I was 4th in line at 7:00. I continued my streak since 1986 of only voting for Republicans. There was 1 Democrat for School Board who was also endorsed by the GOP. I could not vote for her even though I coached her daughter in softball.
“BOMBSHELL REPORT ON THE CENSORSHIP-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX
HUNDREDS of secret reports show how @DHSgov’s @CISAgov, The GEC (@StateDept), @Stanford and others worked together to censor AMERICANS before the 2020 election, including true information, jokes, and opinions.”
The GOP better get their sh*t together and have a strategy to win the next several election cycles to undo the damage eight years of Obama brought us and now four years of Biden. I doubt they will. We will see how tonight goes…Kentucky should be a 10 point win for Cameron under normal circumstances.
Judge Ignoran and his law clerk will be reversed at some point ( he has been reversed several times already). First he valued Mal at $18 million (using an assessed value). Trump bought Mal at a depressed level and made improvements. Rush’s estate (much smaller) closed at over $150 million. Other estimates value Mal at $1 billion. Even if you take a middle figure, it’s worth way more than $18 million. Apparently, Ignoran does not know the difference between assessed valuation and fair market valuation
Then, yesterday’s comedy gold, Ignoran claims that location is not “relevant” to the value of the Scotland property.
“The prosecution’s examination veered far afield with Trump being questioned regarding the number of homes included in the valuation of his golf course property in Aberdeen, Scotland. It was unclear what legal interests or purview the New York Attorney General’s office has with loan agreements in the United Kingdom. When Trump defended the value of his Aberdeen property as it sits in the midst of one of the most oil rich regions of Europe, Judge Engoron declared that location is “irrelevant” to the value of property.”
Jack Poso 🇺🇸
@JackPosobiec
BREAKING: Advisor to head of Ukrainian military killed with hand grenade disguised as birthday present. Comes as military head openly criticizing Zelensky’s handling of the war
The present was vodka-glasses shaped like grenades, but one of the grenades was real
2:52 AM · Nov 7, 2023
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Ok, I voted at the Mennonite Church. The ladies had a nice bake sale mostly eaturing shoo fly pies and whoopie pies, neither of which I care for …..sue me.
The York Republican Party had a little tent manned by 3 ladies with some brochures and voter guides. The Dems had a chair with a lonely guy wearing a union button and with a poster showing listing all the good things the Dems claim credit for, including social security and medicare. From what I could see I was only the 54th person to vote at 9:15 AM.
I voted a straight R ticket, I could not find anyone on the ballot that was anti-Ukraine.
No wonder Amoral Scumbag approved of Twitter censoring conservatives…and why he hates free speech advocate Elon Musk…
“As outlined in the committee’s preliminary report issued on November 6, the EIP’s purpose was obscuring the government’s involvement with online speech suppression.
Enter the Election Integrity Partnership (EIP), a consortium of “disinformation” academics led by Stanford University’s Stanford Internet Observatory (SIO) that worked directly with the Department of Homeland Security and the Global Engagement Center, a multi-agency entity housed within the State Department, to monitor and censor Americans’ online speech in advance of the 2020 presidential election. Created in the summer of 2020 “at the request” of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the EIP provided a way for the federal government to launder its censorship activities in hopes of bypassing both the First Amendment and public scrutiny.
The EIP’s operation was straightforward: “external stakeholders,” including federal agencies and organizations funded by the federal government, submitted misinformation reports directly to the EIP. The EIP’s misinformation “analysts” next scoured the internet for additional examples for censorship. If the submitted report flagged a Facebook post, for example, the EIP analysts searched for similar content on Twitter, YouTube, TikTok, Reddit, and other major social media platforms. Once all of the offending links were compiled, the EIP sent the most significant ones directly to Big Tech with specific recommendations on how the social media platforms should censor the posts, such as reducing the posts’ “discoverability,” “suspending [an account’s] ability to continue tweeting for 12 hours,” “monitoring if any of the tagged influencer accounts retweet” a particular user, and, of course, removing thousands of Americans’ posts.
Government agencies and disinformation “experts” are quick to cite the need to combat foreign actors attempting to undermine American elections as a justification for this censorship regime. While foreign states do attempt to conduct influence operations, the Committee’s and Select Subcommittee’s investigation has revealed that the true focus and purpose of the censors’ “election integrity” work was to target the very Americans they claim to protect. Instead of targeting foreign or inauthentic accounts, the EIP targeted Americans, disproportionately candidates and commentators with conservative viewpoints. And despite its stated purpose to combat “disinformation,” the EIP worked with social media companies to censor true information, jokes and satire, and political opinions.
Some of the individual and corporate accounts targeted were:
President Donald J. Trump
Senator Thom Tillis
Speaker Newt Gingrich
Governor Mike Huckabee
Congressman Thomas Massie
Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene
NewsMax
The Babylon Bee”
“The 2024 election is the most important one the nation has faced since 1860. The election will decide whether or not to elect a Republican or reelect the Democrat party–which has been bringing the nation multiple disasters, including
–a flood of 10 million illegal aliens coming across the southern border in the last 3 years,
–illegal drug epidemic from China and Mexico killing hundreds of thousands of Americans a year and diverting taxpayers billions of dollars for care of illegal aliens
–rapidly increasing crime,
–a reckless federal spending policy causing run-a-way inflation shrinking the value of your paycheck,
–an unnecessary and wrongheaded war on U.S. oil, NatGas, and coal that has replaced energy independence to now energy dependence
–a weak foreign affairs policy of shown by our disastrous retreat from Afghanistan that has brought wars in Ukraine and the Middle East which threatens our own security,
–a domestic policy that focuses on gender identity pronouns, pushing the LBGTQ agenda, transgenderism rights over parental rights, wokeness, hating the U.S. flag and our cherished American traditions, tearing down statues, praising Hamas terrorists, and other leftist insanities.
This election is more important than any single individual, including me. The left has chosen to tie me up in multiple, politically motivated lawsuits to prevent me from effectively campaigning.
I will fight them in court. By doing so I will suck up their resources to continue to attack me, and they cannot use that energy in the election itself. I am also immediately withdrawing from the presidential primary throwing my support and urging all my supporters to get behind the best Republican candidate we can put forward in 2024 to defeat the Democrat Leftists and save the nation from their destructive agenda and policies. We need to unite and vote for the Republican candidate to end the insanity of Leftist Executive Orders and federal agency regulations and policies that bypass Congress.”
*******************************************************************
Walt had a dream that this is what should happen.
BUT SADLY, WILL NOT HAPPEN.
Jack Poso 🇺🇸
@JackPosobiec
BREAKING: Sheriff rules death of elderly Jewish man in Los Angeles is a homicide, pro-Palestinian agitator considered person of interest
The Democratic Party is the Party that favors the surgical mutilation of children to sterilize them and turn them into freaks. That is not a ‘normal circumstance.’ Under normal circumstances, a Party that favors the surgical mutilation of children would not get a single vote for any candidate in any state.
It was OK for Hillary Clinton and her supporters to say the 2016 election was “stolen”, but not OK for Republicans to say the 2020 was “stolen”. (broad definition of the term here).
####################################################################
How can anyone deny the chaos brought by the current administration.
Chaos in the world,
Chaos at the southern U.S. border
Chaos in U.S. streets.
Chaos on college campuses and even K-12 schools.
Chaos to the average family’s finances?
***************************************************
PLUS,
There seems to be irrefutable proof of election interference in 2020 by the Dept of Homeland Security, FBI, State Dept., Justice Dept., Social Media, MSM, etc.
________________________________________________________________
I very much want to know WHY there was NOT a deep dive into “election irregularities” in the 2020 election, including to shine a light on mail in (absentee) ballots security, hundreds of votes coming from people who supposedly lived in vacant lots, people who were regustered to vote and apparently voted in two different states, etc. questionable reduction of signature verification, decisions by courts and election officials that were contrary to state law,
News you won’t hear from Amoral Scumbag, who has stated here he misses the old Pravda like Twitter….
“A new Twitter Files report shows that Twitter executives knew the Russia-gate hoax was bunk and accuses one of the organizations pedaling the Russian election interference narrative of meddling in the Alabama elections.
Independent journalist Matt Taibbi created an X thread of an article written by journalist Susan Schmidt. The thread unpacked the dubious New Knowledge NGO and its behind-the-scenes work to get Twitter to censor accounts allegedly connected to a Russian government organization that some claim interfered in the 2016 election. Twitter employees and executives, however, were immediately skeptical of pervasive Russian bots. And, according to Taibbi and Schmidt, all the while, New Knowledge was interfering in American elections under the auspices of “Russian bots.”
Taibbi and Schmidt explained that the pressure on Twitter to censor allegedly Russian accounts can be traced back to 2018 when the Senate Intelligence Committee asked New Knowledge to investigate the allegations of foreign interference. The resulting report generated false news stories as then-Senate Intelligence Committee Vice-Chairman Mark Warner (D-VA) egged on the narrative. He called the report a “bombshell.”
And so across 18 battleground state polls by three different pollsters, none of which are historically Republican friendly, ALL 18 of them show movement from Biden to Trump against matching polls from early to mid 2020.
{I predict the Dems will retain control on Senate and will win the House)
Why? Because I have lost faith in the intelligence and ability of the voting public.
“State Senate
For Democrats to hold onto the State Senate, they need to win three out of the seven hotly contested seats. Their best shot lies in winning SD30 (unknown), SD16 (Biden+17), and SD31 (Biden+13). However, if they lose SD31, which many see as the deciding seat, they’ll face a tough road ahead. In that case, winning SD24 (Biden+9) becomes critical because of its large base of Black supporters and the benefit of a Democratic incumbent.
SD30, while labeled “Solid Democrat” by Cnalysis, is difficult to predict due to mail-in vote precinct attribution issues in Prince William County from 2020. SD16 is another important race. despite the district’s Biden+17 result in 2020. The district’s GOP incumbent, Siobhan Dunnavant, has a history of out-performing fundamentals and leads all 2023 General Assembly candidates in ad reservations through September 29th. SD31 is taking center stage as the most likely tipping point seat, standing out for its high campaign spending. SD24 could rescue Democrats if they lose a more blue seat, especially if Black turnout is high in the off-cycle election. On the other hand, districts like SD27 (Biden+6), SD17 (Biden+7), and SD4 (Trump+0) are less likely to be useful for Democrats, given these districts are significantly more red than the aforementioned seats.
House of Delegates
For Democrats to flip control of the Virginia House of Delegates, they will have to win five of 15 seats listed as compeitive by Cnalysis. Winning four will only bring them to a 50-50 tie in the chamber. The most promising seats for the Democrats are in HD58 (Biden+16) and HD84 (Biden+16), which are both anticipated to be comfortable Democratic wins and shouldn’t be the deciding factor for control. HD65 (Biden+11), located in Fredericksburg and Spotsylvania County, also leans clearly toward Democrats but its ancestral GOP inhabitants make it a potential tipping-point seat.
HD21, HD82, and HD97 all voted for Biden and Youngkin, marking them as districts to watch. These districts will most likely decide the chamber, and each party would need to win all the more favorable seats and two of these to clinch a majority. The wealthy districts of HD22 in Prince William County and HD30 in Loudoun County, both of which are experiencing a rapid shift left, present an outside chance for the Democrats if ancestral Republicans continue to leave their party. Given Youngkin’s strong performance in these areas, however, that is unlikely.
HD57 has attracted attention due to the controversy surrounding Democrat Susanna Gibson; if voters can look past the recent scandal, it could move towards the Democrats and end up as a tipping point seat. Biden won HD71, HD86, and HD89, but Youngkin won these seats by comfortable margins in 2021, leaving Republicans favored in 2023. Finally, Democrats have an outside chance to win HD41, HD64, and HD75 but these seats will not be critical to determine partisan control of the chamber.”
Cash Cow and Walt did send in mail in ballots to Richmond Va.
We said that, due to the illegal creation of the state of WV, we still consider ourselves (WE IDENTIFY AS RESIDENTS OF VA”) to be VA residents and should be able to vote there.
“HD57 has attracted attention due to the controversy surrounding Democrat Susanna Gibson; if voters can look past the recent scandal, ”
The scandal is that the D candidate woman and her husband in the not too distant past had posted numerous videos of the two of them having sex with one another on some weirdo web thingie. If I remember, they got money for posting their sex vids.
