Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

While we wait for the winner of the Prediction Contest…

45 responses to “While we wait for the winner of the Prediction Contest…”

  1. The concept of a winner bothers me. That means there will be losers, 12 of them. Can’t we all just get participation trophies?

    Like

  2. @NolteNC

    Every time someone’s pronunciation of “Kamala” was corrected, Trump picked up 100 more votes.

    ·

    348 Views

    Liked by 1 person

  3. I predicted a Trump loss so I can decide ties.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Trump up 6.4% in AZ!

    Lake down 0.6%!

    It really would take a deadender like her to throw this seat away, geezus.

    Like

  5. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    McCormick lead now 41k.

    Casey is a slimebag. He sent out an email saying “the race is not over, send $20 now to ensure all votes are counted”

    https://nypost.com/2024/11/08/us-news/sen-bob-casey-refuses-to-concede-pennsylvania-senate-race-to-dave-mccormick-clings-to-dwindling-philadelphia-votes-goddamn-nonsense/

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  6. https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/BPS/47/0

    There are only 602,000 ballots left (45000 are provisional and may not all count).

    Lakes chances are dwindling.

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  7. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    FEMA “horrified” employees were told to ignore homes with Trump signs.

    No, they are horrified they got caught.

    “Removed employee from their role” is not fired, I guess.

    “While we believe this is an isolated incident, we have taken measures to remove the employee from their role and are investigating the matter to prevent this from happening ever again,” they added.

    “The employee who issued this guidance had no authority and was given no direction to tell teams to avoid these homes, and we are reaching out to the people who may have not been reached as a result of this incident.

    “We are horrified that this took place and therefore have taken extreme actions to correct this situation and have ensured that the matter was addressed at all levels,” the rep said.

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  8. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Lakes chances are dwindling”

    Hopefully last race she will throw away but wouldn’t bet on it.

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  9. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Looks like in the end she will have lost the governors race AND the senate race by less than 50k votes combined.

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  10. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Carville throws both Sonny Hostin and Kamala under the bus.

    “James Carville on how Sunny Hostin ended Kamala Harris’ campaign: “When we go back and history unearths this, it’s going to be right there on the View. Sunny Hostin, Houston, whatever asked the question. That’s the most devastating answer you can imagine.” Thank you Sunny Hostin for your contribution to the Trump campaign.”

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  11. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    In reality, Hostin was trying to help.

    As Carville puts it, it is the one question she should have WANTED to answer.

    He says if 65% of the country says you are on the wrong track, and your candidate says “I can’t think of anything to be done differently” you just lost the election.

    There is more to it, but he has a point.

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  12. It was a soft ball question- an easy lay up. Un sunny is not to blame. The quesrion was also asked at night by a “white host.”

    Why is serpent head attacking the black woman that asked?

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  13. ”I think America is perfectly willing to elect a woman. They just didn’t like the last two that were put up.”

    Bill Maher

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  14. Like

  15. Good line.

    “For months Democrats have been saying how is this even close. They were right. It wasn’t”

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  16. The absurdity of Fox not yet calling AZ for Trump, but calling it election night in 2020 with a much closer race. What can they be seeing in the data that justifies that?

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  17. I want to see a chart / map of the vote split out showing the vote of results in big cities vs. not big cities.

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  18. U.S. senator’s salary is $174,000.

    WHite House Press Secretary salary is $180,000.

    Let that sink in.

    Karine Jean-Pierre is doing well financially, as a single mom, with shared custody of an adopted child. NOT sure if KJP pays her former partner any palimony, or the other way around. Her ex was a FORMER CNN news anchor, but I do not know her salary.

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  19. TEASER on the outcome of the election predictions:

    ________________________

    I did NOT win.

    I did NOT have the best score on choosing state outcomes or Senate outcomes.

    But I can tell you there ARE some SURPRISES concerning winners of those two categories….

    ******

    I feel certain that DW will have lots of number crunching to determine who was closest in their % of win guesses and factoring that in before he declares an ultimate winner.

    My THANKS to him for organizing the predictions contest for posters here.

    Liked by 1 person

  20. As Barrack Obama said, “Never underestimate Joe Biden’s ability to f— things up.”

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2024/11/08/joe-biden-nuked-dem-plans-for-a-primary-after-his-ouster-n2647518

    Maybe THIS is Joe Biden’s legacy.

    Like

  21. “Democrats on track to win all but one of the swing state Senate races”

    Maybe myu theory was right about voters wanting to put a break on Trump, after they voted for him for POTUS.

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  22. For the Deep State Ostriches…”

    Zzzzzz….

