- Collins in Deep Trouble in Maine
- Monday Morning After Incredible Rescue
- Good Friday for those who Observe it
- No Trouble for GOP in Florida
- Breaking: Oak Island Treasure Found!
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
191 responses to “Congratulations to Janzam for winning the NH prediction contest.”
I hope Haley will stay in through Super Tuesday. Trump is an arrogant mf-er and does not deserve a coronation. That said, he will be the nominee. I expect he will lose and hand the House and Senate to the Dems. Still, we have to unite because the Democrats are always worse.
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Besides First. So it’s a quasi streak
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Vic – I don’t count myself as the first post because I have an unfair advantage. The streak continues.
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1)Vivek was a super star as a Trump surrogate in NH
2)Neocon Nikki gave yet another victory speech, and Trump called her out on it: “You can’t let people get away with bullsh*t.”
3) seventy percent of Nikki voters were not registered republicans per CNN exit polls
4) President Trump broke the record for most votes ever received in NH primary surpassing the record of the Bernie Bros in 2016
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Bunu post. Please ignore it.
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Nikita’s drats will not vote for her or any R. If she got only 25 percent of the R vote that is pathetic.
I thought nh indies are largely drats.
Also, thry need to close the same day voter registration. Recipe for fraud that cost Ayotte in part.
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Vivek is calling Haley out.
The REAL reason she is staying in the race is because the megadonors and deepstate are planning to remove Trump one way or another before the convention.
If she can limp along to the convention, they can then install Neocon Nikki as the party leader or install her afterwards if she becomes the VP.
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Nikki the BLM Panderer is basically Jeb! deja vu.
Like Jeb! she HAD a conservative record as governor to run on had she wanted.
Jeb! decided that what the electorate wanted was “illegal immigration is an act of love” The illegal immigration quote was tremendously destructive to his candidacy.
IMO, Nikki the BLM Panderer destroyed any chance she ever had with this tweet:
“It’s important to understand that the death of George Floyd was personal and painful for many. In order to heal, it needs to be personal and painful for everyone.”
Bitter denies this is pandering, but that is like denying the sun rises in the East. It is an obvious attempt to put a guilt trip and assign responsibility on all of America for the actions of a rogue cop in a liberal city in a liberal state.
If that is not pandering, what is? That was BLM’s argument. We are all racists and thus we all should share blame and all pay the price. The fact Haley thought she needed to support this absurd meme shows she is not qualified to be President.
Sorry, I don’t feel any responsibility for the actions of Derek Chauvin, who probably would have treated George Floyd the same way if he had been a white drug addict criminal in the process of committing a felony and resisting arrest. Derek Chauvin was a rogue cop, a bad apple. He should pay for his actions, but he alone is responsible for them.
Nikki “you must feel my pain” Haley should apologize for that tweet. It is never too late.
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New PA poll by Susquehanna (leans R) shows Biden crushing Trump in PA.
https://hotair.com/david-strom/2024/01/24/polls-suddenly-looking-different-now-that-trump-sealed-the-deal-n606901
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Who will be the first to try to unskew?
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Illinois Councilman: Let’s Put Illegals Up in Wealthy Mansions
Naperville City Councilman Josh McBroom suggested last week at a council meeting that residents should consider creating a signup sheet for residents to open up their homes to illegal immigrants. Naperville, a suburb of Chicago, is home to about 149,000 people.”
Damm, I am sure this will catch on like wildfire in Radnor too.
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Zzzzzzzzz Jason never posts her condemnation of BLM violence OR Trump being happy to receive support of BLM members.
While the A-hole bond is strong, this fissure will not heal.
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This is the one thing I have kept my eye on to have any hope in the general and its impact on down ballot voting. Trump didn’t like the fact that this was pointed out by his awesome former press secretary Kayleigh McEnany on Fox News last night so he attacked her in typical Trump fashion.
Trump has some major issues…in Iowa 4 out 10 Haley voters will not vote for Trump in the General and in NH 7 out of 10 Haley voters will not.
These voters are primarily moderate GOP and swing independents… very few Dems. Which Trump needs to win swing states. Trump and his campaign is selling through social media to the MAGA crowd that the majority of these are Democrats voting for Haley. Not true.
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Jan will. The cult is strong.
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Any alleged Republican who will not vote for Haley or Trump in a General Election should just vote for Biden or his replacement. It will have the same result and be more honest.
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I think Haley will drop out before SC.
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JeffP
Haley is worse than Genocide Joe.
We had this when the Bush’s hijacked the party. it’s impossible to regroup when the enemy is within your party. Even losing is better than having Haley on the ticket or as nominee.
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Haley won’t get by vote. I would not vote if she is the vp and trump is the pres nominee.
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Don’t care what shenanigans Nikita and the drats did in nh. That is why there was no drat primary.
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The adult in the Fox News world…
Fox News Chief Political Analyst Brit Hume was not impressed with Trump’s win in NH:
“If you think of him as an incumbent, this showing tonight’s weak, right? I mean, he should be doing better. And it’s also a sign of weakness that the independents and others who voted in this primary were… not welcomed by the Trump campaign and by a lot of his supporters…
There’s weakness there with Trump. There’s no doubt about it even if wins, you know, easily and going away. Look, he lost in 2020. His candidates lost in 2022. I mean, he has a lot of losses on his book.”