2 big races in PA are, according to ads, Planned Parenthood vs. MAGA extremists who want to kill women for Supreme Court and the Republican May get 30% of the vote in the Philadelphia Mayor’s race. Ok. 1 big race.
Bitter, its insane. We have a memory care patient in the white house who has botched literally everything he touches, has us on the brink of WWIII while signaling to the world he is weak and will not stop aggression.
He and his party have us teetering on the brink of Great Depression II, and this same party wants to use the public school system to fool kids into being surgically sterilized, while hiding this from parents, and the party has us trapped in runaway inflation, with retirement plans losing value big time, and he has thrown the border so far open that DEM MAYORS are calling for help and no one answers.
And yet the nation may well vote BLUE tonight. I have little confidence in voters having enough intelligence to vote for their own self-interest. I even have MORE confidence in the NY Mets.
DW, in your Paladin 2024 Presidential Dashboard, I think that you mistakenly used the Gonzales predictions for the *House races* in ME-02 and NE-02 rather than its predictions for the 2024 presidential results in those districts. No way could Gonzales differ so much from the other toupees — or expect such a huge change from 2020 — as to predict that the rural ME-02 CD is “Lean D” for president in 2024 (as redrawn, it went for Trump by 6% in 2020 even as it has reelected its Democratic Congressman Jared Golden in 2020 and 2022, and the other two toupees have the 2024 presidential contest there as Lean R or Likely R) or that the Omaha-based NE-02 CD is “Safe R” for president in 2024 (as redrawn, it went for Biden by over 6% in 2020, even as it has reelected its Republican Congressman Don Bacon in 2020 and 2022, and the other two toupees have the 2024 presidential contest there as Lean D or Likely D).
And I think that Paladin should reconsider its predictions for the presidential race in ME-02 and NE-02 once the proper predictions from Gonzales are reported.
Looks like Cameron is done for. Early returns in rural counties show him running well behind the numbers he needs in rural counties to offset the big Democratic numbers to come in from Louisville and Frankfort.
This one won’t even be close, folks. Now to follow Mississippi race. Hope for better news.
Donald Trump’s Attorney Alina Habba Claims The CIA Is Involved In The Persecution Of Trump (Shocker)
How long until they RIG another election?
Donald Trump’s Attorney Alina Habba Claims The CIA Is Involved In The Persecution Of Trump (Shocker)
Our 3 Letter Agencies Are Out Of Control
“No way some 30 some year old individual got the President's tax returns out of a vault. At the IRS, somebody who worked for Booze, Alan… pic.twitter.com/fvHDdSZ79i
The one caveat for Kentucky would be if those early rural votes were early votes which tend to be Democratic, however, I don’t believe they count early votes like Florida,
One year out from the General Election and I predict that neither current front runner, @JoeBiden or @realDonaldTrump, will win the Presidency. America is ready to sing along with Bob Seger…Turn the Page.
JeffP – I don’t think the RNC wrote the Dobbs Decision. It saved Democrats from the disaster of Biden in many races. It has been the main issue in PA for the last 2 GEs.
@RHHElections
Accurate dispatch from Virginia on the parties’ advertising. Most Dem ads were “a noun, a verb, and MAGA,” and many Dems ran as open to working with Youngkin. So far, that’s been a winning message.
Goober and Biden’s Beotch helped with that. Federal abortion ban. Couldn’t take the court victory, had to spike the ball. And be silent on illegal immigration, while voting for most, if not all of Dementeds agenda
Breaking: Ohio voters pass a constitutional amendment protecting access to abortion, extending statewide wins for abortion rights, AP reports https://t.co/mgiyX6zptn
And his Twitter idiots and campaign chief would stupidly push him to run on it and ignore the economy, inflation, open borders, while promoting more foreign wars.
The Reckoning 💥
@sethjlevy
No one in their right mind would look at tonight’s election results and conclude that Republicans would benefit by nominating the guy who recently passed a six week abortion ban.
5:50 PM · Nov 7, 2023
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Another great night for MAGA! Just like in 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022. Strange. I was told I would get tired of all of the winning. Instead, I’m tired of all of the losing Trump has brought to the party.
Daniel Cameron ran as a Trump acolyte and got his sorry butt kicked while all of the other Republicans in Kentucky ran without mentioning Trump and got 58% or more statewide. Trump is toxic, you fools! When are you boneheads going to learn that?
Republicans got slaughtered once again in the suburbs. That will make Jason fraud happy, but Republicans can’t win without them. But who cares, right? Muh Trump rural WWC voters are the bestest evah!
You suckers are going to spend the next 12 months touting crappy polls that are always wrong and convince yourselves Conman Donnie and his gang of criminals and sycophants are going to win. Except they won’t and then you’ll all claim fraud and we’ll do it all over again in 2028.
txphil1
November 7, 2023 at 6:48 pm
Looks like Cameron is done for. Early returns in rural counties show him running well behind the numbers he needs in rural counties to offset the big Democratic numbers to come in from Louisville and Frankfort.
This one won’t even be close, folks. Now to follow Mississippi race. Hope for better news.
– I voted for Cameron and all of the other Republicans today. My only surprise was the margin by which he lost. Not that he lost.
Cameron was a dud candidate. He had no agenda. All he did was talk about how great it was to have Trump’s endorsement. There wasn’t a single day in the campaign I thought he would win.
I put some of the blame on the state party for not pushing back against Beshear in 2020 and allowing him to cement a 60% approval rating, but Cameron was just a bad candidate. He was wildly overrated.
tinahhr
November 7, 2023 at 7:08 pm
Don’t worry hoaxer and Clinton Groupie will be here to cheer on the drats.
– All your hero Conman Donnie does is lose and you love it. You’re a useful idiot for him. And a year from now, you’ll be spouting all sorts of conspiracies about how the 2024 race was stolen from him.
Do us all a favor and stick to your claim early in the morning after the 2020 election that you wouldn’t post anymore. I don’t need to read anymore of your pro-Putin drivel.
VIRGINIA: We are now projecting HD-65 for Democrat Josh Cole. This means Democrats will have no less than 50 seats in the House of Delegates, meaning Republicans have lost their majority.
Terrible news. This isn’t 100% all about the abortion issue.
JeffP
November 7, 2023 at 7:40 pm
Let’s hope. Cameron is a star. He might be better as a major upgrade replacement for Cocaine Mitch anyway.
– Cameron is an absolute dud. I watched his race up close. He had no agenda other than to say he was endorsed by Trump. For the last four years, I thought he may be one of the most overrated Republicans since Marco Rubio.
retllaw
November 7, 2023 at 8:14 pm
In KY, the Rs are comfortably ahead in all the statewide races–
EXCEPT for governor.
Does this mean the voters of KY are racists who will not vote for a black man for governor?
– I live in KY. Cameron was a dud of a candidate. He had no political skills and was totally flummoxed on the abortion issue. There was no enthusiasm for him at all. Beshear, a crafty politician, ran circles around him. It was sad to watch.
Ellen Carmichael
@ellencarmichael
Every single ad here attacking Republican candidates seemed to be about “MAGA extremists.”
If y’all stick with the guy weighing us all down, I can’t help you. He’s a drag on the GOP, which hurts the conservative cause, which hurts America.
How much longer must we sacrifice?
– We’ll continue to lose because the MAGA base bathes in victimhood. Losing and saying the world is aligned against them gives them a common purpose. It’s the togetherness these mal adjusted losers never had in high school.
Sadly, the usual suspects here are fine with losing over and over again with Trump because conservatism has been killed off and replaced with populism and populism is only about grievance.
– Ronna Romney McDaniels, a loser who keeps on losing, has her job because Trump wants her in that job. Why? Because she’s a pathetic toady for Trump and she’s willing to use RNC funds to cover Trump’s legal bills rather than give that money to Republicans in state races in Virginia. The whole Trump party is one, big grift.
– She’ll be the RNC chair for another five years at least. She’s got to be a part of the 2024 election loss and then help rig the system to get Trump the nomination again in 2028 so he and she can lose again.
The real reason the never Trumpers fear Trump is because they know he will destroy their political careers this time unlike last time when he tolerated some of them.
Nothing is as simple as “it’s Trump’s fault.” Cameron obviously is responsible for his own race.
But Cameron was enthusiastically Trump-endorsed, and Trump was the centerpiece of his campaign.
It’s disingenuous to just hand wave that away because it’s inconvenient.
– All Cameron had to do was run like the other Republicans who got 58% or more statewide. Tun on issues and an agenda. Instead, he ran as a male version of Kari Lake. All Trump all of the time.
Trump’s a losing loser who loses and so do his high-profile endorsees. And yes, Jason fraud, Kari Lake lost last year.
Guys, it is not that VA-Dems successfully branded GOP candidates as MAGA and both Tate Reeves and Daniel Cameron campaigned on the Trump endorsement and both ran behind other Republicans. IT IS THAT THE RACES WERE STOLEN.
– MAGA is incapable of dealing with reality so they will absolutely run with “stollen election” crap. I’m sure Tinfoil is getting her marching orders from Gateway Pundit as I write this.
Some of you won’t admit it because you like losing.
– Yep. Losing is the unifier of Trumpism. It’s all about victimhood. Fortunately, Trump has provided those who love losing with a lot of losing. And even better, he’s going to do some more losing in 2024.
I wonder if Trump will be allowed to watch the election results on election night on the prison TV?
Cameron is a dud who lost to a mask loving pussy in Beshear and Tinfoil thinks he should run for something else based solely on the fact her MAGA daddy endorsed him. Trump is going to throw Cameron overboard pronto and then Tinfoil will pivot to saying Cameron sucks. That’s how MAGA works. Whatever the dear leader says is the gospel truth.
I look forward to reading the usual suspect excuse away another disastrous election night in the coming days. I know some of you have it in you to conjure up the most bizarre defenses of Trump possible. Get to work. I need to some comedy in my life.
In the 19th century, Democrats supported slavery. For most of the 20th century, many Democrats supported segregation. In the 21st century, they are the abortion party. Let that sink in.
The woman who lost 53-47 for the PA Supreme Court was targeted in hundreds of ads that ran many times each hour on Philadelphia tv. The ad said she was backed by extremist MAGA supporters who would make abortion illegal. Her response was an ad by a Democrat lawyer who had an internship with her who said she wasn’t so bad and would keep politics off the court. I don’t know if these ads ran in Bittersville.
The GOP/RNC generally speaking wasn’t ready to respond to Dobbs. It also doesn’t want to face the reality of MAGAs impact on local elections. They don’t have a winning strategy to either.
It is ironic that for almost 50 years, the argument was that abortion properly belonged as an issue to be decided in each state BUT there was no plan on what to do if Roe was overturned and it went back to the states.
“In the 19th century, Democrats supported slavery. For most of the 20th century, many Democrats supported segregation. In the 21st century, they are the abortion party. Let that sink in.”
Bitter, its worse than that.
“In the 21st century, they are the abortion party. And they are the party bent on destroying women’s sports along with the very definition of a woman. And they are the party bent on using the public school system to fool children into receiving genital mutilation and sterilization, and hiding this from parents. Let that sink in.”
Robbie NEVER supports a Republican in the GE. That is why nobody listens to his alleged analysis. Both can be true.”
I like “alleged”, since it is the same crap over and over every election cycle. Just replace “Trump” for another purported villain that always give him an excuse of why he only votes for Democrats.
The R lost the PA Supreme Court by 250k votes (no, Trump was not on the ballot) despite winning all but 12 of 67 counties. She won every county surrounding Pittsburgh and even Erie County.
But she lost Montco 326k to 171k (155k deficit)
Delco 90k to 57k (33k deficit)
Bucks 109k to 88k (21k deficit)
Chester 82k-62k (20k deficit)
That is a 230k deficit in these 4 suburban counties that are trending bluer with each election. Add that to a 90k deficit in Allegheny and a 180k deficit in Philadelphia Co and you got a 500k hole to make up. She made up half of that.
Again, this has nothing to do with Trump, but with the educational system that is turning out leftists that are populating these suburbs.
