Trump leads in Battleground States

According to Morning Consult/Bloomberg

ArizonaTrump 47, Biden 44
GeorgiaTrump 49, Biden 41
MichiganTrump 47, Biden 42
NevadaTrump 48, Biden 40
North CarolinaTrump 49, Biden 39
PennsylvaniaTrump 48, Biden 45
WisconsinTrump 49, Biden 44

130 responses to “Trump leads in Battleground States”

  1. Sample was taken 1/16 – 1/21, roughly 700 to 908 per state

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  2. I’m not as confident as Bitterlaw that Trump will lose.

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  3. Huge advance this morning…figured out how to color the text of the poll results to red and blue. Only red needed so far.

    Liked by 2 people

  4. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Thanks Paul, for your optimistic assessment. Coming from a Marxist toady, no less.

    Like

  5. Update to the 2024 Election chart. NC moves up two slots. All movement toward Trump except AZ:

    IA 10.6
    OH 10.5
    FL 9.1
    TX 8.1
    NC 7.1 (+1.3)
    GA 7.0 (+0.3)
    AZ 5.5 (-0.5)
    MI 4.9 (+0.2) —277 EVs for Trump
    NV 4.6 (+1.2)
    WI 1.7 (+1.3)
    PA -0.6 (+1.1)
    MN -1.8
    ME -2.5
    VA -4.5
    CO -7.2
    NH -7.3
    NM -8.0

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  6. This is a DW post. Good work.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    So who be the best VP for Trump?

    I assume it could not be the Golden Calf as they are both from FL.

    Not my personal preference, or who I would think would accept but who I think would give Trump the best chance to win

    1. Tim Scott
    2. Winsome Sears
    3. Nikki Haley
    4. Glenn Youngkin
    5. Gregg Abbott

    No I don’t think Noem would be a good pick, she doesn’t bring much to the table and she would get the Sarah Palin treatment. Same with Elise Stefanik.

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  8. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Bitterlaw

    January 31, 2024 at 9:37 am

    This is a DW post.”

    LOL. Nobody thought it was yours. GFY.

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  9. Bitter, over the weekend, will see if I can figure out how to use your account to give my account admin permission, so that it will be clear going forward who opened the thread. I still need to figure out how to link to the polls and I would like to make the above chart part of the main page. I want to dress it up in a table, use color, flip it to horizontal, and advertise it as the only polling aggregator on the web that includes ALL of the last seven polls, and weights them by age. 538 refuses to include Baris’ polls because he hates his guts, and RCP is very restrictive on what they include.

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  10. It had my name on it. I tried to edit it so DW gets credit but it would not hold.

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  11. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Trump leads in Battleground States

    Bitterlaw

    January 31, 2024

    Can’t you just change “Bitterlaw” to “DW”?

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  12. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Ok you answered before I posted that.

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  13. STUPID BUNU POST Avatar
    STUPID BUNU POST

    VP picks

    Tier 1: Rand Paul or Michael Flynn

    Tier 2: Vivek Ramaswamy

    outsider: Alina Habba

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  14. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    538 refuses to include Baris’ polls because he hates his guts”

    Nah, what Nate Silverhack hates is any polls that interfere with his narrative that Dems will always win.

    Liked by 1 person

  15. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Anonymous

    January 31, 2024 at 9:47 am

    VP picks

    Tier 1: Rand Paul or Michael Flynn

    Tier 2: Vivek Ramaswamy

    outsider: Alina Habba”

    I’ll take “THINGS THAT WILL NEVER HAPPEN” for $1000, please.

    Liked by 1 person

  16. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    I would vote for a ticket with Biden on it before I voted for a ticket with any of those names on it.

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  17. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    A Trump-Rand Paul ticket would be the first Republican ticket in history without a Republican or a conservative on the ticket.

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  18. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    But we are giving them $350 million a year…

    “Intelligence estimates shared with the U.S. conclude that around 1,200 of Unrwa’s roughly 12,000 employees in Gaza have links to Hamas or Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and about half have close relatives who belong to the Islamist militant groups. Both groups have been designated as terrorist organizations by the U.S. and others. Hamas has run Gaza since a 2007 coup.

