I don’t think anyone saw this, but Haley\birdbrain is plotting to force a new a new mental competency test that she wants to force Trump to take (likely given by a liberal) so that she can remove Trump from office via the 25th amendment.
It falls on the vice president to enforce the 25th amendment to remove Trump so if Haley snakes her way, she will no doubt pull a Robert Mueller on Trump’s next term.
Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
Attendees at an event for
@NikkiHaley
earlier today told
@NEWSMAX
that they were “very disappointed with the turnout and lack of enthusiasm.”
5:09 PM · Jan 21, 2024
·
18.7K
Views
The attitude of so many Republican voters right now reminds me of the opening scene in the 3rd episode of A&E’s Hornblower series. Horatio Hornblower is leading his men to ambush French sailors who have come ashore to get more water. His plan was to capture them, change clothes, and then row back out to the main ship and take it.
As they watch from behind a log, the enemy approaches below them in a ravine, and one of Hornblower’s insubordinate and impulsive midshipman takes aim and is about to shoot and kill one of the Frenchmen. Hornblower reaches over and pushes down his gun, telling him, ‘No!’ The guy snaps back at Hornblower saying, “I thought the plan was to fight them!” Hornblower replies, “No, the plan is to defeat them.”
DeSantis supporters wanted to defeat the left in the 2024 election. Trump’s supporters, most of them, just want to fight the left.
I hope it works it out to a win, but with Trump, its doing this the hard way.
here are some of the Trump/Biden numbers from four years ago as Siena College tracked the state of New York:
29/61
32/57
32/57
29/65
33/58
36/55
So far this time…
37/46
36/46
37/46
Obviously a huge difference, and Trump is not going to win NY, but if the gap has really closed from 25 points to 9, then you know what it probably means for battleground states.
Good find, DW. Yeah, that kind of closing in NY means Trump sweeps the swing states. I don’t expect the NY gap to remain at 10 but if Trump closes the 2020 gap by, say, just four or five points he gets to the magic 270 nationally.
I will defer to the optimists. I think that Trump will lose and hand the House and Senate to the Dems. The only issue is whether Biden is allowed to run by his puppet masters or gets replaced.
Nice Hornblower story, DW. However, I never saw a plan from DeSantis to defeat the left. As for DJT he wants to both fight and defeat the left. In order to do the defeating part he has to create policy revolving around legislative origins versus the more ephemeral EOs.
Today’s polls — some of these are irrelevant since De Santis dropped out and I expect most of his support to go to Trump. If I were a betting man I would say the final is Trump 62, Haley 36 and then the rest. The irony is that DeSantis was trending upwards in NH, though not enough to make a difference.
Maybe I shared this story long ago but it is worth retelling.
One of my last campaigns for House of Delegates I had sent out letters to 780 new voters who had registered from Jan 1 of that year to end of September. Got over 10% of them back as “undeliverable”. Single member district, about 17,900 population, about 10,000 RVs.
Decided to take one of them to the fairly new apartment complex about a mile from my house to track this person down. The address was something like “unit 134”. There were only 115 or so apartment units in the complex. Went to the apartment complex office to further inquire. NOBODY of that name was EVER a resident in ANY of the units. The county clerk on charge of voting registrations, etc. was a former student of mine. Good person. A good Republican. Went to her to further inquire. She could give NO answer to this puzzling issue.
THIS IS WHY I AM SO OPPOSED TO DOING MASSIVE FLOOD OF MAIL IN BALLOTS LIKE WE HAVE TODAY. I know this is so small compared to a national race, but can you imagine 780 mail-in ballots being sent out and floating around somewhere and how these ballots could impact the election outcome in this little single member State house district?
In contested elections for this house seat, it was decided by 560 votes in my favor one time, about 300 in my favor twice, and about 300 NOT in my favor once. The other 3 elections I was unopposed.
Agreed, RDS was open to two terms vs DJT’s one term. However, there’s more to a successful presidency than the availability of two terms vs one. I looked over DeSantis’s policies, and they aligned with Trump’s, hence his early nickname of “Trump without the baggage.” But what DeSantis didn’t have was a broader picture of the world outside of FL. His one overseas junket was met with coolness by UK bankers and business leaders, who didn’t see him as having the necessary leadership qualities to be president. His forays and interactions with the public were awkward. Even in FL DeSantis was known to not return phone calls from officials in his own party. Most unfortunate, though, was how he irresponsibly burned through $150 million without having anything to show for it. He could have shared some of it to shore up the RNC’s lagging ballot collection infrastructure for the 2024 election, demonstrating an admirable skillset useful to enhance the chances of a Republican win. Such an act would have also enlarged his own image as someone looking beyond his own self interest to help his party nationally.
Walt – Your story was probably repeated 1,000X during the last elections, as Democrats made mail in voting their cornerstone, and the foundation of their wins. It is why they continued to do well in mid terms when they traditionally did not, or were not expected to.
It all comes from taking away “the cost of voting”. Im certain there are those would would read that and immediately wail and cry about there being costs to voting, but I do not mean, nor did the Framers mean, a physical payment being the cost. The framers though, in their inherent wisdom, that there should be some act associated with voting that took time in order to complete the vote. Some action needed to be required in order to ensure that the voter was properly engaged and informed.
What we have become is a nation of uneducated voters, who not only vote for those who will economically benefit them via increased government largess, but also voters who hear a soundbite, get inflamed, and vote, with little or no knowledge or background of an issue.
It is exactly what the Democrats advocate (the petty commoner doesn’t know what’s best for them, we, Elites, are smarter than they are, so we should make decisions and they follow, and those worshiping at the alter of big government/socialism agree).
If you have a valid reason for an absentee ballot, by all means you should be entitled to it. But, it should require some effort and checks for security to be valid. But this idea of mass registration, mass voting by mail without any type of check to validity is absurd, and a disservice to our Republic and all it stands for.
Liberals whine about letting everyone vote, and yes, everyone should vote, but that means getting up off your backside and doing the work needed to vote. Each citizen owes it to civil society to cast an informed vote as part of the social pact between a society. Those who blindly cast votes, and those who exploit this vote by mail system rife with fraud break their pledge to the community.
