The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

Single State Pollsters:

These pollsters surveyed only one state in the 2024 Presidential election.

Pollster	State	Grade	Points Off
Alaska Survey Research	AK	C	5.0
Arc Insights	WI	A	0.2
ARW Strategies	IN	B-	3.1
BK Strategies	WI	C+	3.8
Bowling Green State University	OH	C	4.3
Capitol Weekly	CA	C	4.8
Cherry Communications	FL	D-	7.1
Christopher Newport University	VA	C-	5.3
Claflin University	SC	F	10.8
CWS Research	TX	F	8.8
Dartmouth University	NH	F	25.2
Data Orbital	AZ	B	2.5
Digital Research	ME	A	0.2
Economist/YouGov	NE	D+	5.9
Elon University	NC	B-	3.3
Franklin & Marshall College	PA	A	0.8
EPIC/MRA	MI	C	4.5
Fort Hays State University	KS	F	11.2
Glengariff Group	MI	C	4.5
Global Strategy Group	NE	C+	3.9
Guidant Polling & Strategy	MT	B	2.8
Hendrix College	AR	F	15.7
High Point University	NC	B-	3.2
HighGround	AZ	C	4.5
Impact Research	NE	A	0.9
Iron Light Intelligence	AZ	C-	5.5
KA Consulting	NM	B-	3.1
Keating Research	CO	A-	1.1
Landmark Communications	GA	A	0.2
Marketing Resource Group	MI	B	2.5
Marquette Law School	WI	B+	1.8
Meredith College	NC	B-	3.3
Miami University of OH	OH	F	8.3
Michigan State University	MI	C-	5.5
Monmouth University	PA	A	0.8
Montana St. University-Billings	MT	B+	1.8
Muhlenberg College	PA	C+	3.8
National Public Affairs	GA	A	0.2
National Research	AZ	D	6.5
Pan Atlantic Research	ME	B+	1.8
Peak Insights	AZ	B-	3.5
Praecones Analytica	NH	B	2.8
Research and Polling	NM	B	2.9
RABA Research	AZ	D-	7.5
Roanoke College	VA	C	4.3
Rutgers University/Eagleton	NJ	F	14.4
Saint Anselm College	NH	B	2.2
Selzer/Des Moines Register	IA	F	16.2
Slingshot Strategies	DE	B	2.3
Sooner Poll	OK	F	18.1
St. Pete Polls	FL	F	8.1
Stetson University	FL	D	6.1
Survation	PA	C	4.8
Targoz Market Research	TN	F	8.3
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation	TX	F	7.8
Torchlight Strategies	NE	A	0.9
University of Akron	OH	C	4.3
University of Arizona	AZ	D	6.5
University of Colorado/YouGov	CO	B	2.9
University of Delaware	DE	C-	5.3
University of Georgia	GA	A	0.8
University of Houston	TX	F	8.8
University of Mary Washington	VA	C	4.7
University of Maryland	MD	A	0.2
University of Maryland-BC	MD	C-	5.2
University of North Florida	FL	B-	3.1
University of Rhode Island	RI	F	12.5
University of Texas – Austin	TX	D	6.8
University of Texas – Tyler	TX	D	6.8
Virginia Commonwealth University	VA	C	4.8
Wick Insights	PA	A	0.8
Winthrop University	SC	F	7.8

Multiple State Pollsters:

These pollsters surveyed more than one state in the 2024 Presidential election.