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Ronna Romney asks Nikita to quit the race. I think Nikita will do so actually. It would be embarrassing for the ex sc governor to lose by 20+ points in her own state.
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While sc is open there is a drat contest. Demented made a big deal about sc going first. The shenanigans won’t be so great like NH.
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Yep
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https://hotair.com/david-strom/2024/01/24/polls-suddenly-looking-different-now-that-trump-sealed-the-deal-n606901
Jason, we already talked about this poll yesterday. And its stupid what they are saying in this link. The last TWO national matchup polls show Trump ahead by FIVE, this from the Bullfinch Group and Morning Consult. In fact, Trump has led in 11 out of the last 13 national polls.
Furthermore, Trump trails by only 9 in NY according to Siena, and by 3 in VA according to VCU. Trump has led in EVERY poll of GA, nearly every poll in AZ, the majority of polls in MI, the majority of polls in PA, and half of the polls in WI.
But along comes ONE poll of PA, that goes against the others, and suddenly its seen as an omen because Trump has secured the nomination.
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To be fair, maybe Hume should have noticed that Trump set a record for votes gotten in a NH primary. I agree that Trump has weaknesses, but I didn’t see any in NH, a state he is very unlikely to win in the fall.
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Bunu is fired up today. Zzzzzzzz
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Biden appreciates Tina’s support.
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Hume would not notice his arse from his elbow.
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That was a good Trump showing in nh. He eclipsed bigly his 2016 vote margin.
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Isn’t trump the first candidate to win both Iowa and nh in more modern times?
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All kinds of goofiness today. Just a few weeks ago it was an open question as to whether or not Trump would win NH at all. One poll from ARG had it a virtual tie. Then late polls showed momentum to Trump, but because he didn’t get 60% in NH he is suddenly weak?
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Nice showing by President Trump last night.
Lee Zeldin would be a pretty good choice for VP.
It’s apparent that big donors are keeping Haley in the race hoping that the lawfare being waged against President Trump is successful. I would hope that influential Republicans begin to speak up and call out those responsible for this abuse of the legal system.
On another subject, I like the fact that Gov Abbott ordered the Texas National Guard to put up more razor wire, in spite of the SCOTUS decision. Pretty nervy of him.
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/texas-installs-more-razor-wire-at-border-as-gop-rages-over-scotus-ruling/ar-BB1h9Bnm
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When he was running against 217 other candidates in 2016? I expect he would do better with only 1 opponent.
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tinahhr
January 24, 2024 at 8:58 am
Haley won’t get by vote. I would not vote if she is the vp and trump is the pres nominee.”
I rarely agree with Tina on anything, but there is a first for everything.
Nikki the BLM Panderer on the ticket is a deal breaker for me.
But I will still vote for McCormick for the Senate.
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Hume is right.
Nothing very impressive about Trump’s NH win.
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Putin says he wants Alaska back, the sale was “illegitimate” as he puts it.
Have Putin Toadies Janzam and Tina declared we don’t really need Alaska yet?
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If there is a gender problem with trump (not sure I buy it), wouldn’t Noem or Sarah sanders be better. Noem did not lock down and Sarah sanders is a rock star.
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He got 55 percent. That is what the poles suggested. Some were lower and some higher. Over 170,000 votes (broke his 2016 record).
I know the gop-e grifters (advisers) are looking for new payouts and fees.
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MizDonna
@donwill94062871
Narrative vs Reality.
Iowa
N: lack of GOP enthusiasm, low turnout
R: Trump received more votes than any candidate ever
NH
N: Trump underperformed
R: Trump received more votes than any candidate ever in the #fitn & Nikki relied on Dem crossover votes in a GOP race
On to NV!
5:55 AM · Jan 24, 2024
·
1,003
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Biden appreciates your support. You should just vote for him because the result is the same and be honest about it.
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More “Az r “ trash
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I guess I disagree with jason and Hume. It is never easy for any candidate who isn’t a sitting president to win both IA and NH. I get that Trump is sort of a quasi-incumbent, but he did not run unopposed, and he still won both states. Trump has many problems, I willingly admit that, but winning the first two states is not one of them.
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When was the last time there were only 2 GOP candidates in a contested NH primary? Maybe when Pat Buchanan ran against GWB in 1992. GWB had 58% (better than Trump) and Buchanan 40% (less than Haley).
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Sorry, both IA and NH were unconvincing, because in effect Trump is running as an incumbent.
If he was really that popular, he would be at least at 70%+.
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Other than Discovery and History Channel shows, what really goes on in Alaska?
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Bitterlaw
January 24, 2024 at 10:22 am
Biden appreciates your support. You should just vote for him because the result is the same and be honest about it. ”
Life is full of tough decisions.
I decided long ago I don’t vote for candidates I don’t think are qualified for the office, and I won’t ever regret doing so even if I am later proven wrong, you have to make decisions based on the facts at hand.
Nikki “you must feel my pain” Haley pandered to the absolute worst in our society because she did not have the decency, moral courage, or common sense to resist the pressure to do so. A single tweet exposed her for what she is, a candidated who can never be trusted on anything she says.
Biden might be even worse. It doesn’t matter to me.
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Just a few weeks ago it was an open question as to whether or not Trump would win NH at all. Now the goalposts have been moved…he won with 55% of the vote, but it wasn’t 70% so he isn’t popular.
