NC Senate race over?

Yes, if Carolina Journal/Harper is correct.

Cooper 50, Whatley 39

106 responses to “NC Senate race over?”

  1. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    When the land gets redistributed to the indigenous people I expect to get most of Bittersville on account of the Spanish conquest of the Incas. I know the Incas were not native to Bittersville but I am sure the Democrats will not discriminate against me like that.

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  2. You can tell that reporter cash cow is really compassionate for the victims as she reports on the theft.

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  3. Why the Dems blowing all that money in the Virginia Redistricting referendum is a big deal….here is a quote pulled from redstate:

    “The national [Democratic] party reported $22.1 million cash on hand with $18.4 million in debt at the end of March, according to its most recent federal filing. The Republican National Committee, by contrast, reported $116.8 million in the bank with zero debt.”

    Of course this doesn’t account for all the dark money that flows for Dems, but the VA supreme court tossing out that Dem 10-1 map was truly a four-six-three double play. They didn’t get the free seats, and they lost all that they spent on it.

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  4. Remember that Trump hatred is free.

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  5. it is free Bitter, but it is also more intense in the deeper blue parts of our country where the congressional districts are going to be 90% Dem as they always have, regardless the hate.

    Trump hate doesn’t get anyone two votes, just because they hate him twice as much as two years ago.

    I have recently been encouraged looking at the polling of individual house races. There is a path for the GOP to maintain control. At this time I would probably give the Dems a slight edge, but there is also a path for the GOP to do better than current polling shows.

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  6. I encourage anyone to click on the 2026 House Forecast link above and scroll through the list. If I have misjudged any seat, I would gladly review it again and update it if needed. But right now, the grid I show is little different from 270 to win, Cook, Sabato, or Gonzales.

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  7. There are currently 19 house seats where most of the forecasters call it a tossup.

    In the HHR grid, I have 8 of these going GOP and 11 going Dem, and it still gives the GOP a one seat edge and control of the house.

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  8. Keep an eye on CA-48. It was Issa’s seat, but he retired and all the forecasts have it lean or tilt D. Its not an overwhelmingly Dem district. But its one of those that the Dems hope to flip this fall with their gerrymander there. But here is the thing. In the primary there are TWO Republicans running and eight Dems running, and most of them have money. It is entirely possible the Dems could get shut out with the two Republicans advancing to the general.

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  9. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Trump hate doesn’t get anyone two votes, just because they hate him twice as much as two years ago.”

    Exactly.

    Let the Dems run on Trump hate and abortion again.

    And actually it wasn’t free, they spent $1 billion on Trump hate and abortion and lost the popular vote and every swing state.

    There is another advantage to Trump hate. It motivates Dem primary voters to come out and vote for the most radical GE candidate. It might help in places like MI senate

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  10. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Hope this is true. It should be.

    “The Democratic Party has begun to lose support among Black voters as a newer, younger electorate is more open to the GOP, according to an analysis of polling data.

    Recent data shows that Democrats are losing the strong support from Black voters they had in Barack Obama’s 2008 win, and going back to John F. Kennedy’s 1960 presidential run, Axios reported.

    The number of Black adults identifying as or leaning Democratic dropped from 77% in 2020 to 66% in 2023. Meanwhile, 12% to 17% of Black adults identify as or lean Republican, according to a 2025 Gallup poll.”

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  11. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Dems are trading minority and working class votes for liberal aging boomer wine sipping women.

    Not sure it’s a good trade.

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  12. Headline at Fox News….”Retired Navy admiral issues terrifying warning about UFOs and what is controlling them”

    Now Japan is joining in on this….’In 2024 a group of 80 Japanese lawmakers was established and gather information on UAPs’. In March, the group urged the government to create a specialized department devoted to UAPs directly under the deputy chief cabinet secretary for crisis management in the Cabinet Secretariat.

    And on Monday “Tokyo is analyzing with great interest two files released by the Pentagon showing two video of UAP-one over Japan and the other over the East China Sea.

