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New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +15210225

2026 Senate Forecast

SCIAKSMEMIAKTXOHMNNH
Gap+3.5+2.5+2+2+2+1+0.5+2+3+5
Count46474849505152484746

Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….

DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:

Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replacing Americans by blowing all that money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.

Paxton Up 1 in Texas

According to Quantus Insights

10/26 – 10/28; 1221 LV; 3.2 MoE

US Senate
🟦 James Talarico: 48%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 49%

——
Governor
🟥 Greg Abbott (inc): 52%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 46%

15 responses to “Paxton Up 1 in Texas”

  1. First.

    Like

  2. I find it hard to believe that Paxton is only 3% behind Abbott in support. I also do not understand a voter who would say I will vote for Abbott but not Paxton (even though he sucks).

    Like

  3. well quantus is saying Abbott is up 6 while Paxton is up 1, so a five point gap, but yeah, lets vote to keep Abbott doing a great job, but at the same time, lets vote to get a federal government to stop Abbott from doing a great job.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. but I have never seen so many polls with such vast ticket splitting before.

    Like

  5. Lichtman is a moron, his “keys” suck.

    Like Nate Silverhack, he was right until he wasn’t.

    Like

  6. The ticket-splitting reflects the success the Cornyn and Tillis wing has had convincing a not insignificant portion of GOP voters to “teach the rest of us a lesson.” What a pair of douches.

    Like

  7. There is a video of him and his son live blogging the 2024 election.

    Hilarious.

    Then he goes on the Young Turks and gets reamed by Cenk for being wrong and ends up screaming “stop disrespecting me”.

    Like

  8. The ticket-splitting reflects the success the Cornyn and Tillis wing has had convincing a not insignificant portion of GOP voters to “teach the rest of us a lesson.” What a pair of douches.”

    You could also say it reflects the success of the MAGAs in calling everyone not 100% pure RINOs and traitors.

    Like

  9. I don’t agree with Cornyn and Tillis, I think they are just helping the Marxists.

    But people often react a certain way depending on how they are treated, John McCain was a prime example.

    There was very little upside attacking his military service, and there was very little upside calling lifelong conservative Republicans like Cornyn and Tillis RINOS.

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  10. The Texas election hinges on how well Paxton has been able to show Talarico for what he is.

    A radical who hates Christianity, opposes fossil fuels and meat in a state dependent on fossil fuels and livestock, and favors extreme positions like there are 6 genders and men should play in girl’s sports.

    Against that is Paxton’s unpopularity outside his base, his baggage, and the fact he is a uninspiring candidate in general.

    Like

  11. I don’t believe in stupid tariffs and trade wars. I believe the US should fully support Ukraine no matter what it costs.

    That would make me a RINO if I was still a Republican.

    The fact I support 90% of Trump’s agenda would not matter.

    I could be offended and not vote, or I could vote for a Dem. That wouldn’t happen in my case, but it may in others.

    Like

  12. I find it hard to believe that Paxton is only 3% behind Abbott in support.”

    Yeah I think Abbott needs to win by at least 5 for Paxton to win.

    But I think that is entirely possible.

    Like

  13. daugherty: BREAKING: Polk County Sheriff Grady Judd and AG James Uthmeier just announced the arrest of 31 people who traveled to have S*X WITH CHILDREN, and a total of 281 PREDATOR ARRESTS

    17 of them were THEME PARK employees: “Who led the way? Disney! 13 Disney, Universal had 4.”

    My gosh.

    JUDD: “Those that showed up up had a total of 798 previous criminal charges. In addition to that, we gave them 488 new charges just to take with them as kind of a present.”

    “Guess who he showed up to have sx with? A 14 year old little girl. The talk that he he used was so graphic that we obviously can’t release that to you here today…he said he can pick her up at school, then we can have sx in the car.”

    LAW AND ORDER IN FLORIDA.

    Like

  14. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    Paxton is unpopular enough to be 5 points behind Abbott. The negative ads against Abbott are typical (helps big business). And Abbott did piss some people off with school choice.

    However, Paxton is really unpopular. The Texas Senate should have convicted him at the impeachment hearing.

    There will be many people to blame if Paxton loses, but one is Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick who told the R senators not to convict.

    Like

  15. Abbot will win by at least 5 here in Texas. Hopefully that is enough to drag Paxton over the line. It will be close, however. Abbott will win for sure. How do I know? Advertising. Hinajosa ads are non-existent. If she had a shot Democrats would be putting money into her campaign. They aren’t.

    Paxton needs to stay within 10 with indies and hold Republican defections to less than 10%. I don’t know. Will be close.

    Like

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