Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
83 responses to “New thread. Suck it, Jason.”
New threads suck.
Threads without numbers are stupid.
GFY.
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Chicon’s “outsider”
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/politics-news/trumps-wedding-melania-bill-hill-880088/
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You gotta love the MSM.
A few weeks ago they demanded Waltz’s scalp as a terrible danger to national security.
Now that he has been fired he is the “voice of reason in the Trump administration and it is Hegseth that should have been fired”.
I like Waltz because he is a foreign policy hawk like me.
But there is no doubt he screwed up in the Atlantic fiasco.
Let’s see what Trump says.
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I guess Trump wasn’t misogynist racist in 2005….
“Attendees represented the worlds of politics (Arnold Schwarzenegger, Rudy Giuliani, George Pataki, Chris Christie); music (P. Diddy, Usher); business (Steve Wynn); sports (Derek Jeter, Don King); fashion (Anna Wintour, Heidi Klum); and, of course, television (Matt Lauer, Kathie Lee Gifford, Simon Cowell, Leslie Moonves, Jeff Zucker). Paul Anka complained about being seated behind a pillar during the ceremony; Hillary Clinton and Kelly Ripa talked about their kids; Shaquille O’Neal couldn’t get his massive feet to fit under his table; Billy Joel hung out with the orchestra and MSNBC’s Chris Matthews. “Let me tell you something,” says Sandra Rose, the wife of the wedding’s bandleader. “If someone had dropped a bomb on that place, it would have wiped out an entire generation of famous Americans.”
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
🚨 BREAKING: Brian Kemp (R) leads Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff (D) in 2026 U.S. Senate matchup by +3 points, 49%-46% – AJC poll
*******
Run, Kemp, run….
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If Vic or DW can figure out how to number posts, it will be appreciated.
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After years of seeing little fight out of Republicans and little difference between the parties, the voters voted for a major disruptor.”
I can accept the label of opportunist for Trump, who indeed saw and capitalized on the rise in isolationism/protectionism inside the R electorate. While “front runner” Jeb was out there talking about respecting conservatives, immigration as an act of love, and Common Core, Trump ate his lunch talking about issues that actually interested rust belt blue collar workers. It also helped that Jeb saw Rubio as a threat more than Trump and spent $50 million of the $250 million he wasted tearing Rubio down.
But Trump was the quintessential insider, not outsider. He never expressed any “independent streak”, he was pro Dem on just about everything as a Democrat, including on all major issues such as the economy, the deficit, abortion, health care, tariffs….and he was no firebrand on immigration either. He was a wealthy NY real estate developer and crony capitalist with no issues all with the Dem leadership he funded for decades.
And frankly, he was not a great “disruptor” in his first term either. He did nothing to drain the swamp or cut the size or cost of government. His achievements were more on the line of appointing conservative judges, cutting taxes, and energy independence.
I will agree he is much more of a disruptor in his second term. DOGE, the changes in the DOJ, FBI and other agencies are indeed examples of this. But is it happening because he is reacting to all the lawfare and persecution he suffered or is it a genuine desire for change? I am not sure. I will take it either way.
I give Trump his due. I approved of his first term in office, I voted for him twice afterwards. On balance I think his performance so far is good with a few major caveats.
But don’t call him an outsider or a conservative or I will vomit.
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Big Mike comes clean?
Michelle Obama: “You’re raising a trans kid. That warms my heart, as a black man.”
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https://wltreport.com/2025/05/01/breaking-tulsi-gabbard-now-investigating-dr-fauci/?utm_source=PTN&utm_medium=mixed&utm_campaign=PTN
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Cleveland
@ProfMJCleveland
BREAKING: Federal district court enters first merits ruling on Alien Enemies Act habeas case. On question of class certification: Court punts on whether class cert. under Rule 23 is available & considers if All Writs Act provides analog, i.e. another way to do a class. 1/
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36.4K Views
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While it would be a fun story to find out Michelle is a 3-legger, I think in that video that she’s referring to the black fella she was talking to.
Chicon
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Could be. But it is not how it reads.
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BREAKING: Federal district court enters first merits ruling on Alien Enemies Act habeas case. On question of class certification: Court punts on whether class cert. under Rule 23 is available & considers if All Writs Act provides analog, i.e. another way to do a class”
I hate it when I can’t translate….have no idea what this means.