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  13. it would be a HUGE boost to GOP chances if the pull off the top two finishers in CA-48 in a couple of weeks. It automatically would move a Lean D to a Safe R.

    But to balance my earlier comments, its also entirely possible that if Trump approval gets worse, and Dems can improve their image a bit, that all of the tossups could go blue, resulting in 210R / 225D (D+15).

    It will be interesting to see how it all unfolds.

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  14. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Retired Navy admiral issues terrifying warning about UFOs and what is controlling them”

    Zzzzz….

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  15. Ask and ye shall receive….

    Survey USA – CA-48 poll:

    Jim Desmond (R) 29%

    Kevin O’Neil (R) 10%

    Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) 9%

    Von Wilpert (D) 9%

    Brandon Riker (D) 6%

    Corina Contreras (D) 3%

    Mike Schaefer (D) 3%

    Eric Shaw (D) 2%

    Ferguson Porter (D) 1%

    Luis Reyna (NPP) 1%

    Stephen Clemons (D) 0%

    Undecided 25% (of the undecided, 15% are Rs, 27% Ds, 29% Is)

    Undecided Republicans need to pick Kevin O’Neil, so they will have a choice of both republicans in the General election.

    Liked by 1 person

  16. another new poll, OH-09, one I have showing barely flipping to the GOP, McLaughlin has the Republican up 4, 47/43

    Liked by 1 person

  17. OR-GOV

    Seems a little too rosy for me, but might be competitive. Problem is that Dudley is yesterday’s news, and he trails Drazan in the primary polling. 

    Dudley 48%
     Kotek (Inc) 44%

     2024 results – Harris +15

    Hoffman R #C – LV – 5/12
    https://x.com/i/status/2055343867264647368

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  18. BREAKING: President Trump says he hasn’t determined whether to move forward on a major arms package for Taiwan after the summit with China’s Xi.

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  19. New – Governor Poll – Oregon

    🔴 Dudley 48%

    🔵 Kotek (Inc) 44%

    🔵 2024 results – Harris +15

    Hoffman R #C (🔴) – LV – 5/12

    https://x.com/i/status/2055343867264647368

    Liked by 1 person

  20. DW, see mine at 3:01 EST. 😉

    Liked by 1 person

  21. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Yeah, it isn’t new if GF already posted it.

    Like

  22. The Oregon poll might be wrong. But its yet another data point that piles up against Atlas Intel’s Dem +15 generic ballot.

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  23. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    One of my long shot bets for the PGA is DeChambeau.

    Currently at +9. Cut is +3.

    I will sell my bet at a discount if anyone is interested.

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  24. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Now +10 but he still has 10 holes to play.

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  25. Apparently the ccp want to buy our oil; want no passage fees on hormizzle; do not want the mad mullahs to have nukes; and want hornuzzle to be open.

    trust but verify.

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  26. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Verify, don’t trust

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  27. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Jerusalem Post says next military operation against Iran by the US will be called Operation Sledgehammer.

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  28. This pole is a blow to the freepassers that like Nuissance:

    028 Presidential Election Poll

    🔴

    JD Vance: 45%

    🔵

    Gavin Newsom: 43% DemocracyInstitute | 5/12-14 | 1,500 LV

    Liked by 1 person

  29. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I think a 2 point lead for Vance over Newsome is depressing.

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  30. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Can Tina name any “freepassers” that like Newsome?

    A friends wants to know.

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  31. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    A friends means a friend plus another friend.

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  32. Can Tina name any “freepassers” that like Newsome?

    Of course not. Tina is arguing with herself again.

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  33. Like

  34. @EricLDaugh

    🚨 IT’S OFFICIAL, WE WIN! “The US Supreme Court moments ago has ruled AGAINST Virginia Democrats when it comes to reviving their pro-Democrat redistricting map ahead of the 2026 midterms.” WOULD’VE BEEN: 10D-1R MAP WILL REMAIN AS: 6D-5R Another Dem embarrassment.

