New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +15210225

2026 Senate Forecast

SCIAKSMEMIAKTXOHMNNH
Gap+3.5+2.5+2+2+2+1+0.5+2+3+5
Count46474849505152484746

Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….

DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:

Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replacing Americans by blowing all that money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.

Marist Maine Poll

Their prior one had Jackson over Collins by 4, now they reduced that to two:

MAINE POLL – Senate

🟥 Susan Collins (inc): 47% (-)
🟦 Troy Jackson: 49% (-2)

10/22 – 10/25; 1449 LV; 6.6

A 6.6 MoE?

And they are unique in showing the race for governor of Maine to be tied:

🟦 Pingree 44
🟥 Charles 44
🟨 Bennett 6

Here is an update to the chart I have been posting:

91 responses to “Marist Maine Poll”

  1. At least there is some red on the board.

    Like

  2. Bibi only at 33% chance at winning Israel election.

    Of course, the polls could be wrong again.

    Like

  3. I think like Trump here, there is a hidden Bibi vote in Israel.

    Like

  4. @PollTracker2024

    ·

    2h

    #TexasSenate Washington Sun: Texas Democrats Are Frustrated James Talarico Hasn’t Done More to Win Black Voters

    Like

  5. Re-posting JeffP’s (one of the worse cases of terminal TDS in History) so I can critique it properly.

    Midterms a week from today. Trump has been campaigning hard. Helping a weak field of candidates for sure. Hope we keep the Senate and Rubio is the chosen one for 2028. Peoples pundit Baris and Rasmussen Mitchell are not hopeful regarding their polling.

    Trump is a mixed bag for me. Lame duck status coming soon.

    Bad

    Trump and his old school nineties Democrat mindset really gets on my nerves as a Reagan conservative. Thanks for the TrumpRX discount coupons tax payers paid for though LOL. AGREE

    Trump being over his head with Covid and Iran has caused inflation at a rate that is crushing younger generations. Biden helped do his part too. DSA Is on the rise! Trump had the right mindset on Covid. His mistake was giving Fauci to much power. He acted on a lot of bad information that was not his fault. He is not over his head in Iran, so far I think he has managed it very well. I think he could have done a better job explaining that the high gas prices are temporary and necessary for the ultimate objective of denying Iran a nuclear bomb and eliminating the power of its proxies to wreak havoc in the region.

    Unfortunately like the first term very little significant legislation will be passed. Tax cuts were helpful I guess but net loss with inflation for most people. His Executive Orders will be overturned in 2028 unless Rubio runs I think. I guess his legacy will be a disruptive force in American politics? BS

    What is up with his love of Russia? Not sure he loves Russia. He holds it against Zelensky that his plan to “solve the war on day 1” didn’t happen. He wants credit for solving the war, but what he is willing to accept to do it is different from what the Ukrainian people accept.

    Good

    The leading cultural warrior of the modern age. He loves our country and patriotism has been revived. He has exposed the Woke Commie Dems in this generation for who they really are. This has meant a lot to me personally. Yes

    Exposed the depth of corruption at every level…from media, the administrative state, Biden, etc… Yes

    He has been the deregulation President which helped the economy roar before the China virus. Yes

    There are several others that are mixed like SCOTUS appointments. I fine with all his SCOTUS appts.

    Like

  6. Dem FL candidate “was told” Cuba is a dictatorship.

    “Do you consider that Cuba is a dictatorship?” she was asked in an interview with CBS News.

    “You know, that is what people have told me,” she replied. “I have never been to Cuba, and so I will have to take their word for it.”

    Like

  7. I am also fine with Trump’s SCOTUS picks. Tina really should like them since they are all America-born citizens.

    Like

  8. Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) ·

    I am looking like I’m going to be right on the money about El Paso County. Formulas and models are great but basic arithmetic will carry the field all day.

    Beto had a special power play in getting 98% or presidential turnout in his home county and beating Cruz by 50 points. That… https://t.co/ZX4PMReJkm

    View on X

    Like

  9. This the closest yet to a “deep state” evidence I have seen. I don’t consider it “deep state” because it is still a bunch of individuals in govt using their power to further their agenda rather than an actual state within a state.