I would have been thrilled if DeSantis had won IA and NH grabbing just 50% of the vote in each state. You would have been too. And nobody would have accused him of not being popular enough in those wins.
Trump is deeply flawed, and I wish we had DeSantis instead. Because we don’t, we have to do this 2024 election the hard way. But saying Trump’s wins were unconvincing, when he was more convincing, by far, than all those who ran against him is just silly.
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Other than Discovery and History Channel shows, what really goes on in Alaska?”
What really goes on outside of Discovery and History Channel shows?
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Last night was very exciting on Oak Island.
They pretty much decided the clues to the treasure can be found just about anywhere, Lot 5, the Swamp, the Garden Shaft, the Baby Blob, etc.
I think this is significant based on the knowing looks everyone gives when this information is provided.
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Zzzzzz. Just accept that you will be supporting Biden graciously. GFY
I still have my last exchange with Wes saved. It is interesting that based on different reasons, both Jason and Wes would accept a Biden victory. Wes would have voted for Biden if Trump was the nominee. Jason will not vote if Haley is the VP nominee (which has the same effect as voting for Biden). Ironic that Wes and Jason had so many disagreements but would potentially have supported Biden depending upon circumstances.
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But saying Trump’s wins were unconvincing, when he was more convincing, by far, than all those who ran against him is just silly.”
Sorry, DW, but i never moved any goal posts. In fact, last night I predicted he would win by 20.
Getting half the vote in IA and winning NH by 10 over a horribly weak candidate like Nikki Haley is not convincing at all.
In fact, it is very indicative that his support is soft and a poor indicator for the GE.
I think you are engaging in wishful thinking if you think these results are in any way “convincing”. They are anything but.
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The treasure is in Walt’s pond. Drain it and collect. Walt won’t mind. He still has the Templar Knights’ loot.
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Zzzzzz. Just accept that you will be supporting Biden graciously.”
LOL.
Sounds like when Bitter was not voting “for Biden”, he was voting “against Hillary”.
No, I am not supporting Biden, that is an absolute load of crap.
If the GOP wants my vote, they can put up a qualified candidate. It is not too much to ask.
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Sounds like when Bitter was not voting “for Biden”, he was voting “against Hillary”.
Hmm, make that “for Trump”.
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I am under no delusion that Trump will win NH in the general election. I don’t think any Republican would win that state, simply because too many Democrats live there and they vote. At this point the general election is a tossup. I am not as pessimistic as Bitter, nor am I thinking Trump cannot be defeated. Trump absolutely could lose, and lose spectacularly.
The problems in predicting what will happen are many.
1. We don’t know who the Dems will run. Clearly Biden can’t do it. And I don’t think they can entirely keep him in the basement for the next 10 and half months.
2. We don’t know what virus the Chinese are cooking up and when it will be released, and what impact that will have on the election.
3. We don’t know the extent and severity of the forthcoming terrorist attack and how that will impact the election.
4. We don’t know what Trump will do, but he is very much a loose cannon and can easily self-destruct.
5. We don’t yet know how bad the economy will in the weeks prior to the election.
6. We don’t know how the wars in the middle east and Ukraine will impact the election.
7. We don’t know how many wars Biden will get us into this year, in his attempts to distract voters.
8. We DO know that ballot fraud will be rampant as states print millions of ballots and mail them to empty lots where nobody lives–making them available to ballot harvesters.
9. We DO know that the media will shill for the Dem candidate 24/7.
10. We DO know that the Dem candidate will try to buy as many votes as possible through extensive pandering.
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Here is simple math for my Incan A-hole. If somebody votes for Biden, he gets 1 vote. If somebody votes for Trump. Trump gets 1 vote. That leaves Biden and Trump tied 1-1. However, if somebody chooses to not vote for Trump, then Biden has 1 vote and Trump has 0 votes. Biden wins 1-0.
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Do you want me to edit your first post? I have that magical power.
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DW, I didn’t say Trump can’t win in November. Anything could happen.
I said I thought his IA and NH wins were extremely unconvincing.
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Damn. With 2 and 3 above, is DW trying to turn HHR into Gateway Pundit with conspiracy theories?
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Congratulations janzam. I predicted 56-43. I blame Vermin Supreme for stealing enough votes to swing that crucial point.
Big Joe
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Bitterlaw
January 24, 2024 at 11:08 am
Here is simple math for my Incan A-hole. If somebody votes for Biden, he gets 1 vote. If somebody votes for Trump. Trump gets 1 vote. That leaves Biden and Trump tied 1-1. However, if somebody chooses to not vote for Trump, then Biden has 1 vote and Trump has 0 votes. Biden wins 1-0.”
What a bunch of convoluted fake math that is. You need to stop using Kommie Kory as your math teacher.
Here is how math works in the real world.
If I vote for Biden, he gets 1 vote. If I don’t vote for Biden he gets 0 votes.
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It was a good effort. GFY
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Hey Big Joe, Happy New Year.
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S&P touches 4900 and retreats
Big Joe
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La dem Nikita will get nothing from the Nv caucus. She is not in it.
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$167.2 million spent by the the gop-e to lose nh and Iowa.
Vs
$34 million spent by trump to win those two contests.
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Happy New Year Jason! These years go by fast, can’t believe we are already in the thick of the next election.
Big Joe
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If I am going to be blamed for Biden winning, I am sure I will have lots of good company.
I predict millions of Republicans and conservatives will not vote for a ticket that has a shameless despicable BLM Panderer on it.