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I would think Kemp would have a bigger lead. Ossof is a moron.
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Barack was born in Hawaii. Michelle is a woman. I will shut this circus down if it becomes Gateway HHR.
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Maybe Bitter has inside information on Michelle.
I don’t dispute Obama was born in Hawaii.
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Barack is American. Michelle’s kids look way too much like her for her not to be their mother. Michelle is a snarly woman.
All are true.
Chicon
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Of course, given that his father was not a citizen, it is possible Obama will have his birthright citizenship cancelled under the new rules.
In which case his Presidency will have to be cancelled, and Biden made the President for those 8 years.
In which case Biden could not have been president in 2020, so Kamala will have to be made President 2020-2024.
It could get messy.
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It could be even more messy if Walt demands that the 1824 election should have included his name in the House vote.
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Waltz to be UN Ambassador. Marco interim National Security Advisor.
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Marco Rubio as interim NSA as well as SOS. No more ‘little Marco”.
Early voting for R’s in 2028….I’ll take SOS and interim NSA over VP at this point.
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How many jobs does Rubio have? Isn’t he also head odd USAID ?
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Cash Cow is driving me crazy. For the last 3 days she has been going around singing nonstop. ONE SONG. Same line.
“Something in the way she Moos attracts me like no utter lover…”
Suggestions welcomed.
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Walt, swap out “utter” for “udder,” and I think you’ve got something going there.
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Our Pravda media.
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A Trump-appointed federal judge has ruled that the US president cannot use the Alien Enemies Act to deport Venezuelan migrants.
US District Judge Fernando Rodriguez said Donald Trump’s use of the wartime power was “unlawful” and had been improperly invoked.”
Should he be impeached too?
Will the last judge turn off the lights?
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What is his reasoning?
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North Carolina can do better than Tillis. He was lucky to get by Cunningham last time .
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His reasoning is that this wartime powers act was intended to be used against an “invading army”, and that the government didn’t show that using it against gangs isn’t beyond the scope of the law.
“In a 36-page opinion, Judge Rodriguez concluded that Trump’s March 15 invocation of the Alien Enemies Act is “unlawful” and “exceeds the scope” of the centuries-old wartime law that allows the president to deport noncitizens with little-to-no due process during an invasion or predatory incursion.
“The President cannot summarily declare that a foreign nation or government has threatened or perpetrated an invasion or predatory incursion of the United States, followed by the identification of the alien enemies subject to detention or removal,” Judge Rodriguez wrote.
“The Proclamation makes no reference to and in no manner suggests that a threat exists of an organized, armed group of individuals entering the United States at the direction of Venezuela to conquer the country or assume control over a portion of the nation. Thus, the Proclamation’s language cannot be read as describing conduct that falls within the meaning of ‘invasion’ for purposes of the AEA,” he wrote.”
I actually don’t agree with the ruling, because I think the judge is fabricating a scope that doesn’t really exist. I don’t agree that you have to prove the gang members are trying to conquer the country, I think if you show they are “invaders” that harm US citizens, it should be enough.
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North Carolina can do better than Tillis.”
Yeah, let’s run a deadender so we can have a liberal Dem from NC instead of a “RINO” like Tillis.
I am sure NYC will be endorsing Mark Robinson, who got 40% of the vote as a R running against a flaming liberal for governor.
SEND A MESSAGE!
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Tillis got 48.7% in 2020 after getting 48.8% in 2014.
Jason: “That’s the best a Republican can do in North Carolina! Let me just blurt out “Mark Robinson” because I know my reasoning sucks!”
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““The President cannot summarily declare that a foreign nation or government has threatened or perpetrated an invasion or predatory incursion of the United States, followed by the identification of the alien enemies subject to detention or removal,” Judge Rodriguez wrote.”
-Who can make this declaration? We need the Senate to declare war?
Why have this law at all then?
I see that jason agrees with me. I’ll take several showers and get a good nights rest. I should be fine in the morning.
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I know NYC always wants an HHR legend like me to agree with him.
I understand.
If I was a moron like him here, I would feel the same way.
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Moron logic was in full display here.’