    Still, it certainly gives the “deep state” believers some ammunition.

    “A former senior CIA operations officer is alleging that a “shadow government” is, and has been, operating inside the U.S. intelligence community.

    In a new interview with investigative journalist Catherine Herridge, whistleblower James Erdman III describes a group of officials who see themselves as the “adults in the room.”

    Their self-appointed job, he says, is to temper the “worst tendencies” of elected leaders.

    According to Erdman, this mentality has been used to push back against President Trump’s agenda, including election integrity investigations and the contents of the President’s Daily Brief.

    In the short clip, Herridge holds papers marked “DRAFT” and references an email reportedly from FBI Foreign Interference Task Force Lead Nikki Floris, which states, “I am basically running a shadow government inside the FBI right now.”

    “There’s certainly people who believe that they are the adults in the room, and they’re here to make sure that the political leaders that are in charge, we can’t let them do anything too crazy. We’re here to make sure we temper their worst tendencies,” Erdman replies. “I think that in effect, what you have are people who act as a shadow government, whether they know they’re doing it or not.”

    https://redstate.com/rusty-weiss/2026/07/27/cia-whistleblower-confirms-shadow-government-is-running-the-intel-communityand-blocking-trump-n2204809

    Like

  10. Add Dallas county- numbers have dropped significantly. This would be Crockett country.

    Like

  11. Baris “not hopeful”? That’s an understatement. He says it will be a bloodbath. What pisses me off is he’s absolutely fine with it. Happy to “burn it down” as he stated a week ago. All because of Trump on Iran and the fact that his congressman buddy in Kentucky went down in the primary. Trump F*cked up on the TIMING of doing what needed to be done on Iran. I’ll grant him that. He figured he’d have a deal by now with whackos in Iran before the election. Was never going to happen and by the time he figured it out it was too late. The midterms were on us. That, and lifting the blockade on Iran for six weeks with that ridiculous Memorandum of Understanding. You would have thought he would have known better after watching how that regime has behaved for the last half century. Anyway, too late now. Next Tuesday he will take his medicine and with it the country will suffer with the ascension of socialist/radical power. I don’t fault him for trying to solve the Iran problem. Absolutely needed to be done, but in the execution of his goal, he allowed himself to be played. The timing of the midterms is going to be a killer.

    Like

    • Ukraine’s ground robots are carrying grenade launchers into dangerous areas.
    • The robots bring short-range firepower closer to Russian troops without exposing Ukrainian soldiers.
    • A brigade said operators tens of kilometers away used armed robots to pulverize Russian positions.

    Ukraine is mounting grenade launchers on ground robots, allowing its forces to bring useful firepower closer to Russian troops without sending in soldiers to pull the trigger.”

    I am sorry this is happening to Tina and Janzam.

    Like

  12. Meant Harris county Texas.

    Like

  13. Some say Hitler is bad but I haven’t been to 1930s Germany so I’ll have to take their word for it.

    Like

  14. Wow, Paul is criticizing a Democrat?

    Looking out the window now to see if there are any flying pigs.

    Like

  15. Baris and other libertarians are idiots. If they ever played the board game RISK, they would always lose because they never would attack anybody.

    Most often you SAVE lives when you take the initiative by going on the offensive to deal with an enemy rather than sitting around waiting to be hit, and then having to play cleanup. This has played out thousands of times in history, but Baris and his ilk would rather wait until we have several of our cities nuked, then try to figure out what to do about it.

    Baris just wants to stick his head in the sand and hope that when he pulls it out the world will be at peace. This is the real world, not some Walt Disney cartoon fantasy.

    Like

  16. The woke Eagles lost to the woke Cowboys at home?

    I am sorry this happened to Bitter.

    Rumor online has it that since no one wants to win that division, the woke NFL will conduct a drawing to determine the winner. Taylor Swift will draw the name.