Jan…“However, I never saw a plan from DeSantis to defeat the left.”
This is so ridiculously ignorant. 😂
From someone who lives in California. You would think a Trump voter from Cali would have a modicum of appreciation for how RDS slayed the left including Fauci in Florence.
Another comparison on my races and the national presidential contest today.
When I ran, I ran on ISSUES,
Never engaged in personal attacks on my opponents.
The district was HEAVILY D (D 49%, Indy, 29% and 19% R).
I NEEDED Indy and D votes to win…
I am pretty conservative.
On a scale of 1-100 I would score 80%-85%+ on my positions reflecting and being in agreement with conservative issues and positions. I was, however, a leader in my county and region during the Statewide Teachers Strike around 1990 (12 or 13 years before I ran for office and some conservative voters held that against me).
I was considered to be a nice guy. Certain considered to be NOT an A-hole. LOTS of people (Ds, Indys, and R) who consistently voted for me who had opposite views of mine on various issues, but the still voted for me. They felt at least I was willing to listen to them and their view
and at least I was not an A-hole of a person. And I had a good head on my shoulders and a history of trying to do the right thing.
************************************************
Which brings me to Trump and the current race.
I (a good Republican and fairly staunch conservative) do not think I have EVER in 30 years I have seen Trump speak that I did not think “this guy really acts like an a-hole” and many other times I have seen him speak where I said ,”this guy really IS an A-hole.” It is the persona he projects. I do not think he can help it.
Unlike me, he was born rich, was a millionaire by the time he was 3 years old. After private school (again unlike me), he embarked on a business career. I do not fault him for being born wealthy or being successful, but many do and will hold that against him. He (unlike me) held no deeply held political views and had no political persuasion nor did he practice any in his personal and professional life. He would support liberal Ds and conservative Rs alike financially to achieve his OWN personal business goals. (Unlike me) in his voter registration he changed it any times from R to D to Indy, to R–whatever. Until 2016, when he adopted the R political views for his political gain. He got where he got due to his wealth and influence that such wealth brought with it. Privilege, wealth and influence more than the sweat of his brow…
He was one of those big donors who helped create the “swamp”.
What people relate to Donald Trump?
How many think he understands or relates to their economic position and condition?
Maybe he relates to people who have been divorced…and vice versa…
“Everyone who said DeSantis should have waited and would be a shoo in for 2024 fail to realize the MAGA machine is not going to ever relinquish control voluntarily.
They’re already grooming Don Jr for 2028.
The demand for loyalty and sense of entitlement will not be over until conservatives decisively reject it.
It will happen, just like voters rejected the Bush dynasty finally.”
You cannot be having a serious discussion about VP picks for Trump right now if you don't include Ron DeSantis, and that's just reality https://t.co/IVpWTcGO81
Now that it is possible that Fani Willis has committed several various types of fraud involving federal funds, I would be interested in serving as Special Counsel to investigate her. I would subpoena ALL forms of comms by anyone in her office in a search for persons outside her…
How is it a different landscape than 2016 when he indeed did win?
1. He is not running against Hilary Clinton.
2. He himself has a record of accomplishments and failures as president for 4 years.
Failures include:
–helping to flip an R senate to a D controlled senate
–helping cause the R House to flip to a D controlled house.
–unable to broaden his coalition to bring legislative success.
–unable to unite Americans
–unable to finish building the southern border wall
–ruling by EOs, all of which were revered by Bien 4 years later
–continually attacking and going to war with any and every R who would say or do anything that Trump did not like.
–failure to understand foreign affairs and saying Putin was a nice guy (one of Trump’s biggest weaknesses is his failure to understand foreign affairs any better than a 15 year old)
–failure to take advice from others who know more about issue X,Y,Z than Trump does or ever did or will.
Yes–successes too (surprising!), such as no wars, low inflation, high stock market, low energy prices, low unemployment, U.S. energy independence, slowing illegal crossing on southern border, SCOTUS nominees, etc.
So why did inept Biden, dwelling in his basement dingbat, beat Trump?
CROVID mail-in ballots by the millions, a CROVID crashed economy, superb Dem (legal and illegal) GOTV efforts where they needed it, a MSM who hated Trump, and Trump being
a first class A-Hole for 4 years as president.
Then we have Jan. 6th “insurrection” and Trump painted (rightly or wrongly) as the instigator. And 3 more years of Trump being an A-Hole in every way possible (stolen 2020 election claims without ponying up specifics, personal life, myriad of legal on-going court cases, trash-talking bad mouthing, and personal destruction scorched earth campaigns targeting other decent R candidates for POTUS nomination.
Biden beat Trump in 2020.
Which groups did Trump lose in 2020 that voted for him in bigger numbers in 2016?
Women? Suburbs? etc.
So, how will Trump defeat Biden in 2024?
For Trump to beat Biden in 2024 Trump has to have a better ground game on the months leading up to Nov..
How easy will it be to unite all factions within the R party that TRUMP has gone out of his way to disparage and alienate? To get all the people who were out working for DeSantis, Haley, etc. out to work instead for Trump doing all the door knocking, etc. nuts and bolts work needed to win an election. How many volunteers for DeSantis or Haley or whoever will just give Trump the finger when Trump asks them to work in the fall to elect him?
To all the Always Trumpers, you got what you wanted for 2024.
How will it play out?
Most probably,
Trump loses.
The Rs lose the House.
The Rs lose the Senate.
The Ds will tie everyone running to Trump and to Abortion.
It is a proven winning strategy.
Then the Rs can fight amongst themselves for the next 4 years (or 8) to figure out how they get out of the mess they got themselves into.
________________________________
The ONLY POSSIBLE saving grace SCENARIO is that the voters who elect Biden, in order to curb his ineffectual, idiotic, left-wing nuttiness are SMART ENOUGH to split their ticket and elect REPUBLICAN majorities in BOTH HOUSE AND SENATE to neuter THE BIDEN 2nd term
presidency.
Possible. Given the recent history of the intelligence of voters, not likely.
“What we have become is a nation of uneducated voters, who not only vote for those who will economically benefit them via increased government largess, but also voters who hear a soundbite, get inflamed, and vote, with little or no knowledge or background of an issue.”