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These years go by fast, can’t believe we are already in the thick of the next election.”
With Biden and Trump again, who wouda thunk.
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Joe Biden:
“We’ll teach Donald Trump a, uh, valuable lesson,”
“Don’t mess with thewolmanamarka unless you wanna get the ben…,” he said.
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Or the 50 million of attack adds spent on DeSantis by Trump and Haley. Pretty stupid… I really have no sympathy for faux conservative establishment candidates like Trump and Haley.
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“With Biden and Trump again, who wouda thunk.”
I know right. i was told so many times that Kamala would have euthanized Grampa Joe and replaced him by now. I guess there is still time. I’m sounding like DW now.
Big Joe
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It’s over Trump is the nominee.
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Charles Cook.
“In the last few weeks, I’ve heard a few people ask me rhetorically, “So what’s Haley’s plan? To just stay in and rack up delegates in case something happens to Trump?” To which my instinctive response has been, “er . . . actually, yeah?” Trump is an overweight, lazy, deranged 77-year-old who is under indictment from all corners. It really is not beyond the pale to observe that a lot of bad things could happen to him before November. He could die. He could have a heart attack or a stroke. He could fall off a stage. He could be convicted. He could be jailed. In the NFL, teams often carry two backup quarterbacks. Wouldn’t it be a good idea for the Republican Party to carry at least one? “Strange things” do, indeed, “happen.” Providing that she has the money, Haley ought to stay in for as long as she can.”
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JeffP
January 24, 2024 at 11:29 am
It’s over Trump is the nominee.”
I thought you said he was “finished”.
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Nothing to see here.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/01/culling-vs-raffensperger-lawsuit-evidence-voting-machine-vulnerabilities/
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He is finished … he will never become President again.
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Forgot the link to the $134 million blown by the gop-e.
https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/01/23/nikki-haley-spends-31m-losing-new-hampshire-primary-bid/
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Zzzzzzz
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DRUDGE
“SHOCK: 35% OF REPUBLICANS WILL NOT VOTE FOR THE DON!”
Factor that into the GE.
Another 11% would not like it, but would actually hold nose and vote for Trump in GE.
Trump’s persona and personal, and etc. negatives are baked in.
Overlooked by many in 2016.
Not overlooked in 2020.
(After 4 years of being in office and watching him and his behavior)
Not gonna be overlooked in 2024.
(after watching him and his behavior from Jan, 2021 to now)
Trump is his own worst enemy.
He is no longer an unknown quantity.
No longer will voters on the fence give him the benefit of the doubt.
Sorry Jan. that is the reality.
If you want to actually win the White House and effect good policy, you first have to have a candidate who can be elected in November.
Trump is simply not that candidate.
No amount of spin will change that.
Trump is not acceptable to a boatload of Rs, majority of Indys and soft Ds.
But after the election, we can analyze and say, “wasn’t it wonderful that Trump only lost NY by 9 points, only lost Cal. by 15%, only lost PA by 3%, only lost….
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Not true. Voting for Trump cancels out 1 Biden vote. Not voting for Trump leads to Biden +[.
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Marv,
I was scrolling and reading fast when I read fast when you wrote
“Lee Zeldin would be a pretty good choice for VP.”
and I thought you said LED ZEPLIN.
Funny.
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DW, your 10-point post had cogent possibilities and questions about the upcoming election. I agree with every one of them, hoping few become reality. I also give you kudos for analyzing the election results factually, rather than through the lens of disappointment that your candidate of choice, RDS, wasn’t out front instead of DJT.
I personally feel, however, Trump has a real uphill battle to even win the nomination, let alone the 270 electoral prize at the end of the GE. The corporatists and globalists are the enemies of free people, and they will do anything and everything to deter Trump, who, no matter what you may think about him, is considered the “Braveheart” of the grassroots, working/middle class peoples. Haley, is definitely the new shiny vehicle of Anti-Trumpers given the assignment of weakening him. After NH she is having 15 different donor forays with billionaires, many of whom are democrats. On their monetary fumes she will go on and act like she is winning, whether or not if that’s true. Last night Nikki Haley showed me her real colors, and they were far from Republican. In fact her campaign is being basically sustained by a mixture of democrats, and republicans who collude with them in policy-making most of us detest. That’s why if she should be become the R nominee I won’t vote for her. IMO, it would be like voting for a Republican in democrat clothing.
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JeffP Avatar
JeffP
January 24, 2024 at 11:33 am
He is finished … he will never become President again.”
Nah, nah, no moving of goalposts.
You were giddy with all the fake indictments and couldn’t wait to tell how they would “doom” Trump’s nomination.
The Internet is forever.
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BOOM
National poll
The Messenger/HarrisX
1/17 – 1/21
3034 RV
Trump 48
Biden 41
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Bitterlaw Avatar
Bitterlaw
January 24, 2024 at 11:57 am
Not true. Voting for Trump cancels out 1 Biden vote. Not voting for Trump leads to Biden +[.”
Huh, no. Fake math.
Let’s go back to the blackboard. None of this “cancel out” BS.
If I vote for Biden it gives him 1 vote. If I don’t vote for him he gets 0 votes.
THAT is the only “math” here.
You said I was “supporting Biden”. That is a lie. Not voting for the BLM Panderer is not a vote for Biden no matter how much Kommie Korie math you try to invent.