    Like

  17. Seen on Facebook…

    ” I like my guns just the way the Democrats like voters…undocumented.”

    Liked by 1 person

  18. I actually care about our troops and I want them to have every advantage to ensure the greatest likelihood that enemy soldiers die for their country instead of our soldiers needlessly dying for ours.

    Like

  19. Incredible that Nixon doesn’t know her own state well enough to know that its not a good idea to say that she doesn’t know if Cuba is a dictatorship. When you say your prayers at night, thank God that Dems nominated such lightweights in FL, ME, MI and TX. Otherwise the senate would be a sure loss.

    Liked by 1 person

  20. Nixon and other Democrats are finding it harder and harder to hold back saying what they really believe in. They live in a bubble.

    Like

  21. Marist generic ballot is now Dem +8. Down from +12 last month

    Like

  22. DETROIT – Supporters of Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed voiced support for guaranteed income, a social safety net concept gaining traction in municipalities across the nation.

    “I think it’s a good idea,” one rallygoer told Fox News Digital. “With the prices rising and programs being cut like they are and trying to get access to them. Yeah, I think it’s a good idea. I hope he supports them.”

    Free money is always a good idea.

    Like

  23. The Israeli MSM seems a lot like the US MSM.

    If you are left wing you are a “centrist”.

    If you are not left wing you are “right wing” or “far right wing”

    Like

  24. plus a blow out durable orders number today.

    @DeItaone

    ·

    1h

    US OCT CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX 91.7 (CONSENSUS 81.0) VS SEPT REVISED 84.2 (PREVIOUS 81.9) – CONFERENCE BOARD

    Like

  25. sort of a small sample…but here it is:

    OHIO – SENATE

    🟥 Husted: 47%
    🟦 Brown: 47%

    Echelon Insights – 10/16-23; 500 LV

    Like

  26. GOP sitting at +16.5 so far in Florida early in person voting today…already added 40,811 votes this morning…yesterday was a total of 127,033, the highest tally so far.

    Like

  27. I am not interested in FL.

    If that is at risk, then the GOP will lose every contested race.

    It’s like I don’t worry about getting hit by a meteor when go outside.

    Like

  28. Trump won OH by 500k votes 3 times in a row.

    But Brown is a master bullshitt-r who pretends he is for the “working class”.

    Like

  29. well, I am following Florida jason simply because its a state that has early voting, and has party registration, and they release the data for how many ballots are cast by members of each party. Florida is a large state, so it becomes a good representative sample for testing voter interest or voter apathy against 2024 and 2022.

    Like

  30. Not critical of the coverage.

    I just can’t be worried about FL.

    Like

  31. GOP leading in today’s in person tally in all but six FL counties.

    Like

  32. Woke NFL important update!

    Trouble in paradise?

    “Taylor Swift Reportedly Refuses to Get ‘Trapped’ in Kansas City as Travis Kelce Begins Another NFL Season”

    They are still saying Travis Kelse when they mean “the former Travis Kelce”.

    Like

  33. Awwww….. I hope the woke NFL can survive this.

    Stay tuned.

    “He’s locked down for a year, and she doesn’t want to be there,” Shuter said. “She’s having a great time in London. She’s been in New York. We saw her in LA. So, she’s hanging with her friends.”

    For Swift, getting married apparently doesn’t mean abandoning the friendships, locations and routines that were already important parts of her life.”

    Rumor is the NFL is going to build her a $50 million mansion in KC so stadium and home viewers can watch her in the stadium instead of the game.

    5 million Swifties will cancel their woke NFL subscriptions if the Marxist apparatchik doesn’t appear for even one game, so this is a serious crisis.

    Like

  34. TSDS is a sad condition.

    Maybe Jason can also become obsessed with Bills QB Josh Allen’s actress wife, Hailee Steinfeld.