###############################################
Vic,
Don’t get me started on this issue.
I am a retired social studies teacher with an M.A. plus 60 hours in History.
The degree and understanding of knowledge of government has undergone several huge drops during my 33 years of teaching (ending in Jan., 2003) and has further plummeted since.
The voters DO elect Trump and then elect huge D majorities in the House and Senate to keep Trump in check.
So you DO get Trump in the White House.
But he is handcuffed by congress,…
Yeah, that is another great scenario there to continue having yet more years of ineffective government that cannot get anything done.
Just what we need in times like these…
In the house district I represented, I was certainly aware of the several hundred supporters of mine who would had died or have moved out of my district over every 2-year time period. So it was imperative for me to regularly go to the court house and get a list of new voter who became registered in this district to send direct mailers specifically to them to tell them about me, what I stood for and to ask for their votr and support.
JEff – the SC didn’t decide the case, it only reinstated a lower court ruling (which was before the district court ruled) that allowed the border patrol to cut the wire. The lower court relied on the doctrine of federal power usurping state powers.
I believe this will end up on the SC docket, from there no idea which way Barrett goes. She was the swing vote. I don’t really count Roberts as a swing vote anymore. He’s more likely to side with the Dems on very important issues than with R…sadly.
This should show us how important it was that Trump was President and got three SC nominees. Bush’s nominees were marginal at best, and thank God he has one sunk. She would have been worse than Roberts.
It also shows how even very Conservative judges will look at the entirety of the case, such as in the case of Barrett this time. Dems will never vote outside of their block, or against each other. period. Sometimes I don’t even know why they hear cases. A third grader could predict with 97% accuracy how they are going to rule on everything.
STOP!!! Haley is not going to win. Haley is a conservative. Haley has a penchant to rely on popular opinion to shape her responses. Haley has a chance to be the VP nominee and it would be smart as she would help
Haley has never pledged to use the 25th amendment against him. OMG you’re literally an idiot, as are all of your Paultard compatriots.
There would be a massive uprising if this were to ever take place, and it would not be allowed. God, you are so unbelievably stupid, its almost hard to comprehend that you are real, and not a parody.
The only chart you need. Freshly updated after new polls of TX and VA. Trump continues to have path to 270 that is outside the polling margin of error, with a gap of 4.7 in Michigan.
IA 10.6
OH 10.5
FL 9.1
TX 7.7 (was 7.5)
GA 6.7
AZ 6.0
NC 5.8
MI 4.7 (278 EVs for Trump)
NV 3.4
PA 0.8
WI 0.4
MN -1.8
ME -2.5
VA -4.5 (was -4.8)
CO -7.0
NH -7.3
NM -8.0
Methodology includes averaging the last seven polls of each state, giving more weight to the most recent poll and less weight to the oldest poll.
Bitter – let’s hope not. It scares me that you even write that.
Bunu – you sad excuse for elephant dung – General Flynn will NEVER be the VP candidate. IT’s odd that you would want a military man considering you, and all your Paultard followers are cowards. With that said, Trump, for all the derision he receives here and elsewhere, is not as stupid as he is made out to be, and if his speech about DeSantis shows anything, he understands he needs more than the sycophants to vote for him. Let’s hope his conciliatory tone continues and he makes a smart choice for VP that will help him get over the hump.
Flynn will never be the VP choice – demographics!!
Tucker will never be the VP choice – not interested, wouldn’t give up his day job and would compound the loss to Goldwater levels
Stefanik (NY) is a horrible choice. Adds nothing to the ticket and is not ready to be President.
Deft Blacks
************************
(I do not mean this to be racist in any way.
It is just what I can spell with those letters. It is kinda ironic. Sorry.)
I have long suspected that the “contestants” on Jeopardy! are really alien life forms that have taken on human proportions. NOBODY (no real human) knows all the trivial minutia that these contestants do.
PROOF TONIGHT ON THE TV SHOW JEOPARDY! that these contestants are aliens in human form:
They showed some bizarre clue about some person who was the first to take his dog on an air trip from Paris to London and they had to pass over what body of water.
Bitter. I agree. Like I stated before Barrett May rule for Texas in the long run when the case gets to the 5th circuit. I believe both rivers and Barret would like to see the case weave through the process and that’s what they voted for today
I do see Roberts choosing the federal government as superior to the states rights. Barrett, I’m not so sure
DW, your 2024 polling chart still takes it as a given that Trump will carry the NE-02 CD. Biden carried it fairly comfortably in 2020, and I think that it’s a Lean Biden (or, at best, Tilt Biden) right now. So if Trump carries his 2020 states (and ME-02) plus AZ, GA and MI, he’d win 277, not 278, EVs.
Oh wow. I never realized they had the same number of home runs. How weird is that
I remember when he got over 50 home runs in a season. It was a big deal since it had only been done once since the 1960’s…and yes, both he and his son shopped in the “big and tall” section to say the least
Fielder got one of the most important hits in the 96 World Series. In Game 5 vs unhittable John Smoltz, he doubled in Charlie Hayes and it was the only run of the game. After being down in the series 0-2, this would give the Yanks a 3-2 lead and they clinch in Game 6.
Meldrim – interesting that you should bring up NE-2, it could very well be the electoral vote that decides the election.
I believe that Trump will carry GA, giving him those votes back. Let’s say Biden holds on to PA, MI and WI (A HUGE IF RIGHT NOW…I think he might be in serious trouble in MI), and Trump takes back AZ (which because of the illegal surge he may just do), it comes down to NV and NE-2. If he were to win Nevada, then NE-2 gets him to a 269-269 tie, which will effectively give him the Presidency. The Republican, no matter whether they hold the House or not, will have a majority of the delegations, and hand Trump the presidency.
Now…can you imagine Liberals brains should that happen. I honestly fear for the country in that case because they will really lose it, and may try to get violent…which I don’t expect to end well for a coalition of pansies.
Being there are so many “fans of DJT” on this site I thought the opinion of an illustrious playwright would be appreciated
”David Mamet is one of America’s greatest living playwrights and he is also a conservative. He wasn’t always a man of the right, but he went through a political transformation in the 2010s.
