The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +5215220

2026 Senate Forecast

KSIAMIAKMENHMNTXOHNC
Gap+3.9+2.2+2.3+1.9+0.6+0.7+2.1+3.5+3.9+5.0
Count47484950504948474645

One Point race for MN Senate

DW

According to A rated pollster co/efficient

TEXAS

US Senate
🟦James Talarico 46%
🟥Ken Paxton 43%
🟨Ted Brown 3%
——
Texas Governor
🟥Greg Abbott 48% (incumbent)
🟦Gina Hinojosa 41%
⬜️Jenn Mack Raphoon 2%
🟨Pat Dixon 1%

Mason-Dixon/Telemundo poll (2024 C rating) | 9/8-9/10 LV

MINNESOTA

SENATE
🟦 Peggy Flanagan: 43%
🟥 Michele Tafoya: 42%
🟨 Other: 4%
—
GOVERNOR
🟦 Amy Klobuchar: 47%
🟥 Lisa Demuth: 45%
——
GCB
🟥 Republicans: 47%
🟦 Democrats: 46%

Co/efficient (2024 A rating) | 9/13-14 | 833 LV

IOWA

SENATE
🟦 Turek: 43%
🟥 Hinson: 43%
🟨 Other: 4%
—
GOVERNOR
🟦 Sand: 48%
🟥 Lahn: 44%

Cygnal (2024 C- rating, 4 point skew to Dems.) | 9/9-11 | 500 LV

ME-02

🟥 Paul LePage: 49%
🟦 Matt Dunlap: 49%

Generic Ballot
🟥 Republican: 49%
🟦 Democrat: 45%

Impact Research – D | 9/8-12 | 500 LV

Update. A few more polls added below:

ALASKA POLL – US Senate

🟥 Dan Sullivan (i): 39%
🟦 Mary Peltola: 39%
🟥 Daniel J. Sullivan: 7%
🟥 Gerald Heikes: 6%
⬜️ Not sure: 9%

@Rasmussen_Poll | 1,188 LV | 9/13-14

GEORGIA – US Senate

🟦 Jon Ossoff (inc): 51%
🟥 Mike Collins: 42%

@Rasmussen_Poll | 1000 LV | 9/14

OREGON – Governor

🟥 Drazan 45%
🟦 Kotek 43%

DHM Research | 9/11 | 600 LV

18 responses to “One Point race for MN Senate”

  1. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    First

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  2. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Like

  3. DW Avatar
    DW

    just added a few more polls to this thread

    Like

  4. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Blow out retail sales number

    DeItaone

    *US AUG. RETAIL SALES RISE 1.2% M/M; EST. +0.8% *US AUG. RETAIL ‘CONTROL GROUP’ SALES RISE 1.4% M/M; EST. +0.5%

    ·

    25.9K Views

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  5. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Tina – All of your positive economic news is encouraging. Voters don’t follow economic stats. They follow their own situation. Please ask Trump to get the message out.

    Like

  6. DW Avatar
    DW

    Yep. Voters want lower gas prices, so they will return to the party who went to war against oil, wants $10 a gallon, and wants to eliminate the automobile to save the climate even though we are but 4% of the world’s population.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Hey DW could you pls repost Walt;s tour guide offer from the prior thread.

    It won’t allow me to do it, deserves reposting.

    Like

  8. DW Avatar
    DW

    From Walt on the last thread:

    A PROPOSED VACATION TRIP TO WV & ENVIRONS for Hedgehog posters

    Come visit…

    HARPERS FERRY and all its beauty and history. As you walk thebstreets you will wall past the building rhst housed the pharmacy where my ancestor had a drug store. I will personally take you on a guided tour of Virginus Island (at Harpers Ferry) and tell you all about the thriving community was there, the Shenandoah canal where another of my ancestors fell in at night and drowned.

    HITORIC SHEPHERDSTOWN where my grandfather lived when he taught at Shepherd College. See the Runsey monument, the railroad Bridge over the Potomac where I and a friend walked one night and got caught on the bridge when 4 trains passed that night. Stop at Morgans Grove where the Bee Libe March began and which isbthe birthplace of the U.S. Army. See the college campus and the historic downtown area of the town. Have some food at Betty’s Restaurant.

    LUNCH–at the 4 star Bavarian Inn in Shepherdstown overlooking the Potomac. German fare and crab cakes are ther specialties. You can also stay in one of the niche rooms there.