NYC asked what the judge’s rationale was.
I gave it and then critiqued it.
NYC says I agree with him!
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Let me just blurt out “Mark Robinson” because he is EXACTLY like the long string of deadender losers NYC has endorsed here in his untiring quest to make Chuck Schumer majority leader.
Fixed it for you.
Has NYC endorsed MTG for the the senate in GA yet? You know he wants to.
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I think a Presidential election between AOC and MTG would be epic. All style, no substance, and a lot of rage.
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So a tx Marxist judge gave class status to the Venezuelans. This is also contrary to immigration law.
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THE SC ALSO INSICSTED THAT THE AEA WAS LARGELY NOT REVIEWABLE.
He will suspend habeus corpus next and the rinos will cry.
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Only the obese Wi judge can make the dexlarstion of an invasion by illegal criminals associated
And only the Dc judge Amy Obama Berman can run a RIF involving an agency.
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Tina really hates fat people. Normal people would criticize the Decision. She focuses on weight. Maybe Tina was heavy growing up, lost a lot weight, and now hates fat people.
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Tina- “So a tx Marxist judge gave class status to the Venezuelans.”
“Marxist judge” put on court by Trump
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The Texas judge was recommended by Senator Cronyn.
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The 2 most overused and misapplied terms at HHR are grifter and Marxist.
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Remember, when the free passers claimed that trump “ruined investments.”
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-markets-rapid-rebound-from-tariff-inspired-rout-stuns-wall-street-but-there-were-signs-this-would-happen-ae9b4296?mod=home_lead
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Remember when
The Cult said countries pay tariffs, not consumers?
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Good jobs report just came out. The economy does not appear to be slowing down at this point.
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So, if the economy is not slowing down, there is no reason for the Fed to cut interest rates. Correct?
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By the way, there was an excellent article about the President vs judges last week that just got picked up by RCP this morning. I highly recommend that folks here read it. Here is a link: https://mustreadalaska.com/ralph-cushman-john-marshall-would-say-trump-is-right/
The upshot of the article is that the judges can keep doing what they have been doing and Trump can just ignore them. If the courts declare something to be unconstitutional, the executive branch doesn’t have to change its behavior. The only recourse for the ‘country’ to stop the President is impeachment via the legislative branch.
The judiciary has no army, no police forces that they control. The US Marshalls that protect the courts work for the executive branch.
So there is no need to impeach judges – they are powerless.
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https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/china-quietly-walks-back-quarter-us-import-tariffs-amid-economic-crunch
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Ccp just exempted 25% of all us imports from tariffs, per Bloomberg.
When will,the freepassers throw Xi under the bus?
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Blow out jobs report. Market should be fun this AM because of this and the Chinese tariff story –
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/article-14672161/jobs-report-trumps-tariffs-stuns-wall-street.html
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Bill, correct on the ignoring of judges. Of course, doing so would increase the odds of a Democrat House in 2026. Some like that idea.
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Tina, I recall reading that Trump’s actions on tariffs would not result in low trade barriers. And big inflation. And recession.
Maybe these issues will arise, but it doesn’t seem so yet….
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Some like that idea.
At HHR? Please name those posters.
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Chicon – I think Trump’s coalition would hold together fairly well under a strategy of standing up to the federal courts. Blue collar and Southern Trumpers are not fond of either federal judges or DC. A lot of business-focused conservatives only care about the economy – if massively down-sized 2025/26 appropriations bills are passed by Congress and the 2018 tax cuts made permanent, the chances of an economic boom are good. Independents will not be swayed by any of the Dems’ old arguments – climate change, systemic racism, affirmative action – these are going to be fading away.
The wild cards are all about international relations – China, Russia, tariffs, antisemitism. If Trump can get those right, the mid-terms could be a pleasant surprise.
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Buried in the release is the fact that native born workers finally started outpacing foreign born workers. During the Biden years, native born employment collapsed and a majority of jobs gains went to foreign born workers. In this report, 1 million native born workers were added to the workforce, while 410k foreign born workers exited the US jobs market. The media, of course will not cover this.
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Bitter, anyone suggesting Trump completely ignore district court judges is really hoping for a Democratic House in 2026.
Agree or disagree?
Chic
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What were the revisions to the job #s for he previous 2 months?
