The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

KSIAMIAKTXMEMNNHOHNC
Gap+3.9+2.2+2.3+1.9+0.6+0.6+2.1+2.7+3.9+5.0
Count47484950504948474645

Rough Polls for the GOP

DW

Hope the new spending makes a difference

TEXAS Senate:

🟦 James Talarico: 47%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 46%

Insider Advantage

TEXAS Senate:

🟦 James Talarico: 48%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 44%

AARP (Impact Research-D/Fabrizio-R)

MICHIGAN Senate:

🟦 El-Sayed: 46%
🟥 Rogers: 45%

Trafalgar Group

FLORIDA Senate

🟦 Nixon: 47%
🟥 Moody: 47%

Change Research-D

SOUTH CAROLINA Senate

🟦 Andrews 43%
🟥 Graham Nordone 45%

Insider Advantage

OHIO Senate

🟦 Brown 47%
🟥 Husted 42%

Insider Advantage

NORTH CAROLINA Senate

🟦 Cooper 52%
🟥 Whatley 44%

East Carolina University

NORTH CAROLINA Senate

🟦 Cooper 49%
🟥 Whatley 38%

Elon University/YouGov

MAINE Senate

🟦 Jackson 48%
🟥 Collins 44%

YouGov

TN-09

🟦 Pearson 44%
🟥 Taylor 48%

Hart Research – D

NOTICE: I will be on a break for the next several days and probably won’t post anything until Tuesday. Bitter can start new threads if he wants.

56 responses to “Rough Polls for the GOP”

  1. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Like

  2. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I thought Janzam said voters in TX would be paying more attention to the Senate race.

    I hope they soon change their minds about Paxton being an unpopular, baggage ridden, weak candidate that can’t even get Rs united against a whacko communist in TX.

    Like

  3. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I think DW is getting too big for his britches.

    “”on break for a few days”

    Who does he think he is?

    Did he apply for leave through the proper channels?

    Like

  4. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Now in Prince Edward Island. Heading to Anne of Green Gables site”

    I want to know about your visit to Oak Island.

    Like

  5. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    AOC:

    This year, there have already been 10 reported hangings of Black people in the U.S. I’m proud to have signed onto @RepPressley ‘s letter to address these widespread modern-day lynchings and put a stop to this racial terror.”

    Like

  6. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16106071/911-voicemails-calls-25-anniversary.html?banner=daily-download

    I could only listen to 2. Too brutal to hear all of them.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Do you have a subscription to Daily Mail? Says you need to subscribe to listen.

    Like

  8. John Goggin Avatar
    John Goggin

    “This year, there have been already 10 reported hangings of Black people in the US……”

    How many have been ruled suicides?

    Like

  9. John Goggin Avatar
    John Goggin

    Watched an episode on one of the ‘paranormal’ UAP shows from the History Channel and noticed a commentator giving his take was the guitarist Brian May of Queen. He is now an an astrophysicist. He received his PhD for his thesis focused on ‘radial velocities in the zodiacal dust cloud’.

    Whatever that means.

    Like

  10. GF Avatar
    GF

    Funny, I have not heard of a single lynching style hanging, I would have thought that would have been front page news given our current media. My guess is that most, if not all, of the incidents were found NOT to have been actual lynchings.

    Flying out of MSY to LAX today. I swore I would never fly on any 9/11, but here we are.

    Liked by 1 person

  11. janzam Avatar
    janzam

    ”Elon Musk just publicly caught Rep. AOC red-handed LYING about 10 black people being hanged this year AOC: “Widespread lynchings!” 🤡 Elon exposes the truth: Nearly all are SUIC*DES with no evidence of foul play…and another case has a BLACK suspect as the possible k*ller”

    Liked by 1 person

  12. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I do. I think the different memorial museums may also have links.

    Like

  13. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    How many have been ruled suicides?”

    All of them.

    But minor detail.

