Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
213 responses to “One day more….”
I hope this loads. It fits the thread.
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RIP, Quincy Jones. A legend who brought great music to the world.
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TIPP TIED at 48
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Trump back to 57-43 odds at Polymarket and 56-44 PA.
Down 54-50 at Predictit
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I see Dumbchuck the “ex-Republican” had all the DKos talking points last night.
Was a brainwashed little apparatchik that moron is.
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I guess Ralstonhack didn’t post his prediction yet.
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Dumbchuck voted on an online poll at DKos then went to his parent’s computers and voted for them too.
Votes from Kanada count on their poll tool
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TIPP.
🔴 Trump: 48.8% (+0.5)
🔵 Harris: 48.3%
🟠 West: 0.7%
🟢 Stein: 0.7%
🟡 Unsure: 0.6%
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Nikki Haley Op-Ed in WSJ says “its an easy call to vote for Trump”
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/trump-isnt-perfect-but-hes-the-better-choice-says-nikki-haley-presidential-election-b343f6ab?st=U6eyjf
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Did anyone see this?
NBC had to give Trump 2 minutes of free airtime to compensate for SNL.
https://redstate.com/rusty-weiss/2024/11/04/nbc-forced-to-give-trump-2-minutes-of-airtime-and-boy-does-he-deliver-kamala-broke-it-ill-fix-it-n2181481
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Aired during NASCAR (mostly R audience) and Sunday Night Football (better)
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Hung Cao should ask for equal time too.
They had a skit (dumb) with Tim Kaine, where contestants were offered $1 million if they could say who he was and nobody won.
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POLITICO reports it “might be too late” for Democrats to win back Pennsylvania Latinos “The Trump campaign has made an audacious play for the fast-growing Puerto Rican and Dominican population in eastern Pennsylvania. It’s paying off. ”
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Trump gained considerably in the Polymarket Nevada market.
Assume the overnight news was not great for the Dems.
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Baris just tweeted that Shitpiro is not bullish on quemala winning in pa.
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Outside of that one ad where he awkwardly sits on the couch with her I haven’t seen him do sh-t for her.
Certainly here in central PA nobody has seen him do ONE rally for her.
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Nor has Fetterman.
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“Baris just tweeted that Shitpiro is not bullish on quemala winning in pa.”
He’s probably saying that with a smile. A Harris win would set his political aspirations back a few notches.
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And that Politico article is funny about the play for pr and dr in pa. Yes, with one day remaining, it is likely in fact too late, if outreach has not been done.
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Remaining rallies for trump and Vance:
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What to make of Marc Elias opening a Nevada office? Did he do that in 2020?
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Ralstonhack is going to make sure Elias knows exactly how many ballots “have to be dropped off” after Tuesday for Dems to win.
Remember, yesterday Ralstonhack said “essentially Dems still have a week”
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Shapiro has been at Harris rallies in Philadelphia and trashes Trump anywhere he can find a microphone.
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Not crazy about the fact Trump and Vance still think they have to go to GA and NC and not WI.
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Jd is in wi this am.
and who knows trump could add a rally or 2 tomorrow. Am.
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Shapiro has been at Harris rallies in Philadelphia”
He shows up at her rallies as expected.
But he lives in Harrisburg. You would think he would do a Capitol rally or something. Has not done ONE event in this area that I know of.
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Oh, I see now Vance will have breakfast in WI. Good.
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in a tweet, Baris mentions some new morning consultation poles that are bullish for trump. He did not mention any actual results. What is he talking about?
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Shapiro has not done any interviews with local media. No campaigning whatsoever in Central PA.
Maybe he is camping out in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia but he is AWOL here.
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I think he is referring to several national poles.
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Trump 59-41 at Polymarket. All the betting markets show gains today except Predicit (not counted in RCP average).
Significant? Well, only been wrong twice since 1860 so I would rather be on the winning side.
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I take no Wisconsin on the last day indicating Trump is confident about it. Both Suffolk and Morning Consult give Trump a lead there. I am not sure I have ever seen either of these two err on the side of the Republican. Ever.
