New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Republican +1218217

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+3.6+2.0+1.5+1.0+1.0+0.4+1.0+4.3+6.0+6.5
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New Poll of NV-2

Slim pickings the day after Labor Day weekend, but here is one poll of a seat the GOP should win:

NV-2

🟦 Benitez-Thompson: 42%
🟥 Flippo: 45%

Strategies 360  – D Internal – 8/22-26 – 400 LV

57 responses to “New Poll of NV-2”

  1. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16114119/Lindsay-Clancy-lawyer-reddington-mistrial-trump-pardon.html

    First. We’ll see what Trump does. He does like to pardon. Not as much as Biden. Yet.

    Like

  2. The fact Trump can’t pardon a state crime does not mean he won’t try.

    Like

  3. If asked about it, Trump should just say he can’t pardon a state crime. Of course, he won’t just say that.

    Like

  4. Very interest about the native Canadian People’s. THIS TRIBE have dual citizenship to both in Canada and in the U.S. very knowledgeable tribe gal who was presenting to our group was asked about can they vote in the U.S.?

    She sorta danced around that…said that tribal members of this tribe who live in NH can ad do vote…but U. S. PROBABLY would not allow thise like her living in Canada to vote in U.S. elections.

    I will mention this to Nick Shirley….

    ****2400 people live on thus former reservation

    . They brought in 16 MM in revenue from gambling slot machines last year.

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  5. The tribe (Mi’kmaq) also derives considerable income from rental income from businesses who build retail and northern commercial entrrprises here on their formerly caled reservation land. Canada did away with reservations like it used to be back prior to the 1960s. Last reservation was done away with in 1989 (?) in far western Canada.

    Tribal members who live here pay no taxes, pay no rent, do pay for all utilites at their home

    The tribal council provides for housing, education, health care, elderly and youth expenses.

    Like

  6. I think Walt should find out if he can operate casinos in Sumaria, Babel, Thebes, Timbuktu, Siberia, etc.

    Nobody was more indigenous than Walt. He settled everywhere first.

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Earthquake update: Its pretty calm out there along the world’s fault lines.

    Liked by 1 person

  8. We had as much fun as a fox’s fix in Halifax.

    Hail to Hailfax.

    We STOOD at the CITadel.

    we had a MERRY TIME at the MERITIME Museum.

    We are about to stop to eat in Antigonish. So we will gnosh at Antigonish.

    Like

  9. During the interview, Reddington also spoke about his client, calling Clancy “intelligent,” “hardworking” and an “incredible person.”

    “I do feel a very strong bond with Lindsay because of the type of person she is,” he said, noting that he has previously said Clancy is like a daughter to him.”

    Such a wonderful person.

    Who wouldn’t want to have a daughter that slaughters your grandchildren?

    Like

  10. A 911 remembrance memorial going on at the Ellipse in DC today. The speeches are poignant, reminding one of the tragedy that occurred that day. I think it will possibly be more fitting than the one Mamdani attends on Friday – a ceremony which I think the current mayor should respectfully recuse himself from at the request from some of the 911 families.

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  11. If we weren’t a woke banana republic this woman would be taken out and hung in a public square after being given a fair trial.

    Since this is woke MA they probably won’t retry the case and will give her a free pass.

    Might as well declare open season on little kids from murderous parents.

    “As a Massachusetts jury deliberated in the Lindsay Clancy trial, prosecutors in Illinois say a mother described by witnesses as recently being “very invested” in the case allegedly murdered her 2-year-old son and tried to take her own life, according to a petition to deny pre-trial release obtained by ABC Chicago station WLS.

    According to a court document, Corie Walsh was “actively discussing” the Clancy case on text messages up to three-and-a-half hours before the child was discovered.”

    Like

  12. I am finding it more difficult to empathetically follow Lindsey Clancy as more details emerge around the deaths of her children. While I am sympathetic about her postpartum experience , I just can’t exonerate her from the painful end she decided to impose on her children. It almost seems the 3 children, coldly killed by someone they trusted, has become secondary to the plight of their mother being judged for her actions.

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  13. Have not followed the case. How old were the three children?

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  14. 5, 3, infant.

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  15. “I had not realized that catholic graveyards were discriminatory.”

    I don’t think it was always purely discriminatory. At least from the Catholic POV (doctrinal), the faithful must be buried on consecrated ground (or at least, it used to be that way, not sure if there have been changes since that big brouhaha back in 1965, but I think it’s current).

    Like

  16. 5, 3 and 8 mos.

    Like

  17. Since the start of 2026, the Swedish coalition ‌government, which took power in 2022 on a pledge to cut immigration and crime, has been offering those with residency permits from outside the European Union up to 350,000 Swedish crowns ($37,000) if they leave the country.

    The scheme is being closely watched abroad, and strongly supported by the ​Sweden Democrats, a far-right party that is outside the government but backs it in parliament.”

    Damm, those rich socialist countries sure know how to live.

    We can only afford $2600.

    Like

  18. not sure which one she did in first, but imagine the horror of the 5 year old or 3 year old realizing what was happening and being next in line.

