Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
129 responses to “Made it to Tuesday.”
Better than expected CPI. 2.3% year over year.
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Hhr is not shut down. Can I get at least one guest post?
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CPI results were very good. Headline number and core still above 2% target, so policy should still be somewhat restrictive, as it is.
Unemployment stable and well below natural rate.
Surge of tariff-driven imports caused 1st Quarter GDP to fall.
No reason for the Fed to do anything.
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Agree with BillW on this. I would only add that money supply is still way too high and looks over us like thunderstorm in the distance. However, if we get a couple of more CPI prints like this before July, Tina’s call for quicker Fed rate reduction would be warranted.
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Post away, Tina. The Cult echo chamber is open.
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I would like the Fed to resume reduction of its balance sheet. It still has more than $2 trillion in mortgage-backed securities on hand. Selling them or writing them off would drain off a bunch of the excess liquidity that Fla mentioned.
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Let’s also hope that the republicans in Congress can get their act together and produce a “big, beautiful bill” that finally stops deficit spending and resulting Fed action to pay for it.
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on the bill, fla, they are taking different paths. The gope in the senate are increasing the deficit
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Congress is getting the reputation of doing nothing. Buffune is terrible as majority leader.
I don’t think anything passes in July.
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Fla, didn’t the Fed lower rates last year? Wasn’t inflation higher then than now? What was the rationale to lower rates then, but not now? Fear of tariff-driven inflation?
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Yes, they did, Chicon, and they were wrong to do it in my opinion. Another example of why Powell is terrible. Best case was that He over reacted to fears of a recession. Worst case was he was acting in a political capacity to juice the economy to the.benefit of Biden’s reelection campaign. Take your pick.
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Meanwhile Trump doesn’t talk like a conservative, YET, he keeps fulfilling promises that conservatives have been asking for years”
Zzzz….
NYC, who has sold out any conservative principle he ever had years ago, considers himself a conservative? Maybe the concept of conservative IS “evolving”
“Doesn’t talk like a conservative”
Translation: is not a conservative.
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Buffune is terrible as majority leader.:
LOL
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It makes no sense why “Too late” is slow at cutting rates. We know why he did it last year (even though inflation was higher and increasing).
This is why I called too late out.
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Bottom line after 4 months of various data points, they are stable or Jon down.
There is no valid reason for too late to sit on the sideline.
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I wonder if he goes to Turkey to meet the grifter and Pooty poot,
https://x.com/NolteNC/status/1922103409210995160?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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Breaking
J.P. Morgan drops recession call.
Trump secures $600 billion in U.S. investments from the Saudis.
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Inflation slows to lowest rate since 2/2021.
Grocery prices have dropped.
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Thanks for the response, Flames.
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Flames?!? Lol.
Meant Fla
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He is a flaming moron, so there is that.
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No reason for the Fed to do anything”
Exactly.
And Trump can whine all he wants, Powell will do what he thinks best.
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The free passers are 0-4 on inflation calls,
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Don’t get me wrong, I would love a rate cut.
But it is not going to happen from political pressure from the administration.
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The free passers are 0-4 on inflation calls,”
I will take “things that never happened” for $1000 please.
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Too bad. He was the gift that kept on giving to Rs.
“The Democratic National Convention voted to void its election of David Hogg as vice chair of the Democratic Party on Monday.”
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Trump secures $600 billion in U.S. investments from the Saudis.”
He wanted $1 trillion. The $600 billion was already on the table.
“I’ll be asking the crown prince, who is a fantastic guy, to round it out to $ 1 trillion. I think they will do that because we have been very good to them” Trump said in response to the offer.
I guess we were not good enough.
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China just announced it is lifting its ban against Boeing and deliveries can begin again.
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CNBC ….”S&P Rises, Erases Loss For 2025″
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S & P back where we started!
Trump is a genius!
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EricLDaugh
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I wonder if he goes to Turkey to meet the grifter and Pooty poot,
If Putin actually attends the meeting the odds are better Trump will find a way to be there.
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In the end, the so-called nation builders wrecked far more nations than they built and the interventionalists were intervening in complex societies that they did not even understand themselves.”
“No, the gleaming marvels of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi were not created by the so-called ‘nation builders,’ neocons, or liberal non-profits like those who spent trillions and trillions of dollars failing to develop Baghdad, so many other cities.”