Mamet is a big fan of Donald Trump and he recently talked about it with a member of the press.
You have to give Mamet credit. He works in an incredibly leftist field, but it doesn’t cause him to censor himself at all. He speaks what he believes fearlessly.
Trump was the best president since Abraham Lincoln. […] He brought peace to the Middle East. He closed the border. He made us an energy exporter. He had the best rating among African Americans of any president ever…. And the country was at peace and prosperous in the world. All of a sudden, he gets kicked out. And the world is a mess. But because the liberals cannot defend their position, all they can do is indict Trump….”
But, of course back to the topic of how he will lose the GE, Senate, House because he’s such an awful person.
Jan – sadly, your last sentence is absolutely feasible. He could lose the GE, Senate and House because he is an awful person. Imagine if he accomplished what he has, and did it while uniting the country? I understand fighting against the “left menace”…but he has no self-control whatsover. Whenever he does something good I find myself inevitably thinking what will he do to ruin this for himself, the party and his followers…sure enough, he always does.
BTW he was far from the best President since Lincoln and hardly had the “best rating” amongst African Americans ever unless you consider 12% the greatest.
I am all for giving him a chance to win the GE, but let’s also not resort to hyperbole, he has a massive (self-inflicted) mountain to climb.
For the sake of the country, I would hope we don’t see a 269-269 tie. But a worse scenario would be rogue/faithless electors. If electors vote against how their state voted and swing the election, that would be bad news for us all.
Per the Constitution, electors can vote for whoever they want. Still bad news though.
And not just faithless electors, but any chicanery involving manipulation of electoral votes such as challenges to certifications and challenges by congress, etc. We saw some of this in 2020 and my guess is that we will see much more this time around.
113 responses to “Monday. That’s all I’ve got.”
I don’t think anyone saw this, but Haley\birdbrain is plotting to force a new a new mental competency test that she wants to force Trump to take (likely given by a liberal) so that she can remove Trump from office via the 25th amendment.
It falls on the vice president to enforce the 25th amendment to remove Trump so if Haley snakes her way, she will no doubt pull a Robert Mueller on Trump’s next term.
https://www.semafor.com/article/01/20/2024/the-attacks-on-donald-trumps-age-may-be-at-a-tipping-point
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First. – I don’t count pathetic attempts by the racist Bunu as a real post
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Agreed. Bunu can suck it.
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I remember when conservatives opposed Soviet/Russian expansion. Jan and Putina must have hated Reagan.
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These are not republican voters: send Trump to prison shouts at Nikki Haley rally.
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Soros posts a bullet hole combined 47 dollars (#47 being Trump)
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Suffolk
Trump 62
Nikitalaw 35
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Not enough drats turning out?
Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
Attendees at an event for
@NikkiHaley
earlier today told
@NEWSMAX
that they were “very disappointed with the turnout and lack of enthusiasm.”
5:09 PM · Jan 21, 2024
·
18.7K
Views
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May be inside advantage pole instead?
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Opportunity lost with DeSantis.
The attitude of so many Republican voters right now reminds me of the opening scene in the 3rd episode of A&E’s Hornblower series. Horatio Hornblower is leading his men to ambush French sailors who have come ashore to get more water. His plan was to capture them, change clothes, and then row back out to the main ship and take it.
As they watch from behind a log, the enemy approaches below them in a ravine, and one of Hornblower’s insubordinate and impulsive midshipman takes aim and is about to shoot and kill one of the Frenchmen. Hornblower reaches over and pushes down his gun, telling him, ‘No!’ The guy snaps back at Hornblower saying, “I thought the plan was to fight them!” Hornblower replies, “No, the plan is to defeat them.”
DeSantis supporters wanted to defeat the left in the 2024 election. Trump’s supporters, most of them, just want to fight the left.
I hope it works it out to a win, but with Trump, its doing this the hard way.
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NEW YORK
Siena
Biden 46
Trump 37
Biden 41
Trump 32
Kennedy 13
West 3
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here are some of the Trump/Biden numbers from four years ago as Siena College tracked the state of New York:
29/61
32/57
32/57
29/65
33/58
36/55
So far this time…
37/46
36/46
37/46
Obviously a huge difference, and Trump is not going to win NY, but if the gap has really closed from 25 points to 9, then you know what it probably means for battleground states.
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Good find, DW. Yeah, that kind of closing in NY means Trump sweeps the swing states. I don’t expect the NY gap to remain at 10 but if Trump closes the 2020 gap by, say, just four or five points he gets to the magic 270 nationally.
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I will defer to the optimists. I think that Trump will lose and hand the House and Senate to the Dems. The only issue is whether Biden is allowed to run by his puppet masters or gets replaced.
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Nice Hornblower story, DW. However, I never saw a plan from DeSantis to defeat the left. As for DJT he wants to both fight and defeat the left. In order to do the defeating part he has to create policy revolving around legislative origins versus the more ephemeral EOs.
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If you never saw a plan then you weren’t looking. And long-term, DeSantis could have given us 8 years instead of 4.
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DW – Jan is in the Trump cult. She never looked at DeSantis’ record or plan.
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Today’s polls — some of these are irrelevant since De Santis dropped out and I expect most of his support to go to Trump. If I were a betting man I would say the final is Trump 62, Haley 36 and then the rest. The irony is that DeSantis was trending upwards in NH, though not enough to make a difference.
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary Wash Post/Monmouth
Trump 52
Haley 34
DeSantis 8
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary InsiderAdvantage
Trump 62
Haley 35
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary WHDH-TV/Emerson
Trump 53
Haley 37
DeSantis 10
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary Boston Globe/Suffolk (Tracking Poll)
Trump 57
Haley 38
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary UMass Lowell
Trump 50
Haley 34
DeSantis 11
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Here is another poll, this time for the Republican Primary in the NH Gov race.
New Hampshire Governor – Republican Primary UMass Lowell
Ayotte 54%
Morse 22%
rest single digits
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In ca my premium increased by 42 percent
https://www.newsweek.com/florida-insurance-crisis-spells-mortgage-disaster-1861867
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Maybe I shared this story long ago but it is worth retelling.
