The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to PPP (D): MARYLAND – PPP Trump 32 Biden 60 U.S. Senate: Hogan 37 Trone 47 May 6-7; 719 V

According to Quinnipiac WISCONSIN – Quinnipiac Trump 44 Biden 50 Five Candidates: Trump 39 Biden 40 Kennedy 12 Stein 4 West 1 U.S. Senate: Hovde 42 Baldwin 54 5/2-5/6; 1,457 RV

This one from Muhlenberg College PENNSYLVANIA – Muhlenberg College Trump 44 Biden 41 Five Candidates Trump 35 Biden 35 Kennedy 18 Other 9 U.S. Senate: McCormick 41 Casey 45 4/15-4/25; 417 RV

According to new poll from Data Orbital: ARIZONA – Data Orbital Trump 38.1 Biden 38.8 Kennedy 13.5 Undecided 8.1 U.S. Senate: Lake 43.9 Gallego 48.1 Undecided 6.3 April 27–29; 550 LV

According to a new poll from AARP (Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) PENNSYLVANIA – AARP Trump 49 Biden 45 U.S. Senate: McCormick 44 Casey 48 April 24-30; 1,398 LV

Using the data from 538 you can see how at -17.7 on the 1,204th day of the Biden presidency, he sits opposite of President Nixon in 1972, who on this same day was +17.7.

This according PPP (D): NEBRASKA – PPP Trump 57 Biden 34 CD_02 (Omaha): Trump 46 43 CD_02 (5 candidates): Trump 37 Biden 34 Kennedy 9 Stein 4 West 4 April 24-25; 737 RV +/- 3.6 MoE

According to Trump internal polling by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates. MINNESOTA – McLaughlin and Associates Trump 49 Biden 46 Six Candidates (only three results given): Trump 40 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 600 LV VIRGINIA – McLaughlin and Associates Trump 44 Biden 48  Six Candidates (only three results given): Trump 37 Biden 40 Kennedy 8…

Presidential Polls – Rhode Island: AVERAGE 40.0 54.2 3.0 14.2 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth Gap University of New Hampshire 10/29-11/2;708 LV 40 54 5 +14 Embold Research 9/16-9/20; 876 LV 3.5 38 52 +14 MassINC Polling Group 9/12-9/18; 800 LV 43 56 +13 UNH 9/12-9/16 38 58 3 +20 University of Rhode Island…

Presidential Polls – Oregon: AVERAGE 40.8 51.4 5.0 10.6 Pollster Dates/Sample MoE Trump Harris Oth. Gap Public Policy Polling 10/16-10/17; 716 LV 41 53 +12 Hoffman Research 7/24-7/26; 700 V 40 45 8 +5 Pollster Dates/Sample Gap Trump Biden Ken. Gap Final Average 7.5 42 49.5 Final Average (Inc. RFK) 29 40 19 11 The…

Presidential Polls – Mississippi: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 423 LV 50.5 41.6 +8.9

Presidential Polls – Hawaii: AVERAGE 20.5 35.5 56 Pollster Dates/Sample Gap Trump Biden Ken. Gap The Bullfinch Group 4/16-4/23; 250 RV +19 38 57 34 42 8 +8 Zogby 4/13-4/21; 301 LV +21.7 33.4 55.1

Presidential Polls – Delaware: AVERAGE 36.5 55 18.5 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap University of Delaware 9/11-9/19; 400 RV 36 56 +20 Slingshot Strategies 9/19-9/21; 500 RV 37 54 +17 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 311 LV 39.6 50.5 +10.9

Presidential Polls – Connecticut: AVERAGE Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Harris Gap MassINC Polling Group 9/12-9/18; 800 LV 37 53 +16 Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 411 LV 37.8 54.7 +16.9

Or put another way, look what happens when The Bullfinch Group polls with absurdly small sample sizes! WASHINGTON – The Bullfinch Group Trump 46 Biden 45 Five Candidates: Trump 40 Biden 35 Kennedy 13 Stein 4 West 1 April 16-23; 250 RV ALASKA – The Bullfinch Group Trump 55 Biden 36  Five Candidates: Trump…

Presidential Polls – Louisiana: Pollster Dates/Sample Trump Biden Gap Zogby 4/13-4/21; 501 LV 53.9 39.4 +14.5

If for no other reason to see what their flags look like. RHODE ISLAND – Zogby Trump 43 Biden 47.6 April 13-21; 398 LV CONNECTICUT – Zogby Trump 37.8 Biden 54.7 April 13-21; 411 LV DELAWARE – Zogby Trump 39.6 Biden 50.5 April 13-21; 310 LV HAWAII – Zogby Trump 33.4 Biden 55.1 April 13-21;…