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Irony Meter explodes as Jan’s cult leader Trump is literally a Democrat in Republican clothing.
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#2 and #3 are not at all unrealistic Bitter. China put out a virus 4 years ago, and it did impact our election with all the ballots floating around for ballet harvesters to fill out and drop in a box with no chain of custody. If they did it 4 years ago, why not try it again.
And with the wide open borders, why wouldn’t radicals do again what they have successfully done before, and launch a terror attack here on our soil?
Whacky conspiracy pages might be predicting stuff that has never happened before. I am just predicting that things happen that have happened before.
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Last night Nikki Haley showed me her real colors, and they were far from Republican”
Janzam is a jokester.
Nikki Haley has been an actual Republican her whole life.
Donald Trump has been a Democrat most of his life who became a Republican for “convenience” in the last 5 minutes of his political life.
Donald Trump’s real colors were always Democratic. Nikki Haley’s real colors wer always and still are Republican.
That is true whether I would vote for her or not, which I wouldn’t.
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Look at 2020 Georgia, apparently they have more ballots than ballot images.
But even lard arses like Bondo Barr have moved on from “no election fraud” to “no widespread election fraud.” They don’t define “widespread.”
It’s kind of like Bondo say trump was “entitled” to the documents, but he “did not return them back fast enough.”
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If you don’t oppose Biden by voting, you are making his election easier. Therefore, you support his election if you don’t vote.
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La Dem Nikita will wait for polling and she will back out. I am sure she wants to run in Sc again, the drats in sc won’t help her for the reason I already noted, and she probably could get a cabinet position this time, even though she is dumb as dumb can be.
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Trump is Braveheart? Wow. Did Jan see the end of that movie?
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Remember as ambassador to the n, she still reported to head of te state dept. Her warmongering and stupidity was limited.
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Trump received 70% of the Republican vote, while 30% were gleaned from Dems and Indies. Haley had the exact reversal – 70% of her votes were from Dems and Indies, while only 30% came from republicans. NH has 2 dem senators and is generally considered a blue state. Despite this Trump was able to inspire enough republicans to come out and vote, winning by an unprecedented 11 points. Bitter, your cult leader, a Republican depending on Dems, is more a Republican in dem clothing than her opponent simply by honestly applying the math.
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The guy who is funding Haley, Reid Hoffman, was an island boy
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RNC Research
@RNCResearch
·
21h
Democrat Rep. Dean Phillips: “My party is completely delusional right now”
Joni Job
@jj_talking
Dean Phillips – you’re not asking the questions that Americans give a sh*t about- in fact most of the people are going to the Trump rally right now because he’s listening to them.
If I were a
@TheDemocrats
I’d vote for him.
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“I’m alive”
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and here you thought they suicided him lol
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Maybe Bunu is a robot poster. Humans would lose interest in being a joke for more than a decade.
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Zzzzzzz I preferred DeSantis until he went weak on Ukraine. I decided on voting for either Christie or Haley because unlike Trump (moron regarding Ukraine), they support America’s strategic interest. Christie dropped out, so that left Haley. If she abandons support for Ukraine, I will just write in Christie in the PA primary. Haley is a conservative Republican and Trump is neither. Still, Trump is going to be the nominee so he will get my vote on his way to losing.
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Bitterlaw
January 24, 2024 at 12:34 pm
If you don’t oppose Biden by voting, you are making his election easier.”
Ah, this is somewhat better, because it left out the fake math part.
And we moved the goalposts from “supporting Biden” to “not opposing Biden by voting” which is an improvement.
Still, by sitting out the election, the correct interpretation is that I am not helping ANY candidate.
If by not voting I am not helping any candidate that is unqualified for office, that would be my intention.
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As opposed to Tina who just copies and posts nonsense from conspiracy blogs and sites? Forced to choose, I think Haley is more intelligent than retired Federal employee Tina.
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. Bitter, your cult leader, a Republican depending on Dems, is more a Republican in dem clothing than her opponent simply by honestly applying the math.”
Janzam should stay out of the “math” part too.
Winning a majority of the “declared R” vote is no great thing for Trump, quite the contrary.
What would have been impressive would have been IF he could have cornered some of the Indy vote that went to Haley.
There are not enough Rs to win the Presidency. Trump would need a majority of Indies to vote for him to win.
Trump underperformed in both IA and NH exactly because he only won his base.
THAT is the “math” that doesn’t work for him.
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“Trump would need a majority of Indies to vote for him to win.”
And in national poll after national poll, Trump leads Biden among indies.
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In the real world, either Biden (or replacement) or Trump will win. Not voting for Trump gives Biden +1.
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”What would have been impressive would have been IF he could have cornered some of the Indy vote that went to Haley.”
Get an updated math book. That’s an old strategic gambit. Most current day data experts have shown indies are not that persuadable in their leanings. What produces more votes for the Republican party is going after and targeting low-propensity voters – ones who are ideologically Republican, but who don’t actually get out to vote. In NH, that’s exactly what happened for Trump. He was able to enthuse a greater number of republicans to participate in voting, creating the 11 Pt winning margin, despite the numbers of indies and Dems who came out to diminish Trump by voting for a Haley.
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In PA, Biden is now running ads on ABORTION and claiming the economy is finally recovering from the damage Trump caused. Just letting you know what the Dems will be saying in the campaign. Plus “insurrection.”
