

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  7. La Dem Nikita is for the amnesty grift bill.

    trapper
    February 5, 2024 11:39 pm
    And then we have Nikki Haley criticizing Republicans for killing the bill. Sheesh! Talk about doubling down on wrong. Her political instincts are so bad they are practically nonexistant.

    FTA: “Republican presidential candidate former Gov. Nikki Haley (R-SC) said Monday on FNC’s “Your World” that Republicans are being “irresponsible” with national security” by killing the bipartisan border deal because of former President Donald Trump’s criticisms.”

    https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2024/02/05/haley-irresponsible-republicans-killing-border-bill-to-help-trump-you-dont-sacrifice-national-security/

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  8. Looks like Trump made mention of Ronna again in an interview tonight. He wants to make a change and she met with Trump today at MAL. Wonder what came of that. It’s too late to make any significant impact financially and their balance sheet is at an all time low for a General Election year.

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  9. Harmeet Dhillon an hour ago…

    Each version of RNC Game of Thrones I hear is worse than the last one.

    To be clear, I’m not seeking the chair position. We had an election, I lost, shook the victor’s hand, and offered my support. But there are plenty of folks gunning for it.

    Happy where I am. I love the law!

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