One of my last campaigns for House of Delegates I had sent out letters to 780 new voters who had registered from Jan 1 of that year to end of September. Got over 10% of them back as “undeliverable”. Single member district, about 17,900 population, about 10,000 RVs.
Decided to take one of them to the fairly new apartment complex about a mile from my house to track this person down. The address was something like “unit 134”. There were only 115 or so apartment units in the complex. Went to the apartment complex office to further inquire. NOBODY of that name was EVER a resident in ANY of the units. The county clerk on charge of voting registrations, etc. was a former student of mine. Good person. A good Republican. Went to her to further inquire. She could give NO answer to this puzzling issue.
THIS IS WHY I AM SO OPPOSED TO DOING MASSIVE FLOOD OF MAIL IN BALLOTS LIKE WE HAVE TODAY. I know this is so small compared to a national race, but can you imagine 780 mail-in ballots being sent out and floating around somewhere and how these ballots could impact the election outcome in this little single member State house district?
In contested elections for this house seat, it was decided by 560 votes in my favor one time, about 300 in my favor twice, and about 300 NOT in my favor once. The other 3 elections I was unopposed.
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Agreed, RDS was open to two terms vs DJT’s one term. However, there’s more to a successful presidency than the availability of two terms vs one. I looked over DeSantis’s policies, and they aligned with Trump’s, hence his early nickname of “Trump without the baggage.” But what DeSantis didn’t have was a broader picture of the world outside of FL. His one overseas junket was met with coolness by UK bankers and business leaders, who didn’t see him as having the necessary leadership qualities to be president. His forays and interactions with the public were awkward. Even in FL DeSantis was known to not return phone calls from officials in his own party. Most unfortunate, though, was how he irresponsibly burned through $150 million without having anything to show for it. He could have shared some of it to shore up the RNC’s lagging ballot collection infrastructure for the 2024 election, demonstrating an admirable skillset useful to enhance the chances of a Republican win. Such an act would have also enlarged his own image as someone looking beyond his own self interest to help his party nationally.
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When has Trump … why bother? Members of cults don’t debate issues.
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Walt – Your story was probably repeated 1,000X during the last elections, as Democrats made mail in voting their cornerstone, and the foundation of their wins. It is why they continued to do well in mid terms when they traditionally did not, or were not expected to.
It all comes from taking away “the cost of voting”. Im certain there are those would would read that and immediately wail and cry about there being costs to voting, but I do not mean, nor did the Framers mean, a physical payment being the cost. The framers though, in their inherent wisdom, that there should be some act associated with voting that took time in order to complete the vote. Some action needed to be required in order to ensure that the voter was properly engaged and informed.
What we have become is a nation of uneducated voters, who not only vote for those who will economically benefit them via increased government largess, but also voters who hear a soundbite, get inflamed, and vote, with little or no knowledge or background of an issue.
It is exactly what the Democrats advocate (the petty commoner doesn’t know what’s best for them, we, Elites, are smarter than they are, so we should make decisions and they follow, and those worshiping at the alter of big government/socialism agree).
If you have a valid reason for an absentee ballot, by all means you should be entitled to it. But, it should require some effort and checks for security to be valid. But this idea of mass registration, mass voting by mail without any type of check to validity is absurd, and a disservice to our Republic and all it stands for.
Liberals whine about letting everyone vote, and yes, everyone should vote, but that means getting up off your backside and doing the work needed to vote. Each citizen owes it to civil society to cast an informed vote as part of the social pact between a society. Those who blindly cast votes, and those who exploit this vote by mail system rife with fraud break their pledge to the community.
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“Members of cults don’t debate issues.”
True
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BOOM
HarrisX
Jan. 17-18
2,346 RV
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48%
Unfavorable 48%
Biden Favorability
Favorable 41%
Unfavorable 55%
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Jan…“However, I never saw a plan from DeSantis to defeat the left.”
This is so ridiculously ignorant. 😂
From someone who lives in California. You would think a Trump voter from Cali would have a modicum of appreciation for how RDS slayed the left including Fauci in Florence.
I gave up months ago trying to reason with her.
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Florida…LOL
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I just updated my iPad to the new OS and I don’t like what it does when typing.
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Ayotte should win even with Trump… right?
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PART I
Another comparison on my races and the national presidential contest today.
When I ran, I ran on ISSUES,
Never engaged in personal attacks on my opponents.
The district was HEAVILY D (D 49%, Indy, 29% and 19% R).
I NEEDED Indy and D votes to win…
I am pretty conservative.
On a scale of 1-100 I would score 80%-85%+ on my positions reflecting and being in agreement with conservative issues and positions. I was, however, a leader in my county and region during the Statewide Teachers Strike around 1990 (12 or 13 years before I ran for office and some conservative voters held that against me).
I was considered to be a nice guy. Certain considered to be NOT an A-hole. LOTS of people (Ds, Indys, and R) who consistently voted for me who had opposite views of mine on various issues, but the still voted for me. They felt at least I was willing to listen to them and their view
and at least I was not an A-hole of a person. And I had a good head on my shoulders and a history of trying to do the right thing.
************************************************
Which brings me to Trump and the current race.
I (a good Republican and fairly staunch conservative) do not think I have EVER in 30 years I have seen Trump speak that I did not think “this guy really acts like an a-hole” and many other times I have seen him speak where I said ,”this guy really IS an A-hole.” It is the persona he projects. I do not think he can help it.
Unlike me, he was born rich, was a millionaire by the time he was 3 years old. After private school (again unlike me), he embarked on a business career. I do not fault him for being born wealthy or being successful, but many do and will hold that against him. He (unlike me) held no deeply held political views and had no political persuasion nor did he practice any in his personal and professional life. He would support liberal Ds and conservative Rs alike financially to achieve his OWN personal business goals. (Unlike me) in his voter registration he changed it any times from R to D to Indy, to R–whatever. Until 2016, when he adopted the R political views for his political gain. He got where he got due to his wealth and influence that such wealth brought with it. Privilege, wealth and influence more than the sweat of his brow…
He was one of those big donors who helped create the “swamp”.
What people relate to Donald Trump?
How many think he understands or relates to their economic position and condition?