If the GOP wants to survive, it has to find votes elsewhere. And it also needs minority candidates like Cameron in KY. No, a black man didn’t win against an incumbent with 60% approval but Amoral Scumbag is of course wrong that Cameron shouldn’t run again, HE is the future of the party.
Bitterlaw
November 8, 2023 at 7:21 am
Robbie NEVER supports a Republican in the GE. That is why nobody listens to his alleged analysis. Both can be true.
– Bitter is a lawyer who supports the rule of law. Bitter believes the law shouldn’t apply to conman Donnie Trump because he puts a R after his name. Both can be true
And as I wrote last night, I voted for Cameron yesterday even though I suspected he lose. Your red hat is on too tight today.
In the end Cameron closed the gap, lost by 5 (about 65k votes). Too bad. He lost Jefferson Co (Louisville) by 100k votes and Fayette (Lexington) by 35k basically won everywhere else. Despite Amoral Scumbag’s denials, race probably DID play a role in his loss. It was certainly the main reason Amoral Scumbag didn’t vote for him.
I like “alleged”, since it is the same crap over and over every election cycle. Just replace “Trump” for another purported villain that always give him an excuse of why he only votes for Democrats.
– The reason this has happened every cycle since 2018 is because idiots like you refuse to throw Trump overboard. Voters have repeatedly said over and over they don’t want anymore of Trump or his acolytes, yet clowns like you desperately want more Trump.
Well, get used to the losing, fraud, because as long as conman Donnie is alive and controlling the party like a mob boss, the party is going to keep on losing.
I had already predicted Amoral Scumbag would be here celebrating any Dem win as he does every election cycle. No, you don’t have to be prescient to know that.
But if he thinks anybody here cares about his “analysis” (always the same thing, Rs have horrible candidates, that is why he supports Democrats) blah blah blah he really needs professional help.
jason
November 8, 2023 at 9:17 am
In the end Cameron closed the gap, lost by 5 (about 65k votes). Too bad. He lost Jefferson Co (Louisville) by 100k votes and Fayette (Lexington) by 35k basically won everywhere else. Despite Amoral Scumbag’s denials, race probably DID play a role in his loss. It was certainly the main reason Amoral Scumbag didn’t vote for him.
– I voted for Cameron even though I suspected he would lose. I knew he was a dud going back four years, but people didn’t support my candidate in the primary, Ryan Quarles. And yes, race played a role. There’s no delicate way to put this, but he was a black man with a white wife running in a very rural state. It mattered. When you look at the margins in eastern Kentucky, a place that has become very Republican, it’s hard not notice the under-performance there by him.
I tried to warn this forum back in June that Cameron was running a crappy race. After he won the primary, he took at least six weeks off from campaigning. During that time, Beshear hit Cameron again and again. Cameron fell behind and never recovered. But more importantly, Cameron had no message or agenda. I saw all of his advertising. It was all about Trump and voters delivered a clear message even in Kentucky. No thanks.
Meanwhile, the other Republicans who ran statewide never mentioned conman Donnie and they all won with ease. In fact, the biggest vote getter, Michael Adams, explicitly said the election wasn’t stolen and he got about 62%. Daniel Cameron ran almost 11 points behind the next Republican, the AG candidate who got 58% of the vote. It was a disastrous showing for Cameron. He was the most overrated Republican since Marco Rubio.
And watch out. Beshear will run for McConnell’s senate seat in 2026 when Mitch retires and he’ll have a great shot at winning. Why? He’s a crafty and skilled politician and the Republican bench here is mediocre. There’s a real chance Beshear takes on nutball Tom Massie in 2026.
The GOP in DC spent a month getting into and out of clown cars and spraying confetti like Rip Taylor. ’23 was not a Congressional cycle. But it was a political year, and the GOP brand is now like the circus grounds after the elephants left and no one cleaned up the shit.
Everything Amoral Scumbag wrote above is self serving garbage. Cameron is actually an excellent candidate and the type of person the GOP needs if it want to be competitive in the future.
Cameron didn’t lose because of Trump. He lost because Beshear had 60% approval as an incumbent, and incumbents with that kind of approval rating never lose. Also Beshear IS a crafty politician who is a radical leftist posing as a moderate, and some idiots are gullible enough to believe it, like here in PA there are idiots who think Bob Casey is a moderate.
Cameron’s loss had ZERO to do with Trump, actually he probably would have lost by more had he not run close to Trump. The idea that Trump is unpopular in KY is of course completely asinine and one the stupidest things Amoral Scumbag ever wrote here.
Jason fraud, who isn’t very smart, says 2014 (the best year for the party since 1928) was a dead cat bounce for Republicans. He somehow claimed that, despite all of the losing, Trump saved the party. LOL.
I don’t know about most of you, but I would gladly take the supposed dead cat bounce of 2014 over all of the losing that conman Donnie has unleashed on the party. However, I know many of the regulars actually enjoy the losing because it allows you to be permanently angry.
tinahhr
November 8, 2023 at 9:35 am
The Ky Governor had a 60% approval rate and much higher name Id. Cameron is only 37. He has a bright future.
– I know MAGA has a fetish for candidates who lose, but Cameron isn’t going to be a factor in Kentucky Republican politics for the foreseeable future. He ran a terrible race against a wussy Democrat in a ruby red state. Cameron ran 11 points behind the next closest Republican who got 58% of the statewide vote. There was no enthusiasm for him at any point during the campaign.
When you spike the football on abortion (see Biden Beotch and Goober from 2022), vote for most, if not all of Biden’s, agenda, you will get these results.
It’s not all bad. We picked up some in local races (mayor) and some Hispanic cities in Texas went red.
Julie Kelly 🇺🇸
@julie_kelly2
Same people who insist 2020 election was legit, defend billions in US aid to scam artist in Ukraine, refuse to denounce weaponization of DOJ/FBI against the Right, and yearn for GWB days now blame Trump for some GOP losses tonight.
They are the real losers.
8:49 PM · Nov 7, 2023
·
65.1K
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JeffP
November 8, 2023 at 9:36 am
He lost 26 Trump counties including 8 coal counties you think race played a part in that?
– I think it’s one of many things that hampered his effort. Above all else, he was just a dud of a candidate. He ran 11 points behind the next closest Republican.
Sadly, race still matters a lot in this state. Nominating a black man with a white wife from Louisville for a high-profile statewide race was risky. There’s a reason Cameron was the only black person to ever win statewide and that was for AG in 2019 when he had a different wife.
tinahhr
November 8, 2023 at 9:38 am
It was a horrible night for Youngkin imo. Was touted as the anti trump but lasted a huge dump.
Cameron got close. A sleeper race. Bright future.
– And Tinfoil gives away the game here. Youngkin, who doesn’t slavishly support Trump, is a loser for not winning the House and Senate in a blue state.
Cameron, who does slavishly support Trump, is a winner even though he ran well behind the other Republicans in a ruby red state.
Again, it’s all about loyalty to the mob boss conman Donnie for Tinfoil and the rest of MAGA. In their world, candidates can lose and lose and lose and still have a bright future so long as they bow at the feet of Donnie.
The law should apply equally to everybody. Only Robbie and Democrats believe the absurd politically motivated cases against Trump are valid. Both can be true.
Based on ACTUAL polling done by NY Times/Siena, Bloomberg, Redfield & Wilson and others not historically friendly to the GOP, if the POTUS election was held right now and it was Trump vs Biden, then Trump would flip AZ, GA, NV, and PA with MI and WI going either way.
jason
November 8, 2023 at 9:45 am
He ran 11 points behind the next closest Republican.”
Zzzzzz… meaningless drivel.
He ran behind because he was facing a popular incumbent, and as JeffP points out, race still matters in KY.
– Beshear is a Democrat in a ruby red state. He imposed never-ending covid restrictions and mask mandates. Cameron, being the dud that he is, didn’t make that an issue until the last weekend of the race. That’s political malpractice.
Cameron lost for a series of reasons. He was a flawed candidate from the start. I saw that, but conman Donnie didn’t. And because he had so many flaws, he felt the only way to win was to tout his Trump endorsement. Well, voters said no thanks.
Cameron lost a strip of counties in eastern KY and underperformed in others because he was a black man with a white wife. It’s sucks to write that, but it’s the truth. He got his ass kicked in Louisville and Lexington because he ran as a MAGA candidate.
I’m convinced Trump could lose the next three presidential elections and leave Republicans with 150 members in the House and about 42 Senators and you’d still praise Trump and say nothing was his fault. You’re a Trump cultist through and through.
Bitterlaw
November 8, 2023 at 9:48 am
The law should apply equally to everybody. Only Robbie and Democrats believe the absurd politically motivated cases against Trump are valid. Both can be true.
– You don’t believe that because, at every turn, you have excused Trump’s behavior and criminality. You believe he should be treated differently in the eyes of the law because he was a president who put a R after his name. That’s why you’ll happily vote for him yet again in 2024 and then do the same in 2028. And all the while, you’ll hide behind your “both things can be true” nonsense.
And if these federal cases are politically motivated, as you suggest, then all of those conservative judges Trump appointed at the appeals court level will throw out the charges. Except, they won’t because they see that the charges are valid.
In fact, it was Trump appointed appeals court judges who slapped down the judge in Miami when she tried to run interference for conman Donnie in 2022 over the search at Mar-a-Lago. The appeals court judges, two Trump appointees and a GWB appointee, excoriated Cannon for her two decisions saying she got the law completely wrong and her ruling would have reordered the law on that issue had it been allowed to stand.
Trump illegally kept classified document AFTER he was president. You or I would be awaiting trial in prison for that. He’s getting special treatment by being allowed to stay out of jail. But you’re ok with that because you think Donnie deserves special treatment. The federal cases are totally justified and I hope that POS spends the rest of his life in federal prison.
If you want to hold vigil outside the jail or offer your legal service to him on appeal, go for it. He’s a criminal, but he’s a Republican first in your eyes.
– Lose. That’s the plan. And it will be the plan in 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028 when Trump’s the nominee again.
The only thing that will end Republican losing the eventual passing away of Trump. As long as the mob boss in alive and in control of the party, the party will lose. He’ll control it from federal prison as well.
But a lot of Republicans and FoxNews, as well, love the losing. It’s good for business.
Bryan Griffin
@BryanDGriffin
This is the moment we Republicans have to decide we are tired of losing. We can’t allow an outcome like last night to happen next year.
A Dem win in 2024 would mean even higher prices for gas and food, packed courts, rules changed and stacked against us, and every manner of new government control over your life that you can imagine.
@RonDeSantis
built a coalition and ran on a record that trounced the Dems in Florida with a 20 point win. He can stop them nationally.
We’ve got to nominate a winner.
– Spoiler alert: Republicans will decide they aren’t tired of losing. They’ll pick Trump again, lose with him, and then believe his lies that yet another election was “stollen” from him, and then we’ll do this all over again in 2028.
Erick Erickson
@EWErickson
“There’s just no good spin for the GOP from last night in these state races. But, at the local level, in school board races and city council races where the politics really is local, and the candidates are known by their own personality, the GOP had some good successes.”
– When Republicans run on an agenda and steer clear of Trump, they win.
When Republicans run on Trump as Cameron did, they lose.
Nothing is going to get fixed with the GOP because Trump supporters won’t accept how radicalizing Trump is to a lot of non-Trump voters. And also because in some places, Trump helps the GOP turn out. There’s an inability to distinguish where he helps and hurts the party.
– True. Jason fraud thinks Trump is the greatest thing that ever happened to the Republican Party. He claimed Trump saved the party in 2016 even as it lost race after race after race. And as Erickson noted, Jason fraud and the rest simply can’t recognize how polarizing Trump is for everyone outside of the hard right, FoxNews base of the party.
Eventually, the losing will have an impact for the fraud and other, but it may take another 5-10 years.
I truly do not understand how Ronna McDaniel has a job this morning.
– Because conman Donnie wants her to have the job. She’s willing to bow and scrape for him. But more importantly, she’s willing to divert RNC funds away from winning races in places like Virginia and use it to pay for conman Donnie’s legal bills.
Parties will always have down cycles. They’ll always stand for things that cost them some voters. But just running year after year for a decade plus with the baggage of the same one man who’s never even matched Mitt Romney’s share of the national vote is choosing failure.