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Compelling argument.
“If you don’t vote and Harris wins, she will grant amnesty to every single foreign national they have allowed in here, they will nuke the filibuster, pack the Supreme Court, make DC and PR states and America will be California. There should be nothing that stops you from voting on Tuesday. Nothing”
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Elon Musk thought the Tim Kaine skit was funny. I didn’t think so but judge for yourselves.
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1853092210649997698?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1853092210649997698%7Ctwgr%5E4a855290d41f7a76355020b7b5bba0bcdd9f6b16%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Fnick-arama%2F2024%2F11%2F03%2Fsnl-skit-with-time-kaine-but-theres-a-big-problem-there-too-n2181461
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#NEW FINAL
NORTH CAROLINA poll
Trump: 50% (+2)
Harris: 48%
ECU
Not sure if this has been posted.
Too close for comfort but…
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I take no Wisconsin on the last day indicating Trump is confident about it.”
If that is the rationale then he is not confident of NC or GA?
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In 2020 Trump wasted a lot of time and money campaigning and running ads in Florida, a state he won decisively.
Had half those resources been put in to win AZ, GA and WI he would be President.
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Final NORTH CAROLINA poll by ECU
🟥 Trump: 50%
🟦 Harris: 48%
—
NC Governor
🟦 Stein: 55%
🟥 Robinson: 40% 25 (2.6/3.0) | 10/24-29 | Likely
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Suck it, A-hole, I already posted that.
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He knows where her voters are. I agree he should have done something in Central PA.
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Mark Cuban disappeared faster than a fat kid chasing an ice cream truck !!!
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“Suck it, A-hole, I already posted that.”
I just did it to piss you off !!!
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George on X:
BREAKING: Maricopa County has confirmed that they received up to 90,000 voter registration forms from third-party groups on registration deadline day, and an estimated 30k-40k forms were incomplete or damaged.
I have a strong suspicion that this was fraud stopped in its tracks.
This is what I think their playbook is: Democrat-linked organizations get paid lots of money to collect registrations. Their goal isn’t to get legitimate vote registrants but rather to get as many random people signed up as possible. Then they mail those in on deadline day with the expectation that officials would be too busy to double check, and then when the dubious names appear on the voter’s rolls, they request ballots, and fraud occurs.
My guess is based on what happened in the 2020 election in Muskegon, Michigan, when a Democrat-funded group dropped off thousands of fake registrations in ONE DAY at the Clerk’s office with the same handwriting, counterfeit signatures, made-up addresses, etc. The FBI is still investigating, aka covering it up.
The fact that these things are being caught & announced BEFORE the election is very good news.
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PENNSYLVANIA UPDATE: Dem firewall growth again slows to a near-halt.
Current returns [+/- from 2020]:
🔵 DEM: 55.71% [-9.2]
🔴 REP: 32.82% [+9.5]
🟥 GOP GAIN FROM 2020: R+18.7
🟦 DEM firewall: 409,904 [+3,506 over day]
🟨 2020 firewall: 1.1M
A very small update and no meaningful change here. GOP still very, very well-positioned from 2020 – nearly 20 points.
Most of the vote comes Election Day.
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I don’t know if these have been posted….
From Emerson College and The Hill
NC Trump +1
Pa Trump +1
Az Trump +2
Ga Trump +1
MI Harris +2
Nevada tied
Wi tied
More details here-just posted.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4969524-vice-president-harris-trump-deadlocked/
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That Tim Kaine sketch was pretty funny.
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“If that is the rationale then he is not confident of NC or GA?”
They are probably targeting specific areas wherever they think they can still move the needle.
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Emerson with AZ only Trump +2 and Nevada tied? The early voting data doesn’t support either of these.
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fwiw
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“A Washington Post report says that the Zelensky government is ‘ready’ for another Trump presidency. Some Kiev officials are going so far as to say it would be good, despite recent angry words with the Trump/Vance campaign.
“Ahead of a U.S. presidential election that is expected to have major implications for Ukraine — especially in terms of the vital U.S. security assistance — a number of Ukrainian officials are suggesting that maybe a drastic change would be good,” it said.
