Taken by Public Opinion Strategies
🟥Kurt Alme 44%
🟦Alani Bankhead 25%
⬜️Seth Bodnar 20%
🟨Kyle Austin 4%
- Montana Senate Poll
- Wednesday without polls
- No surprise in MA Senate race
- Klobuchar in command of MN Governor race
- Collins closing fast in Maine
New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Republican +3 | 219 | 216 |
Montana Senate Poll
15 responses to “Montana Senate Poll”
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First
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Per AAA, national gas is $3.99. This is well below June of 2022, when it was $5.02.
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I feel so bad this is happening to Tina, Janzam and Chicon.
More pix of the Russians getting some of their own medicine.
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I got gas yesterday for 3.89 in PA
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The highest I paid was $4.79
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I can’t listen to Baris any longer. Listening to him makes you want to kill yourself.
To sum it up, he says the midterms will be a disaster for Republicans mainly because of Trump’s decision to go to war with Iran. The Senate? NC is gone. Collins has no chance in Georgia. Rogers will lose to the Hamas supporter in Michigan because Rogers couldn’t even get across the finish line even with Trump on the ballot in ’24 and Trump voters won’t vote in an off year election. Collins in Maine? Gone. That she over performs is a myth. The only time she over performed was last time when Trump was on the ballot. He’s not this time and people aren’t going to refrain from voting for Platner because of a tattoo. He says Republican seats in Ohio, Iowa, Alaska are shaky. Paxton will win a close one in Texas because Paxton will get the base out while they wouldn’t come out for Cornyn who was a sure loser.
Made me want to deep throat a shotgun.
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Gas here in WV is $3.37 a gallon.
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Warsh commits to price stability and a 2% inflation target. Also suggests old data is flawed and must be updated. We are now below target on inflation 👇
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$5.39 here
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Baris has stopped polling and started cheerleading. His pet candidate, Massie, lost by what, ten? And yet Baris kept polling a tie race right up to the day before the primary.
Baris and his buddy Barnes have a lot of Polaris in them. If they don’t get what they want, they double-down and then still claim they were right, it was just that the voters were wrong.
The last six generic ballots that I have tracked have shown movement toward the GOP. The DEM brand is not doing well overall, and if the gas prices continue to drop, as they should, then indies will drift back into the GOP’s direction. Had Dems put up more candidates like Fetterman, they could still do well, but they cannot help themselves because the party has been taken over by Mamdani, AOC and the other squad members.
I agree NC is gone, but that is only because the popular former two-term governor is running for the Dems. I am not ready to count out Collins in GA, Rogers has a great chance in Michigan, Collins will win easily in Maine, Paxton too in Texas, and don’t count out Sununu in NH, that will be very close.
When Baris says midterms will be a disaster because of Trump’s decision to go to war with Iran, what he is really saying is “I am an antisemitic libertarian Paul-bot who naively thinks no war is worth it, and if we just sit in the corner with our eyes shut and suck our thumbs all the bad people in the world will disappear and we will be safe. So I want voters to punish Trump for destroying Iran’s military capacity, because they were doing such a great job at killing Jews.”
Furthermore, in the house, the GOP clearly won the redistricting war by quite a bit, and the GOP +3 forecast shown above is not cheerleading. That number still gives the Dems the lion’s share of all the seats considered tossups.
The senate will likely be status quo, with the GOP having a narrow advantage.
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And another point, if its true that the Dems were gobbling up all the house tossup seats and even grabbing a few Lean R seats, then why hasn’t Siena, PPP-D, and others who normally put out house polls been silent for the entire month of June? If they had the data, they would be taking early victory laps with it to run up the score.
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Boris got caught fake polling. Thought he was lefit. But he is a scam artist.
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There is a new poll of the MI senate race posted at RCP. It was done by Mitchell. They should have canned it, but elected to release it anyway. By their own admission there was a flaw in the delivery of the poll that allowed people who received an invite to participate by text that they could elect to be surveyed as many times as they wanted.
McMorrow is saying that the poll results evidences the problem as the El-Sayed people used it to respond several times to boost a lead in the primary and show Stevens as weak in the general. They gave McMorrow only 6% in the primary where she had been getting twice that.
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