    Like

  14. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    This is race baiting of the worst kind, but there will be no consequences and the MSM won’t call her out, they are too busy “fact checking” Trump.

    Like

  15. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/09/11/us-news/zohran-mamdani-aoc-spotted-laughing-at-9-11-ceremony-while-victims-families-weep-during-reading-of-names/

    At least AOC and Mamdani had a good time.

    Like

  16. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    Yeah, it appears they did, bitter. I’m not exactly shocked, however.

    Like

  17. GF Avatar
    GF

    Jason, it’s been revealed that the lone juror is a black man. Not sure how the AWFLs will reconcile this as they rage on for legalizing child murder ex-utero.

    Like

  18. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Like

  19. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    whoops bl had that first. What a disgrace those two clowns are.

    Like

  20. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Like

  21. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    It’s also 10 year anniversary of the collapse of her thighness campaign. Remember when the Clinton groupie said “nothing was wrong with her?” I mean they chucked her into the medical van

    Like

  22. John Goggin Avatar
    John Goggin

    Does it really matter if the lone juror that didn’t vote with the majority in the Clancy trial was Black? Does Lady Justice wear blindfolds?

    Don’t care if the lone hold out juror was Black and male.

    Like

  23. GF Avatar
    GF

    We don’t care, John; it’s about the AWFL Karens who claim to respect the “lived experience” of peoples of color while expecting said POCs to submit to their agenda and way of thinking. Those nasty See You Next Tuesdays (and many of their counterparts online) are fuming about him.

    Like

  24. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Jason, it’s been revealed that the lone juror is a black man. Not sure how the AWFLs will reconcile this as they rage on for legalizing child murder ex-utero”

    I read an interview with one of the Karen AWFLs jurors.

    What a disgusting POS. She said the AWFLs were “very excited” when they thought the holdout was going to join them in giving this woman a pass for murdering her children.

    Who gets “excited” when there are 3 little dead children. Were they going to out later and celebrate turning this murderer into the victim while the dead children who were cruelly killed were completely ignored?

    But you know what, wokeness might have come back to bite the wokesters. Had the juror been white, the judge might have tossed him. Maybe he thought the optics of dismissing a black juror were bad. If that was the case, what poetic justice!

    Reading the AWFLs interviews, you get the distinct impression they were on a mission to absolve this woman of any responsibility no matter what the evidence was. They were bent on making her the poster “victim” for the cause of legalizing child murder via “insanity”.

    It would never matter that Clancy never had an insanity diagnosis, never was suspected of insanity by anyone that lived, knew or treated her. It would never matter that she carefully and deliberately planned the murders and followed through in the most horrendously cruel fashion possible.

    We owe this black juror a huge debt of gratitude for now caving to the AWFLs like the other 2 male jurors did (supposedly one was badgered into it).

    Like

  25. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    “A juror from the Lindsay Murder Trial described starting to fill out the verdict forms with excitement before a lone holdout prevented a unanimous decision”

    Geezus, what a sick POS.

    Like

  26. John Goggin Avatar
    John Goggin

    “It would never matter that Clancy never had a insanity diagnosis.”

    Jason, medical professionals never, ever diagnose insanity. That’s because it is a legal status and not a medical diagnosis.

    Stop looking for it. It doesn’t exist. You look for the signs and red flags were flying. Her husband and mother were told months before the killings from Lindsay Clancy herself have thoughts of harming her children-children as young as a few months old. She told her therapist of ‘instrusive’ thoughts but apparently the therapist didn’t bother following on that by asking ‘what kind of thoughts’.

    She was on 13 different meds.

    And nothing was done.

    Like

  27. John Goggin Avatar
    John Goggin

    Ratings in for GOP convention….2.5 million on Fox or about 1 million less than on an average night watching Greg Gutfield. Translation….America watched the NFL opener, or at least, the final episode of Alone.

