The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

The Hedgehog Report is a safe place for Jewish participants. No antisemitism will be tolerated.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +15210225

2026 Senate Forecast

SCIAKSMEMIAKTXOHMNNH
Gap+3.5+2.5+2+2+2+1+0.5+2+3+5
Count46474849505152484746

Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….

DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:

Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replacing Americans by blowing all that money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.

CNN Predicts Blue Wave in President Kamala Harris Mid-Term

DW

Two years ago CNN said that Harris would win…

AZ: Harris +1 (Trump won +5.5)
NC: Harris +1 (Trump won +3)
WI: Harris +6 (Trump won +1)
MI: Harris +5 (Trump won +1)

So here are their current numbers:

TX: Talarico 49, Paxton 43
ME: Jackson 49, Collins 45
MI: El-Sayed 49, Rogers 42
KS: Hamilton 49, Marshall 45

CNN has the GOP candidate winning the Governor races in Texas and Kansas.

Another poll of Texas:

Talarico 49, Paxton 47

TSU/YouGov

The message from CNN is clear: Republicans should just stay home because its over. That message didn’t work in 2024, and we will find out if it works this time in 2026 in just 5 days.

44 responses to “CNN Predicts Blue Wave in President Kamala Harris Mid-Term”

  1. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    3rd quarter gdp – 3.4%

    Like

  2. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    3rd quarter gdp – 3.4%

    That is great news. Voters only care about paying $4.49 or more per gallon for gas. Both can be true.

    Like

  3. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I liked Alaska. If you want to rent a furnished house in Sitka for 3 months, it is only $800 total. The 3 months are December, January and February.

    Like

  4. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    A 62 year old Black woman who is often on Facebook blistering elected officials for any rumor of impropriety has now been arrested for shoplifting at Walmart.

    She ran for mayor and lost. She ran for city council and lost. She recently ran for school board and was the biggest vote getter.

    She is an elected member of the school board. I TOLD ou she was a certificate nut job.

    Like

  5. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Give her a break, Walt. School Board is an unpaid position. She is a victim of Trump. Just ask her.

    Like

  6. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/10/29/us-news/the-post-tracked-down-graham-platner-after-his-disgraced-maine-senate-campaign/

    Too bad he dropped out. He would have flipped out by now if he was still the candidate.

    Like

  7. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    My emergency stash:

    Coke
    Coke Zero
    Cookies
    Cereal
    Salt
    Hotdogs
    Pretzels
    Chips

    Like

  8. DW Avatar
    DW

    Added a new disclaimer to the main page so that every time bunu comes here he will see it.

    Like

  9. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    I need to add a case of gin and jars of olives to my stash.

    Like

  10. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    And blue cheese so I can spend my time during the apocalypse stuffing olives.

    Like

  11. DW Avatar
    DW

    Here is a great tool where you can see Israel’s election results and compare Netanyahu’s bloc against Eisenkot’s bloc.

    https://www.jpost.com/israel-election-2026/2026-10-29/live-updates-913178

    Funny how Eisenkot declared victory when his bloc is 13 short of a majority while Netanyahu’s is 8 short.

    Like

  12. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Eisenkot has no path unless he joins with the Arabs, which is not going to happen.

    There could be a unity govt, with alternating PMs. But that means Bibi stays in for another 2 years.

    Like

  13. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Likud just gained another seat, now has 27.

    Like

  14. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    I need to add a case of gin and jars of olives to my stash.”

    This is smart.

    But I still think your best bet is to be humanely euthanized in Canada.

    Like

  15. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    When its your time to go…

    “A Florida hospitality manager drowned as he tried to save a seagull he hooked while fishing in the Florida Panhandle — as loved ones remembered him as a “wonderful husband and father.”

    William “Stone” Romberg was fishing into Phillips Inlet in Panama City Beach, Florida, when his cast accidentally caught the bird Sunday afternoon, according to his employer and a GoFundMe set up for his family.

    “Stone tragically lost his life while fishing at the beach and attempting to help a bird caught in his fishing line.”