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Nikki Haley is so smitten by Hillary Clinton that she even duplicated her “Basket of Deplorables” moment right before the NH primary.
Charles R Downs
@TheCharlesDowns
·
Follow
Nikki Haley said on Fox and Friends that President Trump’s supporters aren’t normal people. What an awful thing to say. All trump supporters in New Hampshire must get out and vote. It’s so important to send the globalists a big message at the ballot box.
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The Canadian court just found Trudeau’s authoritarian actions towards the truckers were unconstitutional. Eventually, I strongly feel a similar ruling will happen in how the DOJ and Intel community has colored and mishandled the J6 protesters.
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Yahoo Headline:
“Travis Kelce on What Taylor Swift Really Thought About Jason Kelce Going Shirtless at Their First Meeting”
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“Trump would need a majority of Indies to vote for him to win.”
And in national poll after national poll, Trump leads Biden among indies.”
Polls are polls, votes are votes.
Indies in NH went big for Haley.
I doubt they will go for Trump in the GE.
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. Not voting for Trump gives Biden +1.”
Damm, the bad math is back again.
Nah. Not voting for Trump gives Trump 0 and Biden 0.
No amount of creative “math” changes that.
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Most current day data experts”
LOL
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Nikki Haley the Panderer Queen has a big problem as a politician.
It seems the more people know about her the less they like her.
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More evidence Trump’s win in NH was nothing to crow about.
Fred Bauer
“If these results indicate the long odds Haley confronts win the primary, however, they also signal some of the structural challenges that Trump may face in a general election. His win over Haley was decisive but not overwhelming. And some of the data from exit polls suggest that a significant portion of Haley’s vote does not come simply from otherwise-Democratic voters who decided to vote in the New Hampshire primary this year. More than 80 percent of the electorate had voted in a Republican primary before, and Haley won 40 percent of these voters. Throughout the primary, Trump has tried to position himself as the de facto incumbent and has been treated that way by many Republicans. An “incumbent” getting only 60 percent of the vote from past Republican primary voters wouldn’t seem to be operating from a position of strength.”
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Voting is cumulative. All of Biden’s votes are added up. All of Trump’s votes are added up. If Biden has 1 more vote than Trump because you did not vote, Biden wins by 1. If you had voted for Trump, it would be a tie.
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Canadian courts are hearing J6 cases now? Wissing never had this level of fact finding.
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I think Jan’s cult-like devotion to Trump is not normal. Sue me.
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While Bitter’s “math” sucks, I tend to agree with his pessimism for the GE.
Nothing I have seen so far makes me think other than this is Biden’s race to lose if the R nominee is Trump.
Trump cannot unite the GOP, the only person that possibly could have done that was the Golden Calf.
The GOP is going into this GE with a deeply flawed and divisive candidate that is once again going to be poorly funded and poorly organized. The RNC is in disarray. The election will be about Trump and not the issues.
The best the GOP can hope for is some unexpected event that will change the dynamics.
Barring that, Biden is one lucky bastard.
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If Biden has 1 more vote than Trump because you did not vote, Biden wins by 1. If you had voted for Trump, it would be a tie.”
Zzzzzzz……..
I can sleep well at night if that is the only chance I am taking in life.
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Voting is cumulative. All of Biden’s votes are added up. All of Trump’s votes are added up. If Biden has 1 more vote than Trump because you did not vote, Biden wins by 1. If you had voted for Trump, it would be a tie.”
Of course, this is a silly made up fantasy too. The US uses the EC, so it doesn’t really matter who has “more votes”.
But Bitter knows that.
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Bitter and Jason – you both do know (I hope) that you are both right…in a way and are just playing a game of semantics
(Bitter I can see you in court trying to get someone to answer yes or no to a question that is neither and getting the judge to force the witness to say one or the other)
Jason. By not voting you are not implicitly helping Biden, you are purposely hurting Trump.
Again, you are both right, or in HHR fashion…both can be true
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But Jan assured us that Trump is like Braveheart! Presumably before he was hanged, drawn and quartered.
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https://tippinsights.com/the-winner/
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https://www.georgiarecord.com/fulton-county/2024/01/22/breaking-georgia-legislature-empowers-panel-with-subpoena-power-to-investigate-fani-willis-nathan-wade-conduct/
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More razor wire please.
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Beotch and Souter 2.0 (and well as the 3 commies) should know the law.
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So basically what I’m hearing is that the November election is useless. We will lose all three “elections” and the dems will have the White House, House and Senate
No need to vote. No need to campaign. Why bother. Let’s just coronate the Dems. How many seats should we give them in the House? What races do we give to the Dems in the Senate?
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Tina. They didn’t rule on the law. They ruled on whether the courts decision should stand until the 5th circuit rules, and then the SC can review it based on law
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Arrest any federal border guard taking the wire down.
Kick them out of areas.
Indict demented for harboring and transporting illegals.
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Thank you Gov. Abbott. Its about time. Long overdue.
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Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
Today’s Trump v. Biden Polls on
@RCPolitics
:
YouGov: Trump +1
HarrisX: Trump +7
Morning Consult: Trump +5
So much for the “as soon as” poll swing certain people who never predict anything correctly, predicted.
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Reid Hoffman (drat) funder for la dem Nikita has pulled funding, after her loss. (Mslsd).
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It’s always, Bushie, Beotchy, or Souter 2.0 ruling incorrectly. They love vax mandates, gubment rules, etc.