    “Unrwa’s problem is not just ‘a few bad apples’ involved in the October 7 massacre,” said a senior Israeli government official. “The institution as a whole is a haven for Hamas’ radical ideology.”

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  19. Morning Consult/Bloomberg also has numbers with all the misfits included:

    Arizona (Trump +8)
    Trump 43, Biden 35, Kennedy 10, West 1, Stein 1

    Georgia (Trump +7)
    Trump 44, Biden 37, Kennedy 8, West 1, Stein 1

    Michigan (Trump +6)
    Trump 43, Biden 37, Kennedy 8, West 1, Stein 1

    Nevada (Trump +12)
    Trump 43, Biden 31, Kennedy 12, Stein 2, West 1

    North Carolina (Trump +13)
    Trump 45, Biden 32, Kennedy 9, West 1, Stein 1

    Pennsylvania (Trump +3)
    Trump 43, Biden 40, Kennedy 7, Stein 1, West 1

    Wisconsin (Trump +8)
    Trump 43, Biden 35, Kennedy 10, Stein 2, West 0

    Some of these numbers are stunning, but I am still focused only on the Trump vs Biden only because in the end, how many of these are going to show up to vote for these others. Stein in Wisconsin is real–unless these voters sense that the election hangs in the balance.

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  20. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    The prob.lem with that is that 3rd party candidates ALWAYS poll better than what they actually get.

    This is because when people actually vote they are less inclined to throw their vote away than they are when polled.

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  21. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    DW, did you see the NM poll where Biden supposedly only has 33% approval among Hispanics and a majority of voters says oil and gas industry is the most important to their state?

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  22. NM is on the chart jason for that very reason. Oil and illegal border crossings. Not saying Trump is going to win it, but its worth tracking.

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  23. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Evidently Biden was exchanging tweets with Elmo on Sesame Street.

    Someone at Redstate posted:

    “Biden and Elmo: One is an empty-headed puppet who talks in barely coherent sentences at the whims of his puppet masters, the other is a Sesame Street character.”

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  24. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Some good news. California ban on “assault rifles” ruled unconstitutional.

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  25. Nv is not surprising. I came across a post from Nv indicating that 115,000 ballots were false in 2020.

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  26. Victrc, not sure if you missed my vp choices, but I will post them again:

    Rds

    Noem

    Huckabee -Sanders.

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  27. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Of course, there is no such thing as an “assault rifle”. In the military, an “assault weapon” is a fully automatic rifle. An AR-15 is merely a semi-automatic rifle, fires one round each time the trigger is squeezed. “Assault” sounds scary and sounds “military” so that is why the gun grabbers use it.

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  28. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    I don’t think the Golden Calf is eligible since Trump moved to Florida officially.

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  29. Very ambitious and appreciated. Go for it.

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  30. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    My personal choice is Tim Scott.

    He doesn’t bring any state to the table but he does diffuse the “racist” label on Trump.

    Yes, the Dems will allege Scott is not really black because he is a Republican but that will only work on people not voting for Trump anyway.

    I imagine Scott will improve Trump’s black male vote only marginally, but marginally could make the difference in a close race.

    Also, Scott will destroy Kamala in a debate.

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  31. I could be wrong but Winsome Sears was born in Jamaica. Not sure how she gets around that.

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  32. Of course all of this polling is only a theoretical matchup. We have to wait to see the Dem convention to find out who walks out from behind Door #1 to take all of Biden’s delegates as his replacement. I am more convinced than ever that they will replace him. I have been following politics since 1979, and I have never once seen the Dems just throw away a POTUS contest. And now that they have lawfare and election fraudfare on their side, they will stop at nothing.

    But just imagine if they let Biden go through to the general election and he stands there in a debate against Trump.

    Moderator: Question for President Biden, could you remind us just how terrible the economy was during the Trump presidency?

    Biden: Its, its, uhm…sst..z..uh..st…terrible. Look at the job numbers, and and uh, inflation out of control. The, the last four years have been a nightmare under, under this sitting president–but elect me and fixed it. Thanks for the Great Lakes, and brewed beer here.

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  33. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    I think the MSM will successfully portray Noem as a lightweight governor from a small state like they did with Palin. The MSM will arrange gotcha interviews with her asking questions they would never ask a Dem in order to embarrass her like the Couric interview with Palin. I just don’t see her bringing much to the table, although I do think she is an accomplished successful governor and attractive to boot.