    People who believe in Tooth Fairy, the Easter Bunny, Elvis sightings and the Deep State call other “ostriches”

    Gotta love it here.

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  23. Maybe myu theory was right about voters wanting to put a break on Trump, after they voted for him for POTUS”

    Not sure I agree with that at all. Senate incumbents are hard to beat in blue states, and that is what WI and MI are. I doubt Rosen would have prevailed in NV without the mail ballot shenanigans and Lake is a bad candidate. Even so if you add up the margins of all 4 combined it will probably be less than 100k.

    Actually, I think the OPPOSITE argument can be made, all of these senate candidates did better BECAUSE of Trump on the ticket, not despite him.

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  24. “Zzzzzz….”

    -Got it…..jason is OK with the military disobeying direct orders from the C-I-C

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  25. In other words, I don’t think Rogers and Hovde and Brown would have come within 20k votes of winning their races were it not for Trump on the ballot. And McCormick won because of Trump, bet on it.

    Liked by 1 person

  26. “Actually, I think the OPPOSITE argument can be made, all of these senate candidates did better BECAUSE of Trump on the ticket, not despite him.”

    -Agreed

    Liked by 1 person

  27. ason is OK with the military disobeying direct orders from the C-I-C”

    LOL

    Show me where I said that.

    Should be easy, or admit you are a pathological liar and Chuck Schumer’s little bitch.

    Btw, how is you favorite deadender Lake doing in AZ?

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  28. Has the Deep State ordered new uniforms yet for the new administration?

    I hear they will now attend the secret underground meetings in the caves below the WH in silk tunics emblazoned with DS in gold lettering on the lapels and sleeves.

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  29. NYC is celebrating his candidate Lake’s loss with his traditional message:

    “What is important is not that the deadender lost, it is that no RINO got elected.

    As I have said before, any far left liberal that votes against conservative interests 99% of the time is better than any RINO traitor who only votes for conservative interests 90% of the time.

    SEND A MESSAGE!”

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  30. I bet Chuck Schumer’s sends him another autographed picture saying ‘thanks for your support in throwing away the 10th winnable R seat”

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  31. “Show me where I said that.”

    -Same way the media is biased against Republicans.

    They don’t say it, but they are.

    You ignore stories such as posted above. You always have, and you seem to continue on that same erroneous path.

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  32. @EricLDaugh

    There are now rumors that more votes are being discovered as “outstanding” in the Pennsylvania Senate race.

    ·

    18.5K Views

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  33. And there he goes again.

    Jason ignores stories which say that the military is trying to figure out ways to ignore the CIC.

    He then says that I am happy that Republican Senators lost their election.

    Same old dog, same old droppings.

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  34. “There are now rumors that more votes are being discovered as “outstanding” in the Pennsylvania Senate race.”

    -Every reply from a Republican should make sure to mention Shapiro’s name, make sure people connect him with these obviously flawed voting procedures.

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  35. He may want the one he took on 9/11 to be autographed,

    EricLDaugh

    I wonder if Biden is gonna show Trump his MAGA hat on Wednesday during their Oval meeting

    ·

    5,144 Views

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  36. Zzzzzzz. If Deep State existed, it definitely needs to work harder at being secret.

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  37. That is why trump needs to fire those senior military officials.

    He also needs to recall Millie Vanilli to active duty status. He needs to be investigated for his role on j6 (refusing to allow for military at the Capitol), as well as his Ccp contacts.

    Liked by 1 person

  38. I believe that Millie Vanilli is a Ccp asset.

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  39. The Hooters were great last Saturday. I hope NYC’s family enjoyed their party.

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  40. Party was great, Thank You. Glad you enjoyed The Hooters.

    I’ll see you out there one of these days.

    Cheers. The course awaits, gotta try to beat the sunset!

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  41. we also need answers to the following j6 items:

    Who placed the bombs at the Rnc/dnc? How come the person was never arrested? Why did the secret service miss the bomb at the dnc, when quemala was present there (she was not at the Capitol)?

    Why did they allow folks to build the “gallows” to “ hang vp pence?” To date, no pictures exist.

    Why was the capitol so under defended and why did Millie Vanilli block national guard?

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  42. “Show me where I said that.”

    -Same way the media is biased against Republicans.”

    So you admit I never said that.

    Thanks for owning up you are a pathological liar.

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  43. Zzzzzzz. If Deep State existed, it definitely needs to work harder at being secret.”

    Epic failure.

    When even NYC knows about it, there has definitely been a breach somewhere.

    Might have to call it Shallow State.

    Like