– Republicans have developed a culture of losing in the Trump era and it’s now part of the party’s ethos. They enjoy it because it allows them to rage. And in the end, that’s all populism is. Rage.
One of the ironies of this era is that the GOP is simultaneously taking an electoral hit on a stated matter of conscience in abortion, while also making a man who stands for almost nothing the party figurehead. The incoherence of it ends up discrediting them coming and going.
– Abortion is the last issue of conscience in the Republican Party. Until now, at least, it has withstood Trumpism. But on all other things, the party has chosen to believe only in what Trump believes and predictably, it has produced losing on an industrial scale.
With the exception of the Virginia governor’s race, Republicans haven’t won a damned thing since 2016. One bad election night after another….and yeah, the RNC chairman is a joke.
Biden still hanging in there as long as Trump looks like the Republican nominee. It’s Biden’s only hope and the reason he hasn’t decided to drop out. He figures if Republicans are going to Thelma and Louise it, why hang em up?
I stand by what I have said time and again. Democrats are waiting to see what the inevitable Trump convictions do to Trump-Biden numbers. Trump will obviously lose support and that might be all Biden needs to hang onto the WH – providing he gets Trump in the general.
Still think once the Trump GOP nomination is secure, Democrats pressure Biden to withdraw and they nominate another candidate (not Kamala) without Biden’s baggage. Then, in a straight up GE annihilate Trump with their “fresh candidate” as they make the election all about Trump.
Republicans will nominate Trump and be in the Presidential wilderness for at least another four years. Party of stupid rides again.
Just so damned frustrating when you watch your party voluntarily put a gun at its head and pull the trigger. Moronic.
I have been for DeSantis, and continue to hope he can secure the nomination. But it looks doubtful. If DeSantis or any other candidate gets the GOP nomination, then Biden will immediately be pulled for someone else. But honestly I think they pull him regardless.
If Biden was the Pope, the college of Cardinals would be on constant standby for a flight to Rome.
Biden is pulled regardless. Trump would be beat him easily. Anybody who is healthy beats him. The fact that Biden only polls at 46% in California is explained only by his failure at everything and his failing health.
This is why NY-Times/Siena put those polls out. They probably had their thumbs on the scale to show Trump winning all those battleground states. The purpose of the polls was to tell Obama to find another stooge. Biden can’t make it.
190 responses to “Election Day! Let’s get this party started!”
I was 4th in line at 7:00. I continued my streak since 1986 of only voting for Republicans. There was 1 Democrat for School Board who was also endorsed by the GOP. I could not vote for her even though I coached her daughter in softball.
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First…
@JimJordan
“BOMBSHELL REPORT ON THE CENSORSHIP-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX
HUNDREDS of secret reports show how @DHSgov’s @CISAgov, The GEC (@StateDept), @Stanford and others worked together to censor AMERICANS before the 2020 election, including true information, jokes, and opinions.”
The GOP better get their sh*t together and have a strategy to win the next several election cycles to undo the damage eight years of Obama brought us and now four years of Biden. I doubt they will. We will see how tonight goes…Kentucky should be a 10 point win for Cameron under normal circumstances.
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Judge Ignoran and his law clerk will be reversed at some point ( he has been reversed several times already). First he valued Mal at $18 million (using an assessed value). Trump bought Mal at a depressed level and made improvements. Rush’s estate (much smaller) closed at over $150 million. Other estimates value Mal at $1 billion. Even if you take a middle figure, it’s worth way more than $18 million. Apparently, Ignoran does not know the difference between assessed valuation and fair market valuation
Then, yesterday’s comedy gold, Ignoran claims that location is not “relevant” to the value of the Scotland property.
“The prosecution’s examination veered far afield with Trump being questioned regarding the number of homes included in the valuation of his golf course property in Aberdeen, Scotland. It was unclear what legal interests or purview the New York Attorney General’s office has with loan agreements in the United Kingdom. When Trump defended the value of his Aberdeen property as it sits in the midst of one of the most oil rich regions of Europe, Judge Engoron declared that location is “irrelevant” to the value of property.”
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Jack Poso 🇺🇸
@JackPosobiec
BREAKING: Advisor to head of Ukrainian military killed with hand grenade disguised as birthday present. Comes as military head openly criticizing Zelensky’s handling of the war
The present was vodka-glasses shaped like grenades, but one of the grenades was real
2:52 AM · Nov 7, 2023
·
177.3K
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The GOP better get their sh*t together and have a strategy”
LOL
I sure hope it isn’t your elitist “tiny tent country club GOP” strategy…
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Jan will be happy a Ukrainian was killed. It might help Putin end the slaughter caused by those pesky Ukrainians who refuse to be conquered.
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Kentucky should be a 10 point win for Cameron under normal circumstances”
BS.
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The Dem has a 60% approval rating, so no way “in normal circumstances” would he lose by 10.
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Mike johnson and his son watch each other p0rn reports
https://www.yahoo.com/news/mike-johnson-son-monitoring-other-154928238.html
Second look at Jim Jordan?
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Ok, I voted at the Mennonite Church. The ladies had a nice bake sale mostly eaturing shoo fly pies and whoopie pies, neither of which I care for …..sue me.
The York Republican Party had a little tent manned by 3 ladies with some brochures and voter guides. The Dems had a chair with a lonely guy wearing a union button and with a poster showing listing all the good things the Dems claim credit for, including social security and medicare. From what I could see I was only the 54th person to vote at 9:15 AM.
I voted a straight R ticket, I could not find anyone on the ballot that was anti-Ukraine.
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Zzzzz…. breaking news. Neither Johnson or his son watch porn. What a hit piece!
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No wonder Amoral Scumbag approved of Twitter censoring conservatives…and why he hates free speech advocate Elon Musk…
“As outlined in the committee’s preliminary report issued on November 6, the EIP’s purpose was obscuring the government’s involvement with online speech suppression.
Enter the Election Integrity Partnership (EIP), a consortium of “disinformation” academics led by Stanford University’s Stanford Internet Observatory (SIO) that worked directly with the Department of Homeland Security and the Global Engagement Center, a multi-agency entity housed within the State Department, to monitor and censor Americans’ online speech in advance of the 2020 presidential election. Created in the summer of 2020 “at the request” of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), the EIP provided a way for the federal government to launder its censorship activities in hopes of bypassing both the First Amendment and public scrutiny.
The EIP’s operation was straightforward: “external stakeholders,” including federal agencies and organizations funded by the federal government, submitted misinformation reports directly to the EIP. The EIP’s misinformation “analysts” next scoured the internet for additional examples for censorship. If the submitted report flagged a Facebook post, for example, the EIP analysts searched for similar content on Twitter, YouTube, TikTok, Reddit, and other major social media platforms. Once all of the offending links were compiled, the EIP sent the most significant ones directly to Big Tech with specific recommendations on how the social media platforms should censor the posts, such as reducing the posts’ “discoverability,” “suspending [an account’s] ability to continue tweeting for 12 hours,” “monitoring if any of the tagged influencer accounts retweet” a particular user, and, of course, removing thousands of Americans’ posts.
Government agencies and disinformation “experts” are quick to cite the need to combat foreign actors attempting to undermine American elections as a justification for this censorship regime. While foreign states do attempt to conduct influence operations, the Committee’s and Select Subcommittee’s investigation has revealed that the true focus and purpose of the censors’ “election integrity” work was to target the very Americans they claim to protect. Instead of targeting foreign or inauthentic accounts, the EIP targeted Americans, disproportionately candidates and commentators with conservative viewpoints. And despite its stated purpose to combat “disinformation,” the EIP worked with social media companies to censor true information, jokes and satire, and political opinions.
Some of the individual and corporate accounts targeted were:
President Donald J. Trump
Senator Thom Tillis
Speaker Newt Gingrich
Governor Mike Huckabee
Congressman Thomas Massie
Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene
NewsMax
The Babylon Bee”
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BREAKING
TRUMP JUST REEASD THE FOLLOWING STATEMENT:
“The 2024 election is the most important one the nation has faced since 1860. The election will decide whether or not to elect a Republican or reelect the Democrat party–which has been bringing the nation multiple disasters, including
–a flood of 10 million illegal aliens coming across the southern border in the last 3 years,
–illegal drug epidemic from China and Mexico killing hundreds of thousands of Americans a year and diverting taxpayers billions of dollars for care of illegal aliens
–rapidly increasing crime,
–a reckless federal spending policy causing run-a-way inflation shrinking the value of your paycheck,
–an unnecessary and wrongheaded war on U.S. oil, NatGas, and coal that has replaced energy independence to now energy dependence
–a weak foreign affairs policy of shown by our disastrous retreat from Afghanistan that has brought wars in Ukraine and the Middle East which threatens our own security,
–a domestic policy that focuses on gender identity pronouns, pushing the LBGTQ agenda, transgenderism rights over parental rights, wokeness, hating the U.S. flag and our cherished American traditions, tearing down statues, praising Hamas terrorists, and other leftist insanities.
This election is more important than any single individual, including me. The left has chosen to tie me up in multiple, politically motivated lawsuits to prevent me from effectively campaigning.
I will fight them in court. By doing so I will suck up their resources to continue to attack me, and they cannot use that energy in the election itself. I am also immediately withdrawing from the presidential primary throwing my support and urging all my supporters to get behind the best Republican candidate we can put forward in 2024 to defeat the Democrat Leftists and save the nation from their destructive agenda and policies. We need to unite and vote for the Republican candidate to end the insanity of Leftist Executive Orders and federal agency regulations and policies that bypass Congress.”
*******************************************************************
Walt had a dream that this is what should happen.
BUT SADLY, WILL NOT HAPPEN.
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Conversation
Jack Poso 🇺🇸
@JackPosobiec
BREAKING: Sheriff rules death of elderly Jewish man in Los Angeles is a homicide, pro-Palestinian agitator considered person of interest
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The Democratic Party is the Party that favors the surgical mutilation of children to sterilize them and turn them into freaks. That is not a ‘normal circumstance.’ Under normal circumstances, a Party that favors the surgical mutilation of children would not get a single vote for any candidate in any state.
–DW
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Walt, be careful, with speech like that you could get convicted of election interference and face 6 years in prison.
–DW
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Walt is not afraid of jail. He was in the Bastille when it was torn down during the French Revolution.
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DW,
It was OK for Hillary Clinton and her supporters to say the 2016 election was “stolen”, but not OK for Republicans to say the 2020 was “stolen”. (broad definition of the term here).
####################################################################
How can anyone deny the chaos brought by the current administration.
Chaos in the world,
Chaos at the southern U.S. border
Chaos in U.S. streets.
Chaos on college campuses and even K-12 schools.
Chaos to the average family’s finances?
***************************************************
PLUS,
There seems to be irrefutable proof of election interference in 2020 by the Dept of Homeland Security, FBI, State Dept., Justice Dept., Social Media, MSM, etc.
________________________________________________________________
I very much want to know WHY there was NOT a deep dive into “election irregularities” in the 2020 election, including to shine a light on mail in (absentee) ballots security, hundreds of votes coming from people who supposedly lived in vacant lots, people who were regustered to vote and apparently voted in two different states, etc. questionable reduction of signature verification, decisions by courts and election officials that were contrary to state law,
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Its a shame that Hamas terrorists hide behind women and children.
–DW
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News you won’t hear from Amoral Scumbag, who has stated here he misses the old Pravda like Twitter….
“A new Twitter Files report shows that Twitter executives knew the Russia-gate hoax was bunk and accuses one of the organizations pedaling the Russian election interference narrative of meddling in the Alabama elections.
Independent journalist Matt Taibbi created an X thread of an article written by journalist Susan Schmidt. The thread unpacked the dubious New Knowledge NGO and its behind-the-scenes work to get Twitter to censor accounts allegedly connected to a Russian government organization that some claim interfered in the 2016 election. Twitter employees and executives, however, were immediately skeptical of pervasive Russian bots. And, according to Taibbi and Schmidt, all the while, New Knowledge was interfering in American elections under the auspices of “Russian bots.”
Taibbi and Schmidt explained that the pressure on Twitter to censor allegedly Russian accounts can be traced back to 2018 when the Senate Intelligence Committee asked New Knowledge to investigate the allegations of foreign interference. The resulting report generated false news stories as then-Senate Intelligence Committee Vice-Chairman Mark Warner (D-VA) egged on the narrative. He called the report a “bombshell.”