    Like

  16. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    Depressing to look at these polls on here each morning. Reminds me of the polls in 2008. I had already quit reading “Burn it all down” Baris as of last week. He made made me want to slit my wrists. I guess it is what it is. I voted this morning which is all I can do. Election night I’m not even going to watch the returns. Maybe put on a couple of movies and read about the carnage the following morning.

    Like

  17. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    Sad story about the Florida man.

    Like

  18. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    WHen its your time to go..

    “California dad fatally stabs wife’s lover after walking in on them in bed alongside young kids: DAIsmael Pinedalopez, 34, accused of butchering Nicholas Garcia with pocketknife in front of his 2- and 4-year-old toddlers in Anaheim home”

    Like

  19. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    It takes awhile to die from pocketknife wounds….

    Like

  20. DW Avatar
    DW

    jason seems to be nearly giving up on Perry in PA-10, but no poll other than a D-Internal has had Stelson over 50%. NY Times/Siena has it as a tie.

    Like

  21. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Some would say if you are banging the mother in front of her 2 and 4 year old kids you deserve a gruesome death.

    Like

  22. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    I still think Collins hangs on regardless of the polls.

    Like

  23. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    jason seems to be nearly giving up on Perry in PA-10, but no poll other than a D-Internal has had Stelson over 50%.”

    My problem is the 2024 results, where he only won by 5000 votes with Trump on the ballot (and Trump outpolled him in the district).

    His latest ads are going for the gusto, accusing Stelson of hiring illegal aliens and exposing herself.

    He will need a big R turnout to win.

    Like

  24. DW Avatar
    DW

    Phil,

    The pollsters who were right two years ago are in the field and will release their final polls this weekend. But CNN? That’s why I put their record from 2024 that earned them their F grade. Late momentum seems to have finally arrived for Paxton, and El-Sayed under performed primary polling by 9 points. I agree that election night is going to be one where we hope to limit the damage, but I am glad to hear you are done with Baris.

    However it turns out, he is completely discredited. Completely. He didn’t release just ONE poll, it was like three in a row showing Massie tied. Massie got obliterated. “Pollster” and “Cheerleader” don’t mix. Its why I don’t include CNN’s polls in my average. They would have to regain trust, which I don’t see happening given they gas light like this every cycle.

    Like

  25. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Perry would win if all Rs in the district voted for him.

    But he is too conservative for the district and Stelson is pretending to be a moderate. She has big name recognition as a long time TV news anchor.

    But hope springs eternal, I will vote for him.

    Like

  26. DW Avatar
    DW

    oh I totally agree that Perry can lose. But had I been pressed to make a guess on the NY Times/Siena poll prior to its release, I would have said they would show Perry down 6 or 7, given the narrative on the electoral environment. But they show a tie. Same sort of situation in VA-2. Only two polls, one a D Internal showing a tie, and then a university poll showing Kiggans down only a few.

    Like

  27. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    The CNN polls are an obvious attempt to depress R turnout.

    But they could turn out to be right if there is a blue tsunami.

    Like

  28. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    There are a lot of Stelson signs in Harrisburg city and more wealthy suburbs, a lot of Perry signs in rural York, Cumberland and York counties.

    Its going to be another urban vs. rural election. The problem is that the Harrisburg vote is going to be very lopsided, so Stelson will win Dauphin Co. She might also win Cumberland albeit by a smaller margin.

    York will go to Perry by a healthy margin, his district is in rural York, not York city, and the margin will define the election.

    Like

  29. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    I think the Stelson ads are cringe worthy and scream “fake”.

    No one with a right mind really believes she wants a secure border, tax cuts, and deporting illegals.

    But I am not an unbiased observer.

    Like

  30. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    Yeah, Baris’ theme is that Republicans would have been ok had Trump not done anything about Iran. He said that split the Maga coalition and Trump’s popularity dropped off a cliff as soon as he intervened. I’m not saying he’s wrong about that. Gas prices have really hurt, and the Iranians know it and have done everything in their power to drive them up. We damn well better win the WH in 2028 or we as a country are California going forward. Won’t be a damned thing we can do about it. Courts (packed), Congress (filibuster gone and four new Democratic senators from DC & Puerto Rico) and a Democratic President? Forget it. Guard rails will be gone, and the Republic will be changed forever. No going back as the institutions will be changed forever.