    Like

  28. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Like

  29. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Stop looking for it. It doesn’t exist. You look for the signs and red flags were flying. Her husband and mother were told months before the killings from Lindsay Clancy herself have thoughts of harming her children-children as young as a few months old. She told her therapist of ‘instrusive’ thoughts but apparently the therapist didn’t bother following on that by asking ‘what kind of thoughts’.”

    Zzzz… what a bunch of convoluted claptrap

    Both therapists that treated her testified about the “red flags”. Both said they did not consider her psychotic, which is a medical term. Thus they did not consider her a threat to her children.

    Well, you can say they were wrong. The problem with that is we have the testimony of the other prosecution psychiatrists who actually interviewed her and reviewed the case, both which confirmed that the did not see evidence of psychosis, and one threw cold water on the “voices commanding her to kill” by pointing out that it would be highly unusual to have voices just commanding the murder that did not exist before or after it happened.

    So they were not wrong.

    “Her husband and mother were told months before the killings from Lindsay Clancy herself”.

    Sound like they were not very convinced, right? You don’t think the husband and the mother would have reacted if they thought she was a real threat.

    Take your own example. You took action regarding your wife and kids.

    The reason Clancy’s husband, mother and therapists did not think she was psychotic, is, of course, that she wasn’t.

    She is just a cold blooded killer bastardizing the insanity defense. Period.

    Like

  30. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Wow, the wokesters won’t give up.

    NBC is doing a “hit piece” on the juror.

    Pretty sick, but everything about the defense of this murderer is sick.

    Governor DeSantis is not having it.


    Ron DeSantis

    @RonDeSantis

    A man objected to allowing a woman to kill her three young kids and get away with it, so NBC is trying to smear that juror, whose identity should be protected. Another low for legacy media. If the juror is being harassed, Florida will provide asylum — I’m sure he’d be welcomed and appreciated.

    Like

  31. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The MSM is going to try to destroy this guy.

    XCLUSIVE: The holdout juror in the Lindsay Clancy trial had a history of domestic violence allegations, the @NBC10Boston Investigators have learned through court documents and interviews with family members.”

    Someone online commented on the “allegations”

    Did he strangle his 3 kids with an exercise band?”

    Like

  32. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The MSM narrative will be:

    “Allegations of domestic violence” Give him the death penalty

    “Kill your kids in cold blood” Get a free pass

    Like

  33. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    The woman who wrote “‘Anne Of Green Gables” had first considered a number of other possible titles, including:

    Anne Of Brown Tables,

    Anne Of Green Stables

    Anne Of Green Eggs & Ham,

    Anne Of Charteuse Gables,

    How Green Is My Valley,…

    Anne a One, Anne a Two, Anne a Three

    ●●●●●●

    (YES, I am just making all this up…)

    Like

  34. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    Did not make it to Oak Island.

    The bridge was out.

    ■■■■

    we are headed to New Brunswick

    Getting off Prinxe Edward Island via driving over the 14 mile causeway.

    The ferry boat ride over to the island was painstakingly time consuming.

    Like

  35. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    TRIVIA–Prince Edward Island (PE.I.)

    •••••••••••••••••••••••

    Sadly, I could not find any PIE on P. E.I. But yesterday I did have a blueberry crumble dessert.

    *******

    TRIVIA of this Canadian province [state]:

    –Smallest of all the Canadian Provinces.

    –Cost to go to college here is @ $5,800….A YEAR (yes a YEAR, not per semester…heavily subsidized by government).

    –Produces more potatoes than any other province AND it is their #1 farm product.

    –They spray the potatoes 3 times. One to protect from Colorado potato bugs, 2nd time to prevent blight, 3rd to kill the green tops shortly before they harvest the taters.

    –After a field is harvested, ANYONE is allowed to go in to glean the field and take whatever potatoes are still laying in the field that the automatic harvest equipment had missed. You should do that within the first 3 days after harvesting because after that potatoes exposed to the sun will develop green spots on them and the green outer skin is actually a sun produced pesticide.