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Btw, if the Dems do well tonight, Amoral Scumbag will be here as usual to celebrate. He will also find a way to blame Trump.
If Rs do well he will not show up. If he does show up, it will be to say Rs won “despite Trump”.
Yes, I am prescient.
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Walt is not afraid of jail. He was in the Bastille when it was torn down during the French Revolution”
Wasn’t it Walt who famously said “I will not lose my head over the French Revolution, but others will”?
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Inca Polls Inc. just released a report that says the 12PM KY exit polls looks good for Cameron.
Also the ED vote in Eastern KY is very strong.
As a result, Cameron is up to 30% at Predictit.
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I was looking at the internals of the Inca Poll exits.
I think coon hunters are under-represented, so take that into consideration.
– Poul Harris
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To the person posting pro-Hamas alleged casualty figures from Gaza, you can stop wasting time. They will be deleted.
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Nov. 3-5
6,000 RV
Morning Consult
Biden 42%
Trump 44%
–DW
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What a difference 3.5 years can make:
Siena/NT Times
Arizona:
6/16/2000 Trump 41 / Biden 48 (Biden +7)
11/3/2023 Trump 49 / Biden 44 (Trump +5)
Georgia:
9/21/2000 Trump 45 / Biden 45 (Biden +0)
11/3/2023 Trump 49 / Biden 44 (Trump +5)
Michigan:
6/17/2000 Trump 36 / Biden 47 (Biden +11)
11/3/2023 Trump 46 / Biden 46 (Trump +0)
Nevada:
9/10/2000 Trump 42 / Biden 46 (Biden +4)
11/3/2023 Trump 52 / Biden 41 (Trump +11)
Pennsylvania:
6/16/2000 Trump 40 / Biden 50 (Biden +10)
11/3/2023 Trump 49 / Biden 44 (Trump +5)
Wisconsin:
6/15/2000 Trump 38 / Biden 49 (Biden +11)
11/3/2023 Trump 45 / Biden 47 (Biden +2)
–DW
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correction…of course I meant the year 2020 on those earlier polls, not 2000.
–DW
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More then and now showing what happens to a POTUS whose party is destroying the USA:
Redfield and Wilton
Arizona
5/15/2020 Trump 41 / Biden 45 (Biden +4)
10/9/2023 Trump 44 / Biden 39 (Trump +5)
Florida
5/14/2020 Trump 43 / Biden 45 (Biden +2)
10/9/2023 Trump 44 / Biden 39 (Trump +5)
Georgia
9/16/2020 Trump 46 / Biden 45 (Trump +1)
10/9/2023 Trump 43 / Biden 40 (Trump +3)
Michigan
5/14/2020 Trump 39 / Biden 47 (Biden +8)
10/9/2023 Trump 41 / Biden 41 (Trump +0)
North Carolina
5/14/2020 Trump 43 / Biden 45 (Biden +2)
10/9/2023 Trump 43 / Biden 38 (Trump +5)
Pennsylvania
5/14/2020 Trump 39 / Biden 48 (Biden +9)
10/9/2023 Trump 42 / Biden 43 (Biden +1)
–DW
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And one more…
Bloomberg/Morning Insult
Arizona
05/26/2020 Trump 47 / Biden 45 (Trump +2)
10/15/2023 Trump 47 / Biden 43 (Trump +4)
Georgia
05/26/2020 Trump 49 / Biden 47 (Trump +2)
10/15/2023 Trump 48 / Biden 43 (Trump +5)
Michigan
05/26/2020 Trump 42 / Biden 50 (Biden +8)
10/15/2023 Trump 44 / Biden 44 (Trump +0)
North Carolina
05/26/2020 Trump 49 / Biden 46 (Trump +3)
10/15/2023 Trump 47 / Biden 43 (Trump +4)
Pennsylvania
05/26/2020 Trump 44 / Biden 48 (Biden +4)
10/15/2023 Trump 46 / Biden 45 (Trump +1)
Wisconsin
05/26/2020 Trump 44 / Biden 49 (Biden +5)
10/15/2023 Trump 46 / Biden 44 (Trump +2)
–DW
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What do you call a $100 bill, a mesh thingie for scooping fish out of the water and a chocolate drink in a bottle?
Benjamin, Net and Yahoo
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And so across 18 battleground state polls by three different pollsters, none of which are historically Republican friendly, ALL 18 of them show movement from Biden to Trump against matching polls from early to mid 2020.
And often the movement is very substantial.
–DW
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And one more…and again all the movement in one direction…
Emerson College
Arizona
08/10/2020 Trump 45 / Biden 49 (Biden +4)
08/04/2023 Trump 45 / Biden 43 (Trump +2)
Iowa
12/10/2019 Trump 51 / Biden 49 (Trump +2)
10/04/2023 Trump 44 / Biden 34 (Trump +10)
Michigan
10/07/2020 Trump 43 / Biden 54 (Biden +11)
10/04/2023 Trump 43 / Biden 44 (Biden +1)
New Hampshire
10/07/2020 Trump 45 / Biden 53 (Biden +8)
08/11/2023 Trump 41 / Biden 48 (Biden +7)
Ohio
05/06/2020 Trump 46 / Biden 43 (Trump +3)
10/15/2023 Trump 45 / Biden 33 (Trump +12)
Pennsylvania
08/10/2020 Trump 47 / Biden 53 (Biden +6)
10/04/2023 Trump 45 / Biden 36 (Trump +9)
Wisconsin
09/08/2020 Trump 45 / Biden 51 (Biden +6)
10/05/2023 Trump 42 / Biden 40 (Trump +2)
–DW
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What time will the wrong conclusions based upon anecdotes and exit polls be released?
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VIRGINIA ANALYSIS FROM SOME WEBSITE I READ
{I predict the Dems will retain control on Senate and will win the House)
Why? Because I have lost faith in the intelligence and ability of the voting public.
“State Senate
For Democrats to hold onto the State Senate, they need to win three out of the seven hotly contested seats. Their best shot lies in winning SD30 (unknown), SD16 (Biden+17), and SD31 (Biden+13). However, if they lose SD31, which many see as the deciding seat, they’ll face a tough road ahead. In that case, winning SD24 (Biden+9) becomes critical because of its large base of Black supporters and the benefit of a Democratic incumbent.
SD30, while labeled “Solid Democrat” by Cnalysis, is difficult to predict due to mail-in vote precinct attribution issues in Prince William County from 2020. SD16 is another important race. despite the district’s Biden+17 result in 2020. The district’s GOP incumbent, Siobhan Dunnavant, has a history of out-performing fundamentals and leads all 2023 General Assembly candidates in ad reservations through September 29th. SD31 is taking center stage as the most likely tipping point seat, standing out for its high campaign spending. SD24 could rescue Democrats if they lose a more blue seat, especially if Black turnout is high in the off-cycle election. On the other hand, districts like SD27 (Biden+6), SD17 (Biden+7), and SD4 (Trump+0) are less likely to be useful for Democrats, given these districts are significantly more red than the aforementioned seats.
House of Delegates
For Democrats to flip control of the Virginia House of Delegates, they will have to win five of 15 seats listed as compeitive by Cnalysis. Winning four will only bring them to a 50-50 tie in the chamber. The most promising seats for the Democrats are in HD58 (Biden+16) and HD84 (Biden+16), which are both anticipated to be comfortable Democratic wins and shouldn’t be the deciding factor for control. HD65 (Biden+11), located in Fredericksburg and Spotsylvania County, also leans clearly toward Democrats but its ancestral GOP inhabitants make it a potential tipping-point seat.
HD21, HD82, and HD97 all voted for Biden and Youngkin, marking them as districts to watch. These districts will most likely decide the chamber, and each party would need to win all the more favorable seats and two of these to clinch a majority. The wealthy districts of HD22 in Prince William County and HD30 in Loudoun County, both of which are experiencing a rapid shift left, present an outside chance for the Democrats if ancestral Republicans continue to leave their party. Given Youngkin’s strong performance in these areas, however, that is unlikely.
HD57 has attracted attention due to the controversy surrounding Democrat Susanna Gibson; if voters can look past the recent scandal, it could move towards the Democrats and end up as a tipping point seat. Biden won HD71, HD86, and HD89, but Youngkin won these seats by comfortable margins in 2021, leaving Republicans favored in 2023. Finally, Democrats have an outside chance to win HD41, HD64, and HD75 but these seats will not be critical to determine partisan control of the chamber.”
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Cash Cow and Walt did send in mail in ballots to Richmond Va.
We said that, due to the illegal creation of the state of WV, we still consider ourselves (WE IDENTIFY AS RESIDENTS OF VA”) to be VA residents and should be able to vote there.
We both voted straight R.
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Virginia
“HD57 has attracted attention due to the controversy surrounding Democrat Susanna Gibson; if voters can look past the recent scandal, ”
The scandal is that the D candidate woman and her husband in the not too distant past had posted numerous videos of the two of them having sex with one another on some weirdo web thingie. If I remember, they got money for posting their sex vids.
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#BREAKING: Voting machines have been shut down in several Pennsylvania districts due to votes getting flipped.
early test run for 2024?
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“#BREAKING: Voting machines have been shut down in several Pennsylvania districts due to votes getting flipped.”
You gotta be fricking kidding me.
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maybe an early test run for a run pull to steal the nomination and appoint DeSantis as the nominee.
Deepstate working overtime.
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Trumps lawyer goes on Fox to discuss how corrupt Trump’s judge is
https://vxtwitter.com/AJacoby1776/status/1721867084353647088?s=20
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2 big races in PA are, according to ads, Planned Parenthood vs. MAGA extremists who want to kill women for Supreme Court and the Republican May get 30% of the vote in the Philadelphia Mayor’s race. Ok. 1 big race.
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Bitter, its insane. We have a memory care patient in the white house who has botched literally everything he touches, has us on the brink of WWIII while signaling to the world he is weak and will not stop aggression.
He and his party have us teetering on the brink of Great Depression II, and this same party wants to use the public school system to fool kids into being surgically sterilized, while hiding this from parents, and the party has us trapped in runaway inflation, with retirement plans losing value big time, and he has thrown the border so far open that DEM MAYORS are calling for help and no one answers.
And yet the nation may well vote BLUE tonight. I have little confidence in voters having enough intelligence to vote for their own self-interest. I even have MORE confidence in the NY Mets.
–DW
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Anonymous
November 7, 2023 at 5:20 pm
maybe an early test run for a run pull to steal the nomination and appoint DeSantis as the nominee.”
This from Bunu who wanted America Hating Terrorist Loving Racist Porker Ron Paul appointed as the nominee….
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DW – The Mets are going to suck in 2024, too. Sorry.
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Bitter, I have resigned myself to it. At least its better on the blood pressure than losing in the World Series or the Playoffs.
–DW
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Seen on the Internet
“If Glenn Youngkin was old, would he be Glenn Oldkin”
Stumped….
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Where’s Jan? Did Putin take her out for only being 100% supportive instead of 200%?
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DW, in your Paladin 2024 Presidential Dashboard, I think that you mistakenly used the Gonzales predictions for the *House races* in ME-02 and NE-02 rather than its predictions for the 2024 presidential results in those districts. No way could Gonzales differ so much from the other toupees — or expect such a huge change from 2020 — as to predict that the rural ME-02 CD is “Lean D” for president in 2024 (as redrawn, it went for Trump by 6% in 2020 even as it has reelected its Democratic Congressman Jared Golden in 2020 and 2022, and the other two toupees have the 2024 presidential contest there as Lean R or Likely R) or that the Omaha-based NE-02 CD is “Safe R” for president in 2024 (as redrawn, it went for Biden by over 6% in 2020, even as it has reelected its Republican Congressman Don Bacon in 2020 and 2022, and the other two toupees have the 2024 presidential contest there as Lean D or Likely D).
And I think that Paladin should reconsider its predictions for the presidential race in ME-02 and NE-02 once the proper predictions from Gonzales are reported.