Maybe he relates to people who have been divorced…and vice versa…
PART II TO FOLLOW
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BOOM
Generic Ballot
Jan. 17-19
800 LV
OnMessage
GOP 47
Dem 41
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I agree with Jenna Ellis on this take…
“Everyone who said DeSantis should have waited and would be a shoo in for 2024 fail to realize the MAGA machine is not going to ever relinquish control voluntarily.
They’re already grooming Don Jr for 2028.
The demand for loyalty and sense of entitlement will not be over until conservatives decisively reject it.
It will happen, just like voters rejected the Bush dynasty finally.”
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BOOM
VIRGINIA
Virginia Commonwealth University
Dec. 28-Jan. 13
812 A
Biden 43
Trump 40
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I am wondering if Trump continues his pro choice position for the general.
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BOOM
General election national vote:
Jan. 17-18
2,346 RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
Trump 53
Biden 47
Trump 44
Biden 36
Kennedy 21
Trump 44
Biden 33
Kennedy 18
Stein 2
West 3
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Please be advised that Trump is NOT an A-hole. He is an a-hole. Thank you.
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Unless SCOTUS intervenes there will be a trial in DC this year. Just saying.
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Lots of BOOMs today, but I don’t think I am guilty of BOOM inflation.
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Wow lots of poles today. Demented is in trouble.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/01/breaking-judge-unseals-divorce-records-top-trump-prosecutor/
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You’re killing it on the polls today DW. way to go
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PART II
So how will Trump do as the R candidate in 2024?
How is it a different landscape than 2016 when he indeed did win?
1. He is not running against Hilary Clinton.
2. He himself has a record of accomplishments and failures as president for 4 years.
Failures include:
–helping to flip an R senate to a D controlled senate
–helping cause the R House to flip to a D controlled house.
–unable to broaden his coalition to bring legislative success.
–unable to unite Americans
–unable to finish building the southern border wall
–ruling by EOs, all of which were revered by Bien 4 years later
–continually attacking and going to war with any and every R who would say or do anything that Trump did not like.
–failure to understand foreign affairs and saying Putin was a nice guy (one of Trump’s biggest weaknesses is his failure to understand foreign affairs any better than a 15 year old)
–failure to take advice from others who know more about issue X,Y,Z than Trump does or ever did or will.
Yes–successes too (surprising!), such as no wars, low inflation, high stock market, low energy prices, low unemployment, U.S. energy independence, slowing illegal crossing on southern border, SCOTUS nominees, etc.
So why did inept Biden, dwelling in his basement dingbat, beat Trump?
CROVID mail-in ballots by the millions, a CROVID crashed economy, superb Dem (legal and illegal) GOTV efforts where they needed it, a MSM who hated Trump, and Trump being
a first class A-Hole for 4 years as president.
Then we have Jan. 6th “insurrection” and Trump painted (rightly or wrongly) as the instigator. And 3 more years of Trump being an A-Hole in every way possible (stolen 2020 election claims without ponying up specifics, personal life, myriad of legal on-going court cases, trash-talking bad mouthing, and personal destruction scorched earth campaigns targeting other decent R candidates for POTUS nomination.
Biden beat Trump in 2020.
Which groups did Trump lose in 2020 that voted for him in bigger numbers in 2016?
Women? Suburbs? etc.
So, how will Trump defeat Biden in 2024?
For Trump to beat Biden in 2024 Trump has to have a better ground game on the months leading up to Nov..
How easy will it be to unite all factions within the R party that TRUMP has gone out of his way to disparage and alienate? To get all the people who were out working for DeSantis, Haley, etc. out to work instead for Trump doing all the door knocking, etc. nuts and bolts work needed to win an election. How many volunteers for DeSantis or Haley or whoever will just give Trump the finger when Trump asks them to work in the fall to elect him?
PART III to follow
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PART III
To all the Always Trumpers, you got what you wanted for 2024.
How will it play out?
Most probably,
Trump loses.
The Rs lose the House.
The Rs lose the Senate.
The Ds will tie everyone running to Trump and to Abortion.
It is a proven winning strategy.
Then the Rs can fight amongst themselves for the next 4 years (or 8) to figure out how they get out of the mess they got themselves into.
________________________________
The ONLY POSSIBLE saving grace SCENARIO is that the voters who elect Biden, in order to curb his ineffectual, idiotic, left-wing nuttiness are SMART ENOUGH to split their ticket and elect REPUBLICAN majorities in BOTH HOUSE AND SENATE to neuter THE BIDEN 2nd term
presidency.
Possible. Given the recent history of the intelligence of voters, not likely.
THE END
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Well, it’s a good thing DJT doesn’t have to depend on this blog for inspiration, motivation to win, optimism, or incentives to keep on going!
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Cash Cow here.
Walt wanted to write more of his perspective, but his wife just gave him a new list of chores to do.
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“What we have become is a nation of uneducated voters, who not only vote for those who will economically benefit them via increased government largess, but also voters who hear a soundbite, get inflamed, and vote, with little or no knowledge or background of an issue.”
###############################################
Vic,
Don’t get me started on this issue.
I am a retired social studies teacher with an M.A. plus 60 hours in History.
The degree and understanding of knowledge of government has undergone several huge drops during my 33 years of teaching (ending in Jan., 2003) and has further plummeted since.
It is appalling.
And frightening.
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ONE MORE SCENARIO:
The voters DO elect Trump and then elect huge D majorities in the House and Senate to keep Trump in check.
So you DO get Trump in the White House.
But he is handcuffed by congress,…
Yeah, that is another great scenario there to continue having yet more years of ineffective government that cannot get anything done.
Just what we need in times like these…
HAVE A NICE DAY!
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BTW,
In the house district I represented, I was certainly aware of the several hundred supporters of mine who would had died or have moved out of my district over every 2-year time period. So it was imperative for me to regularly go to the court house and get a list of new voter who became registered in this district to send direct mailers specifically to them to tell them about me, what I stood for and to ask for their votr and support.
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He has millions of Jans. He thinks that is still enough to win. It’s not.