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I think Rand Paul is an underrated VP prospect if it’s not going to be Vivek or Flynn
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HHR has been around since 2003. Tina said nothing about Trump’s donations to hard core Leftists for decades. Ever since 2015 she has given Trump a free pass on the issue.
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Baris could have also listed these recent ones too…
The Bullfinch Group
Jan. 19-22
1,002 RV
Trump 47%
Biden 42%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Jan. 18
1,205 LV
Trump 42
Biden 41
Harvard-Harris
1/17 – 1/18
2346 RV
Trump 53
Biden 47
Echelon Insights
Jan. 16-18
1,029 LV
Trump 47
Biden 46
CBS News
1/10 – 1/12
1906 LV
Trump 50
Biden 48
Rasmussen Reports
1/7 – 1/9
968 LV
Trump 49
Biden 41
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And the cases would be dismissed by any judge at the first Hearing.
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Rand won’t be the veep either.
My $$$ is on Rds, Noem, or sanders.
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Vic – Don’t bother. Tina went to Gateway Pundit Law School.
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Nothing has changed with the election. Trump stills nationally, the economy is the sheots, and inflation is still awful.
My auto is now going up 20.2 percent. This on top of a 42 percent increase in my homeowners.
Anyone check the grocery prices?
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Leads*
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And who taught you the law?
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“My $$$ is on Rds, Noem, or sanders.”
Noem is not ready for prime time (another Sarah Palin type)
RDS is one of the insurrectionists (he would stab Trump in the back on a dime just like Pence)
and who is Sanders?
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Az gop chairperson resigns for ting to bribe Kari lake.
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Vic – I will always vote regardless of the impending losses. The Dems will be running on Trump’s “insurrection” and abortion. It helped them in 2021, 2022 and 2023. I don’t see it changing. I hope I am wrong.
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https://x.com/gregabbott_tx/status/1750235544951349275?s=61&t=uLyKpWBwDwyCK292uUHCSA
Abbott is standing firm.
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Another Bunu post. Zzzzzzzzz
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Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
Per Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
:
Reid Hoffman, Nick Knack’s biggest donor & bundles of DemoKKKrat $$, has bailed. This is tens of millions of Zuckerbucks.
How does it feel to be DeSoros, Nick Knack?
12:18 PM · Jan 24, 2024
·
641
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Texas has already kicked the border guard out of areas surrounding Shelby park. It’s off limits to them.
Demeneted cansue
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Sara huckabee sanders. (She uses her married last name, sanders.
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And yes, arrest the border guard cutting Texas property.
Don’t back down.
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Ship the illegals to Delaware and to the homes of Beotchy and Souter 2.0.
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The insurrectionists should be removed form the party.
Putting any of them in the administrations just means a repeat of last time.
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Sanders is a “no,” as she likes where she is as governor. RDS needs to make up for his absence in FL. Noem is a possibility as is Elise Stefanik. I personally like Mark Robinson and Bryon Donalds. Ben Carson’s name has been floated around too. However, I’m getting an inkling about Vivek being considered. He’s been very visible on stage with Trump and his family since his endorsement, even being asked to say a few words (like he’s trying out for the job). Also, I remember reading he was a friend of Jared and Ivanka, with others saying he would appeal to youth, libertarians and indies. I’m not really down with such a choice as there is still too much unknown about the guy.
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This thread is getting long. A new thread will go up at 6:00. Thank you for your continued participation.
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I wonder if demented will send the fib goons to arrest the Texas Governor?
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You are doing a fine job with the threads.
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Trump also needs to make an issue about Kampala. She is dumber the dim and a heartbeat away from fragile demented
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I wonder why Abbott has suddenly become so confrontational? It’s great what he is doing, but so unlike a Republican to grow a spine and actually defy a Dems orders.
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Well the sc did not say that Texas had to STOP placing razor wire.
This is a constitutional dispute. The wild cards will still be Souter 2.0; Beotchy; and Bushie, who May sheot himself.
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How does a normal candidate for nation office behave after he wins a primary? How does Trump behave?
NORMAL R candidate primary winner being interviewed right after he is declared the winner.
“I would like to thank all my supporters…blah blah, blah… ”
“And I congratulate my primary worthy opponent, and her supporters, who waged a hard-fought campaign to win the R nomination but came up short. My opponent and her supporters all want what I want–to bring a positive change and lead us in the direction where our country is made better in every way than instead of barreling down the road to 4 more years of disasters and failed policies of the Biden Administration that harm Americans and American families economically and put the security of our nation in real peril. I welcome all freedom loving, America loving voters of my worthy opponent to join with me and come support me so we can end the harmful absurdities imposed upon America by the Biden Administration of big, intrusive and absolutely wrong far left policies imposed by an out of touch big government.”
TRUMP. “That F–king Haley! She is scum. That B-tch refuses to stop her campaign. I destroyed her in the election. But she jumps on stage and claims a “victory’. She is CLUELESS!
The nerve!”
**********************************************
Jan, et all:
THAT is the problem! It is ALWAYS, ALL .ABOUT. TRUMP! Never about what is good for the party or the country. Never about being gracious to those primary opponents who he defeats.