Zogby and Noble Predictive Insights with completely different results with polls having overlapping dates: UTAH – Noble Predictive Insights Trump 54 Biden 26 Five Candidates: Trump 47 Biden 23 Kennedy 13 Stein 1 West 1 April 8-16; 600 RV UTAH – Zogby Trump 45.7 Biden 43 4/13-4/21; 414 LV

WISCONSIN – Zogby Trump 48.1 Biden 46 4/13-4/21; 518 LV MICHIGAN – Zogby Trump 45.3 Biden 48.1 4/13-4/21; 640 LV PENNSYLVANIA – Zogby Trump 44.8 Biden 49.5 4/13-4/21; 628 LV GEORGIA – Zogby Trump 46.5 Biden 43.9 4/13-4/21; 635 LV NORTH CAROLINA – Zogby Trump 49.4 Biden 44.8 4/13-4/21; 641 LV ARIZONA – Zogby Trump…

According to Zogby: VIRGINIA –Zogby Trump 45.4 Biden 44.9 April 13-21; 586 LV MAINE –Zogby Trump 46 Biden 45 April 13-21; 350 LV

According to Cygnal: OKLAHOMA – Cygnal Trump 61 Biden 30 Five Candidates: Trump 56 Biden 24 Kennedy 7 West 2 Stein 1 April 11-12; 615 LV

According to the University of Texas: TEXAS – University of Texas Trump 48 Biden 40 Five Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 36 Kennedy 8 Stein 2 West 2 U.S. Senate: Cruz 46 Allred 33 4/12 – 4/22; 1,200 RV Meanwhile, Biden’s Net Job Approval still languishing at -17:

According to Emerson College: ARIZONA – Emerson Trump 48 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 44 Biden 40 Kennedy 9 West 1 Stein 1 U.S. Senate: Gallego 45 Lake 43 4/25 – 4/29; 1000 RV GEORGIA – Emerson Trump 47 Biden 44 Five Candidates: Trump 45 Biden 39 Kennedy 5 West 2 Stein 2 4/25 –…

According to CBS/YouGov: U.S. Senate – WISCONSIN – YouGov Baldwin 48 Hovde 41 4/19-4/25; LVs U.S. Senate – PENNSYLVANIA – YouGov Casey 46 McCormick 39 4/19-4/25; LVs

NEVADA – Rasmussen Trump 43 Biden 43 Kennedy 9 April 2-12; 869 LV

PENNSYLVANIA – YouGov Trump 50 Biden 49 April 19-25; 1,288 LV WISCONSIN – YouGov Trump 50 Biden 49 April 19-25; 1,226 LV MICHIGAN – YouGov Trump 49 Biden 51 April 19-25; 1,262 LV These are races that will never happen because Kennedy, Stein and West will likely be on the ballot in these states.

This week a number of new job approval polls came out (Gallup, Quinnipiac, and others), and the average gap in job approval just stubbornly does not get better for Biden, regardless the cheering of the media, pundits wish-casting a “Biden Surge” and talking up the “recovered economy” and so on. It’s not working. Below is…

This according to Kaplan Strategies: ARIZONA – Kaplan Trump 47 Biden 43 April 20-21; 874 RV PENNSYLVANIA – Kaplan Trump 46 Biden 41 April 20-21; 802 RV WISCONSIN – Kaplan Trump 48 Biden 38 April 20-21; 802 RV MICHIGAN – Kaplan Trump 51 Biden 36 April 20-21; 804 RV

According to Suffolk MASSACHUSETTS – Suffolk Biden 52 Trump 22 Kennedy 8 West 1 4/16-4/20; 500 LV

According to new Morning Consult/Bloomberg polls: ARIZONA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 49 Biden 42 Five Candidates Trump 46 Biden 40 Kennedy 7 West 2 Stein 0 4/8 – 4/13; 801 RV GEORGIA – Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 49 Biden 43 Five Candidates Trump 47 Biden 39 Kennedy 5 West 1 Stein 1 4/8 – 4/13; 802 RV MICHIGAN…

I voted for Nikki Haley for President because Trump is a moron on Ukraine. I also voted for our old HHR friend, Michael, for delegate to the GOP convention.

According to new poll from Meredith College: NORTH CAROLINA – Meredith College Trump 41 Biden 39 Kennedy 9 Someone else 4 Don’t know 7 Governor: Stein 45 Robinson 36 Someone else 5 Don’t know 15 4/11-4/17; 801 RV