The Friday report described further, “But behind closed doors, some in President Volodymyr Zelensky’s government see an upside in a Donald Trump victory, despite the Republican nominee’s repeated criticism of U.S. spending to support Ukraine and advocating a quick end to the war that could be to Russia’s advantage.”
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Trump won’t abandon Ukraine, but he will try to force Zelensky into a bad deal.
His best strategy would be a carrot/stick approach, tell Putin he will reverse sanctions if he agrees to a deal and that if he doesn’t the US will INCREASE aid to Ukraine.
Of course the isolationists and Vance would balk at increased aid, but it is language Putin understands.
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https://nypost.com/2024/11/03/opinion/this-race-is-close-but-im-predicting-donald-trump-wins-the-electoral-college-and-possibly-the-popular-vote/
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Our internal polls have President Trump leading in every key battleground state. We are cautiously optimistic about a big victory tomorrow night as long as everyone turns out to vote”
Psyops.
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It is absolutely incorrect to assume the isolationists and Vance will balk. There are many people who support aid but not war. Your chickenhawk attitude that every war is a good war, is coloring your take on people who disagree with you.
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Reposting this. Aka how much $$$ was I given?
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Ukraine vs. Russia is a “good war”.
GFY
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Sounds like someone made up the poll for her to sign.
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If the U.S. continues to provide military aid to Ukraine, it avoids a larger war that would have negative strategic and economic consequences for the U.S. and Europe.
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And here is Iowas latest registration.
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Notice from 2020 to 2024, it went from r +22k to r 143,000+
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YouGov/University of Colorado out with CO poll showing Harris up only 8, 44/52
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It’s been hard to figure this one. Either we have a nail biter, or the polls are wrong. Anyway, I’m thinking it’s Harris by a nose. But, Trump might win GA, this time. 30% of the turnout needs to be Black. So far, that’s only been 26.4%.
You know what to look for, there. Watch Bucks and Erie Counties. How they go should tell you how PA goes. And, whoever wins PA should win the Election.
This was the outlook from our GA Democrat, Tim S., in our FB exchange.
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Even the Dems over at 538 aren’t convinced Seltzer is right..
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/iowa/
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That is the old GA Tim?
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If Tim thinks “he might win GA”, then he’s winning GA. Even at 30% black turnout I think it would be tough for Harris because a lot of black men are going to vote for Trump. By “a lot”, I mean more than in the last two elections, which in a razor thin election, means enough to push him over the top.
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Funny we haven’t seen Big Joe around….
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If Tim thinks “he might win GA”, then he’s winning GA.”
Bitter, you can give up on your bet and send the York dogs $98 now and save yourself $2.
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Do we have a prediction thread yet?
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If the U.S. continues to provide military aid to Ukraine, it avoids a larger war that would have negative strategic and economic consequences for the U.S. and Europe.”
Even if it is not a wider war, it would be a new Cold War that will cost trillions, unless there are any more morons like the Putin toadies who think Putin would stop at Ukraine.
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Best Trump ad yet.
Should have been shown earlier
https://hotair.com/headlines/2024/11/03/this-is-the-trump-ad-ive-been-hoping-to-see-n3796629
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why hasn’t that ad been running in PA, WI, MI, GA, NC, AZ and NV for the past month. Best ad Ive seen by him…by far.
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He won it las time.
Whaever happened to the 200,000 ballots missing chain of custody.
Why did the Fulton criminals need to kick out the Rs and close shades
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I made my bet. The children at St. Jude’s and Alex’s lemonade stand (dividing between 2 pediatric cancer charities) are counting on me.
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No. The bet is ONE charity. Pick one.
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Morning Joe not content to insult Trump supporters.
He moved on to their parents.
HATE TV: Joe Scarborough goes on moralizing rant, trashes Trump rally goers: “Who are these people? Where are they coming from? Who raised them?”
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Everyone knows i am less than enthusiastic about a Trump presidency, I view his trade policies as idiotic and many of his foreign policy views as self defeating and dangerous. I hope he wins because the alternative is much worse with long lasting or even permanent negative consequences.