    –They rotate crops to get best yield of potatoes. 1st year plant potatoes in that field, 2nd year plant corn, 3rd year plant soybeans and 4th year plant potatoes for start of the next 3 year cycle.

    –They do not have billboards along the road like you see in the U.S. (laws basically banning them).

    –There are no deer, moose or bear on the island. But they do have skunks because some fool way back had the idea to bring skunks onto the island to raise to produce fur. Did not work, some skunks escaped their cages and reproduced in the wild..now skunks are the most prevalent road kill animal on P.E.I.

    –To go into the ocean and snag lobsters, you must get a permit from the government. You can have anywhere from 1 to 300 lobster traps. Lobster season is May and June on the northern coast and July and August on the island’s southern coast. You can either get a permit to do north coast or south coast, cannot do both.

    –The North shore is eroding at @ 39 inches a year.

    –The largest tuna ever caught was off the north shore of Prince Edward Island. Something like 1400 pounds.

    –They collect their trash and garbage and burn it to produce heat for the hospital.

    –A women’s group [PEI Women’s Institute] on the island passes out garbage bags to every homeowner and encourages them to clean up the litter by the road near their house…and they do, and it is clean here.

    –The people who live next to a graveyard are not allowed to be buried in that graveyard….(you see, if they are LIVING next to the graveyard it would be a crime to bury them…anywhere) [this was a joke told by our tour guide].

    Like

  36. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    I did have a slice of lobster quiche yesterday for lunch, so maybe that classifies as a kind of P I E.

    ●●●●●

    So far, of our 40 couple tourists on this bus trip, most are very old like me. Several of them are even older (early 80s).

    one guy in our group ( in a wheelchair) got sick on the ferry ride over to Prince Edwqrda Island and was taken off the bus as soon as we got off the ferry and taken by ambulance to emergency room to spend the night there. He and his wife have now rejoined the group.

    YESTERDAY morning, the bus driver came down sick and they had to bring in a substitute bus driver yesterday. Our regular driver Jeff is better today a d ehind the wheel.

    Night before last, one of the old women tourists on the tour drank a whole bottle of wine (that was in her room) and she was in miserable shape the next day and still not feeling well this morning.

    Like

  37. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    I am surprised there are a significant number of mobile homes here in P.E.I. because it does get very cold in the winter

    Also have noticed that of the other houses and businesses, about half if them are roofed with regular shingles, half are roofed with architectural shingles and half are roofed with metal roofed.

    ■■■■

    Also, quite a few homes have solar panels on the roofs.

    Like

  38. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Walt just summarized 150% of the roofs of houses. That is more of Canadian Cory’s math.

    Liked by 1 person

  39. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    The Confederation Bridge is only 8 miles long, not 14. My earlier source was a bad source.

    It is 12.9 kilometers long, or 23 hectares long, or 72 grams and 11 stones long or 144 deca-liters long, or 238 widgets long. Depending on the weather conditions on NY particular date nd whether or not it is Datlight Savi gs ti.e in effect.

    Like

  40. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I know know more about P.E.I than I ever wanted to know.

    Before, I just knew they produced pretty good mussels, restaurants often advertise “P.E.I mussels”.

    Like

  41. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    What kind of roofs does the 4th half of houses have?

    Liked by 1 person

  42. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Night before last, one of the old women tourists on the tour drank a whole bottle of wine”

    Yeah, Canadian wine is awful.

    So is PA wine, to be fair.

    North of here there is a winery called “Buddy Boy Winery”.

    I don’t have the the heart to tell the owners, nice people who serve pretty good food, that “Buddy Boy” is never going to attain any status among the white ruling class liberal wine sippers.

    For a beer, ok. Wine? No.

    https://www.buddyboywinery.com/store

    Like

  43. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The Confederation Bridge is only 8 miles long, not 14. My earlier source was a bad source.”

    Walt hasn’t been led astray this much on distance since they told him the road from Marathon to Athens was only 25km, not 25 MILES.

