Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Berkeley says, yes, maybe:
CALIFORNIA POLL – Governor (top two advance)
🟥 Steve Hilton: 17%
🟥 Chad Bianco: 16%
🟦 Katie Porter: 13%
🟦 Eric Swalwell: 13%
🟦 Tom Steyer: 10%
🟦 Xavier Becerra: 5%
🟦 A. Villaraigosa: 4%
🟦 Matt Mahan: 4%
🟦 Betty Yee: 1%
🟦 Thurmond: 1%
Berkeley IGS (A) | 3/9-15 | 3,889 LV
Mahan just came out against the billionaire tax, he is the mayor of San Jose, I don’t see him dropping out and I think he gets more than 4%.
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The math is the Dems are a lock for 60% of the vote, maybe 62%.
I think for both Rs to get in no Dem can get more than say 18% and the 2 Rs split the R vote fairly evenly.
So if the Dems get say 18%, 16%, 15% and 10% and 3% or 4% for the total of the others the Rs could conceivably prevail with one getting 21% and the other 19%.
I put the odds of that happening to be around 20%. Better than nothing.
The problem for the Dems is that their “frontrunners” are deeply flawed candidates and it is unlikely any of them can break through for a dominant position.
I don’t see Porter or Steyer or Swalwell dropping out to support one of the other two. But for the Rs to win, the 2nd tier Mahan, Becerra and Villaraigosa have to stay in, and mostly likely one or more will drop out.
Send them a check.
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That would be wonderful! Every single Republican in California better get out and vote in that primary, and make sure to bring another voter with them who will vote for the other of the 2 candidates. Let’s go!
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I see that Trump “threatened” to let the Strait of Hormuz to stay closed, unless our NATO “allies” get off their collective arses………llama-lover to complain about Trump in 3…..2…..1…..
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Cheers!
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Yep, NYC is finally right on something.
Attacks on NATO allies are stupid and self defeating.
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It would be great to have NATO’s assistance in the Straits of Hormuz. However, freedom of the seas is vital to US economic and strategic interests so if we have to go it alone, so be it.
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NATO is a DEFENSIVE alliance. It is under no obligation to participate in a US attack on Iran
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I support the war on Iran. I don’t support the rhetoric against NATO, which Trump forgets is in OUR interest.
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The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
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