But if there is one thing I will really enjoy if he wins is seeing the MSM meltdown, that would be glorious.
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Yes
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St. Jude’s.
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Trump rising at both polymarket and predictit.
Harris up only 1 at Predictit now.
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I will send St Jude’s $50 if Trump wins GA and the election anyway.
Good cause.
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Good morning from The #WeMatter State. On this date in history, I could wait no longer and had to post my election predictions. I am almost done writing, will post later today. Luckily, this is a site that is very forgiving if I am wrong. Election Day: 1 Election decided: ?
Zzzzzzzz….
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Morning Mika Botoxic and Scarfarce claim that “over the weekend, quemala practiced the politics of Reagan.”
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FINAL PARTY REG IN New Hampshire: R+38,415 (R+4.3%) 265,925 Dems 304,340 Reps 331,519 NPA 2020: D+14,663 (D+1.3%) This is going to be down to the wire.
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Good morning! I’ve been coming here every four years since my poli sci professor showed the old HHR to us in class in 2004. Just wanted to say thanks for keeping this site alive and I’ll be sure to hit refresh every couple of minutes through tomorrow afternoon. Keep it civil, y’all.
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He is a smart guy, I will take his word for it
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1852951337979306409
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FINAL PENNSYLVANIA poll
🔴 Trump: 51% (+5)
🔵 Harris: 46%
🟢 Other: 2%
🟡 Unsure: 1%
Democracy Institute | 10/29-31 | 450LV
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FINAL WISCONSIN poll
🔴 Trump: 50% (+3)
🔵 Harris: 47%
🟢 Other: 2%
🟡 Unsure: 1%
Democracy Institute | 10/29-31 | 450LV
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FINAL MICHIGAN poll
🔴 Trump: 49% (+2)
🔵 Harris: 47%
🟢 Other: 3%
🟡 Unsure: 1%
Democracy Institute | 10/29-31 | 450LV
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Scott Pinsker Media “Decoder”
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FINAL NATIONAL poll
🔴 Trump: 50% (+3)
🔵 Harris: 47%
🟢 Other: 3%
Democracy Institute | 10/29-31 | 1,500LV
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Basham poles are out (democracy institute)
trump plus 3 nationally.
trump plus 5 in pa.
trump plus 2 in michigan
trump plus 3 in wisconsin
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Wow… good polls.
And there is no excuse to being wrong (yeah, MOE) this close to the election so you figure those are the real numbers they polled.
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and one more Jason, when the media says the Republican candidate is lashing out in anger, already making excuses for his defeat, it means the opposite.
I will never forget in 2016 one of the panelists on ABC News used his first segment as an opportunity to assure viewers that Trump was already lashing out in anger over his well deserved defeat.
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Welcome b00mtaPP
Thanks for the patronage.
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What does the graph from Musk mean? The red line shows decline, the blue is well above the redline.
I dont get how that indicates a major Republican victory.
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He is saying the Dems banked 600k fewer votes than 2020.
The issues are how many votes did Rs cannibalize to do that and whether the missing Dems will all show up on ED.
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But intuitively fewer Dem mail in ballots means fewer Dem votes, even if all of them “intended” to vote on ED.
You have to imagine a segment of lower propensity Dems will not vote.
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OK, Thanks Jason!
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Love that ”decoder” post – so ironic and so true!
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There are actually people out there expecting Ralston to predict that Trump will win Nevada. He will never do that. He will always do the Baghdad Bob act to give them hope.
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Final registration count for Milwaukee County, WI (no party registration): 521,899 In 2020, they had 557,189. Very bad for Harris.
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PRESIDENT TRUMP: On Day One, I will inform the Mexican president that if they do not stop the onslaught of criminals and drugs coming into our country, I will immediately impose a 25% tariff on everything they send into the United States
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One of the theories floating out there is that if Trump appears to have won the election, but the Dem army of 10,000 or so lawyers contest everything, Biden will step aside, and Harris will be sworn in immediately, so as to give her extra strength toward stealing it.