-Trump
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“The Democratic National Convention voted to void its election of David Hogg as vice chair of the Democratic Party on Monday.”
Terrible decision. Don’t they recall that Hogg ran on the promise that he could talk the talk, walk the walk, and knock the knock?
You can’t just turn aside a guy who knows how to knock the knock.
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I will see about getting a late afternoon Where is This? thread. Or who knows, maybe a poll will come out.
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The Saudi Economic Conference is a larger event than I realized. When Biden was president MBS wouldn’t even take his call, they thought he was that irrelevant. Trump, OTOH, is feted like an admired leader. Such a big difference in the respect shown to both administrations. Trump is delivering a good speech, but, as usual, it’s too long.
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TAPPER: Well, Alex Thompson and I were on the case, as were lots of other reporters, trying to figure out what was going on behind the scenes. But the bottom line is the White House was lying not only to the press, not only to the public, but they were lying to members of their own cabinet. They were lying to White House staffers. They were lying to Democratic members of Congress, to donors about how bad things had gotten.”
And you ate up the lies like a maggot on horsecrap.
GFY.
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“Trump, OTOH, is feted like an admired leader.”
Alternatively, they know that Trump likes to have his arse bussed, and are doing everything they can to make him feel good which costs them less than ponying up more than the $600M they are already shucking out.
Just playing Devil’s Advocate.
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Yeah, kissing his ass makes him feel good about not getting the extra $400 billion….
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Trump is delivering a good speech, but, as usual, it’s too long.”
How many times did he say “nobody ever saw anything like it”?
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”The latest Treasury Monthly Statement revealed that in April, the US Treasury generated a $258.4 billion surplus after last month’s $160.5 billion deficit; this the second biggest surplus on record, with just the $308 billion bumper surplus in 2021 bigger.”
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Trump likes to have his arse bussed.
He sure does. But, if he didn’t have the presence of someone other leaders wanted to court he would be ignored, not given the time of day, like Biden was.
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More hair, nail, and estrogen appt.
@ProfMJCleveland
BREAKING: Trump Administration pounds SCOTUS in new filing asking court to lift administrative injunction entered for non-parties in the Alien Enemies Act case. h/t
@gvincentamore
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We would be best off sending Gw Bush to the Middle East.
-freepasser
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Trump only got $600B? What a slacker…..
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The Trump haters are having trouble finding targets to shoot at….
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Said by nobody at HHR
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The only way anyone could have not seen Biden’s cognitive decline the last 8 years was to have been marooned on an island somewhere with no access to any news or information.
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Any lawyer who thinks that their best argument is to “pound” SCOTUS is not very good at advocacy. You ASK the court to rule in favor of your client. You don’t TELL the court what to do.
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“You ASK the court to rule in favor of your client. You don’t TELL the court what to do.”
My understanding is that none of the branches of government are beneath the others. I have always heard they are equal.
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I have always heard they are equal.”
You heard right.
Too bad you don’t understand it.
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Trump haters”
Translation: anyone who doesn’t have his head up Trump’s ass 100% of the time and support his policies 100% of the time.
I don’t hate Trump. I just don’t support any of his trade policies and maybe 50% of his foreign policy. Everything else I probably support 90% of it.
Deal with it.
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Trump Administration pounds SCOTUS”
I am sure SCOTUS is crapping their pants.
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@realDonaldTrump·
No Inflation, and Prices of Gasoline, Energy, Groceries, and practically everything else, are DOWN!!! THE FED must lower the RATE, like Europe and China have done. What is wrong with Too Late Powell? Not fair to America, which is ready to blossom? Just let it all happen, it will be a beautiful thing!
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The Isolationist-in-Chief is pushing Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords, and is meeting with the new leaders of Syria.
My goodness…..what would it look like if he actually engaged with the world?
We know….the problem is that Trump deals with the world through the lens of what is best for the US rather than bending over for anyone.
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We need to bomb the world. That is how to engage it.
-freepasser
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“THE FED must lower the RATE”
Zzzzzz…
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the problem is that Trump deals with the world through the lens of what is best for the US rather than bending over for anyone”
“The problem is Trump deals with the world through the lens of what HE thinks is best for the US”
Fixed it for you.
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So fake flapper had early iSight that Biden was demented?
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The branches are totally equal, they say. Except that every member of the judicial branch has full veto power over the Executive’s exercise of Article II powers.