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GENERAL ELECTION
Jan. 19-21
6,417 RV
Morning Consult
Trump 45
Biden 40
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🚨 #BREAKING: The US Supreme Court has ruled on a 5-4 vote that the federal government can REMOVE Texas’s border barriers, such as razor wire
The barriers erected by Texas were actually WORKING, which is why the Biden admin was so hellbent on destroying them.
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If Donald Trump is convicted by a jury for inciting the Capitol riots of January 6th, who would you vote for president?
Biden 52% (+4)
Trump 48%
.@Harvard/@Harris_X_/@HarrisPoll, 2,346 RV, 1/17-18
This is the Biden plan.
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Roberts & Barrett again.
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JEff – the SC didn’t decide the case, it only reinstated a lower court ruling (which was before the district court ruled) that allowed the border patrol to cut the wire. The lower court relied on the doctrine of federal power usurping state powers.
I believe this will end up on the SC docket, from there no idea which way Barrett goes. She was the swing vote. I don’t really count Roberts as a swing vote anymore. He’s more likely to side with the Dems on very important issues than with R…sadly.
This should show us how important it was that Trump was President and got three SC nominees. Bush’s nominees were marginal at best, and thank God he has one sunk. She would have been worse than Roberts.
It also shows how even very Conservative judges will look at the entirety of the case, such as in the case of Barrett this time. Dems will never vote outside of their block, or against each other. period. Sometimes I don’t even know why they hear cases. A third grader could predict with 97% accuracy how they are going to rule on everything.
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Left wing plot to vote Haley in NH
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STOP!!! Haley is not going to win. Haley is a conservative. Haley has a penchant to rely on popular opinion to shape her responses. Haley has a chance to be the VP nominee and it would be smart as she would help
all above can be true
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If Haley is the VP, she will replace Trump.
That means she will be the president.
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She will use 25th amendment as she has pledged to against Trump or something bad will happen to him etc
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Do you get tired of being hated, Bunu?
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Haley has never pledged to use the 25th amendment against him. OMG you’re literally an idiot, as are all of your Paultard compatriots.
There would be a massive uprising if this were to ever take place, and it would not be allowed. God, you are so unbelievably stupid, its almost hard to comprehend that you are real, and not a parody.
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Read my first post in this thread
Haley is demanding that Trump has to take a mental capacity tests so that she can use the 25 amendment to replace him once she is VP.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/01/georgia-state-senate-authorize-special-committee-investigate-fani/
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The “r” Governor and AG is awol on the fat fani matter
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Hee haws remarks sound very weak. Our side has some weak characters. Hey have something on hee haw.
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Official HHR 2024 Election Polling Chart
The only chart you need. Freshly updated after new polls of TX and VA. Trump continues to have path to 270 that is outside the polling margin of error, with a gap of 4.7 in Michigan.
IA 10.6
OH 10.5
FL 9.1
TX 7.7 (was 7.5)
GA 6.7
AZ 6.0
NC 5.8
MI 4.7 (278 EVs for Trump)
NV 3.4
PA 0.8
WI 0.4
MN -1.8
ME -2.5
VA -4.5 (was -4.8)
CO -7.0
NH -7.3
NM -8.0
Methodology includes averaging the last seven polls of each state, giving more weight to the most recent poll and less weight to the oldest poll.
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I never trusted Souter 2.0 or Beotchy. Trump erred with her.
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Haley is an absolute clown of a politician. toxic, loser, would ruin any Trump presidency.
Why in the world would she be on the ticket when Flynn has already said he’d join as VP.
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Neither Nikita nor Flynn will be the vp nominee.
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Just some context on the VA Commonwealth poll showing Biden up only three…
Four years ago they had it:
39/51 in October
39/53 in September
39/50 in July
And so the gap dropping from 12 points to 3 points is similar to Siena College’s gap in NY dropping from 25 points to 9 points.
Trump doesn’t HAVE to win VA or NY, but the tightening there suggests good things for PA, MI, and WI.
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You will never be accepted here, Bunu.
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Why is she a bitch, Tina? This should be good.
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I wonder if Tgca has stopped celebrating DeSantis dropping out. I still suspect he will snap and go on a killing spree some day.
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Bitter – let’s hope not. It scares me that you even write that.
Bunu – you sad excuse for elephant dung – General Flynn will NEVER be the VP candidate. IT’s odd that you would want a military man considering you, and all your Paultard followers are cowards. With that said, Trump, for all the derision he receives here and elsewhere, is not as stupid as he is made out to be, and if his speech about DeSantis shows anything, he understands he needs more than the sycophants to vote for him. Let’s hope his conciliatory tone continues and he makes a smart choice for VP that will help him get over the hump.
Flynn will never be the VP choice – demographics!!
Tucker will never be the VP choice – not interested, wouldn’t give up his day job and would compound the loss to Goldwater levels
Stefanik (NY) is a horrible choice. Adds nothing to the ticket and is not ready to be President.
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Playoff teams remaining, NFL rank by scoring defense
1. BAL
2. KC
3. SF
23. DET
Goff is the only QB still standing who typically can’t lean on the other side of the ball. The Lions lean on him.
This is why I have low expectations.
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Vic – He was unhinged and, if believed, had many guns. Not a good combination.
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The guy who wrote that play about the Toronto Jay’s player Cecil Fielder, has passed.
I never saw it, but I hear that everyone loved “Fielder on the Roof”.
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BAL
KC
SF
DET
Deft Blacks
************************
(I do not mean this to be racist in any way.
It is just what I can spell with those letters. It is kinda ironic. Sorry.)
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Cecil fielder died? Oh wait, I get it. Oy vey
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I don’t know why hee haw and the ag are scared of fani. She also threatened the poor woman for “obstruction.”
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I have long suspected that the “contestants” on Jeopardy! are really alien life forms that have taken on human proportions. NOBODY (no real human) knows all the trivial minutia that these contestants do.
PROOF TONIGHT ON THE TV SHOW JEOPARDY! that these contestants are aliens in human form:
They showed some bizarre clue about some person who was the first to take his dog on an air trip from Paris to London and they had to pass over what body of water.
THEY MISSED IT!
Did not know English Channel.
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“Vic – He was unhinged and, if believed, had many guns. Not a good combination.”
You can also add that he was some sort of no meat wierdo as to his food.