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Arizona is out to a 196k Republican lead, but Maricopa still not reporting. I realize they are, for some reason, understood to not report on weekends while 14 other counties do, but… would be nice to have a damn update from them today given that they control 60% of the state’s vote.
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Maricopa can’t erase that kind of lead, if it erases anything.
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FINAL OHIO poll
🔴 Trump: 54% (+12)
🔵 Harris: 42%
Emerson | 10/30-11/2 | N=900LV
FINAL OHIO SENATE poll
🔴 Moreno: 48% (+3)
🔵 Brown: 45%
Emerson | 10/30-11/2 | N=900LV
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Wow !!!! Those Final Democracy Institute polls have to be causing some concerns for team Harris. That’s a complete blowout. We’ll see soon enough, but if those are correct, VA, NH, MN & NM really might be in play.
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shipwreck on nevada/ralston
https://x.com/shipwreckedcrew/status/1853481627579449432?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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Baris’ reaction to the Trump internal comment that Trump is up in all the key battleground states:
Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
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48m
I feel like it’s important to note that Tony Fabrizio didn’t bullshit Donald Trump in 2020. He told him it was closer than public polls are showing, but that he was narrowly down in key battlegrounds.
He didn’t bullshit Senate candidates in 2022 who ran behind him. He doesn’t.
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I found this interesting:
“There are two things in play IMO — 1) cross-over votes from registered Dems who are union members and/or Hispanics who are going to vote in-person for Trump, and 2) new Nev. GOP Gov. Joe Lombardo who has cleaned up voter rolls, and had himself won 2x in Clark County in his career as the elected Sheriff. His organization there has likely produced the greater than expected early votes and mail-in votes for the GOP in Clark County than has ever been true in the past.”
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(point 2 specifically.)*
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I remember the one Hispanic guy (cbs news). I did well with trump,had one great job. Now I work 3 jobs just to get by.
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This is actually movement towards Trump in this poll, and Trump wins Indy’s by 5.
FINAL NATIONAL POLL: NPR/Marist
🟦 Harris: 51% (+4)
🟥 Trump: 47%
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 50% (+2)
🟥 GOP: 48% 6 (2.9/3.0) | 10/31-1/2 | 1,292 LV
maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-
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and the summary from that link:
“If Ralston saw in hope for Dems in the data today, he would have his predictions up on his website.
He’s silent.
That speaks volumes.”
Yep, he would have a lot to say. He’s really wordy when he thinks he has good news.
But he will NEVER say, “I think Trump will win Nevada”
The most he will do is say, “Its not over yet, if […] and if […] and let’s say […], and then should the […] and the […], but don’t count out the possibility that […] and Harris definitely still has a shot!”
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And now Marist is the only poll that matters in the media.
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The LV sample is D +4. Trump is tied in the RV sample.
61% of Democrats say they’ve already voted versus just 42% of Republicans…..and yet nationally, we’re seeing EVEN Dems and Republican early vote turnout. SO???? Only 38% of Democrats say they will vote from here on out versus 48% of Republicans. That’s +10 points for Republicans still remaining.
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But Scooter, the chief argument Dems have been leaning on is that its the Republicans who are the cannibals.
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Trump has taken the lead at Predictit.
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That Marist poll moves the RCP average to a tie, which was probably the intention.
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Trump is toast says Drudge!
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We need a Trump +1 poll just to make the RCP average go back to positive
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Mark Halperin is throwing a little cold water on a possible Trump win tomorrow. He’s saying Harris had a really good week going into the election, with Trump lagging and supposedly having a bad Lancaster rally. He didn’t explain why it was bad. Halperin also is running with women flooding same day voting and overtaking any leads Trump may have made with men.
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Who to believe…….
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There’s this
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1853494984441577665?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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There are a few bright spots in California’s election. George Gascon, LA’s Soros-funded DA, is down 25 points. And prop 36, hardening laws against criminals, is way ahead – something like a 75% approval leading into Tuesday.