    C & O CANAL…where the Pennsyvania Corn Brigade was cut to pieces in the Civil War when they crossed the river chasing alee after the battle of Antietam

    On to SHARPSBURG–first stop will be Nutter’s Ice Cream. Read the historic marker about Gen. Braddock coming through here.

    Then on to the nearby Antietam Battlefield and tour there including Burnside Bridge.

    Back to WV to stop by my house for light refreshments and drinks on my deck. Tour the wife’s flower flower gardens. See the 1815 stone Bridge over the Opequon Creek as you tropical where George Washington rode.

    MARTINSBURG– sight of theb1877 railroad strike, tour the roundhouse there (one of the few RR roundhouse still standing). Visit the Adam Stephen home (REV. WAR GENERAL and founder of Martinsburg). See other sites of Martinsburg like the courthouse, Belle Boyd House, and Boydville, the Boarman House (U.S. Admiral), etc.

    CHARLES TOWN–see some of the Washington homes and Washington graves in the cemetery (more Washingron Graves and homes in this county than anywhere else in the U.S.). See the court house where John Brown was tried and the site where he was hanged, plus donthe museum in the basement of the library. Go to the Charles Town Race ticket for horse racing and casino gambling.

    On to HEDGESVILLE–where Washington stopped and slept and worshiped. And the birthplace of me and where I grew up. Then on to..

    BERKELEY SPRINGS where Washington visited and bathed in thw mineral springs there. See the house where Amy college girl fried lived. Play golf or swim at the nearby Cacapon State Park.

    Optional trip is to go to the Paw Paw tunnel area of the C & O CANAL and walk through that as I yell you all about the constructuon of it.

    Come back to my house for liquid refreshment and where I will entertain you with my guitar playing and stores of my times in the WV legislature.

    *****

    I would plan spending AT LEAST 4 days and 3 nights here in this area.

    OFFER ONLY GOOD FOR HHR POSTERS AND THEIR FAMILIES.

    Like

  9. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    This Kramer guy is pissed he will have to share his “heroic victim status” with Clancy.

    Like

  10. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Tks DW

    Like

  11. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    DW,

    it is heartening g to see close races in OREGON, NH, and MN in this election cycle.

    ******

    Fortunately, several of our planned activities for this week right after getting home from CA Ada were .over or canceled due to possibility of us getting g the toue bus disease.

    BUT we still have meals on wheels delivery today. See.s we have a lot lot more meals to deliver today.

    Like

  12. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar
    Big Joe, A-Hole

    The good jobs report is the precise reason that a 25 point interest rate hike is legitimately on the table today.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  13. Big Joe, A-Hole Avatar
    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Dang Walt, we made the drive from GA to NY about a dozen times when the kids were younger (2003-2016 ish). Going up/down I-81 was excruciatingly boring except for the few miles that we spent in MD and WV. One of those states had a Roy Rogers, which were basically gone. So we had to stop there every time because Roy Rogers was one of my favorite burgers joints growing up on NYC. You can add your own toppings and I had to load up on the onions. That was always the highlight of our long drive and I’m fairly certain it was in WV.

    Big Joe, A-Hole

    Like

  14. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    DW – You think voters will be rational regarding gas prices and reject Dems. Voters are not always rational. How many races were lost because MAGA sat out elections when Trump was not running for President? The Dem Senators from Georgia certainly appreciated MAGA’s gift.

    Like

  15. DW Avatar
    DW

    “DW – You think voters will be rational regarding gas prices and reject Dems.”

    No, I wasn’t intending to be sarcastic. That is literally what voters are doing. They are planning to vote Dem to bring gas prices down, despite the fact that Dems have a record of being at war against oil and want to eliminate the internal combustion engine. That is my point. Voters are NOT rational.

    Many MAGA voters want Trump to be a dictator and think that he can do it all on his own without congress, so why bother vote. Then they will be angry when the dem controlled congress stops him.

    Like

  16. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The Proud A-hole is right as regards legitimacy.

    But I hope they DON’T raise it because I think a lot of the inflation we are seeing is, to borrow from Biden, transient.

    High energy prices translate into higher prices for transportation and therefore along the entire supply chain, including food.

    Once the Iran war is over and the straight of Hormuz is either opened or rendered mostly irrelevant, inflation will come down.

    Like

  17. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Not sure what the market wants, not moving much today.

    Like

  18. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    This guy is ahead in the polls in TX.

    Democrat Candidate for Texas Senate James Talarico says America should look to other countries in Europe “for inspiration” on how to be a better country.”

    Janzam will be here today to explain that Paxton is a stealth “great candidate”.

    Like

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