The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to the Bullfinch Group–the same pollster who found Biden ahead 3 in Pennsylvania the week before this new poll. PENNSYLVANIA – Bullfinch Group Trump 44 Biden 38 Other 12 3/29-4/3; 600 RV

According to Fox News polls: GEORGIA – Fox News Trump 51 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 46 Biden 39 Kennedy 7 Stein 1 West 2 April 11-16; 1,128 RV MICHIGAN – Fox News Trump 49 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 Stein 2 West 2 April 11-16; 1,126 RV PENNSYLVANIA –…

This time Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research: FLORIDA – FAU/Mainstreet Research Trump 51 Biden 43 Three Candidates: Trump 49 Biden 40 Kennedy 6 April 15-17; 815 LV Bonus content: I was intrigued by 538’s data, comparing Biden’s job approval against past presidents running for re-election as the incumbent. I re-arranged the data into a clearer table…

Perhaps according to new Marquette Law poll: WISCONSIN – Marquette Trump 51 Biden 49 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 41 Kennedy 12 Stein 3 West 1 US Senate: Hovde 37 Baldwin 44 Registered voters, leaners: Hovde 47 Baldwin 52 Likely voters, leaners: Hovde 50 Baldwin 50 814 RV | 736 LV; 4/3-4/10

According to new poll from MRG: MICHIGAN – MRG Trump 42 Biden 36 Five Candidates: Trump 37 Biden 34 Kennedy 13 Stein 2 West 1 4/8-4/11; 600 LV

According to North Star Opinion Research: WISCONSIN – North Star Opinion Research Trump 45 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 37 Biden 36 Kennedy 13 Stein 4 West 2 4/6-4/9; 600 LV

According to the Tyson Group: ARIZONA – Tyson Group Trump 39 Biden 33 Kennedy 12 Stein 2 West 2 Mapstead 1 US Senate Gallego 39 Lake 34 Williams 10 Undecided 17 April 10-11, 600 LV

According to a new poll from the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation: TEXAS – THPF Trump 46 Biden 34 Kennedy 9 Stein 2 Oliver 1 US Senate Cruz 46 Allred 41 Brown 4 April 5-10; 1,600 LV

According to new Fox45/Baltimore Sun poll: MARYLAND – US Senate – Baltimore Sun Hogan 53 Trone 40 Hogan 54 Alsobrooks 36 Democratic Primary Trone 50 Alsobrooks 38 April 7-10; 1,292 LV

According to new poll from Fabrizio, Lee & Associates: ARIZONA – Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Trump 48 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 42 Biden 37 Kennedy 10 Stein 2 Mapstead 1 4/7-4/11; 400 LV

According to new poll from IPSOS: FLORIDA – IPSOS Trump 39 Biden 31 Kennedy 7 US Senate Scott 36 Mucarsel-Powell 26 4/5-4/7; 1,014 A

According to a new poll from The Bullfinch Group: ARIZONA – Bullfinch Group Trump 44 Biden 38 Other 13 US Senate: Lake 41 Gallego 41 3/29-4/3; 600 RV

According to Cygnal: TEXAS – Cygnal Trump 51 Biden 42 Five candidates Trump 46 Biden 37 Kennedy 8 Stein 2 Weat 1 April 4-6; 1000 LV

According to High Point University: NORTH CAROLINA – Cygnal Trump 43 Biden 39 Kennedy 7 Governor: Robinson 40 Stein 38 Ross 3 Turner 1 April 7-8; 600 LV

According to a new poll from High Point University. Only yesterday Quinnipiac told us the Governor’s race was all but over. High Point says not so fast. NORTH CAROLINA – High Point University Survey Research Center Trump 45 Biden 42 Governor: Stein 37 Robinson 34 March 22-30; 829 RV

According to new polls from Emerson and PPIC: FLORIDA – Emerson Trump 51 Biden 38 Five Candidates: Trump 49 Biden 35 Kennedy 6 West 1 Stein 1 4/9 – 4/10; 1,000 RV CALIFORNIA – PPIC Trump 31 Biden 54 3/19 – 3/25; 1,089 LV