    Liked by 1 person

  35. CCP Trump is going to hand Taiwan over to China.

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  36. Baris has Massie up two…will see how well that poll ages.

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  37. Senator Cassidy might not even make the run-off in Louisiana tomorrow. Boo Hoo

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  38. Will be nice if Cassidy and Masshole lose.

    @willchamberlain

    ·

    Thomas Massie could have kept saying all sorts of nasty stuff against Israel and AIPAC and kept his seat He’s about to lose a primary because he voted against funding ICE and the border wall, and frivolously accused his colleagues of protecting pedophiles

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  39. Lol lol. lol.

    @BillKristol

    ·

    2h

    I’m pro-freedom, pro-law and order, pro-limited government, and pro-the Declaration and the Constitution. And so today I’m a Democrat.

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  40. Damn. Phil is trying to catch up to Tina in hating Republicans.

    Like

  41. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The Dems are for limited government?

    There is no cure for that kind of delusion.

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  42. A Republican who voted to convict a former president of inciting the capital “riot”. That’s AOC stuff. F him. What a lot of people don’t know is that Cassidy is a former Democrat who conveniently changed parties when he realized he could no longer get elected once Louisiana became ruby red.

    He’s about as “Republican” as Lisa Murkowski and Mitt Romney. Good riddance.

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  43. Trump is a former Democrat who switched parties to run for President. He is not a Republican or conservative.

    Liked by 1 person

  44. Cassidy also wobbled on illegals and was pro Fraudci.

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  45. Trump was also pro-Fauci. Tina must have forgotten the daily press conferences with Trump standing next to Fauci.

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  46. You were also pro Fraudci/pro Covid vax.

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  47. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Trump was also pro Fraudci/pro Covid vax.

    Fixed it for Tina.

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  48. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Donald Trump has historically praised the COVID-19 vaccines developed under his administration as “one of the greatest achievements of mankind”.

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  49. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    “Cassidy is a former Democrat who conveniently changed parties when he realized he could no longer get elected”

    Trump is a former Democrat who conveniently switched parties when he realized he could not get elected as a Democrat, if we are going to play that game.

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  50. The free passers are upset about Cassidy losing.

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  51. Tina loves when Republicans lose more than when Democrats lose.

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  52. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Remember, anyone replacing Cassid would only be one vote or one comment away from being a RINO commie traitor in Tina’s book.

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  53. My Saturday chores are finished. Wife left me a list before she was off this morning for her meetings with various groups she is involved with/leads.

    ■■■■■■■

    Ther have been recently Big Foot sightings in WV near Otter Creek in Tuker County where the WV Wildflower Pilgrimage always holds some of their pilgramages/hikes (in Blackwater Falls area).

    We have often been on various Otter Creek Pilgrimages. Ever saw any Big Foots. But on one trail,l last week, some of the pilgrims DID find big scat right on the trail. The tour leader said it was just a bear…

    Hmmmm…..

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  54. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Walt won’t be impressed with Big Foot scat after dealing with T-Rex turds the size of golf carts.

    Liked by 1 person

  55. I was not worried because there were a lot of people on the pilgrimage that could not run as fast as me.

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  56. Report: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has told potential allies and friends that he is planning to step down as Prime Minister immediately Via: The Daily Mail

    —————————

    Another L for the freepassers

    Liked by 1 person

  57. Cassidy voted to convict Trump. He’s gone. Get over it.

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  58. I bet the aliens are having a lot of debates on whether or not to violate the prime directive in order to save earth from destruction.

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  59. Trump has spent the day angrily posting about Lauren Boebert for pushing for the release of the Epstein files.

    Maybe he’s trying to give Rear Admiral Laubacher a shot at defeating Boebert this fall.

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  60. If Messie loses, does he go work for Cn and N, or MSLSD?

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  61. Massie is hoping that they send Vance to Kentucky so that he is guaranteed to win.

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  62. If Massie loses, he runs for president as libertarian.

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  63. Cassidy is toast. He is third right now.