    Like

  31. DW Avatar
    DW

    driving through the neighborhoods on the west side of the Susquehanna, I noticed a lot of Perry signs. But I am not the expert on that part of the country.

    Like

  32. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    test

    Like

  33. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    You passed, A-hole.

    Like

  34. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    For some reason J-hole is no longer allowed for my handle.

    Oh well, not a problem.

    Like

  35. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Report: Obama Admin Uncovered Evidence Against Omar’s Marriage”

    Promptly buried, I am sure

    Like

  36. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    driving through the neighborhoods on the west side of the Susquehanna, I noticed a lot of Perry signs.”

    The West Shore is more conservative. But it has some higher income neighborhoods with a lot of Karens.

    Like

  37. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Yeah, Baris’ theme is that Republicans would have been ok had Trump not done anything about Iran.”

    Unless they were killed by Iranian nuclear bombs.

    Like

  38. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Put a gun to my head and I say Stelson wins by 10k votes.

    IF Harrisburg City is a lot lower than 2024 because Harris is not on the ballot that could change.

    I don’t see blacks in Harrisburg turning out for Shapiro, there are 10 Stelson signs for every Shapiro sign.

    Like

  39. DW Avatar
    DW

    “He said that split the Maga coalition”

    Stop right there. What he means is that the bunu vote abandoned Trump. These pacifists who would rather us be nuked by Iran. The bunu side of the coalition is hardly a substantial percentage. The vast majority of MAGA are military, patriots, and those who understand that there are times when you have to SAVE American lives by taking the battle to the enemy on YOUR terms.

    The Paulbots think that if you sit in a corner, suck your thumb and close your eyes, that when you open them, the whole world will be a Walt Disney cartoon fantasy where everyone lives happily ever after.

    Baris is also a weakling on prisons and treatment of prisoners. He wants wholesale prison reform with shorter sentences, and alternative paths toward rehabilitation. I am not saying prisons are perfect, but just saying that Baris is not a conservative Republican.

    One of my favorite Andy Griffith Show episodes is the one where Barney tried to rehabilitate four prisoners by giving them kids craft sets to teach them a trade. One of them used a metal craft kit to make a key that let them escape.

    Like

  40. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    But he is too conservative for the district

    Too conservative for the Amish? Damn.

    Like

  41. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Won’t be a damned thing we can do about it. Courts (packed), Congress (filibuster gone and four new Democratic senators from DC & Puerto Rico) and a Democratic President?”

    Worse than that. They will bring back the HR-1 voting bill, that alone assures Rs never will win another election. Citizenship/voting rights for illegals, opern borders again. Wealth taxes. Trillions on global warming. Electric car, solar energy, etc mandates.

    Socialism on steroids.

    Like

  42. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I said before the war with Iran that Dems will pick up 25-30 seats and was roasted for it by Jason. I do not want it to be right. I think the GOP holds the Senate but Vance better be ready to cast a lot of tie-breaking votes.

    Like

  43. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    What Jason just said.

    Like

  44. DW Avatar
    DW

    Daugherty: OFFICIAL: Salim Said, owner of Minneapolis “Safari Restaurant,” has been sentenced to 30 YEARS in federal prison and ordered to pay $44 million in restitution

    Good, now make sure people like TIM WALZ, AG Ellison and Ilhan are investigated for what they knew!

    His crew claimed to serve thousands of meals a day to hungry kids. Instead the money went to a million-dollar home in Plymouth, a Park Avenue mansion in Minneapolis, property in Ohio, and luxury cars 😠

    His lawyer argued that no child actually went hungry. The judge wasn’t buying it: “You took the reputation of our state down with you.”

    He also has a PRIOR fraud conviction.

    32 defendants have been sentenced so far, and the median sentence is just 38.5 months.

    Like

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