According to Quantus Insights
10/26 – 10/28; 1221 LV; 3.2 MoE
US Senate
🟦 James Talarico: 48%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 49%
——
Governor
🟥 Greg Abbott (inc): 52%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 46%
- Paxton Up 1 in Texas
- CNN Predicts Blue Wave in President Kamala Harris Mid-Term
- Wednesday Polling
- Marist Maine Poll
- Monday Morning
New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrat +15 | 210 | 225 |
Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….
DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:
Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replace Americans by blowing all their money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a Marxist third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.
Paxton Up 1 in Texas
55 responses to “Paxton Up 1 in Texas”
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First.
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I find it hard to believe that Paxton is only 3% behind Abbott in support. I also do not understand a voter who would say I will vote for Abbott but not Paxton (even though he sucks).
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but I have never seen so many polls with such vast ticket splitting before.
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The ticket-splitting reflects the success the Cornyn and Tillis wing has had convincing a not insignificant portion of GOP voters to “teach the rest of us a lesson.” What a pair of douches.
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There is a video of him and his son live blogging the 2024 election.
Hilarious.
Then he goes on the Young Turks and gets reamed by Cenk for being wrong and ends up screaming “stop disrespecting me”.
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The ticket-splitting reflects the success the Cornyn and Tillis wing has had convincing a not insignificant portion of GOP voters to “teach the rest of us a lesson.” What a pair of douches.”
You could also say it reflects the success of the MAGAs in calling everyone not 100% pure RINOs and traitors.
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I don’t agree with Cornyn and Tillis, I think they are just helping the Marxists.
But people often react a certain way depending on how they are treated, John McCain was a prime example.
There was very little upside attacking his military service, and there was very little upside calling lifelong conservative Republicans like Cornyn and Tillis RINOS.
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The Texas election hinges on how well Paxton has been able to show Talarico for what he is.
A radical who hates Christianity, opposes fossil fuels and meat in a state dependent on fossil fuels and livestock, and favors extreme positions like there are 6 genders and men should play in girl’s sports.
Against that is Paxton’s unpopularity outside his base, his baggage, and the fact he is a uninspiring candidate in general.
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I don’t believe in stupid tariffs and trade wars. I believe the US should fully support Ukraine no matter what it costs.
That would make me a RINO if I was still a Republican.
The fact I support 90% of Trump’s agenda would not matter.
I could be offended and not vote, or I could vote for a Dem. That wouldn’t happen in my case, but it may in others.
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I find it hard to believe that Paxton is only 3% behind Abbott in support.”
Yeah I think Abbott needs to win by at least 5 for Paxton to win.
But I think that is entirely possible.
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daugherty: BREAKING: Polk County Sheriff Grady Judd and AG James Uthmeier just announced the arrest of 31 people who traveled to have S*X WITH CHILDREN, and a total of 281 PREDATOR ARRESTS
17 of them were THEME PARK employees: “Who led the way? Disney! 13 Disney, Universal had 4.”
My gosh.
JUDD: “Those that showed up up had a total of 798 previous criminal charges. In addition to that, we gave them 488 new charges just to take with them as kind of a present.”
“Guess who he showed up to have sx with? A 14 year old little girl. The talk that he he used was so graphic that we obviously can’t release that to you here today…he said he can pick her up at school, then we can have sx in the car.”
LAW AND ORDER IN FLORIDA.
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Paxton is unpopular enough to be 5 points behind Abbott. The negative ads against Abbott are typical (helps big business). And Abbott did piss some people off with school choice.
However, Paxton is really unpopular. The Texas Senate should have convicted him at the impeachment hearing.
There will be many people to blame if Paxton loses, but one is Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick who told the R senators not to convict.
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Abbot will win by at least 5 here in Texas. Hopefully that is enough to drag Paxton over the line. It will be close, however. Abbott will win for sure. How do I know? Advertising. Hinajosa ads are non-existent. If she had a shot Democrats would be putting money into her campaign. They aren’t.
Paxton needs to stay within 10 with indies and hold Republican defections to less than 10%. I don’t know. Will be close.
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I threw this story out there about a month ago, but I’ll repeat it. My brother-in-law former Republican county judge in Kaufman County told me he won’t vote for Paxton – that he’s a criminal and an adulterer. I told him that was half the senate. So what? Don’t look at my brother-in-law as a barometer or anything because he hates MAGA and voted for Biden. How did that turn out? Trump won Texas by over 11. He’s a big establishment Republican (yes, RINO all the way – said he hopes Talarico won’t do much damage in the senate. Really? In what world? LOL
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New Generic Ballot poll by Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov
DEM 47%
GOP 43%Same gap as Harvard/Harris
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I know a lot of people like txphil’s brother-in-law. Urban and suburban Republicans who don’t even want to hold their noses.
I have persuaded a few by reminding them that Paxton allowed the schools to open during Covid. While, Talarico would have kept the schools shuttered.