    In at least one of the Nazi death camps, they purposely gassed the men first so the women and children waiting knew what was coming to them next.

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  19. “coldly killed by someone they trusted, has become secondary to the plight of their mother being judged for her actions.”

    Yep, Clancy became the victim and the children became props for her victimhood.

    Sick.

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  20. DW, she led them one by one down to the basement, killing Dawson the 3 year old first, then Cora, and last Callan her 8 month old infant. It was ruthlessly done.

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  21. Although the woke MSM (except maybe some faction at Fox) is 100% behind the “insanity” BS, surprisingly most of the public has not bought into it.

    I have not seen one online poll, many local newspapers have them, where a strong majority doesn’t vote for guilty.

    And even the largest sample (45,000) on the Smercomish site, where at least 80% of the audience is composed of flaming liberals like him, the vote was 55% for guilty.

    Like

  22. “DW, she led them one by one down to the basement, killing Dawson the 3 year old first, then Cora, and last Callan her 8 month old infant. It was ruthlessly done.”

    Yet….

    During the interview, Reddington also spoke about his client, calling Clancy “intelligent,” “hardworking” and an “incredible person.”

    “I do feel a very strong bond with Lindsay because of the type of person she is,” he said, noting that he has previously said Clancy is like a daughter to him.”

    Like

  23. As a parent of a five year old who is my world, the whole trial is a topic I am trying to avoid. That said, and please correct me if I was mislead, but I did read that one of the children tried to escape, but she easily overhauled the child, and brought them back to finish the job. It’s all awful, but that’s the facet that hit me the hardest.

    Like

  24. Deliberately plan and execute your three children with unimaginable cruelty.

    Get called an “incredible person” on national TV.

    It’s where we are as a society.

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  25. She should be executed by the same manner she killed her kids. Slowly using an exercise band.

    Instead she may get a few years in a country club facility. Maybe write a book. John Goggin will buy it.

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  26. Kevin Reddington
    , who became a darling of the pink-shirted brigade of women that showed up outside the Plymouth, MA, courthouse every day to cheer and weep for Clancy, was interviewed on Tuesday’s episode of “Good Morning America,” telling host George Stephanopoulos that his client is a “wonderful, wonderful person.”

    “Just a wonderful neighbor, friend, wife, mother,” Reddington continued. “I do feel a very strong bond with Lindsay.”

    What a sick bastard, Geezus.

    Like

  27. I thought the Clancy trial ended in a mistrial by her peers. It will probably be relitigated in another trial. Apparently, there are some here that have started to relitigate the trial ahead of the prosecution’s decision to press forward.

    Yes, what Lindsay Clancy did was horrific, vicious and savage. It was the clearest case of insanity I’ve seen in American jurisprudence for a while.

    And, no, I don’t care what her attorney says.

    I, for one, believe the majority of the jury, according to her attorney, got it right.

    Prediction. Jason will cut and paste my comment and add his two cents to it.

    Like

  28. Sapporo has transferred some production out of Ccpanada and to the USA.

    Like

  29. Note what missing from Reddington’s description of Clancy as a great mother, a great wife, a great friend, a great worker, etc.

    Yeah “crazy”.

    She was not crazy when she was a great mother, wife, friend, worker.

    She was only crazy when she planned and executed the murder of her kids.

    She is fine again now, thank you.

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  30. I love being predictable.

    “I, for one, believe the majority of the jury”

    Zzzzzz…

    The jury does not diagnose insanity. Only professionals can do that, like the professionals who treated her and stated she was not insane or psychotic. A verdict not guilty by reason of insanity means that the jury unanimously decided that the prosecution did not prove their case beyond a reasonable doubt. That didn’t happen in this case, we don’t know what the vote was, Reddington himself says as much, that his 11-1 number was mere speculation. So whether it was 11-1 or 6-6, it makes not difference, there was no unanimous verdict.

    The jury was probably influenced by the theatrics that went on, where as Bitter points out, hopefully will not be allowed in a retrial. It was also not sequestered, so the jury was bombarded by the pro-Clancy media and demonstrators. It was also 75% women, probably more prone to sympathize with Clancy and the blame on society narrative.

     It was the clearest case of insanity “

    As lawyers like to say, “assumes facts not in evidence”.

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  31. Lindsey Clancy seens to be very organized.

    That will be a plus on her resume.

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  32. If Clancy’s own doctors testified that she was insane when she killed her children, would Jason vote not guilty?

    Asking for a friend.

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  33. Bitter, Jason refuses to believe that. “The jury does not diagnose insanity.” Probably the most accurate thing he has said to date.

    “The clearest case of insanity”. Jason, you only copied and pasted just half the comment. I said “it is the clearest case of insanity that I’ve seen……”

    “theatrics probably influenced……75% of women….”

    Conjecture, Jason. Conjecture.

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  34. If Clancy’s own doctors testified that she was insane when she killed her children, would Jason vote not guilty?”