    Like

  35. OpenSourceZone

    ·

    1h

    2026 Ohio Governor 🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy: 47% 🔵 Amy Acton: 45%

    Like

  36. 26 Ohio Governor

    🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy: 47%
    🔵 Amy Acton: 45%

    Echelon Insights poll | 10/16-10/23

    Like

  37. I am sympathetic to poor Bitter’s lack of understanding of what happened to the NFL.

    Maybe he remembers with fond nostalgia when the NFL was about football, not about “inspiring change”, “choosing love” and “it takes all of us”.

    Maybe he remembers when the NFL wasn’t a vehicle for Marxist propaganda fueled by America hating executives, owners, coaches and players and there were not two National Anthems.

    Maybe he remembers when it was ok to hit a QB trying to gain yardage and where it was expected that players earning millions in a contact sport might indeed suffer a concussion or worse injury.

    He remembers when NFL didn’t focus on left wing celebrities as a way for fake “inclusion”.

    Like

  38. Maybe Jason can also become obsessed with Bills QB Josh Allen’s actress wife, Hailee Steinfeld”

    Allen is a Republican but you wouldn’t know it, and I didn’t see his wife endorsing Kamala Harris.

    Like

  39. “Trump DHS in court just NUKED Los Angeles County’s claim that “38.9%” of 200 sampled names on the 20,930 noncitizen voter list were born in the US

    ‼️ ZERO were born in the United States as declared under penalty of PERJURY by USCIS Fraud Detection Chief Nicolas Bartell, after checking the actual federal immigration files of LA County’s 200-voter sample

    “After a thorough review of the immigration records of all the individuals on the County’s Sample List, it was determined that none of the individuals USCIS matched to the County’s Sample List were born in the United States according to USCIS records.”

    And so THERE IT IS. LA is wrong because they DO NOT ACTUALLY CHECK, they just take fraudsters’ word for it! 😠

    51 of those foreign-born individuals simply LIED on California’s honor-system voter rolls by claiming they were born in America — and LA County took their word for it to smear the DOJ’s investigation!

    Out of the 200 names, USCIS found only 4 who might even have a derivative citizenship claim and 1 who is dead.”

    Like

  40. Jason ditched the NFL when average QB Tebow was replaced by Peyton Manning (who won a Super Bowl for the Broncos that season). Of course, his favorite singer was the Voice of a (anti-American and pro-Viet Cong) Generation, Bob Dylan. No redemption for that.

    Like

  41. Jan: Citizens are not all born in the US. Foreign-born individuals can be citizens and vote.

    Are you going to keep Jason from voting?

    Like

  42. Trump is going on about WSJ not using the term ‘super intelligence’ for AI. Glad he’s focused on what matters…..

    keeping his ‘super intelligence’ robot overlords happy.

    Like

  43. Califormia has attested that the 200 were “born in the United States.” They are mostly likely all fraudulent voters

    Like

  44. @MattFinnFNC

    ·

    1h

    NEW: In a new filing, a DHS official under penalty of perjury goes into much more detail about how the Trump admin arrived at its suspected list of 20k non-citizen voters in CA.

    Some of the steps in order: -DOJ got CA voter rolls with name, address, DOB or age, phone number, voter history, etc.

    -Feds “enhanced” that data using Lexis Nexis Accurint -Enhanced data is compared to USCIS Alien number

    -Matches of possible non citizens then screened against SS data to remove people who can be citizens or deceased

    -USCIS then reviews possible matches of non citizens and assigns a confidence level based on “multifield” evidence

    -Then, FNDS investigators separately manually review matches to determine which are believed to be aliens

    Like

  45. https://www.jpost.com

    So far, no party has a majority so will have to see what coalition can form to rule.

    Like

  46. Final Harvard Harris generic ballot is D+4

    Like

  47. Also, the Dems have released an internal poll of VA-1, a seat that is supposed to flip, but they could only get D+1. This looks like a hold. I am also hoping we hold VA-2 as Jen Kiggans has been working hard to hold it.