Pollster	States	Grade	Skew
AARP (David Binder-D/Fabrizio Ward-R)	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	C+	+2.29
ActiVote	AZ, CA, CO, FL, GA, IL, IN, MD, MA, MI, MN, MO, NJ, NY, NC, OH, OK, PA, SC, TN, TX, UT, VA, WA, WI	B-	+2.73
American Pulse Research	MT, PA	C+	+3.32
American Viewpoint-R	MI, WI	B	+2.14
AtlasIntel	AZ, GA, MI, MN, MT, NV, NC, OH, PA, TX, VA, WI	A-	+0.65
Axis Research-R	NV, OH	D	+5.15
Big Data Poll	MI, NC, PA	A-	+0.89
Bullfinch Group	FL, GA, MI, NE, NC, PA, WI	F	+6.28
Cato Institute/YouGov	PA, WI	C	+3.79
CBS News/YouGov	AZ, GA, PA, WI	B+	+1.82
CCES/YouGov	AZ, GA, MI, MN, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, TX, VA, WI	C-	+3.84
Change Research-D	MO, NE	D-	+5.94
Chism Strategies-D	MD, MN, VA	C	+3.52
Civiqs-D	MI, PA, WI	A	+0.66
Claremont McKenna College/YouGov	CA, FL, NY, PA, TX	F	+7.35
Co/efficient	PA, WI	A	+0.29
Cook Political (Benenson-R/GS Strategy Group-D	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	F	+4.43
Cygnal-R	AK, CA, FL, IA, NC, NJ, NY, PA, TX, VA, WY	C-	+4.39
Data for Progress-D	AZ, GA, NV, PA	C-	+4.13
Democracy Institute	AZ, GA, MI, MN, NC, NH, PA, VA, WI	B+	+1.44
East Carolina University	GA, NC, SC	B	+2.42
Echelon Insights-R	MI, PA, WI	B	+0.67
Embold Research	MN, RI	A-	+0.01
Emerson College	AZ, CA, FL, GA, IN, IA, MD, MA, MI, MO, MT, NV, NH, NM, NC, OH, PA, SD, TX, VA, WI	B-	+2.60
Florida Atlantic University	FL, GA, MI, NC, PA, TX, VA, WI	C-	+1.79
Focal Data	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	F	+4.07
Fox News (Beacon-D/Shaw & Company-R)	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA	C-	+3.03
GBAO-D	AZ, MI, NC, PA, WI	B	+1.95
GQR Research-D	MO, PA	F	+7.06
Hunt Research	FL, PA	C-	+4.41
Insider Advantage	AZ, FL, GA, IA, MI, NV, NC, PA, WI	B	+2.26
J. L. Partners	AZ, OH, PA	B-	+2.82
Lake Research Partners-D	IN, ND, TX	F	+13.7
Marist College	AZ, FL, GA, MI, NC, OH, PA, TX, WI	C-	+4.43
Mason-Dixon	FL, MN, SD	C	+3.78
MassINC Polling Group	MA, PA, RI	C	+3.24
Mitchell Research	AZ, MI	C+	+2.98
Morning Consult	AZ, CO, FL, GA, MD, MI, MN, NV, NC, OH, PA, TX, VA, WI	C+	+2.96
Noble Predictive Insights	AZ, NV, UT	C+	+3.07
North Star Opinion Research-R	PA, WI	A	+0.79
On Message-R	AZ, GA, MI, NV, OH, PA, WI	A-	+0.72
Patriot Polling	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	A-	+1.30
Peter Peterson (North Star Opinion Research-R/Global Strategy Group-D)	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	C+	+2.29
PPP-D	AZ, FL, GA, MD, NC, OR, PA, TX, UT, WA, WI	C	+2.44
Public Opinion Strategies-R	AZ, MI, NV, PA, WI	C+	+3.32
Quantus Insights	MI, NV, NC, PA, TX, VA, WI	B	+1.03
Quinnipiac	AZ, GA, MI, NC, PA, WI	F	+2.32
Rasmussen Reports	AZ, FL, GA, MI, MN, MT, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, OH, PA, TX, VA, WI	B-	+0.33
Redfield and Wilton Strategies	AZ, FL, GA, MI, MN, NV, NM, NC, PA, WI	C+	+2.59
Remington Research Group-R	MI, MO, MT, NV, PA, WI	B	+2.41
Research America, Inc.	VA, WV	F	+5.05
Research Company	CA, FL, MI, MN, MO, NJ, NY, PA, VA, WA	D+	+4.18
RMG Research	AZ, FL, GA, MI, MT, NV, NC, OH, PA, TX, WI	C+	+2.72
Siena College/NY Times	AZ, FL, GA, MI, MT, NE, NV, NY, NC, OH, PA, TX, WI	C	+3.44
SoCal Strategies-R	AZ, GA, IA, MI, NY, NC, OH, PA, WI	B	+2.08
Spry Strategies-R	AZ, PA, WI	C	+3.70
Strategies 360	AZ, NV	F	+7.82
Suffolk University	AZ, FL, MA, MI, PA, WI	B-	+2.40
SurveyUSA	ME, MN, NE, NM, NC, WA	C+	+3.05
Susquehanna Polling & Research	MI, NV, PA	C	+1.74
Tarrance Group-R	FL, NV, PA, TX	D-	+5.90
The Citadel	GA, SC	C+	+3.03
Times of London/YouGov	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	D+	+3.14
TIPP	AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, WI	D+	+3.13
Trafalgar Group	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, OH, PA, WI	B	+1.90
University of Massachusetts	MA, MI, NH, NC, PA	B-	+2.87
University of New Hampshire	ME, MA, NH, RI, VT	B+	+1.59
Vantage House-D	AZ, FL, GA, LA, MI, NV, NC, PA	F	+8.41
Victory Insights	AZ, FL, NC, NM	C	+2.96
Wall Street Journal (GBAO-D/Fabrizio-R)	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	C-	+2.43
Washington Post/George Mason University	AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI	D+	+3.29
WPA Intelligence	ND, OK	D-	+5.60
Z to A Research-D	MI, PA, WI	A-	+1.33

7 Battleground State Pollsters:

These pollsters surveyed at least 5 of the 7 battleground states. Many of these polled repeatedly throughout 2024, but only the final polls were graded.

The chart further below displays the average skew toward Trump or toward Harris of each pollster.