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Melldrm,
You do know that the “Paladin Polling” thing was created by someone here on HHR as a spook some years back…
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Looks like Cameron is done for. Early returns in rural counties show him running well behind the numbers he needs in rural counties to offset the big Democratic numbers to come in from Louisville and Frankfort.
This one won’t even be close, folks. Now to follow Mississippi race. Hope for better news.
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Donald Trump’s Attorney Alina Habba Claims The CIA Is Involved In The Persecution Of Trump (Shocker)
How long until they RIG another election?
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The one caveat for Kentucky would be if those early rural votes were early votes which tend to be Democratic, however, I don’t believe they count early votes like Florida,
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Kentucky Governor General
Last updated:
11/7/2023, 6:59:27 PM
County Results
Candidates Votes Pct.
Andy Beshear DEM* 110,215 61.13%
Daniel Cameron GOP 70,070 38.87%
* = IncumbentVotes in: Estimated 12%DDHQVotes counted: 180,285
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All the other statewide races, the Republican is comfortably ahead. by about the same margin as (D) Bashear leads Cameron (R).
Except the Agricultural commissioner where the D leads the race by something like 82K to 80K
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Trump pledges to demolish the deep state, war mongers, globalists, marxists, fascists and the fake news.
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Don’t worry hoaxer and Clinton Groupie will be here to cheer on the drats.
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24% of votes in
Andy Beshear DEM* 204,834 57.40%
Daniel Cameron GOP 152,034 42.60%
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Trump will never be President… but if he is elected as a lame duck this will never happen. Pure Fantasy.
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Wow that does not bode well for 24.
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Cameron closing the gap?
Andy Beshear DEM* 300,713 54.67%
Daniel Cameron GOP 249,317 45.33%
* = IncumbentVotes in: Estimated 36%
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Let’s hope. Cameron is a star. He might be better as a major upgrade replacement for Cocaine Mitch anyway.
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VA legislative racd results starting to dribble in
Lot of close races.
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Wasserman called KY Gov.
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Beshear projected to win
Andy Beshear DEM* 341,113 53.39%
Daniel Cameron GOP 297,773 46.61%
* = IncumbentVotes in: Estimated 42%
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Andy Beshear DEM* 357,723 53.06%
Daniel Cameron GOP 316,506 46.94%
* = IncumbentVotes in: Estimated 44%
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CNN
General Election:
Trump vs. Biden
Trump 49
Biden 45
Trump 41
Biden 35
Kennedy 16
West 4
President Biden Job Approval
Approve 40
Disapprove 60
Generic ballot
Democrats 47
Republicans 48
–DW
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One year out from the General Election and I predict that neither current front runner, @JoeBiden or @realDonaldTrump, will win the Presidency. America is ready to sing along with Bob Seger…Turn the Page.
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In KY, the Rs are comfortably ahead in all the statewide races–
EXCEPT for governor.
Does this mean the voters of KY are racists who will not vote for a black man for governor?
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Ramaswamy would be the clear #2 candidate if Trump dropped out IMO.
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Trump winning big in Florida
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We can bring it all back!
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The Dobbs Opinion was correctly decided. Abortion has been an electoral disaster for the GOP. Both can be true.
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Does not look like a good night for the GOP. Has any RNC Chair had such a disastrous run?
On a side note the exit polling is averaging 35% want Trump and about 30% want Biden to run for President. They are BOTH vulnerable.
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JeffP – I don’t think the RNC wrote the Dobbs Decision. It saved Democrats from the disaster of Biden in many races. It has been the main issue in PA for the last 2 GEs.
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Things are looking better in VA winning both house chambers would be huge for Youngkin.
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@RHHElections
Accurate dispatch from Virginia on the parties’ advertising. Most Dem ads were “a noun, a verb, and MAGA,” and many Dems ran as open to working with Youngkin. So far, that’s been a winning message.
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Goober and Biden’s Beotch helped with that. Federal abortion ban. Couldn’t take the court victory, had to spike the ball. And be silent on illegal immigration, while voting for most, if not all of Dementeds agenda
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Not sure if this was posted.
Cn and pole
Trump 49%
Demented -45%.
4 to 6 point consistent trump leads as the economy worsens, the world is u safe, the borde is a joke, and people tire of the war mongering.
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And his Twitter idiots and campaign chief would stupidly push him to run on it and ignore the economy, inflation, open borders, while promoting more foreign wars.
The Reckoning 💥
@sethjlevy
No one in their right mind would look at tonight’s election results and conclude that Republicans would benefit by nominating the guy who recently passed a six week abortion ban.
5:50 PM · Nov 7, 2023
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I hear you. How are the County Commissioner races looking in PA? In particular Bucks?
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Forget that.
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Not sure yet. Bucks is the last collar county that has hope for the GOP.
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RDS is a HUGE states rights guy and is not in favor of pushing a national abortion ban. He is a lot more pragmatic than people think.
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Of course, Trump could always go back to supporting Planned Parenthood and many of his supporters would claim he didn’t really support it.
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DDHQ Race Update (est. 34% in): PA State Supreme Court
Daniel McCaffery (D): 760,638
(60.9%)
Carolyn Carluccio (R): 488,308
(39.1%)
This can’t be good for a state wide election.
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Walt, I know what Paladin Polling is.
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Another great night for MAGA! Just like in 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022. Strange. I was told I would get tired of all of the winning. Instead, I’m tired of all of the losing Trump has brought to the party.
Daniel Cameron ran as a Trump acolyte and got his sorry butt kicked while all of the other Republicans in Kentucky ran without mentioning Trump and got 58% or more statewide. Trump is toxic, you fools! When are you boneheads going to learn that?
Republicans got slaughtered once again in the suburbs. That will make Jason fraud happy, but Republicans can’t win without them. But who cares, right? Muh Trump rural WWC voters are the bestest evah!
You suckers are going to spend the next 12 months touting crappy polls that are always wrong and convince yourselves Conman Donnie and his gang of criminals and sycophants are going to win. Except they won’t and then you’ll all claim fraud and we’ll do it all over again in 2028.
MAGA!
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Felon will lose.
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txphil1
November 7, 2023 at 6:48 pm
Looks like Cameron is done for. Early returns in rural counties show him running well behind the numbers he needs in rural counties to offset the big Democratic numbers to come in from Louisville and Frankfort.
This one won’t even be close, folks. Now to follow Mississippi race. Hope for better news.
– I voted for Cameron and all of the other Republicans today. My only surprise was the margin by which he lost. Not that he lost.
Cameron was a dud candidate. He had no agenda. All he did was talk about how great it was to have Trump’s endorsement. There wasn’t a single day in the campaign I thought he would win.
I put some of the blame on the state party for not pushing back against Beshear in 2020 and allowing him to cement a 60% approval rating, but Cameron was just a bad candidate. He was wildly overrated.
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tinahhr
November 7, 2023 at 7:08 pm
Don’t worry hoaxer and Clinton Groupie will be here to cheer on the drats.
– All your hero Conman Donnie does is lose and you love it. You’re a useful idiot for him. And a year from now, you’ll be spouting all sorts of conspiracies about how the 2024 race was stolen from him.
Do us all a favor and stick to your claim early in the morning after the 2020 election that you wouldn’t post anymore. I don’t need to read anymore of your pro-Putin drivel.
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VIRGINIA: We are now projecting HD-65 for Democrat Josh Cole. This means Democrats will have no less than 50 seats in the House of Delegates, meaning Republicans have lost their majority.
Terrible news. This isn’t 100% all about the abortion issue.
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JeffP
November 7, 2023 at 7:40 pm
Let’s hope. Cameron is a star. He might be better as a major upgrade replacement for Cocaine Mitch anyway.
– Cameron is an absolute dud. I watched his race up close. He had no agenda other than to say he was endorsed by Trump. For the last four years, I thought he may be one of the most overrated Republicans since Marco Rubio.
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retllaw
November 7, 2023 at 8:14 pm
In KY, the Rs are comfortably ahead in all the statewide races–
EXCEPT for governor.
Does this mean the voters of KY are racists who will not vote for a black man for governor?
– I live in KY. Cameron was a dud of a candidate. He had no political skills and was totally flummoxed on the abortion issue. There was no enthusiasm for him at all. Beshear, a crafty politician, ran circles around him. It was sad to watch.
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Ellen Carmichael
@ellencarmichael
Every single ad here attacking Republican candidates seemed to be about “MAGA extremists.”
If y’all stick with the guy weighing us all down, I can’t help you. He’s a drag on the GOP, which hurts the conservative cause, which hurts America.
How much longer must we sacrifice?
– We’ll continue to lose because the MAGA base bathes in victimhood. Losing and saying the world is aligned against them gives them a common purpose. It’s the togetherness these mal adjusted losers never had in high school.
Sadly, the usual suspects here are fine with losing over and over again with Trump because conservatism has been killed off and replaced with populism and populism is only about grievance.
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R.C. Maxwell 🇺🇸
@BlackHannity
Another big night for @GOPChairwoman! 🤡
– Ronna Romney McDaniels, a loser who keeps on losing, has her job because Trump wants her in that job. Why? Because she’s a pathetic toady for Trump and she’s willing to use RNC funds to cover Trump’s legal bills rather than give that money to Republicans in state races in Virginia. The whole Trump party is one, big grift.
Ronna must be a pin-up girl for Jason fraud.
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Bonchie
@bonchieredstate
Ronna McDaniel remaining RNC chair is a joke.
– She’ll be the RNC chair for another five years at least. She’s got to be a part of the 2024 election loss and then help rig the system to get Trump the nomination again in 2028 so he and she can lose again.
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Unlike McCain and Romney, Trump actually wins elections.
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The real reason the never Trumpers fear Trump is because they know he will destroy their political careers this time unlike last time when he tolerated some of them.
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Bonchie
@bonchieredstate
Nothing is as simple as “it’s Trump’s fault.” Cameron obviously is responsible for his own race.
But Cameron was enthusiastically Trump-endorsed, and Trump was the centerpiece of his campaign.
It’s disingenuous to just hand wave that away because it’s inconvenient.
– All Cameron had to do was run like the other Republicans who got 58% or more statewide. Tun on issues and an agenda. Instead, he ran as a male version of Kari Lake. All Trump all of the time.
Trump’s a losing loser who loses and so do his high-profile endorsees. And yes, Jason fraud, Kari Lake lost last year.
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Erick Erickson
@EWErickson
Guys, it is not that VA-Dems successfully branded GOP candidates as MAGA and both Tate Reeves and Daniel Cameron campaigned on the Trump endorsement and both ran behind other Republicans. IT IS THAT THE RACES WERE STOLEN.
– MAGA is incapable of dealing with reality so they will absolutely run with “stollen election” crap. I’m sure Tinfoil is getting her marching orders from Gateway Pundit as I write this.
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RBe
@RBPundit
Trump is the problem.
You all know it.
Some of you won’t admit it because you like losing.
– Yep. Losing is the unifier of Trumpism. It’s all about victimhood. Fortunately, Trump has provided those who love losing with a lot of losing. And even better, he’s going to do some more losing in 2024.
I wonder if Trump will be allowed to watch the election results on election night on the prison TV?
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Anonymous
November 7, 2023 at 10:37 pm
Unlike McCain and Romney, Trump actually wins elections.
– Shut up, Bunu. Don’t you have Mein Kamp to read for the 1000th time?
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Cameron should primary Biden’s beitch
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Cameron is a dud who lost to a mask loving pussy in Beshear and Tinfoil thinks he should run for something else based solely on the fact her MAGA daddy endorsed him. Trump is going to throw Cameron overboard pronto and then Tinfoil will pivot to saying Cameron sucks. That’s how MAGA works. Whatever the dear leader says is the gospel truth.
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I look forward to reading the usual suspect excuse away another disastrous election night in the coming days. I know some of you have it in you to conjure up the most bizarre defenses of Trump possible. Get to work. I need to some comedy in my life.
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Max Twain
@MaxTwain24
Guys, we just need to nominate more convicted felons.
That’s the ticket!
– Sadly, more than a few of you believe this would be a good idea.
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So what happened in 2018 when we lost the house .and 2020 when we lost the senate too. This is the worst argument.
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Trump left the party in good shape.
Bush left the party in a giant pile of cow dung and 60 Democrat senators.