Totally equal…..
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I have given Trump credit here for the Abraham Accords for years. I have supported him on other foreign policy initiatives such as killing the Iranian terrorist general, attacking ISIS, and putting troop in Syria.
If he succeeds in having Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel it would be a major achievement and I will be the first to acknowledge it.
None of this changes the preponderance of the evidence. Trump has advocated for isolationism and protectionism for over 50 years, never deviating.
I have no doubt he thinks “America the Island” is best for America. I think he is wrong.
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Very well written article on the sc and it’s 1 month pause.
https://reason.com/volokh/2025/05/13/solicitor-general-is-still-waiting-for-an-actual-ruling-in-a-a-r-p-v-trump/
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““The problem is Trump deals with the world through the lens of what HE thinks is best for the US”
Fixed it for you.”
At least Jason admits Trump deals with the world. Baby steps…..
Trump is exerting American power throughout the world. Jason may not like how he does it, but referring to Trump as an isolationist is silly.
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We know….the problem is that Trump deals with the world through the lens of what is best for the US rather than bending over for anyone.
That is the juggernaut in why some call his policies “protectionist.” Somehow the US benefiting from trade is almost repugnant to those with protectionist hang ups.
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“Trump has advocated for isolationism and protectionism for over 50 years, never deviating.”
Lol….
Never deviating, except for his entire time in office.
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Except that every member of the judicial branch has full veto power over the Executive’s exercise of Article II powers.”
Except nobody here agrees with that notion. There is little dispute that the power of district court judges should not include nationwide injunctions and that the rulings should only affect the particular district/plaintiff.
However, the appropriate action if you disagree with a ruling is to appeal it. It is not to impeach the judge who you disagree with and it is not to ignore the ruling.
We can argue if the appeals are being ruled on expeditiously enough or not. I have a feeling that there is little difference between how the process is working (slow) now and how it has always worked (slow).
The system is designed for checks and balances. Trump is not going to get everything he wants in the courts and he is not going to get everything he wants in Congress.
If that frustrates you are going to be frustrated a lot.
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t least Jason admits Trump deals with the world. Baby steps…”
ZZzzzzzz….
Isolationism is a form of “dealing with the world”.
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protectionist hang ups”
Yeah, I have a big problem with protectionism.
Hang up, indeed.
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Never deviating, except for his entire time in office.”
That is what is called “facts not in evidence”
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I just saw MBS say in Saudi Arabia that he’ll work to up their investment in the US to a trillion dollars.
One less target for the complaint crew….
Chicon
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Jason, and to a lesser extent Bitter, pounds his chest in citing what Trump policies he is supportive of when called on the carpet for his negativity. However, what he posts mostly belongs in the TDS category. And, when anyone sees what Trump is doing in a more positive light they are called cultists. Basically, there is little wiggle room in discussions having different opinions without labeling and name calling. More people would be here if that were not the case.
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“Jason, and to a lesser extent Bitter, pounds his chest in citing what Trump policies he is supportive of when called on the carpet for his negativity. However, what he posts mostly belongs in the TDS category.”
Yes, ma’am.
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Mbs is a thug. He kills reporters.
No,wonder trump,likes him.
-freepasser
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The system is designed for checks and balances. Trump is not going to get everything he wants in the courts and he is not going to get everything he wants in Congress
That holds true when each administration has the same kind of checks and balances leveled by the judiciary at their agenda, no matter the party affiliation. Unfortunately, that kind of judicial oversight and restraint is ludicrously lopsided and biased in favor of the Dems. Hence you have people looking at judicial remedies that are more extreme as a countermeasure to the current overreach by some judges.
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Yes, ma’am.
Chicon”
That is one thing you can say for Cultists.
They are always 100% onboard with 100% of the talking points.
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‘Hence you have people looking at judicial remedies that are more extreme as a countermeasure to the current overreach by some judges.”
Good luck with that.
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REAKING: Ed Martin just announced the DOJ is reviewing some of the last-minute pardons given out by President Biden – CBS
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Yes,the district court must know step by step details of any gubment Rif notices and procedures. The district court must micro manager the staffing needs of the executive branch.
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And, when anyone sees what Trump is doing in a more positive light they are called cultists.”
Nah.
Cultists believe that Trump has to be supported on 100% of his policies 100% of the time.