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(Still alarming af that those 2 sided with the drats given the threats that illegals pose to society.
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My wife and I watch Jeopardy together. She is impressed with how much useless information I know.
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I’m not. Trial procedure matters. SCOTUS does not issue advisory opinions.
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TGCA? Shooting spree? Dang, we should have discussed ABOR…
Big Joe
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This was an injunction. They could have stated it. But ccp interests prevail.
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https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/01/22/poll-vulnerable-biden-holds-single-digit-lead-trump-new-york/
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Bitter. I agree. Like I stated before Barrett May rule for Texas in the long run when the case gets to the 5th circuit. I believe both rivers and Barret would like to see the case weave through the process and that’s what they voted for today
I do see Roberts choosing the federal government as superior to the states rights. Barrett, I’m not so sure
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DW, your 2024 polling chart still takes it as a given that Trump will carry the NE-02 CD. Biden carried it fairly comfortably in 2020, and I think that it’s a Lean Biden (or, at best, Tilt Biden) right now. So if Trump carries his 2020 states (and ME-02) plus AZ, GA and MI, he’d win 277, not 278, EVs.
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Were Cecil Fielder to drop dead, it would not shock me. He’s been obese since his 20s.
Fun fact:
Cecil Fielder: 319 career MLB home runs
Prince Fielder: 319 career MLB home runs
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Oh wow. I never realized they had the same number of home runs. How weird is that
I remember when he got over 50 home runs in a season. It was a big deal since it had only been done once since the 1960’s…and yes, both he and his son shopped in the “big and tall” section to say the least
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Fielder got one of the most important hits in the 96 World Series. In Game 5 vs unhittable John Smoltz, he doubled in Charlie Hayes and it was the only run of the game. After being down in the series 0-2, this would give the Yanks a 3-2 lead and they clinch in Game 6.
Big Joe
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ugh Big Joe…I was having a decent day until I had to see that Yankees uniform…I immediately threw up 😉
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Meldrim – interesting that you should bring up NE-2, it could very well be the electoral vote that decides the election.
I believe that Trump will carry GA, giving him those votes back. Let’s say Biden holds on to PA, MI and WI (A HUGE IF RIGHT NOW…I think he might be in serious trouble in MI), and Trump takes back AZ (which because of the illegal surge he may just do), it comes down to NV and NE-2. If he were to win Nevada, then NE-2 gets him to a 269-269 tie, which will effectively give him the Presidency. The Republican, no matter whether they hold the House or not, will have a majority of the delegations, and hand Trump the presidency.
Now…can you imagine Liberals brains should that happen. I honestly fear for the country in that case because they will really lose it, and may try to get violent…which I don’t expect to end well for a coalition of pansies.
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Vic, still drinking that Haterade I see .. 😀 😀 😀
Big Joe
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Nikki Haley sweeps Dixville Notch 6-0.
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Wow.
My joke about the person passing who wrote the play “Fielder”…”Fiddler on the Roof” got a lot of attention and Cecil Fielder stuff.
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Being there are so many “fans of DJT” on this site I thought the opinion of an illustrious playwright would be appreciated
”David Mamet is one of America’s greatest living playwrights and he is also a conservative. He wasn’t always a man of the right, but he went through a political transformation in the 2010s.
Mamet is a big fan of Donald Trump and he recently talked about it with a member of the press.
You have to give Mamet credit. He works in an incredibly leftist field, but it doesn’t cause him to censor himself at all. He speaks what he believes fearlessly.
Trump was the best president since Abraham Lincoln. […] He brought peace to the Middle East. He closed the border. He made us an energy exporter. He had the best rating among African Americans of any president ever…. And the country was at peace and prosperous in the world. All of a sudden, he gets kicked out. And the world is a mess. But because the liberals cannot defend their position, all they can do is indict Trump….”
But, of course back to the topic of how he will lose the GE, Senate, House because he’s such an awful person.
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Big Joe…I don’t drink it…it’s a permanent IV drip.
Good news is both boys detest the Yankees, the Cowboys and socialists, meaning they have a good grasp on what evil is. 😉
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Jan – sadly, your last sentence is absolutely feasible. He could lose the GE, Senate and House because he is an awful person. Imagine if he accomplished what he has, and did it while uniting the country? I understand fighting against the “left menace”…but he has no self-control whatsover. Whenever he does something good I find myself inevitably thinking what will he do to ruin this for himself, the party and his followers…sure enough, he always does.
BTW he was far from the best President since Lincoln and hardly had the “best rating” amongst African Americans ever unless you consider 12% the greatest.
I am all for giving him a chance to win the GE, but let’s also not resort to hyperbole, he has a massive (self-inflicted) mountain to climb.
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Final NH polls –
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary – Trafalgar Group (R)
Trump 58%
Haley 36%
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary – Wash Post/Monmouth
Trump 52%
Haley 34%
DeSantis 8%
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary – InsiderAdvantage
Trump 62%
Haley 35%
New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary – WHDH-TV/Emerson
Trump 53%
Haley 37%
DeSantis 10%
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Good man, Vic! We need a new generation of Yankee haters .. the haters from our genereation has cried enough tears.
I don’t follow the NFL, but it’s always good when the Cowboys lose.
Big Joe
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For the sake of the country, I would hope we don’t see a 269-269 tie. But a worse scenario would be rogue/faithless electors. If electors vote against how their state voted and swing the election, that would be bad news for us all.
Per the Constitution, electors can vote for whoever they want. Still bad news though.
Big Joe
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And not just faithless electors, but any chicanery involving manipulation of electoral votes such as challenges to certifications and challenges by congress, etc. We saw some of this in 2020 and my guess is that we will see much more this time around.
Big Joe
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Stone says Haley is only staying in because she wants to worm her way into VP (because then she can remove Trump)
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Get over it Paultard. Your whackjob conspiracy theorists are so insane, they are laughable.
Haley will most likely get the VP nod because she gives the best chance for Trump to win.
No one is considering implementing the 25th amendment. He’s not even the President.
Seriously, why, out of all the blogs in the world, did this moron have to happen upon this one.
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Catturd on the Tucker show
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Best since Lincoln? Sad and delusional.
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