In the Primaries, it is NEVER about the BIG picture OF WHO THE REAL ENEMY IS (BIDEN AND HIS DISASTEROUS POLICIES) AND TRUP NEVER SEES THE BIG PICTURE (WINNING IN NOVEMBER) BECAUSE HE IS SO FOUCSED ON DESTROYING HIS RPRIMARY OPPONENTS.
EVEN AFTER THE PRIMARY IS OVER AND HE GOT THE MOST VOTES! He still spends 99% of his time trashing his R opponents.
INSTEAD, to Trump THEY–his primary opponents–ARE THE ENEMY (NOT JUST A PRIMARY OPPONENT). THE ENEMY!
TO TRUMP, THEY MUST BE PERSONALLY, PROFESSIONALLY, POLITICALLY ANIHILATED and utterly destroyed TO ASHES.
THAT is the guy you think can unite America….
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And if the dc appeal court concludes that a president has no immunity for acts while president, then demented should be charged.
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Trump cannot unite AMerica.
Hell, he cannot even unite the R party.
And works overtime to make sure the R party is NOT united.
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I was never for Beotchy on the court. Beotchy believes in the good faith/intent of the federal gubment. That is why she loves vax mandates and other mandates.
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I will forever be THANKFUL and GRATEFUL that Trump defeated Hilary Clinton in 2016.
I was happy shocked.
Even with all the Trump missteps and (mostly) self inflicted failures.
His 4 years a s president were 10 times better than what 4 years of Hilary Clinton would have given us.
******************************************************
IF…IF Trump somehow, by some miracle, gets elected in 2024, then his administration will be 5 to 10 time better than another 4 years of the Biden Doufus.
But a DeSantis Presidency would have give us an administration that was 100 ties better than 4 more years of Biden Doufus.
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In Trump’s first book he said he wanted to lose everything to figure out who is disloyal, and we sure have seen a lot of them over the past 4 years.
Many of them plotting with Biden to deny Trump won the election in 2020
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Vivek appeals to no one but himself and the Paul wing. He’s ten times more vitriolic thank Trump and acts like a snake oil salesman
The others on your list are complete non starters. None of them help win the GE
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2016
Hillary was a HATED, DESPISED, known quantity!
Trump was fairly unknown.
Trump advantage.
2020
Trump no longer an unknown quantity.
Trump DISadvantage.
Trump his own worst enemy.
2024
Trump definitely NOT and unknown quantity.
Trump DISadvantage.
Trump STILL his own worst enemy.
That will never change.
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In 1972, Nixon was NOT LIKED by any.
But at least he was viewed as a competent A-hole.
Ti 2024, Trump is just viewed as an A-hole.
An incompetent one.
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Justice Barrett is a strong conservative Supreme Court Justice. She is married with 7 children (2 adopted from Haiti). Frustrated blog lawyer (Gateway Pundit Law School) Tina dismisses her as a bitch.
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Judges shouldn’t be able to control our money.
Bitcoin fixes this.
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Vic, who would you see as helping to win in the GE, other than Haley?
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I really should just impose a registration system but I don’t want to lose real posters just to block Bunu.
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Jan – that’s the problem. Noem doesn’t. Make Sanders does. Kim Reynolds’s would have but she’s toast by endorsing RDS
I can tell you it won’t be a man. Can’t be a man
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Trump can pick anybody he wants. It could even be a self-torpedoing pick. Remember in 1992 Ross Perot ran for the Reform Party, and in the polling he started to get spooked because it looked like he was gaining ground and could become a serious contender to split the middle and beat both Clinton and Bush. So he picked a 69 year old retired vice-admiral of the Navy, James Stockdale, someone without any political experience who nobody ever heard of. He was too much like Perot himself, and the polling thereafter cooled for Perot. Had he picked a credible veep, hard to know how that election would have turned out.
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So 35% of the Rs will vote for dem Ted?
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And demented is so nice compared to trump /s
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I’m not sure there can be a reunification of the Republican Party as it now stands. For years now people have seen few differences between the two major parties, hence the names”Uniparty” is often used to describe their overlapping actions. I also see this party-blending is why Independents have become a major faction in the political spectrum, as fewer and fewer people want to identify with a party who has gone so far afield from their own ideals/values – a Ronald Reagan anecdote of “I didn’t leave the party, the party left me.”
I think this kind of identity dissatisfaction is why Trump’s appeal has grown with the politically disenfranchised segments of this country, loosely forming a populist wing. Consequently, it has been discussed in alternative media that elections are no longer between Dems and republicans, but, rather between populists and globalists. The former, populists consist mainly of workers, middle class, small business owners, individualists, while globalists are establishment politicians, legacy media types & academia, a citizenry ruled by a global governance. Therefore, I see people shifting around in their political frameworks, forming new ones aligned with who they are, fed by a society/culture of their own making, rather than dictated to by some kind outside globally “woke” authority.
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Hey hey hey HHR buddies. Walt found me in the wilderness.
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Good to see the gang’s mostly here. Thank you Bitterlaw for carrying on!!!
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welcome back wvally
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I need a user guide. Is it possible to reply to posts? Do you recommend installing the “jet pack” app I’m being prompted for, or just use the browser?
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Welcome back! You can reply to individual posts. I use Jet Pack on my phone and IPad. Not sure how others log in.
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YAY!
WVally is back!
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Ah. I had to change my settings to “view in reader” to see the threads. Cool. Well this is better than the old site for that alone. Looking forward to seeing the vibe ‘round here under the Bitterlaw reign 😉
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