    Like

  44. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Can you see Bitter’s high class liberal friends and neighbors in Radnor sipping “Buddy Boy” wine?

    No, me neither.

    Like

  45. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Poor Talifreako. $4 million to spend until the election.

    Paxton – $90 million.

    Like

  46. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I don’t think this got a lot of support for Palestinians

    https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2026/09/12/911-yankee-stadium-man-with-flag-n2206825

    Like

  47. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Is AOC right, according to AP?

    “Mississippi police have arrested a man in the death of Tasia Fortune, a Black woman found hanging from a tree last month.”

    Nah

    They “forgot” to mention the “man” is black.

    Like

  48. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I have a comment in moderation.

    Like

  49. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Talifreako?

    I like it.

    Like

  50. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Poor Talifreako. $4 million to spend until the election.

    Paxton – $90 million.”

    Of course, if Paxton wasn’t the mother of all crappy candidates, he would need ZERO dollars to beat the commie freako.

    Like

  51. DW Avatar
    DW

    So either Texas is ready to embrace six genders, no oil, no beef, open borders, and abortion after birth, or Paxton wasn’t the right candidate for this race.

    Like

  52. John Goggin Avatar
    John Goggin

    Wow. Again, don’t care if this juror was Black, male or whatever. But stories are circulating this morning that this person has “active restraining order” by his nephew (13 years old) who was repeatedly punched in the face in 2021. He also has a history of domestic violence against his previous wife, now divorced, especially grabbing her the throat and pushing her into a dresser.

    He was hit with a criminal charge of assault according to NBC10Boston.

    It was also found in court records that this person is facing eviction in failing to pay of $12,000 to landlord.

    Why wasn’t this disclosed in the juror’s questionnaire. The Massachusetts questionnaire specifically asks if a juror was ever arrested, has a court order charged with a crime. A question, of course, for Bitterlaw.

    https://www.the-sun.com/news/16993284/lindsay-clancy-holdout-juror-restraining-order-domestic-abuse/

    https://nypost.com/2026/09/11/us-news/lindsay-clancy-male-holdout-juror-has-history-of-domestic-violence-allegations-active-restraining-order-report/

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/domestic-violence-allegations-raise-questions-holdout-juror-lindsay-cl-rcna597315

    He could now face criminal charges for lying on the questionnaire.

    Like

  53. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Yeah, let’s try destroy the juror because he was not woke enough for the MSM.

    Let’s give him the death penalty for not paying rent and for “allegations”.

    Meanwhile, the cold blooded killer goes free!

    He needs to take up the offer from DeSantis, who really understood what this trial was about.

    Ron DeSantis

    @RonDeSantis

    A man objected to allowing a woman to kill her three young kids and get away with it, so NBC is trying to smear that juror, whose identity should be protected. Another low for legacy media. If the juror is being harassed, Florida will provide asylum — I’m sure he’d be welcomed and appreciated

    Like

  54. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The interviews with the woke Karen AWFLs jurors are hilarious.

    One says the holdout juror “couldn’t get over the fact Clancy strangled her children”.

    I guess you should just gloss over that minor detail.

    Another says she was “impressed by how empathetic Reddington was to Clancy, while the prosecution seemed cold”.

    So the defense attorney gets credit for being empathetic to his own client, but the prosecution gets slammed for not being empathetic to the murderous b-tch (credit to GF)?

    YOu can’t make this sh-t up.

    Like

  55. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Has NBC conducted a witch hunt on the 11 jurors that want to give this murderer a free pass?

    No?

    Didn’t think so.

    They just conducted an investigation on the black guy.

    What a surprise.

    Like

  56. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The left is in a racist feeding frenzy…..yep.

    https://redstate.com/kyle-becker/2026/09/11/holy-shlit-the-outraged-lefts-racist-attacks-on-black-holdout-clancy-juror-have-begun-n2206821

    Like

Leave a comment