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-14665189/RFK-Jr-claims-US-sinister-program-mocked-conspiracy-theory-vows-end-it.html
And RFK, Jr. embraces a conspiracy theory.
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What were the revisions to the job #s for he previous 2 months?
——
they weren’t Biden era sized adjustments, just 58k in March downward revision to 185k new jobs for March , which still was higher than what estimates were at the time.
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Fla – I am not sure where you got your information from on native-born vs foreign born.
In this morning’s release, Table A-7 shows an increase in employment of native born workers of 0.85% in April 2025 vs April 2024. Foreign-born employment increased by 4.4% over the same period.
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….or are you just looking at April vs March?
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I see a one-month ‘trend’ in your data. Maybe it’s a bit too early to tell?
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I can see why that was ‘buried in the release’.
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There was also a strong factory orders number
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“hourly earnings rose 3.8% year over year” while inflation rate for March (31sth) was 2.39%
Do the math.
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As a lawyer, I will not justify ignoring courts. I support the appeals process. Sorry.
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RIP, Ruth Buzzy.
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Chi – Should officials in Blue states start seizing guns and prosecuting legal gun owners despite multiple SCOTUS Decisions supporting the 2nd Amendment because they don’t agree? See how that works? That is the chaos you seek.
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Bitter absolutely misread my earlier posts, or is lying bigly again. Maybe he can say which.
Bill posted an article suggesting Trump ignore courts. I said that would result in a Democratic House.
Try again counselor.
Chicon
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Zzzzzzz You have advocated ignoring the courts. Try again.
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I have?
Chicon
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Yes. Every time you post about a Decision, you make fun of the idea of filing an Appeal.
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Where in the world is DW? We need a contest, damn it.
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So, if the economy is not slowing down, there is no reason for the Fed to cut interest rates. Correct?”
Heh, the Cultists will choke on that post.
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The Cultists are celebrating the fact prices haven’t risen yet. Supposedly this means Trump’s stupid tariffs and trade wars are the greatest tariffs and trade wars ever invented.
Of course, they neglect to point out that NONE of the tariffs have actually gone into effect yet and even when they do, you won’t see the impact until the goods in the supply chain dry up.
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I was listening to Stephen Green on the Sexton and Travis show while driving earlier.
He explained the “Deep State” like this.
Fire off an email with “good news” to 1000 federal bureaucrats. Nobody will leak it.
Fire off an email to 1000 federal bureaucrats with information, for example, that the ACLU could use to try to block something in Trump’s agenda. It would be leaked in 5 seconds.
I think Green is a smart guy, but I was kind of shocked on how shallow and nonsensical this was. This is the Deep State?
Nobody disputes the federal agencies are rife with far leftists, all appointed by 20 years of Clinton, Obama and Biden. Nobody disputes these people will use whatever power they have to further their ideology, or that their common ideology is Marxism. These people are also in academia, the corporate world, and as we have seen, even the military. They are the product of decades of leftist ideology “bombardment” by academia and the MSM.
But that is not Deep State, which implies “secret” (evidently nothing secret about it) and “state” (which implies an organization, in this case a state within a state). And an organization requires a structure, a leadership, a communications network, etc., none of which exists in the “Deep State”.
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janzam
May 2, 2025 at 12:41 am
The Texas judge was recommended by Senator Cronyn.”
LOL
This sounds like NYC’s “Trump only signs the deficit spending bills”.
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@EricLDaugh
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12.8K Views
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Ccp just exempted 25% of all us imports from tariffs, per Bloomberg.
When will,the freepassers throw Xi under the bus?”
Zzzzz….
The Cultists are hilarious.
The script goes like this.
Trump implements stupid tariffs on China. Cultists cheer.
Trump backs down on stupid tariffs on China. Cultists cheer.
China imposes retaliatory tariffs. Cultists cheer.
China backs down on some tariffs. Cultists cheer.
In the end, commerce will be reduced between the US and China. Cultists cheer. Mission accomplished.
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JUST IN: S&P500 hits longest winning streak in 20 years after closing green again – CNBC”
Stock market tanks. Cultists cheer, let the retirees eat cake.
Stock market recovers some gains. Cultists cheer, Trump is a genius.
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NT
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