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  64. Messie is going to lose too (if this is right).

    penSourceZone

    ·

    Kentucky 4th congressional district Republican primary 🔴 Ed Gallrein: 49% 🔴 Thomas Massie (inc): 42% SoCal poll | 5/15-5/16

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  65. @OpenSourceZone

    Incumbent Senator Bill Cassidy will lose the Louisiana Republican primary, he becomes the 1st elected senator since Richard Lugar in 2012 to lose his seat in a primary

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  66. Well, at least Cassidy can say he finished in the top three. Voted with the radical Democrats to convict Trump. What did he expect? LOL

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  67. Another L for the freepassers

    Paul – Can you send your meds to Tina. She knows nobody at HHR supports the Labour PM but can’t help herself any more.

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  68. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I saw Cassidy’s concession speech. Sour grapes, failed to rise to the occasion.

    He is a sitting senator, he got 24% of the R vote. Massive rejection.

    What he should have said was the people have spoken, I respect their decision, I congratulate those that made the runoff and I will support the winner.

    Instead he whined about Trump while saying loser should not whine or say the election was stolen.

    I don’t fault him for not being a rubber stamp for Trump. But evidently the R base in LA wants a rubber stamp for Trump.

    Such is life.

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  69. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    What is even funnier is that Tina who supports an ex-KGB communist thug and dictator like Putin would have something to say an (imaginary) supporter of the Labour PM.

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  70. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    1st elected senator since Richard Lugar in 2012″

    Let’s hope the R nominee is not a deadender moron like Mourdock who managed to lose a safe R senate seat in IN.

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  71. I hope the GOP holds that Senate seat. The problem with MAGA is that it is based solely on Trump but not on ideas or conservatism. When Trump leaves the stage, there is nothing to rally around. 2028 will be another referendum on Trump. By 2032, Trump will be as relevant as William McKinley.

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  72. its one thing to not be a rubber stamp, but it’s another thing to say it’s true that Trump incited the actions of Jan 6. He did not, and the people who entered the capitol building are responsible for their choices, not Trump

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  73. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    McKinley is not irrelevant. He is still the tallest mountain if if they tried to rename it.

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  74. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    “even if”

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  75. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Cassidy was wrong on the impeachment vote. But that was 10 years ago. The reason Trump wanted him gone was exactly because he was not a rubber stamp.

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  76. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Huh, 6 years ago. I need a couple of bloody mary’s to clear the martini fog.

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  77. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    2028 will be another referendum on Trump.”

    I hope so.

    He has been doing quite well on referendums.

    Like

  78. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    But you are right. MAGA is not based on any conservative principles. While Trump has managed to forge a working class-rural vote coalition, it would need some core values to sustain it beyond the Trump Cult.

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  79. Yeah, closer to six years ago. Cassidy had just been elected and thought that he could vote to convict and that the vote would be long forgotten by the time he was up for reelection. Uh, nope. A real miscalculation, but people who live in the DC bubble tend to lose their perspective and want to look good to the MSM……especially Republicans. Never throw your base over the cliff for a few pats on the back from the liberal establishment. The pats will be fleeting, and the folks back home are the actual voters.

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  80. @ProfMJCleveland

    A thought on Cassidy’s defeat.  Donald Trump’s philosophy of practicing politics is simple: “If you hit me, I’ll hit you back 10 times harder.”  This is his way of imposing discipline so he can get things done.  Many Republicans mistake this for childish petulance.  The ironic thing is that when these oh-so-high-minded Republicans (Liz Cheney, Adam Kinzinger, Thom Tillis, etc.) get their comeuppance, they are the ones who react with truly childish petulance.  They are the ones willing to frustrate the advancement of the conservative agenda that they once claimed to support, simply because they didn’t get their way.  For all his supposed faults, Trump constantly tries to advance the agenda he has been pushing since before he was elected.  His Republican detractors, not so much.

    ·

    13.3K Views

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  81. And Cassidy still stood by fake impeachment #2. What a stupid interview he gave to Jason Chavetz (fox) before yesterday’s defeat.