According to Quinnipiac: NORTH CAROLINA – Quinnipiac University Trump 48 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 41 Biden 38 Kennedy 12 Stein 3 West 3 Governor: Robinson 44 Stein 52 Four Candidates: Robinson 41 Stein 48 Ross 4 Turner 2 April 4-8; 1,401 RV

No surprises from Targoz Market Research & MassINC Polling Group: TENNESSEE – Targoz Market Research Trump 55 Biden 31 Three Candidates: Trump 47 Biden 28 Kennedy 15 March 15-April 2; 955 LV MASSACHUSETTS – MassINC Polling Group Trump 28 Biden 46 Kennedy 9 West 1 March 21-29; 1,002 RV

According to SurveyUSA: MINNESOTA – SurveyUSA Trump 42 Biden 44 April 4-7; 608 LV

According to new polls from The Bullfinch Group: MICHIGAN – The Bullfinch Group Trump 39 Biden 42 3/29-4/3; 600 RV PENNSYLVANIA – The Bullfinch Group Trump 41 Biden 44 Kennedy 7 US Senate: McCormick 30 Casey 47 March 22-26; 800 RV

According to J.L. Partners: MONTANA – J.L. Partners Sheehy 48 Tester 45 March 26-29; 503 LV

According to a new Big Data Poll: MICHIGAN – Big Data Poll Trump 45.8 (51.5 with leaners) Biden 41.2 (48.5 with leaners) Four Candidates: Trump 43.2 (43.9 with leaners) Biden 40 (42.2 with leaners) Kennedy 9.6 (11.3 with leaners) Stein 1.4 (2.6 with leaners) 3/26-3/30; 1,218 RV

Franklin & Marshall shows movement toward Trump in PA in 3-way race. Biden ahead 11 in Washington State, a place where he won by 19 in 2020. PENNSYLVANIA – Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research Trump 38 Biden 48 Four Candidates: Trump 40 (prior poll 37) Biden 42 Kennedy 9 (prior poll 7)…

According to Spry Strategies: MICHIGAN – Spry Strategies Trump 48 Biden 44 Three Candidates: Trump 43 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 March 25-28; 709 LV

According to the Colorado Polling Institute: COLORADO – New Bridge Strategy/Aspect Strategic Trump 39 Biden 49 3/15-3/19; 632 LV

Presidential Polls – New Jersey: AVERAGE 42.0 53.7 11.7 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap Research Co. 11/2-11/3; 450 LV 40 57 +17 ActiVote 10/2-10/28; 400 LV 43 57 +14 Cygnal 10/23-10/24; 600LV 3.0 40 52 +12 Rutgers-Eagleton 10/15-10/22; 929 RV 4.2 35 55 +20 ActiVote 9/4-10/2; 400 LV 44 56 +12 Rasmussen Reports…

According to the Big Data Poll: PENNSYLVANIA – Big Data Poll Trump 45.7 Biden 40.3 Three candidates: Trump 44.5 Biden 38.8 Kennedy 7.1 3/26-3/30; 1,305 RV

According to the Wall Street Journal polling: ARIZONA – The Wall Street Journal Trump 47 Biden 42 Five Candidates: Trump 39 Biden 34 Kennedy 11 West 2 Stein 1 March 17-24; 600 RV GEORGIA – The Wall Street Journal Trump 44 Biden 43 Five Candidates: Trump 38 Biden 35 Kennedy 8 West 2 Stein 1…

According to Emerson College: NEW JERSEY – Emerson Trump 39 Biden 46 Five Candidates: Trump 36 Biden 41 Kennedy 8 West 1 Stein 1 3/26 – 3/29; 1,000 RV

According to RABA Research, but notice the huge number of undecided/other. ARIZONA – RABA Research Trump 39 Biden 36 March 28-31; 503 RV

MARYLAND – Goucher College Hogan 43 Trone 42     Hogan 44 Alsobrooks 40   Democratic Primary: Trone 42 Alsobrooks 33 3/19 – 3/24; 800 RV