    The same with Huckabee Sanders, she is from Arkansas, has not finished a full term, little appeal beyond the MAGA vote. As a former press secretary, she would be harder to embarrass in an interview, but she just doesn’t add to the ticket.

    Trump needs a heavyweight. Scott, Haley (even if I wouldn’t support the ticket), Abbott, Youngkin. A “novelty” candidate will wear thin very quickly.

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  34. DW – I said after Biden was inaugurated that at some point he will resign for “health reasons.” If he is replaced, the VP choice would be interesting. Do they keep Kamala or go with somebody else? I think Gov. Pretend Moderate who eats ice cream Shapiro of PA is on the short list of replacements for VP.

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  35. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Right, Sears is a former Marine (actually no such thing, a Marine is always a Marine) I thought she was born in the US but she only came in 1970 when she was 6. Not eligible.

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  36. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Btw, unfortunately I have already notified Trump that I am not eligible either. I think I would bring the Quechua-Inca vote in just about every state for Trump but, alas, I am not “native born”.

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  37. Biden’s replacement would no doubt pick a new veep. Kamala is a huge drain on the ticket. Shapiro is certainly possible, but Dems love candidates whose life is DC and whose god is the federal government. A state governor is too chancy for them, unless its some whack job like Newsome who is to the left of the DC culture. Thinking back, Bill Clinton is the last time the Dems picked a candidate from outside the beltway. But its easy to forget that Clinton was a compromise candidate. The 1992 Democrat primary process was bloody, and at the start Bill Clinton was considered nowhere near the front-runner.

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  38. Youngkin is a light weight. Didn’t do sheot.

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  39. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Shapiro is a an observant Jew, even keeps Kosher. I don’t think the Dems would nominate him for VP under the present circumstances, just too many anti-Semites in the party.

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  40. When are you going back? If NYC returns he is going to ask.

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  41. Can demented copy and paste trumps plan on the mullahs? Bankrupting Iran was working.

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  42. Tina hates all Republicans eventually. It’s Youngkin’s turn.

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  43. What has he done?

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  44. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Shapiro says Israel “has the responsibility” of destroying Hamas and said “this is not the moment for any “moral equivalency”

    “Hamas is hell bent on destroying Israel and ridding the region of Jews. They do not seek peace, and they do not seek lasting compromise. And I think for anyone who tries to paint a picture of moral equivalency here, I asked you, you know, is taking innocent civilians hostage? Is that okay? We are witnessing crimes against humanity by Hamas. They are a terrorist organization. Period.

    He concluded by saying “I think it’s also important for all of us as Pennsylvanians, once our loved ones are home, to not lose sight of what’s happening in the region. We need to gird ourselves for what appears to be going to be a long war and we need to remain on the side of Israel. We need to stand with Israel. We need to stand up against this type of terror. We cannot allow this anywhere in the Middle East or anywhere in our area.”

    Not Democratic VP material…

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  45. Youngkin and Nikita won’t move the needle. Nikita is dead weight. Noem did not lock down and has been a goood Governor. Huckabee-sanders may be Maga torch bearer over Rds.

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  46. 🇺🇸 Mike Davis 🇺🇸
    @mrddmia
    Nikki Haley is a big part of the problem:

    Old guard.

    Globalist.

    Uniparty.

    Open borders.

    War-mongerer.

    Her moral compass is whatever her corporate overlords order.

    She will manage America’s decline efficiently and effectively.

    No thanks, Nikki.
    4:33 PM · Jan 30, 2024
    ·
    6,640
    Views
    170
    Reposts
    4
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    476
    Likes
    3
    Bookmarks

    Liked by 1 person

  47. Nikita will sell out to the Ccp and the open borders lunatics.

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  48. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    tinahhr

    January 31, 2024 at 11:19 am

    What has he done?”

    A hell of a lot. He has combated wokism in schools and government and stood up for parents. He has pushed for lower taxes and a deregulated economy. He has a 58% -32% approval in a blue state, including 36% approval among minorities and 51-41% among women.

    No wonder Tina doesn’t like him. He is a popular effective Governor.