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Maybe only 90%. It drives Dem voters to the polls like no other issue – including hating Trump. How do you not see that?
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She lost 53-47. Abortion was the deciding issue.
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In the 19th century, Democrats supported slavery. For most of the 20th century, many Democrats supported segregation. In the 21st century, they are the abortion party. Let that sink in.
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The woman who lost 53-47 for the PA Supreme Court was targeted in hundreds of ads that ran many times each hour on Philadelphia tv. The ad said she was backed by extremist MAGA supporters who would make abortion illegal. Her response was an ad by a Democrat lawyer who had an internship with her who said she wasn’t so bad and would keep politics off the court. I don’t know if these ads ran in Bittersville.
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Robbie NEVER supports a Republican in the GE. That is why nobody listens to his alleged analysis. Both can be true.
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Same thing happened in VA and KY Governor race apparently. Tying abortion and MAGA together are a winning combo for the party of death.
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Great reminder.
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I saw Bucks went to the Dems. That’s a bummer.
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The GOP/RNC generally speaking wasn’t ready to respond to Dobbs. It also doesn’t want to face the reality of MAGAs impact on local elections. They don’t have a winning strategy to either.
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The GOP has a serious branding problem.
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Rona Romney needs to resign and be replaced asap.
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Was Amoral Scumbag here celebrating the Dems wins?
DId he blame Trump?
Is the Pope a Communist?
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It is ironic that for almost 50 years, the argument was that abortion properly belonged as an issue to be decided in each state BUT there was no plan on what to do if Roe was overturned and it went back to the states.
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Beshaer won 26 Trump Counties including 8 coal counties. Trumps endorsement meant ZERO.
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RDS ran on the heartbeat bill and won in a landslide. Go figure.
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Did Amoral Scumbag come celebrate Dem wins?
Did he blame Trump?
Is the Pope a communist?
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“In the 19th century, Democrats supported slavery. For most of the 20th century, many Democrats supported segregation. In the 21st century, they are the abortion party. Let that sink in.”
Bitter, its worse than that.
“In the 21st century, they are the abortion party. And they are the party bent on destroying women’s sports along with the very definition of a woman. And they are the party bent on using the public school system to fool children into receiving genital mutilation and sterilization, and hiding this from parents. Let that sink in.”
–DW
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Bitterlaw
November 8, 2023 at 7:21 am
Robbie NEVER supports a Republican in the GE. That is why nobody listens to his alleged analysis. Both can be true.”
I like “alleged”, since it is the same crap over and over every election cycle. Just replace “Trump” for another purported villain that always give him an excuse of why he only votes for Democrats.
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The R lost the PA Supreme Court by 250k votes (no, Trump was not on the ballot) despite winning all but 12 of 67 counties. She won every county surrounding Pittsburgh and even Erie County.
But she lost Montco 326k to 171k (155k deficit)
Delco 90k to 57k (33k deficit)
Bucks 109k to 88k (21k deficit)
Chester 82k-62k (20k deficit)
That is a 230k deficit in these 4 suburban counties that are trending bluer with each election. Add that to a 90k deficit in Allegheny and a 180k deficit in Philadelphia Co and you got a 500k hole to make up. She made up half of that.
Again, this has nothing to do with Trump, but with the educational system that is turning out leftists that are populating these suburbs.
If the GOP wants to survive, it has to find votes elsewhere. And it also needs minority candidates like Cameron in KY. No, a black man didn’t win against an incumbent with 60% approval but Amoral Scumbag is of course wrong that Cameron shouldn’t run again, HE is the future of the party.
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I don’t know if these ads ran in Bittersville”
I guess not, Carlucci won York Co by 16k votes.
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Keep on Rock’n in the Free World…
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The message from the voters for the last six years – Get rid of Trump.
The message from Republican voters after all of the losing – Trump, Trump, Trump, Trump!
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Bitterlaw
November 8, 2023 at 7:21 am
Robbie NEVER supports a Republican in the GE. That is why nobody listens to his alleged analysis. Both can be true.
– Bitter is a lawyer who supports the rule of law. Bitter believes the law shouldn’t apply to conman Donnie Trump because he puts a R after his name. Both can be true
And as I wrote last night, I voted for Cameron yesterday even though I suspected he lose. Your red hat is on too tight today.
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jason
November 8, 2023 at 8:03 am
Was Amoral Scumbag here celebrating the Dems wins?
DId he blame Trump?
Is the Pope a Communist?
– Was I here laughing at MAGA Republicans for blowing more winnable races? To quote Sarah Palin, “You betcha!”
Did I blame the twice impeached and four-time indicted conman Donnie Trump? Yes, I did.
Is the current pope a communist? Yes, but hopefully he won’t be pope for much longer.
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In the end Cameron closed the gap, lost by 5 (about 65k votes). Too bad. He lost Jefferson Co (Louisville) by 100k votes and Fayette (Lexington) by 35k basically won everywhere else. Despite Amoral Scumbag’s denials, race probably DID play a role in his loss. It was certainly the main reason Amoral Scumbag didn’t vote for him.
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jason
November 8, 2023 at 8:36 am
I like “alleged”, since it is the same crap over and over every election cycle. Just replace “Trump” for another purported villain that always give him an excuse of why he only votes for Democrats.
– The reason this has happened every cycle since 2018 is because idiots like you refuse to throw Trump overboard. Voters have repeatedly said over and over they don’t want anymore of Trump or his acolytes, yet clowns like you desperately want more Trump.
Well, get used to the losing, fraud, because as long as conman Donnie is alive and controlling the party like a mob boss, the party is going to keep on losing.
MAGA!
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So in the most pro-choice parts of PA, Republicans were slaughtered. I see abortion as a problem going forward.
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I had already predicted Amoral Scumbag would be here celebrating any Dem win as he does every election cycle. No, you don’t have to be prescient to know that.
But if he thinks anybody here cares about his “analysis” (always the same thing, Rs have horrible candidates, that is why he supports Democrats) blah blah blah he really needs professional help.
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Rashida Tlaib Censured in 234-188 Vote
Long overdue.
–DW
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And as I wrote last night, I voted for Cameron yesterday”
LOL
The tooth fairy is more believable than that….
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Bitterlaw
November 8, 2023 at 9:19 am
So in the most pro-choice parts of PA, Republicans were slaughtered. I see abortion as a problem going forward.”
I somewhat resisted that theory on account that abortion is legal in PA and there are people who vote the other way on abortion too.
But the Montco numbers are a killer …. 326k to 271k….. so I think you may be right about abortion being a deciding factor at least for this election.
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jason
November 8, 2023 at 9:17 am
In the end Cameron closed the gap, lost by 5 (about 65k votes). Too bad. He lost Jefferson Co (Louisville) by 100k votes and Fayette (Lexington) by 35k basically won everywhere else. Despite Amoral Scumbag’s denials, race probably DID play a role in his loss. It was certainly the main reason Amoral Scumbag didn’t vote for him.
– I voted for Cameron even though I suspected he would lose. I knew he was a dud going back four years, but people didn’t support my candidate in the primary, Ryan Quarles. And yes, race played a role. There’s no delicate way to put this, but he was a black man with a white wife running in a very rural state. It mattered. When you look at the margins in eastern Kentucky, a place that has become very Republican, it’s hard not notice the under-performance there by him.
I tried to warn this forum back in June that Cameron was running a crappy race. After he won the primary, he took at least six weeks off from campaigning. During that time, Beshear hit Cameron again and again. Cameron fell behind and never recovered. But more importantly, Cameron had no message or agenda. I saw all of his advertising. It was all about Trump and voters delivered a clear message even in Kentucky. No thanks.
Meanwhile, the other Republicans who ran statewide never mentioned conman Donnie and they all won with ease. In fact, the biggest vote getter, Michael Adams, explicitly said the election wasn’t stolen and he got about 62%. Daniel Cameron ran almost 11 points behind the next Republican, the AG candidate who got 58% of the vote. It was a disastrous showing for Cameron. He was the most overrated Republican since Marco Rubio.
And watch out. Beshear will run for McConnell’s senate seat in 2026 when Mitch retires and he’ll have a great shot at winning. Why? He’s a crafty and skilled politician and the Republican bench here is mediocre. There’s a real chance Beshear takes on nutball Tom Massie in 2026.
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And VBM is killing Rs too…
McCafferty mail in 605,351
Carlucci mail in 172,287
McCafferty election day 996,615
Carlucci election day 1,250,013
This is the goose that has laid the golden egg for Dems….
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John Podhoretz
@jpodhoretz
The GOP in DC spent a month getting into and out of clown cars and spraying confetti like Rip Taylor. ’23 was not a Congressional cycle. But it was a political year, and the GOP brand is now like the circus grounds after the elephants left and no one cleaned up the shit.
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The Ky Governor had a 60% approval rate and much higher name Id. Cameron is only 37. He has a bright future.
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He lost 26 Trump counties including 8 coal counties you think race played a part in that?
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Everything Amoral Scumbag wrote above is self serving garbage. Cameron is actually an excellent candidate and the type of person the GOP needs if it want to be competitive in the future.
Cameron didn’t lose because of Trump. He lost because Beshear had 60% approval as an incumbent, and incumbents with that kind of approval rating never lose. Also Beshear IS a crafty politician who is a radical leftist posing as a moderate, and some idiots are gullible enough to believe it, like here in PA there are idiots who think Bob Casey is a moderate.
Cameron’s loss had ZERO to do with Trump, actually he probably would have lost by more had he not run close to Trump. The idea that Trump is unpopular in KY is of course completely asinine and one the stupidest things Amoral Scumbag ever wrote here.
KY 2020
Trump 1,326,546 62%
Biden 772,474 36%
Trump won KY by an astounding 26 points.
Unpopular my ass.
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Jason fraud, who isn’t very smart, says 2014 (the best year for the party since 1928) was a dead cat bounce for Republicans. He somehow claimed that, despite all of the losing, Trump saved the party. LOL.
I don’t know about most of you, but I would gladly take the supposed dead cat bounce of 2014 over all of the losing that conman Donnie has unleashed on the party. However, I know many of the regulars actually enjoy the losing because it allows you to be permanently angry.
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It was a horrible night for Youngkin imo. Was touted as the anti trump but lasted a huge dump.
Cameron got close. A sleeper race. Bright future.
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Zzzzzzz…. 2014 was a dead cat bounce and a reaction to Obama overreaching.
And yes, Rs lost with McCain and Romney, and won with Trump.
TWICE, although only one counted.
It sucks to Amoral Scumbag.
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tinahhr
November 8, 2023 at 9:35 am
The Ky Governor had a 60% approval rate and much higher name Id. Cameron is only 37. He has a bright future.
– I know MAGA has a fetish for candidates who lose, but Cameron isn’t going to be a factor in Kentucky Republican politics for the foreseeable future. He ran a terrible race against a wussy Democrat in a ruby red state. Cameron ran 11 points behind the next closest Republican who got 58% of the statewide vote. There was no enthusiasm for him at any point during the campaign.
Stop aggrandizing losers.
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KY 2020
Trump 1,326,546 62%
Biden 772,474 36%
Trump won KY by an astounding 26 points>
Yeah, Cameron lost because he was “too close to Trump”
You gotta love it here.
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Younkin lost some shine.
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When you spike the football on abortion (see Biden Beotch and Goober from 2022), vote for most, if not all of Biden’s, agenda, you will get these results.
It’s not all bad. We picked up some in local races (mayor) and some Hispanic cities in Texas went red.
Not sure how much you can determine for 2024.
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Rob Bigelow, Rds biggest supporter, indicates that he cannot defeat Trump. (Jack posobiec twitter).
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The Ky Governor had a 60% approval rate and much higher name Id. Cameron is only 37. He has a bright future.”
I hope he runs for the Senate.
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Julie Kelly 🇺🇸
@julie_kelly2
Same people who insist 2020 election was legit, defend billions in US aid to scam artist in Ukraine, refuse to denounce weaponization of DOJ/FBI against the Right, and yearn for GWB days now blame Trump for some GOP losses tonight.
They are the real losers.
8:49 PM · Nov 7, 2023
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Until the GOP has a coherent message to improve the quality of life, unified platform and rebrands itself the losing will continue.
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Julie Kelly should add that these same cons will vote more often than not for Biden’s agenda and want federal abortion bans.