    Like

  48. Devil’s Advocate; Dem internal is deliberately close to raise more money.

    Like

  49. PPP-D also has it Dem +1

    Like

  50. Likud largest party, Bibi’s block surprises pollsters ties with the “centrists”.

    Like

  51. Of course, his favorite singer was the Voice of a (anti-American and pro-Viet Cong) Generation, Bob Dylan.”

    Zzzz.. .Bob Dylan stopped writing protest songs 60 years ago.

    Meanwhile Bitter’s icon and favorite Marxist Springsteen is still spewing Maoist propaganda at 80 years old.

    Like

  52. Zzzz.. .Bob Dylan stopped writing protest songs 60 years ago.

    Zzzzzz No redemption.

    Like

  53. Meanwhile Bitter’s icon and favorite Marxist Springsteen

    Zzzzzzzz My wife likes his songs. I have been to one concert with her.

    Like

  54. Jason ditched the NFL when average QB Tebow was replaced by Peyton Manning”

    Yeah, replacing a young promising QB like Tebow for a damaged goods rethread like Manning was a mistake, with that defense Tebow would have won the SB too.

    But of course Bitter is wrong on the timing, I was still a Broncos and NFL fan in 2015.

    I ditched the NFL when it supported the blatant disrespect for the flag, veterans, and National Anthem by the kneelers and America haters and when it began to spend tens of millions to support Marxist memes and ideology.

    There is no redemption for that.

    Like

  55. Zzzzzzzz My wife likes his songs. I have been to one concert with her.”

    Zzzzz….

    Sounds like Hitler was good to his dogs BS.

    Bruce Springsteen is a rabid America hating Marxist.

    He should be shunned at every opportunity.

    Like

  56. Finally signs of life by Stacy Garrity.

    She is running a good (and funny) ad where a shifty eyed Shapiro AI creation admits to being funded by data centers.

    Like

  57. He should be shunned at every opportunity.

    My wife is a Republican but the least political person I know. She could not care less about his politics because she doesn’t agree with him. She has liked his music for almost 50 years.

    Criticize my wife and then GYF.

    Like

  58. Unfortunately, a lot of PA votes were returned already. Garrity let Shapiro define her.

    Like

  59. Tebow would have won the SB too.

    Absurd. Tebow didn’t win the SB with the same defense the year before.

    Like

  60. Yeah, replacing a young promising QB like Tebow

    Yeah. That 47.9% completion rate was stellar.

    Like

  61. Garrity won’t win. But getting blown out will hurt congressional candidates.

    I see a lot more activity on her behalf than a few weeks ago.

    Like

  62. This open WV House of delegates seat in 2024 was won by an R nut job @54% to 46% . The same now 29 year old D gal is challenging the R nut again. He is a pitiful embarrassment, IMO. In 2 years he has had 0 bills he sponsored or signed onto pass. The fellow Rs and R leadership do not like him.

    The R incumbent has deluged my mailbox with about a dozen mailers in the last 10 days. Full of lots of ‘being pro life, liberty, guns, stopping big government ‘ stuff. He has lots of Facebook ads too, and personal posts.

    The R is so bad the the very pro R WV Chamber of Commerce had endorsed the D [2 years ago they endorsed him, but now see how he has voted against everything for 2 years. The D gal is working hard. I voted for her today, like I did in 2024.

    Like

  63. Criticize my wife and then GYF.”

    Absolutely, but I am not letting you off either.

    You and your wife enable and fund this despicable scumbag and America hating communist.

    Like

  64. Absurd. Tebow didn’t win the SB with the same defense the year before.”

    LOL

    Manning won the SB in 2016 (2015 season).

    Last game Tebow played for the Broncos was January 2012.

    Like

  65. Jason must be really fun to hang out with. No sports. No tv. No music. No movies. Living with the Amish suits him.

    Like

  66. The D Walt voted for is going to push the national Dem agenda.

    I don’t really see why he thinks that is a good thing.

    Personally, I would vote for the R nutjob over the D commie just because in this environment I can’t see supporting ANY Democrat.

    Like

  67. Jason must be really fun to hang out with. No sports. No tv. No music. No movies. Living with the Amish suits him.”:

    I like sports. I watch golf and soccer. And curling during the olympics.