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/2711707/glenn-youngkins-popularity-at-record-high-approval-throughout-virginia/

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  49. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Haley is actually a conservative Republican, I will put her conservative and Republican credentials against fake conservative like Trump any day of the week. It is too bad she is a terminal panderer.

    In any case, she could help Trump win. Noem would not.

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  50. Why does Trump need a MAGA torch bearer? If he only has his base, he loses.

    Liked by 1 person

  51. I stopped reading at “war mongerer.” Grammar matters.

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  52. What else has he done?

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  53. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Bitterlaw

    January 31, 2024 at 11:17 am

    When are you going back? If NYC returns he is going to ask.”

    I have thought about it. I could see myself cooking llama and goat skewers over an open fire while gazing at the sunset over the Andes, far from the rat race. But I doubt my wife is interested and I would be too far from my kids.

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  54. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    tinahhr

    January 31, 2024 at 11:34 am

    What else has he done?”

    He has high approval ratings on the issues that concern people in Virginia the most, education and the economy.

    Like

  55. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Noem is a lightweight from a small state. The fact she “didn’t lock down” or “is a good governor” won’t get Trump any additional votes. In addition, she will likely self destruct under the onslaught of negative MSM attacks I doubt she is prepared for, like Palin wasn’t.

    In the end, the Dems would successfully make the issue about HER to deflect from the real issues of the campaign.

    Scott, Youngkin or Haley would be much more prepared and much less likely to implode.

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  56. I don’t think Trump will bridge the divide w establishment republicans this time and pick someone to help him win. I think he’ll pick a MAGA ally and win/lose on that basis.

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  57. Tina and Jason – Thanks for your VP votes

    Rest of Y’all – waiting, and saying no one doesn’t count

    LOL on the idiocy of Mike Davis: Nikki Haley is

    a. Not old guard. She was elected a decade ago on the Tea Party agenda

    b. Governed as a very strong Conservative

    c. LOL at uniparty. She would be thrown out of the D party in a minute

    If she had more backbone and conviction without feeling the need to say the “right thing” to the woke crowd she would have made an excellent choice for President.

    As it stands, no one moved the needle more than she does in attracting on the fence voters. Not even Scott, who would be a fabulous choice for VP…though, he’s not a woman and that’s the current “en vogue” concept…that a woman needs to be on the ticket.

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  58. Refresh the page and look at the top between the city skyline and the comment posts. I will add more later, but this is the chart I was envisioning. Showing the states in order of the average gap in polling, based on the last seven polls, weighed by age of poll.

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  59. WV – I don’t agree. I think he really wants to win, and despite all the bluster and showman antics, he knows that he needs to make inroads. As much as we all think he’s dumb, he is not.

    With that said, I still see Haley as the primary target. RDS would be amazing, but a. Florida (can’t have two) and b. I really believe he needs a woman, or a person of color to run with him.

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  60. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Nice. Evidently he killed his father because he worked for the government and betrayed the Constitution. He will be elevated to MAGA Trump supporter in 3, 2,1…

    “A Levittown, Pennsylvania man who showcased the severed head of his father in a now-deleted YouTube video was arrested by police Tuesday night, for the torture and murder of his father. 32-year-old Justin Mohn was arrested and charged by local authorities with First Degree Murder and the desecration of the corpse of his father, Michael Mohn. The decapitated body of the father was found in the bathroom of the father’s house in Middletown Township, while Justin Mohn was arrested 100 miles away in Fort Indiantown Gap.

    Officers located a deceased male in the first floor bathroom with a large amount of blood around him,” it said. “The deceased male had his head removed from his body.”

    The head was found inside a cooking pot, in a plastic bag, in an adjacent bedroom. It was identified to be that of Michael F. Mohn, who lived at the same address.”

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  61. DW and Bitter – DW looking good with the changes! My son is going to work on the logo this weekend when I have them.

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  62. First, the polling by DW has definitely become a positive asset to this blog.