    I wouldn’t acquit her but I would be open to the insanity argument a lot more. I would still be bothered by the premeditation and planning aspect. At the same time, HAD there been an insanity/psychotic diagnosis prior to the murders, they were less likely to have happened. If they still had happened, THEN you could blame the husband and even society for ignoring it.

    My problem since the beginning is that there is ZERO evidence this woman was insane as per her interactions with family, co-workers, friends, DOCTORS, etc. Combine that with the premeditation, planning and cruelty aspect and I find the insanity argument completely ridiculous.

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  35. Conjecture, Jason. Conjecture.”

    Hilarious from the guy who pretends to know what the jury deliberated.

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  36. Lindsey Clancy seens to be very organized.

    That will be a plus on her resume”

    Certainly.

    Not to mention

    “Just a wonderful neighbor, friend, wife, mother,”

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  37. Outside of John Goggin, would anyone really want to have this woman as their neighbor, friend, wife and mother?

    Come on, outside the fact she murdered her 3 children in premeditated and cruel manner, what else do you have against her?

    Nitpicking bastards.

    Like

  38. HR person to boss.

    “I recommend this Clancy woman for the position”.

    “Didn’t she kill her 3 little children in cold blood?”

    “Yes, but she is tremendously persuasive. Despite murdering 3 children, she convinced her lawyer that she was a wonderful neighbor, friend, wife and mother”.

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  39. “Hilarious from a guy who pretends to know what the jury deliberated.”

    Again, Jason. You are telling half truths. I’ve always said….”according to her attorney, or according to the defense council”.

    Do you ever ‘tell the whole truth and nothing but the truth?’

    Like

  40. “I doubt it but DW can review the numbers on the NY Gov. race.”

    It will be in tomorrow’s thread. Upstate and suburb numbers are believable. But I doubt Blakeman gets 33% in NYC.

    Like

  41. https://www.dailymail.com/lifestyle/love-sex/article-16111899/man-wedding-canceled-lindsay-clancy-trial.html

    I don’t believe him. I think he was looking for an excuse to back out of the wedding anyway. Why post this?

    Like

  42. Speaking of being Lindsay Clancy’s neighbor The Sun interviewed four of her neighbors and all four basically agreed on the same thing….

    First……”No one in their right mind kills their babies and jumps out a window on second floor….when you’re like that you’re not guilty” “If you’re in a psychotic state, that’s what in control of you. Not your regular mind.”

    Another…..”I think she should be institutionalized at a mental health facility, where she could get the help she needs.”

    Another….”Whatever they (medical professionals) did, it didn’t work.”

    And another……”How can one person be sane with all that going into her body?”

    Again, that’s what four of her neighbors said in Duxbury.

    https://www.the-sun.com/news/16945850/lindsay-clancy-neighbors-murder-duxbury/

    Like

  43. “I doubt Blakeman gets 33% in NYC”

    Probably not, more like 27%, but anything is possible if enough folks are mad at Hochul, and an extra 5% or so is not that hard to break in such an environment.

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  44. Like

  45. Staying in Baddeck the next 2 nights.

    Trafalgar tours bought wife and I a big box of chocolates today at lunchtime stop.

    LOBSTER DINNER tonight…on our anniversary. (53rd)

    Do the Cabot Trail tomorrow.

    I was here about 70 years ago.

    Wife and I were here about 50 years ago, before kids.

    Wife and I were here with our boys about 40 years ago.

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  46. Baddeck

    you are always dealt good cards at BadDECK.

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  47. We now have cloudy skies with sunshine.

    We have no rain now, but we had some light rain today while in bus in transit.

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  48. I was here about 70 million years ago.

    Fixed it.

    Liked by 1 person

  49. BL, I’ve been so busy that I haven’t tracked the Phillies, nice job closing up to 4 games out from Atlanta (sorry we couldn’t be of more help, it was a rough August for LA). Barring a sudden collapse, you should be good for a WC berth.

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  50. New Hampshire statewide Republican primaries 2026

    Dixville Notch

    US Senate
    Sununu: 5
    Maxwell: 1
    ——
    New Hampshire Governor
    Ayotte: 6 (incumbent)
    Others: 0

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  51. Mark your calenders:

    AARP (Fabrizio-R/Impact-D) poll of the Texas US Senate and Governor’s race drops on Thursday at 12:00 PM ET The theory is that one gets an accurate picture if the field work is split up between an R pollster and a D pollster.

    That would only be true if they each put their thumb on the scale with equal pressure. These two do not.

    I trust Fabrizio, but Impact Research has a strong left-skew in their results.

    I predict they will show Talarico +5

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  52. If Paxton is truly down 5 points two months before the election he is toast.

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  53. GF – The Phillies had a 4 game series at home against the Braves. They split 2-2. They could be tied today. Or they could be 8 back so I guess there is that. 3 games in Atlanta next weekend.

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  54. The Texas AARP Senate poll drops on Thursday. I wonder if it will contain polling for Wednesday-the opening night of the Republican convention….

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  55. Like

  56. 8 earthquakes in Alaska in last 2 days.

    Only 3 earthquakes in Hawaii in same two days.

    HA is slacking. Pick it up.

    Like

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