    I watch TV. Just watched Moonshiners and a reality show about the Golden Nugget in Vegas. Deadliest Catch. Oak Island. Some History Channel, Nat Geo and Discovery. Food Channel.

    Very few new movies, true, most are too woke for me. I watched Project Hail Mary. Yeah, woke.

    But you are right. Living among the Amish is great.

    Like

  68. ‘being pro life, liberty, guns, stopping big government”

    Sounds like a good platform to me.

    Like

  69. Good site to follow Israel vote results

    LIkud and right wing parties are only 2 short of a majority at the moment.

    As usual, the polls underestimated Bibi

    https://www.earthelects.com/israel/live/

    Like

  70. Bibi now favored on Polymarket to be the PM

    Like

  71. is project hail mary woke

    Type this into a search and read the AI summary. I don’t know what Jason found to be woke in the movie.

    Like

  72. The D Walt voted for is going to push the national Dem agenda.

    As 1 Dem in WV? Not exactly a national platform. I also would have voted for the Republican nutjob but Walt stated his reasons.

    Like

  73. Last week, a recruiter called me out of nowhere. I was not looking to leave my firm. I received an offer. I told my bosses. I thought they would say they could not match it but they offered me a $30k raise to stay.

    Positive of new firm – Less billable hours. I always work hard and exceed my requirement anyway. Also, a bigger firm and more likely to be around in 10 years. I am going to die at my desk so that is a plus.

    Positives of current firm – My bosses surprised me and complicated my decision by immediately exceeding the other offer by $10k and then adding another $5k when new firm countered. I don’t love my current job but tolerate it. They leave me alone. Main drawback is that my firm is small and I don’t know if it will exist in 10 years. Of course, I don’t know if I will exist in 10 years, either.

    I decided to stay. I chose comfort and not having to learn the routine of a new firm. I may be making a mistake but I could also be making a mistake if I left my firm.

    Jason to say I made a huge mistake in 3…2…1….But he would say that if I went to the new firm, too.

    Like

  74. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    there are lots of days that I’d like to leave my job. But, where would I go? Since, I work for myself, I can’t bad mouth my boss.

    Like

  75. Since, I work for myself, I can’t bad mouth my boss.

    I heard Harry’s boss is an a-hole but now he confirmed it.

    Like

  76. The opposition parties in Israel immediately declared victory yesterday when the polls closed, that Netanyahu was finished….just a bit out over their skis

    Like

  77. Joist.com has good analysis. There is an interesting article how Netanyahu and the opposition leader should form a unity government. Huge egos at play there.

    Like

  78. Not sure that Trump saying that the U.S. oil industry is making a fortune because of the war with Iran is a good campaign strategy.

    Like

  79. Pretty sweet raise, bitter. I was always thrilled to get a 2% raise on my meager teacher’s salary. That’s what I get for bombing the LSAT……..not once but twice.

    Like

  80. The freepassers assured me she was a real r

    oteHub

    BREAKING — Alaska GOP Sen. Lisa Murkowski endorses Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins for Alaska governor.

    4:54 PM · Oct 27, 2026

    ·

    420.2K Views

    Like

  81. I think you made the right decision given you got a raise.

    There are big risks in moving, the work, the supervision, the firm environment, the expectations, etc. might be very different than advertised.

    I would have stayed too.

    GFY

    Like

  82. primary upcoming for the fake r.

    Like

  83. And Buffune should strip her if committee assignments. Btw where is Buffune?

    Like

  84. I wouldn’t put it past Murkowski to cross the aisle and caucus with Democrats. Rank choice voting is the sole reason she is still in the senate.

    Like

  85. They need to get rid of rank voting. So un democratic. She thinks she (and her dad) are entitled to the seat.

    Like

  86. Boris claims to have poled Texas over months. Yet he has only released one pole in September. He is a fake.

    Like

  87. don’t know what Jason found to be woke in the movie.”

    The implication is that Rocky is gay.

    To me that is unnecessary wokeness.

    GFY.

    Like

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