    For VP, I’ll throw in the names of Ron Johnson (helps with Wisconsin), Mark Robinson (strong speaker), Ben Carson (well liked, good fund raiser, good friend of DJT), Kristi Noem ( poised, gutsy, female Trump advocate)

    Zelenskyy tried to fire his popular Commander in Chief, Valery Zoluzhby, who said “No.”. After a lot of push back Zelenskyy rescinded his order. Apparently there was no consultation between the president and his two greatest allies, the UK and US, about the Zoluzhby firing. As more is being uncovered most of the Ukrainian funding is going to military contractors and inside corruption, not the people. And yet Biden is still pushing sending more money (we don’t have) overseas rather than helping our own invasion over here.

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  63. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    a. Not old guard. She was elected a decade ago on the Tea Party agenda

    b. Governed as a very strong Conservative

    c. LOL at uniparty. She would be thrown out of the D party in a minute”

    Exactly. Anyone who thinks Haley is not a conservative but that somehow Trump is a conservative is not a serious thinker.

    Liked by 1 person

  64. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Also Youngkin campaigned as an outsider, calling him an “establishment R” is more than stupid.

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  65. ”I don’t think Trump will bridge the divide w establishment republicans this time and pick someone to help him win. I think he’ll pick a MAGA ally and win/lose on that basis.”

    I agree. Trump already tried bridging the gap with his Pence choice. This time around he will choose an ally with no establishment baggage, and be someone who could “authentically” continue his agenda in 2028, or before should something happen to him during his 2024 term in office.

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  66. A curve ball VP choice would be Vivek, who is openly auditioning for the job. While he turns off some people, he appeals to many hardcore populists, libertarians, younger people, and Trump, himself, seems intrigued by his forthright rhetoric and intelligence.

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  67. “A GOOF ball VP choice would be Vivek”

    Fixed it for you.

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  68. Jan – Vivek is an absolute disaster. He’s a jerk, narcissist, even worse version of Trump who has absolutely ZERO appeal outside of a handful of Trump supporters and Pauliacs. He will NEVER be the VP choice, nor should he. Trump would be lucky to carry Texas with Vivek.

    BTW, Populist, Libertarians and younger people will win you exactly 0 electoral votes more than he would get with mickey mouse as his running mate (prolly get more actually).

    I don’t know why this is so hard for some to grasp. Trump CAN NOT WIN with only “populists” and the odd Libertarian vote. The Youth despise Trump overall because they have had it ingrained in their heads for 8 years in school that Trump is bad.

    It is going to take and…gasp/egad!!!!…a COALITION to win this election. That means (oh, the horror) of appealing to people outside the Trump sphere and those who might not agree with all of the tenets of the Trump follower agenda.

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  69. Vic, I’m not pushing Vivek, only posting some observations from interviews and opinion pieces I’ve read, which is why I started my comment with “curve ball” later changed to Goof ball by DW.

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  70. Jan – I don’t think you are. I was responding to the idea of Vivek. Your choices for VP are:

    Johnson (interesting pick, strategically, but I think his previous illnesses would preclude it)

    Carson (very very nice man, but a disaster as a politician, as he would be as a VP. He doesn’t gain one extra vote)

    Noem (discussed ad nauseum – she would be vilified, and crushed by the media. Also does not add one suburban mom — though maybe a few 18-20 year old males 😉

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  71. I will, at the end of the day, post all of our VP vote if we get enough people to participate. Next question is, since we have basically already seen that very few could move the needle, would Trump forgive and pick someone who endorsed RDS, someone like Reynolds from Iowa, though I think we should look to see if she moves the needle outside Iowa

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  72. Ok, question that no one has asked, or addressed related to the poll.

    Does anyone here honestly think that Trump is up +5 in MI, +8 in NV, +3 in PA and +5 in WI

    I do not believe that if the election were held today he would get anywhere near those numbers. I think he might win NV by 1 or 2. He’d win AZ and GA. I don’t believe he’d win PA today, WI today. Michigan is a wildcard.

    Has anyone “frisked” the poll yet?

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  73. All the polls are wrong.*

    *Just continuing the HHR tradition.

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  74. VictrC – the polling done in these seven states by Morning Consult / Bloomberg is a monthly series of the same states…allowing us to track their findings month to month. Since their last survey…six of them moved toward Trump, while AZ tightened.

    Redfield/Wilton is also doing this, although their battlegrounds include FL and do not include NV and WI. But the results Morning Consult is getting is roughly the same as Redfield/Wilton.