Cultists won’t allow for anyone to oppose or question anything Trump does. Anyone who questions ANYTHING is immediately said to be a “Trump Hater” or have TDS.
GFY.
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Mbs is a thug. He kills reporters.”
Actually, this is true.
But Saudi Arabia is more important than Mbs.
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Yes, mbs killed Perogi
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However, what he posts mostly belongs in the TDS category”
Really?
You might have forgotten that for years here I vehemently supported Trump against real TDS morons like Amoral Scumbag, the Biden Troll, JeffP, and others.
People with TDS don’t vote for him or support most of his policies.
You are a moron.
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Even morons sometimes find a kernel of truth.
“Could it be because 90% of Federal Reserve economists are Democrats. In fact, the youngest economists there are almost all Democrats – as the older economists retire the Fed will be completely ideologically captured by the Democrat Party”
Yes, absolutely it could be that.
But remember, elections have consequences.
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Yes, mbs killed Perogi”
Do you have any doubt he was ultimately responsible for Khashoggi’s death?
Do you think in a society like Saudi Arabia someone gets murdered and dismembered at a Saudi Embassy by visiting “emissaries” without it being planned in advance?
If you do, I have some price beachfront property in the Saudi desert to sell to you.
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In South Africa, white people are being murdered because they are white.
Should the US invade?
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Federal Reserve economist hiring is affected by elections?
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Jan wrote –
”The latest Treasury Monthly Statement revealed that in April, the US Treasury generated a $258.4 billion surplus after last month’s $160.5 billion deficit; this the second biggest surplus on record, with just the $308 billion bumper surplus in 2021 bigger.”
———-
It happens almost every April, Jan and it’s due to tax receipts coming in. It’s slightly larger this year , but not by much . Unfortunately. April spending was higher than March and was more than the prior year. We really need government to learn how to live within a budget and stop the increase in spending. We won’t have big inflow months like April, due to those taxes coming in, every month.
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Federal Reserve economist hiring is affected by elections?
Chicon”
Absolutely.
“The seven members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System are nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate. A full term is fourteen years. One term begins every two years, on February 1 of even-numbered years. A member who serves a full term may not be reappointed”
In the United States, the Federal Reserve Board and its affiliated regional Federal Reserve Banks hire economists and research assistants at various levels of education.”
So yes, elections have consequences.
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Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
It’s even worse than that.
@jaketapper
isn’t some brave journalist here. He’s the worst kind of hack.
He’s the hack they needed to cover up Joe Biden being senile, and the hack they called back when they needed someone to smother him after that cover up failed.
********
Jake is scum…..
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In South Africa, white people are being murdered because they are white.
Should the US invade?”
Hmmm……tempting.
In fairness to Trump, he has been much more critical of SA than Biden and he is giving refugee status to white farmers.
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Anyone who buys Tapper’s book is a moron.
This is like a worker at a childcare center writing a book “My years witnessing child abuse”.
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Said by nobody at HHR.
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Fake flapper promoted the Russian hoax.
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Jan’s TDS list is like Tina’s RINO list. You are always one post away from being added to it.
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No one is safe.
Well, maybe Trump.
But in his case if he says or does something that would put him on the RINO list, the Cultists will
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It happens almost every April, Jan and it’s due to tax receipts coming in.
Thanks for further explaining April’s surplus, Fl.
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Trump appointed judge.
I hope he won’t be impeached.
“A federal judge became the first to rule in favor of President Donald Trump’s invocation of the Alien Enemies Act (AEA) to deport suspected members of the Tren de Aragua street gang.
US District Judge Stephanie Haines on Tuesday ruled that the president has the authority to remove members of a foreign terrorist organization. Tren de Aragua has been given this label, meaning that the White House can remove its members under the AEA.
However, Judge Haines did argue that the administration did not provide sufficient notice to the deportees before removing them from the country.”
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Now, the White House can deport any illegal immigrant in the Western District of Pennsylvania as long as they provide 21-days’ notice to the deportees in English and Spanish.”
Ok fine.
But what does the 21 days entitle them to do exactly?
Still does not seem clear.
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The Zombie Apocalypse might be the Squirrel Apocalypse.
I am going out for more ammo just in case.
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Never heard about the squirrels in Palisades Park before now. I think they are cute little critters!
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How did the squirrels escape Walt’s attention? He is supposed to monitor threats from the animals.
