New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Republican +1218217

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+3.6+2.0+1.5+1.0+1.0+0.4+1.0+4.3+6.0+6.5
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MN Senate – Two point race

According to TIPP.

US Senate Minnesota

🟦Peggy Flanagan 44%
🟥Michele Tayofa 42%
⬜️Marisa Simonetti 3%
🟨Rebecca Whiting 1%

TIPP poll – 8/31-9/2; 1201 LV

US Senate Montana

🟥Alme 44%
🟨Bodnar 22%
🟦Bankhead 19%
🟨Austin 2%

Peak Insights – 8/23-25 – 600 LV

US Senate Michigan

🟥Rogers 46%
🟦El-Sayed 44%

Glengariff – 8/31-9/3 – 600 LV

NY GOVERNOR POLL

🟦 Kathy Hochul (inc): 49.6%
🟥 Bruce Blakeman: 45.7%
⬜️ Not sure: 4.7%
——
🔵 NYC: Hochul 60-33%
🔴 Upstate: Blakeman 51-46%
🔴 Suburbs: Blakeman 53-43%

McLaughlin – Blakeman (R) internal – 8/27-31 – 800 LV

NY-21

🟦 Blake Gendebien: 44%
🟥 Anthony Constantino: 47%

Impact Research – D Internal – 8/30-9/2 – 500LV

GA-7

🟦 Tony Kozycki: 43%
🟥 Rich McCormick: 46%

20/20 Insight – D Internal – 8/20-26 – 445 LV

3 responses to “MN Senate – Two point race”

  1. First.

    Like

  2. They wasted over $1 billion doing that in 2024, and it doomed senators Casey, Brown and Tester. However, Trump was running for President in 2024. Trump is not running for President in 2026 and that is when MAGA stays home.

    Fixed it.”

    Somehow the logic that Dems lose when Trump is on the ballot so they should run against him when he is not escapes me.

    Unless of course the theory is that MAGAs will stay home because of anti-Trump ads.

    Like

  3. If I can make a Big Tent suggestion, not all of the feet should be facing upwards.

    Like

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