Encouraging Poll of NY-17

From A rated pollster Co-Efficient, who did an unusually large sample of 1,292 likely voters, adding some extra value to this poll.
NY-17 is currently on the Democrat side of the ledger on the HHR House Forecast page. I will have to run some numbers to see if this should flip over to the GOP side.

🟥 Mike Lawler (inc): 50%
🟦 Cait Conley: 45%
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Net Favs

  • Pres. Trump: -7
  • Gov. Hochul: -13
  • Mayor Mamdani: -16
    ——
    @coefficientpoll | 7/20-22 | 1,292 LV

UPDATE at 10:37 a.m. on Friday: ANOTHER good poll for the GOP. VA-02 had been given up for dead as a Dem flip. But Spanberger’s gun grabbing and far leftist policies are apparently helping in this swing district. Tulchin Research is a Democrat polling firm and the best they can get is a tie. Dems are running former Rep. Luria.

VA-02 POLL For @HouseMajPAC (Dem)

🟥 Jen Kiggans (inc): 47%
🟦 Elaine Luria: 47%

Tulchin Research – D | 700 LV | 7/9-13
politico.com/newsletters/pl

14 responses to “Encouraging Poll of NY-17”

  1. First. Yesterday, my wife had Alaska King crab. 1 leg of the crab had 1 pound of meat in it. She said it was delicious and worth $99. I do not eat crab and the whole process of cracking the leg and claw and pulling out the meat looked and sounded disgusting.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. DEW,

    I like it when you put the rating of the polling company.

    Liked by 1 person

  3. Just updated the thread to include a poll I missed. VA-02 is rated a Tossup by most forecasters. But a Dem polling firm doing a poll for @HouseMajPAC (Dem) could only predict a tie.

    Tulchin doesn’t have much of a track record for which they can be graded. Their current polls show the Dem up 4 in tossup CA-22 (which I expect to go Dem), and they have the Dem up 1 in ME-2, a seat everyone figures will flip to the GOP.

    Like

  4. generic ballot:

    National poll By McLaughlin (R)

    Generic Ballot

    🟦 Democrats: 46% (=)

    🟥 Republicans: 44% (+1)

    Like

  5. Another one in the category of a Dem long-shot showing a fund-raising internal down only 1 point:

    FL-22 POLL – Dandiya (Dem) internal

    🟥 Belinda Kaiser: 46%

    🟦 Pia Dandiya: 45%

    ——

    @GQRResearch | 6/18-25 | 400 LV

    Like

  6. How bad is New York City? One of my daughter’s friends I have known since she was 5 and coached in softball is moving from the city to Jersey City because of the cost. She is marrying a woman who had surgery to became male. That’s right. The most woke person I know is fleeing New York to move to high tax New Jersey to save money.

    Like

  7. That’s wild, bitter.

    Like

  8. The problem i have with liberals who leave the conditions they voted for, is they move to better states and continue to vote for the conditions they fled from.

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  9. within two days we get an Emerson generic ballot D+11 and a McLaughlin that is D+2

    Which is correct?

    Well, today we get three polls of individual house races, and all three suggest McLaughlin is closer to the truth.

    Like

  10. Zzzzzzzzzz

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  11. But, DW, THE FUNDAMENTALS!!!

    (Seriously, that guy gets on my nerves.)

    Like

  12. TS Bertha missed me by a fair margin, though we still got a ton of rain and high winds around Gulfport. Flying back to CA today, not sure if my phone will allow me to post.

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