I am surprised that Paxton never ran on that. It is a winning issue for people with children (especially who were kids during Covid).
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Phil,
I recall your anecdote. Call him back and say to him he is dead to you if he doesn’t care enough to save the country, hold his nose, and vote Paxton.
This is literally America’s last chance. No way to REMOVE statehood of D.C. and Guam, or to un-pack the SCOTUS.
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I know, DW. It makes me want to beat my head against the wall. He’s oblivious to the consequences of Democrats getting control of all three branches of the government. He’s hopeless though.
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Tell your brother-in-law that you will recommend to your sister divorce him for endangering her life and the life of everyone.
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You can vote socialists into power, but you always end up having to shoot yourself out. See Brazil. Venezuela another examole. Once they gain power they will use any means to retain it. They’ll cheat, change the rules, redo the institutions….whatever it takes.
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Phil, Yep, this is why I posted the DSA platform on the main page:
DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:
Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replacing Americans by blowing all that money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.
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And I consider this blog a community project. If any of you have suggestions to improve that DSA party platform statement or anything else just let me know.
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law former Republican county judge in Kaufman County”
If he voted for Biden then don’t believe he is voting for Talarico because of Paxton’s baggage.
Sounds like he switched sides long ago.
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Yeah, she’s kind of non-political, and tends to go along with whatever Hal says. She was brought up in a staunch Republican household but then so was he. Go figure.
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I think you need to add Marxism to the DSA platform.
THAT is what it is about.
You only have the consequences of what they propose, not the motive.
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He’s a big Bushie….and no, I don’t believe for a second he’s not voting for Paxton because of Paxton’s morals or lack of.
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TDS is a brutal disease.
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Ok, i now have who is a he and who is a she sorted out.
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No way to REMOVE statehood of D.C. and Guam, or to un-pack the SCOTUS.”
They will go for PR and DC. Guam is risky. Elects Republicans. Actually so does PR.
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A R could win in Guam by promising not to let it tip into the ocean!
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sorry, meant PR and wrongly typed Guam….
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GOP leading in all but six counties today in Florida in person early voting. They lead in Miami-Dade, Palm Beach, and Duval (Jacksonville)
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Daugherty:
BREAKING: A young leftist woman is sitting in JAIL after posting that she’d SH00T President Trump at his Daytona Beach rally TODAY
FAFO. She found out.
Allison Albro reportedly posted a selfie with the caption: “Going to the trump rally in my city tmr so I can sh⚠️t him with my glock! wish me luck guys!!”
Within hours, the Volusia Sheriff’s Domestic Security Unit and the Secret Service were at her door
She claimed it was a “joke,” said she doesn’t have a firearm, and said she’d never hurt anyone. Yeah, OK.
She’s now charged with written threats to k*ll and unlawful use of a communications device.
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Once the Dems get full power, Allison Albro will be awarded the congressional medal of honor.
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We now have a poll of the Illinois senate race where the Republican is down only 11. Better shape than our candidate in North Carolina if the polls are correct.
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fake pollster Boris now claims Paxton will win. lol.
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just his commentary Tina or did he release a poll?
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She has been in constant pain since the execution failed? Good
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Ok, i now have who is a he and who is a she sorted out.
Another reason Jason will never be appointed by a Democrat President to SCOTUS.
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If she is really in pain for the rest of her life then I support a commutation of sentence.
Suffering is worse than death.
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Pravda would be proud.
This is how Dana Bash led off her ‘reporting’ today on the Democrats’ ‘Dan Sullivan’ election scheme in Alaska.
“Unsurprisingly, [Trump] seized on the new reporting.”
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Just his commentary, dw.
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Another reason Jason will never be appointed by a Democrat President to SCOTUS”
Well, I do have some things going for me.
I was “foreign born”. Hispanic. I am not qualified. Those are 3 pluses right there.
I know not being illegal and not a criminal would also hurt my chances but maybe I can come up with something.
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it seems like they are going toward a drat plus 4. But with 35 most competitive rates it’s probably a pick ‘em
2026 Generic congressional ballot Democrats: 47% Republicans: 43% Penn State/YouGov poll | 10/14-10/20 LV
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Most of the Senate races were tightening on the RCP averages until the CNN polls.
Even so, Talarico is now only 1.8 over Paxton.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2026/texas/talarico-vs-paxton
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GOP clearly having its best day so far in early in person voting in Florida. Will soon reach a total early voting (in person and mail) lead of 100,000. Need to keep piling it on to build up as much of a firewall as possible before Tuesday.
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“Conservative ” Peggy Noonan wants a big blue wave.
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-case-for-a-historic-wave-c11a0a92?st=iHN6Ti
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How old is Peggy Noonan, like 97 or something? She obviously has dementia if she says she wants permanent Marxism, injustice, crime, corruption, and 90% of the population living in poverty.
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Where did you see Baris’ commentary on the Texas race? I have trouble believing he said that.
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Baris’ poll of Texas done a while ago had Paxton down only 2
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