    Like

  75. I will post ALL polls. That Susquehanna poll of PA showing Biden ahead 47/39 should concern anyone about PA, given their good track record.

    Liked by 1 person

  76. Hmmmm. Aren’t the evil military contractors the ones who provide the weapons? If you want to buy weapons, you go to the people who sell weapons.

    Like

  77. Ok. Let us know when it is ready and we can give access.

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  78. bitter. I didn’t say they were wrong. I asked if we believe he really is in thst position, or are these polls, specifically designed to give that impression so Biden can be removed.
    you know as well as anyone, polls are like grand juries, and we can get them to do what we want by asking the right questiobs

    DW – great input. I can only hope they are true and they hold.

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  79. Already posted. How slow is your internet?

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  80. Bitter–won’t have to log in with your account any longer, as I was able to make myself an administrator. Going forward my posts will be labeled DW.

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  81. So it begins. Soon, HHR will be posted in both English and Koine Greek. Still, the archaeological posts will be more interesting than my posts.

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  82. Vic – I think that the polls are better for Trump than reality BUT we are all biased by our environment. I know many Trump supporters where I live but he is toxic to more. Jason lives 100 miles away and would have trouble finding a Biden supporter. That is why this site is interesting.

    Liked by 1 person

  83. Reagan won landslide victories by appealing to Republicans, moderates, and conservative Democrats.

    Trump won in 2016 with Republican voters as well as MAGA voters. He was aided by the fact he ran against the only candidate more hated than him.

    If he follows the Jan plan of just relying on his base, he will lose.

    Liked by 1 person

  84. Like

  85. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Bitter–won’t have to log in with your account any longer, as I was able to make myself an administrator.”

    I don’t think DW really exists, he is actually AI.

    Like

  86. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Reynolds would be a good pick, I think she brings a lot to the table besides being a woman, I think she has real appeal outside IA.

    I didn’t list her because I don’t think Trump would pick her.

    Liked by 1 person

  87. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Vivek is a certified ass. He would not win Trump a single vote, but would lose lots of them, starting with mine.

    Like

  88. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    Reagan won landslide victories by appealing to Republicans, moderates, and conservative Democrats.

    Trump won in 2016 with Republican voters as well as MAGA voters. He was aided by the fact he ran against the only candidate more hated than him.

    If he follows the Jan plan of just relying on his base, he will lose.”

    Hey, SEND A MESSAGE.

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  89. Jason – That’s why I asked the question if he would swallow his pride and select Reynolds. I had heard a lot of good things about her, though I have to admit, I don’t know enough to know if she is dynamic enough, or has enough appeal to loop in enough suburban moms, centrists, independents to make a difference.

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  90. BTW – The VP pick should be more important, and paid attention to, more than normal because, the fact is, Trump is a 270lb 78 year old man, who could easily deteriorate or have a heart attack in the four years after his re-election (if it were to occur). An 80 year old dying suddenly of a heart attack or aneurism, etc, is not uncommon at all.

    Therefore, I think people will pay more attention to it than last time (im talking general public) and if he were to pick someone like Reynolds are Haley, suburban woman might be willing to hold their nose and vote for him.

    Remember, he only needs to move what? 50,000 votes?

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  91. I tried making this a new thread, but it didn’t work:

    Biden 50

    Trump 44

    According to Quinnipiac.

    They have Haley up 47 / 42 over Biden.

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  92. And so here we go. Is Quinnipiac right that Biden is going to increase his victory (by a lot) over the 2020 results, even though now he can barely pronounce his own name? Or is Morning Consult/Bloomberg right, that Trump is way ahead and on track to win with 300 EVs?

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  93. Damn. What if DW is really…Bunu?!?

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  94. LOL. The matahari of HHR

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  95. I can assure you that I am much closer to being AI than I am to being Bunu.

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  96. okay, looking at this Quinnipiac sample, they clearly have taken a sample that doesn’t match the current USA. Their sample has Trump favorability at 37/59. The only way to get those kinds of numbers are to have every independent voter in America hate him, along with a few Jans and Tinas.

    I am not saying Morning Consult / Bloomberg is spot on, but the truth is likely closer to them than it is Quinnipiac.