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  82. It’s beautiful that the R deadenders are losing/not running. Pretty funny that the freepassers are still defending the deadenders

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  83. That’s the one thing I can say about the Democrats. They don’t throw their base overboard. Ever. Cassidy pissed all over his base. Voters don’t like to be pissed on. Duh

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  84. Tina, I saw that interview with Cassidy on Fox yesterday. He completely dodged questions. Especially loved when Chaffetz just shook his head in disbelief.

    Liked by 1 person

  85. Senator Kennedy on the run off.

    We’ve now got a runoff between two fine people.” “For what worth, I don’t plan to get involved.” “A wise man once said nothing. Why? Because he’s a wise man.” “But I don’t plan on weighing in, and, you know, if one of them starts talking about my mama, I might.” “But otherwise I’m just going to vote like everybody else.”

    Liked by 1 person

  86. Now eyes will be on the Kentucky GOP primary Tuesday. Whereas personalities are different from Cassidy I expect the results will be the same.

    Joe Concha (Washington Examiner) accused Massie of ‘grandstanding’.

    I’ll use the sports parlance…..Massie is a ‘showboat’.

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  87. Astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson on CNN….”Let’s just bring out the alien and get it over with”.

    Tyson was also on Coast to Coast AM with George Noory two nights ago promoting his book “Take Me To Your Leader”.

    Like

  88. I think Cassidy’s loss will spill over to Massie’s primary challenge where he too will be defeated.

    Like

  89. When people lambast ICE for their enforcement of immigration laws, they usually say most of the illegals detained are not criminals. However, Mullin seems to see it differently.

    Eric Daugherty

    @EricLDaugh

    WTF?! DHS Sec. Markwayne Mullin confirms 50% PERCENT of *ALL* murders in deep-blue Fairfax County, Virginia were committed by illegal aliens Gov. Abigail Spanberger and Democrat officials are RUINING their own state! “Roughly 50% of the murders in Fairfax, Virginia, the perps are illegal, shouldn’t even be in the country. You know, that’s just in Fairfax!” “You make Virginia a sanctuary, you encourage more illegal activities.”

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  90. @MittRomney

    The Senate to now lose an exceptionally brilliant and creative mind, an MD who chairs healthcare, and a person of character. Bill Cassidy’s departure is a loss for the country.

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  91. Cassidy was more conservative than Trump will ever be but that never matters to MAGA. Voting for impeachment was wrong. Both can be true.

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  92. And if the GOP finds a way to lose the House and Senate, there will be another impeachment vote.

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  93. Cassidy was two-faced. He wanted Trump’s endorsements, but turned his back on him after J6, and was one of the few to favor impeachment. He also gave Trump a hard time over his appointment of RFK. Basically, Cassidy was part of the old guard Republican establishment who disliked Trump as they tried to curry favor with him, and didn’t think twice about opposing him when it suited them. I personally am not sad he lost, as I will be should Coryn or Massie bite the dirt.

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  94. I was opposed to RFK Jr.’s appointment, too.

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  95. C

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  96. I wonder if Jason liked the PGA golf course.

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  97. Cassidy should have opposed and voted against RFK jr.
    Instead he was a weasel thinking he could gain Trump’s favor.

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  98. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Cassidy was more conservative than Trump will ever be but that never matters to MAGA. Voting for impeachment was wrong. Both can be true.”

    The Cultists can’t forgive Cassidy for his vote 6 years ago but they can forgive Trump for funding Chuck Schumer as late as 14 years ago.

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  99. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I wonder if Jason liked the PGA golf course.”

    I didn’t have Rai to win so I didn’t like the tournament.

    I was fine with the course, it’s the same course for everyone.

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  100. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    It irritates me when PGA players whine about the conditions of the course, the rough, the pin placement, etc.

    The only valid complaint, and that is the luck of the draw, is that sometimes you have an advantage by playing at a certain time of the day.

    Otherwise, those other factors are the same for everyone, sorry, prima donnas.

    Like