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They are delicious too. Squirrel is an essential ingredient in my world famous varmint stew.
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I am floored about how insightful the author of this article is regarding the root causes of an increase in squirrel population.
That is some damm good research there.
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Ok enough chit chat about things that don’t matter like the economy and foreign policy.
I am going into concentration mode for The Curse of Oak Island later tonight.
I am not sure treasure will be found, but as Plato or Socrates or Descartes or maybe Kant said, “treasure is in the eye of the beholder”.
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I just saw MBS say in Saudi Arabia that he’ll work to up their investment in the US to a trillion dollars.
——-
Chicon, They just reported that the Saudi investment commitment will be in 2 phases, 600 billion in phase 1 and then $400 billion in phase 2.
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This may queue up a Marxist judge in DC.
https://x.com/whca/status/1922037075152457802
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The DNI declassified the FBI guidance responsible for the surveillance and harassment of ordinary citizens by calling them domestic terrorists without any predicate for doing so. Gabbard called this an abuse of power.
Gabbard’s statement came after Just the News reported last week that a June 2021 domestic terrorism policy memo empowered federal agencies like the FBI and Homeland Security Department to open probes on Americans solely if an agent believed they had been involved in “concerning non-criminal behavior.”
In other news Rubio is being tasked to go to Turkey to oversee the Putin/Zelenskyy talks. I still am dubious Putin will even be at that meeting.
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As Fox News reported, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard on Tuesday fired the top two officials on the National Intelligence Council, after whistleblowers revealed they were “radically opposed” to President Trump. The two officials in question are Mike Collins, who was serving as the acting chair of the National Intelligence Council, and his deputy, Maria Langan-Riekhof.
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Personally, I think Zelensky would be justified in shooting Putin if they actually meet. I understand this might complicate negotiations.
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Jason said….”But what does the 21 days entitle them to do exactly?
Still does not seem clear.”
If it’s based on the Enemies Act, I believe they’d need to file a writ of habeas corpus in the federal court nearest the detention facility. Subject matter is limited to “I’m not in that group”.
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Bitter said….”Personally, I think Zelensky would be justified in shooting Putin if they actually meet. I understand this might complicate negotiations.”
Yes, he would. Laughed out loud at the last line. 🤣
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600 billion in phase 1 and then $400 billion in phase 2.”
Arabic for the check is in the mail.
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“Arabic for the check is in the mail.”
Also a good line.
GFY.
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No more vacations this year. The GOP-e are ripping off the taxpayers.
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That judge was given to sets of handcuffs.
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Jason, I have a science question regarding Oak Island…..
When they say a piece of wood is date to i.e., 1700-1750, what do the dates represent? The year the tree was “born”? The year it was cut down?
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The technique is carbon-14 decay rate. So it measures the estimate time since the wood (or tree) was a living organism.
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Finally remedying one of the greatest injustices of all time. Too bad it wasn’t done when he was still alive.
“Major League Baseball on Tuesday removed Pete Rose and “Shoeless” Joe Jackson – two of the sport’s most famous players who were previously kicked out of baseball for gambling on the game – from the league’s permanently ineligible list.
The historic decision by MLB commissioner Rob Manfred allows Rose to be considered for induction into the Baseball Hall of Fame, an honor that had been ruled out as part of the settlement he reached with Major League Baseball. Rose died in September, and Manfred ruled that his lifetime ban ended with his death.”
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Pete Rose played 24 seasons for the Reds, Phillies and Expos. He had a .303 batting average, 4,256 hits, 160 home runs, 1,314 RBIs and 2,165 runs scored. He won 2 Gold Glove awards, 1 MVP award, the Rookie of the Year award, 1 Silver Slugger award, 1 World Series MVP award and 3 World Series.”
How do you erase all that because of “betting on baseball” (not on his games or his team)?
The MLB idiots that imposed this ban should burn in hell.
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Rose should be inducted into the HOF tomorrow.
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The judge handling the Dugan case is an 85 yr old liberal Clinton appointee.
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NT at 9:00
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Pete Rose was a great baseball player and a terrible person. He deserves to be in the HOF. Both can be true.
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Watching a show on building the Panama Canal. At least 5,000 French died during the first failed attempt. Don’t tell Tina.
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Hey Bitter, this guy gets my vote for the HOF –
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