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  97. Quinnipiac has been a left leaning pollster, having polling numbers that are often looked at as suspect. Every once in a while they come out with a poll greeted with surprise by their generosity to R candidates, as if to counter balance their other lopsided findings.

    BTW, Kristi Noem delivering an a** Kicking, “powerful” speech, at the SD Capitol, defending the actions of Texas & Abbott to defend their borders. IMO, she is far from being a light-weight, and unlike Haley, is a staunch supporter of having a safe, well-monitored border, which is priority #1 among voter issues in the current election cycle. 

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  98. Vic,

    Who will Trump pick as VP candidate?

    First off, I AM eligible to be his pick, but I am not campaigning for it.        Although I feel certain I can bring with me WV’s 4 elector college votes.

    I do hear I am on his list, several notches down from Chris Christie.

    ***************************************************************************

    But my age would be a factor since I am 76 now in this iteration of life, but healthier than either Biden or Trump. Also an issue would be the fact that I converse with an invisible cow.

    Since I am opposed to Trump bring the R standard bearer, I doubt he would pick me since I will not kiss his ring and recant my opposition to a Trump presidency.

    With that said Who will Trump pick?

    Who he will NOT pick is:

    –NOT pick anyone who ran against him in the R primaries regardless of how qualified and how it would help the ticket.

    –NOT pick anyone who spoke against him or supported one of his opponents in the primaries, regardless of how qualified and how it would enhance the ticket

    –NOT pick anyone who is principled and who would refuse to give 100% unqualified support to Trump and all the bozo things he says and does

    –NOT pick JFK JR. or any other third party goofball.

    –NOT any sitting R senator.

    –NOT most R sittiing governors like governors of FL, GA, NH,

    (with possible EXCEPTION of Sarah Huckabee Sanders)

    ******************************************************************

    Which greatly limits the pool of who he WILL choose?

    AND JUST AS IMPORTANT, WHO WOULD BE WILLLLLLLL-ING TO BE TRUMP’S VP–THE ONLY ADVANTAGE BEING AT LEAST TRUMP CANNOT FIRE you as THE VP)

    Noem?

    Some former general?

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders?

    The NY congresswoman?

    Strong possibilities of person chosen being a woman or a Black.

    Perhaps Trump will pick Snoop Dogg. FASHIZZLE!

    The number of “A” level VP choices (due to Trumps restrictions cited above) who has a good track record of accomplishments as an elected official, would expand the ECV map, is good at speaking and debating, high likeable numbers, ready to be President at the first stroke…is starkly limited.

    Liked by 1 person

  99. Odd…I can only see the new threads that are created with Bitter’s account and not my own. Will have to do some learning this weekend.

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  100. okay, I can see ones I started under:

    https://hhrphoenix.com/author/dwhhr/

    The ones Bitterlaw has started are under:

    https://hhrphoenix.com/author/bitterlaw/

    I will see if I can figure out this weekend how to see all them on one page.

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  101. I think that Trump should pick either Jan or Tina as VP. Both satisfy the MAGA base AND neither would pick up any Independent or Democrat votes.

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  102. Ok. I probably won’t post as many threads since the ungrateful bastards just want their polling fix in the mornings.

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  103. Oh, and lest I forget….

    Psychologists for DECADES have told us that under behavior modification, you HAVE to rather immediately apply the PUNISHMENT OR REWARD very soon after the action in order for the organism you are trying to act or not act in a certain way.

    SO WHEN IS BIDEN PLANNING TO UNLEASH A BIG CAN OF WHOOP ASS ON THE IRAN SUPPORTED WHACKADOODLES (OR IRAN ITSELF) OVER THE ATTACK THAT KILLED 3 U.S. SESRVICEMEN IN JORDAN AND INJURED 30 SOME OTHERS?

    “At a time and place of our choosing…” doesn’t cut it. How many attacks by the whackjobs –160-170?–and very little U.S. response from the U.S., and limited at that.

    Maybe we will have NO response, now that that particular group of Iran backed whackjos say they will do no more attacks.

    God help us.

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  104. DW and Bitter,

    I VERY MUCH like the new look on the website.

    Good job!

    Liked by 1 person

  105. I would like to see a debate between Kamala Harris and Walt. I would love to hear Walt say:

    Vice President Harris, I knew Julius Caesar, Charlemagne, King George III, Washington, Napoleon, Lincoln….”