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JeffP
November 8, 2023 at 9:36 am
He lost 26 Trump counties including 8 coal counties you think race played a part in that?
– I think it’s one of many things that hampered his effort. Above all else, he was just a dud of a candidate. He ran 11 points behind the next closest Republican.
Sadly, race still matters a lot in this state. Nominating a black man with a white wife from Louisville for a high-profile statewide race was risky. There’s a reason Cameron was the only black person to ever win statewide and that was for AG in 2019 when he had a different wife.
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He lost 26 Trump counties including 8 coal counties you think race played a part in that?”
Yes.
Next question?
Don’t you love the fact Amoral Scumbag is talking about “Trump counties’ but then trying to deny Trump is very popular in KY?
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He ran 11 points behind the next closest Republican.”
Zzzzzz… meaningless drivel.
He ran behind because he was facing a popular incumbent, and as JeffP points out, race still matters in KY.
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Georgia
Atlanta Urinal-Constipation
10/26 – 11/3
1002 LV
Trump 45
Biden 44
–DW
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JeffP
November 8, 2023 at 9:43 am
Until the GOP has a coherent message to improve the quality of life, unified platform and rebrands itself the losing will continue.”
Hilarious from a TDS moron who comes here 24/7 to preach class warfare and divisiveness.
GFY.
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tinahhr
November 8, 2023 at 9:38 am
It was a horrible night for Youngkin imo. Was touted as the anti trump but lasted a huge dump.
Cameron got close. A sleeper race. Bright future.
– And Tinfoil gives away the game here. Youngkin, who doesn’t slavishly support Trump, is a loser for not winning the House and Senate in a blue state.
Cameron, who does slavishly support Trump, is a winner even though he ran well behind the other Republicans in a ruby red state.
Again, it’s all about loyalty to the mob boss conman Donnie for Tinfoil and the rest of MAGA. In their world, candidates can lose and lose and lose and still have a bright future so long as they bow at the feet of Donnie.
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The law should apply equally to everybody. Only Robbie and Democrats believe the absurd politically motivated cases against Trump are valid. Both can be true.
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jason
November 8, 2023 at 9:39 am
Zzzzzzz…. 2014 was a dead cat bounce and a reaction to Obama overreaching.
– Then why didn’t Republicans have a dead cat bounce like 2014 in 2022 in reaction to Biden?
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jason
November 8, 2023 at 9:41 am
The Ky Governor had a 60% approval rate and much higher name Id. Cameron is only 37. He has a bright future.”
I hope he runs for the Senate.
– Then he’ll lose to Beshear again. Beshear is a crafty, tough politician. Cameron is a dud. Period end of story.
You just like Cameron because Trump endorsed him and Cameron lost. Like Tinfoil, you’ve developed a liking for candidates who lose.
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Based on ACTUAL polling done by NY Times/Siena, Bloomberg, Redfield & Wilson and others not historically friendly to the GOP, if the POTUS election was held right now and it was Trump vs Biden, then Trump would flip AZ, GA, NV, and PA with MI and WI going either way.
–DW
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jason
November 8, 2023 at 9:45 am
He ran 11 points behind the next closest Republican.”
Zzzzzz… meaningless drivel.
He ran behind because he was facing a popular incumbent, and as JeffP points out, race still matters in KY.
– Beshear is a Democrat in a ruby red state. He imposed never-ending covid restrictions and mask mandates. Cameron, being the dud that he is, didn’t make that an issue until the last weekend of the race. That’s political malpractice.
Cameron lost for a series of reasons. He was a flawed candidate from the start. I saw that, but conman Donnie didn’t. And because he had so many flaws, he felt the only way to win was to tout his Trump endorsement. Well, voters said no thanks.
Cameron lost a strip of counties in eastern KY and underperformed in others because he was a black man with a white wife. It’s sucks to write that, but it’s the truth. He got his ass kicked in Louisville and Lexington because he ran as a MAGA candidate.
I’m convinced Trump could lose the next three presidential elections and leave Republicans with 150 members in the House and about 42 Senators and you’d still praise Trump and say nothing was his fault. You’re a Trump cultist through and through.
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jason
November 8, 2023 at 9:47 am
JeffP
November 8, 2023 at 9:43 am
Until the GOP has a coherent message to improve the quality of life, unified platform and rebrands itself the losing will continue.”
Hilarious from a TDS moron who comes here 24/7 to preach class warfare and divisiveness.
GFY.
– Jason fraud thinks the only message Republicans need is “Trump!”. It keeps losing, but Jason fraud likes losing.
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Bitterlaw
November 8, 2023 at 9:48 am
The law should apply equally to everybody. Only Robbie and Democrats believe the absurd politically motivated cases against Trump are valid. Both can be true.
– You don’t believe that because, at every turn, you have excused Trump’s behavior and criminality. You believe he should be treated differently in the eyes of the law because he was a president who put a R after his name. That’s why you’ll happily vote for him yet again in 2024 and then do the same in 2028. And all the while, you’ll hide behind your “both things can be true” nonsense.
And if these federal cases are politically motivated, as you suggest, then all of those conservative judges Trump appointed at the appeals court level will throw out the charges. Except, they won’t because they see that the charges are valid.
In fact, it was Trump appointed appeals court judges who slapped down the judge in Miami when she tried to run interference for conman Donnie in 2022 over the search at Mar-a-Lago. The appeals court judges, two Trump appointees and a GWB appointee, excoriated Cannon for her two decisions saying she got the law completely wrong and her ruling would have reordered the law on that issue had it been allowed to stand.
Trump illegally kept classified document AFTER he was president. You or I would be awaiting trial in prison for that. He’s getting special treatment by being allowed to stay out of jail. But you’re ok with that because you think Donnie deserves special treatment. The federal cases are totally justified and I hope that POS spends the rest of his life in federal prison.
If you want to hold vigil outside the jail or offer your legal service to him on appeal, go for it. He’s a criminal, but he’s a Republican first in your eyes.
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Joe Scarborough
@JoeNBC
Republicans keep losing elections in the Age of Trump…and they just don’t care.
2017: Republicans Lose
2018: Republicans Lose
2019: Republicans Lose
2020: Republicans Lose
2021: Republicans Lose
2022: Republicans Lose
2023: Republicans Lose
So what’s the plan for 2024?
– Lose. That’s the plan. And it will be the plan in 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028 when Trump’s the nominee again.
The only thing that will end Republican losing the eventual passing away of Trump. As long as the mob boss in alive and in control of the party, the party will lose. He’ll control it from federal prison as well.
But a lot of Republicans and FoxNews, as well, love the losing. It’s good for business.
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Bryan Griffin
@BryanDGriffin
This is the moment we Republicans have to decide we are tired of losing. We can’t allow an outcome like last night to happen next year.
A Dem win in 2024 would mean even higher prices for gas and food, packed courts, rules changed and stacked against us, and every manner of new government control over your life that you can imagine.
@RonDeSantis
built a coalition and ran on a record that trounced the Dems in Florida with a 20 point win. He can stop them nationally.
We’ve got to nominate a winner.
– Spoiler alert: Republicans will decide they aren’t tired of losing. They’ll pick Trump again, lose with him, and then believe his lies that yet another election was “stollen” from him, and then we’ll do this all over again in 2028.
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Demented Joe cannot even get to 50% in….
…ready for it….
…here you go…
CALIFORNIA
TRAFLAGAR GROUP
Oct. 24-30
4,506 LV
Biden 46%
Trump 31%
Now I know what some of you are thinking, Trafalgar is an R firm, and they are wish-casting. But in reality, this was not Trafalgar.
The actual pollster was…
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies/Los Angeles Times
Not exactly a Republican cheerleader.
–DW
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Chris Wilson
@WilsonWPA
In 2015, Republicans won the KY Gov. race by 9 points. Since then, we’ve lost twice in a row w Trump endorsement.
Our party has a simple choice to make:
a) win elections
b) continue propping up the MAGA Grift Industrial Complex
GOP can’t do both.
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Back in August, Berkeley/LA Times had California at
Biden 51%
Trump 31%
Biden as popular as stomach flu.
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Erick Erickson
@EWErickson
“There’s just no good spin for the GOP from last night in these state races. But, at the local level, in school board races and city council races where the politics really is local, and the candidates are known by their own personality, the GOP had some good successes.”
– When Republicans run on an agenda and steer clear of Trump, they win.
When Republicans run on Trump as Cameron did, they lose.
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Erick Erickson
@EWErickson
Nothing is going to get fixed with the GOP because Trump supporters won’t accept how radicalizing Trump is to a lot of non-Trump voters. And also because in some places, Trump helps the GOP turn out. There’s an inability to distinguish where he helps and hurts the party.
– True. Jason fraud thinks Trump is the greatest thing that ever happened to the Republican Party. He claimed Trump saved the party in 2016 even as it lost race after race after race. And as Erickson noted, Jason fraud and the rest simply can’t recognize how polarizing Trump is for everyone outside of the hard right, FoxNews base of the party.
Eventually, the losing will have an impact for the fraud and other, but it may take another 5-10 years.
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Emily Zanotti
@emzanotti
I truly do not understand how Ronna McDaniel has a job this morning.
– Because conman Donnie wants her to have the job. She’s willing to bow and scrape for him. But more importantly, she’s willing to divert RNC funds away from winning races in places like Virginia and use it to pay for conman Donnie’s legal bills.
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Dan McLaughlin
@baseballcrank
Parties will always have down cycles. They’ll always stand for things that cost them some voters. But just running year after year for a decade plus with the baggage of the same one man who’s never even matched Mitt Romney’s share of the national vote is choosing failure.
– Republicans have developed a culture of losing in the Trump era and it’s now part of the party’s ethos. They enjoy it because it allows them to rage. And in the end, that’s all populism is. Rage.
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The End Times
@TheAgeofShoddy
One of the ironies of this era is that the GOP is simultaneously taking an electoral hit on a stated matter of conscience in abortion, while also making a man who stands for almost nothing the party figurehead. The incoherence of it ends up discrediting them coming and going.
– Abortion is the last issue of conscience in the Republican Party. Until now, at least, it has withstood Trumpism. But on all other things, the party has chosen to believe only in what Trump believes and predictably, it has produced losing on an industrial scale.
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With the exception of the Virginia governor’s race, Republicans haven’t won a damned thing since 2016. One bad election night after another….and yeah, the RNC chairman is a joke.
Biden still hanging in there as long as Trump looks like the Republican nominee. It’s Biden’s only hope and the reason he hasn’t decided to drop out. He figures if Republicans are going to Thelma and Louise it, why hang em up?
I stand by what I have said time and again. Democrats are waiting to see what the inevitable Trump convictions do to Trump-Biden numbers. Trump will obviously lose support and that might be all Biden needs to hang onto the WH – providing he gets Trump in the general.
Still think once the Trump GOP nomination is secure, Democrats pressure Biden to withdraw and they nominate another candidate (not Kamala) without Biden’s baggage. Then, in a straight up GE annihilate Trump with their “fresh candidate” as they make the election all about Trump.
Republicans will nominate Trump and be in the Presidential wilderness for at least another four years. Party of stupid rides again.
Just so damned frustrating when you watch your party voluntarily put a gun at its head and pull the trigger. Moronic.
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I have been for DeSantis, and continue to hope he can secure the nomination. But it looks doubtful. If DeSantis or any other candidate gets the GOP nomination, then Biden will immediately be pulled for someone else. But honestly I think they pull him regardless.
If Biden was the Pope, the college of Cardinals would be on constant standby for a flight to Rome.
–DW
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DW, yes, any other candidate but Trump and Biden is immediately pulled without a doubt.
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Biden is pulled regardless. Trump would be beat him easily. Anybody who is healthy beats him. The fact that Biden only polls at 46% in California is explained only by his failure at everything and his failing health.
This is why NY-Times/Siena put those polls out. They probably had their thumbs on the scale to show Trump winning all those battleground states. The purpose of the polls was to tell Obama to find another stooge. Biden can’t make it.
–DW
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Hillary has come out and called Trump a Hitler.
If she wants to find Hitler, she just needs to look in the mirror.
–DW
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Ramaswamy post debate comments on Neocon Nikki/
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