    Moderator – Mr. Walt, is there a point to this answer?

    Walt – No. I just wanted her to know I met a lot of leaders and she is not a leader. Thank you.

    Liked by 1 person

  106. Just to illustrate how far out the Quinnipiac poll is, a new one just dropped from Civiqs (D) / Daily Kos.

    Trump 44, Biden 44

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  107. Quinn poles are garbage. It’s been several cycles

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  108. Younkin as Trump’s VP would be the Democrat’s worst nightmare. Would help Trump immensely in suburban areas. Republicans should be happy with that choice……that is, if they actually want Trump to win a GE. Of course, if they want to see four more years of Biden then, sure, select some Trump purist like Flynn or some other similar choice. Send a message and enjoy four more years of Biden.

    BTW, Youngkin is no Nikki Haley. He’s a solid conservative who has not once pandered in a blue state…..but hell, selecting Youngkin would make too much sense for the party of stupid.

    Liked by 1 person

  109. STUPID BUNU POST Avatar
    STUPID BUNU POST

    The BOSS says Ramaswamy needs to be the VP

    https://twitter.com/TheReportX/status/1752012749431783557?s=20

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  110. It seems a video show that in NYC a bunch of illegal immigrants…(err, excuse me “asylum seekers” as reported by David Muir) beat the crap out of two NYC police officers.

    Of course, the 5 people arrested will face little if any consequences.

    “If any are under 18 years old you can’t just deport them and separate them from the rest of their families. That is inhumane! they have rights!”

    BULL SH!T.

    There a$$es would be shipped out in an hour, and put on the forever bad list if I were running things.

    Play stupid games, face consequences.

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  111. Oops. Their asses, not thee asses….

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  112. Oops, not thee asses…there asses.

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  113. Why do the people here, including Jan and tina, who have posted links numerous times that Nikki Haley is ineligible to be President or Vice President because of where her parents were born now think that Ramaswamy is eligible to be Vice President?

    Liked by 1 person

  114. Ramaswamy will never be vice president candidate.

    Too long a name to put on bumper stickers.

    Mayre “Trump and the darker skinned guy!” bumper sticker?

    Though his campaign theme song could be:

    “Oh my Ramaswamy,  Ramaswamy

    How I love ya, how I love ya my dear ol’ Ramaswamy 

    I’d walk a million miles

    for one of your smiles

    my Ram-a-swam-y !”

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  115. For the posters opposed to “globalism” exactly what do you mean? I get that you hate the UN and WHO but in case you missed it, the US has economic ties to most of the world and military alliances across the globe. You can’t uninvent the phone, internet, planes or ships.

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  116. I think it’s the globohomo agenda. The goal is to make everything the same as the wokeness that is being pushed with the the U.S.A.

    They want to export it all over the world turning everything in San Francisco. A good portion of the Ukraine war was is about this agenda.

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  117. Globalism = The Jews

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  118. STUPID BUNU POST Avatar
    STUPID BUNU POST

    https://twitter.com/RogerJStoneJr/status/1752857657466081745?s=20

    And there it is: DeSantis was SECRETLY funding the NeverTrump movement

    Guy should never be anywhere near the WH

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  119. No. 100% of the war was solely brought about by Putin’s brutal and unjustified invasion of Ukraine.

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  120. The two men the globohomos hate most are Putin and Trump.

    Funny how the two of them get along just fine

    Liked by 1 person

  121. Nikki Haley losing to “none of the above” in Nevada GOP race.

    https://twitter.com/LauraLoomer/status/1752842371639681369?s=20

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  122. Bitter

    do not stop your morning posts. The polls are not regular yet and I like your threads

    you do a great job

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  123. ” I get that you hate the UN and WHO…”

    As for me I do not like the UN,

    but a loved the WHO’s “Pinball Wizard”.

    ***********************************************

    Also song related…

    I guess none of you are old enough to remember Al Jolson singing

    “Mammy how I love ya, how I love ya

    my dear ol’ Mammy…”

    So none of you got my Ramaswamy joke posted above.

    ___________________________

    Sigh…

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  124. At the running-mate announcement, Trump can sing it in blackface.

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