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so all of a sudden women have become a universal voting bloc like black voters and will go for the Dem candidate in equivakent nimbers
that’s what the media and Dems are trying to sell us. That demeans women, to believe all women can only think one way
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I agree with you Vic. However, as a woman, I know how fickle women can be.
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If you read the tweet the data cited by the campaign is from target smart. M
wowennand urban are both down.
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Baris:
Marist has Trump leading with independents by 7 points. They modeled an electorate more Democratic than 2020, which is what they did in every single one of their battleground polls.
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my guess is women would be more apt to not vote if they don’t like the choices. I think the major newspapers not endorsing Kamala demonstrated how bad of a candidate she is
they are still bank king on republican senior women and mom’s to vote Harris and save them. Thats literally their last gasp strategy
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Yes and these same “women” increased r registrations in the battlegrounds, just to cross over.
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A reason I have no yard signs and don’t answer pollster, or discuss my vote;
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/11/theyre-losing-it-deranged-kamala-supporter-self-described/
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Apparently senior women over 65 have become more problematic for Trump. I don’t know why that’s the case, except that the propaganda the Dems have been cultivating about his SS stances may be working.
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I warned everyone here about Halperin being another Democratic hack just like Ralston.
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I think the over 65 women thing is overblown. They are stating over 65 women fought for abortion and they’ve been told project 25 will ban abortion forever
I, personally, don’t think women are that ignorant to a. Believe that and b. Vote in unison as a bloc
I guess we’ll see. Are there really enough of them to throw the election?
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Axios: drats are worried about Nevada
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Mark Halperin is great when he is reporting data. When he simply parrots the opinions of so-called experts, he falls short.
In NC, as RINO, Trump-hating former governor McCrory said on Mark’s show this morning, the DEMS in NC are not getting the early vote out among the young voters or among black voters. Also, he concurred with Halperin that both the rural counties and the DEM strongholds of Asheville and Boone in the Hurricane Helene impacted counties were turning out strongly without any fall off.
Just offering a different take on Mark.
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But he has “sources.” Sources, damn it.
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So no woman over 65 is concerned with inflation/prices/ilegals?
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Anyone can “report data”.
The point is his sources are BS and he is a full blown partisan hack who will always do what hacks pretending to be unbiased do. Find some way to support the Dems.
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Halperin also is running with women flooding same day voting and overtaking any leads Trump may have made with men”
Zzzzzz….does he have ANY data to back that up?
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LOL
Ralstonhack promised a prediction and the site crashed.
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Here’s another look at the election:
Philip Pilkington @philippilk
1/ The US election is here. If you analyze the polls properly you’ll see that @realDonaldTrump is ahead of @KamalaHarris by anywhere between 2.4% and 6.9% in the swing states. The reason the media won’t tell you this is because they don’t understand the Shy Trump Effect
3:15 AM · Nov 4, 2024
2/ The polls show consistent bias against @realDonaldTrump. This is not due to cheating but due to quirks in the polling. More later.
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I already predicted the Ralston prediction. You can read it above. It will be exactly correct in form, he will just fill in the details.
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Bill Clinton stuck cigars in her ass, jizzed on her and made her sleep in a gimp box at the White House and she’s like “yea I’ll keep voting for that team because I’m just a stupid piss mop idiot.”
This comment about Monica Lewinsky was “community noted” as follows:
Bill Clinton did not stick the cigar up her ass, it was her vagina. “
Accuracy is important on Twitter!
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A senior Harris campaign official notes that Harris’ East Lansing, Michigan rally today was the first rally since Harris became the Democratic presidential candidate where she did not mention Trump by name. The strategy is, “Closing fully positive,” the official said.”
Hitler will be pissed!
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HEADLINES TO EXPECT ON ELECTION NIGHT
2. In Milwaukee, right after the polls closed, a gang of heavily armed masked men wearing MAGA hats and Trump face masks came in and stole hundreds of thousands of completed ballots cast by the voters and then escaped. A judge issued an emergency order to allow all Milwaukee voters to have a redo vote on Nov. 10 through December 27th. Including anyone who moves to Milwaukee between now and Dec. 27. And also allowed that any resident of Madison WI could also vote in that extended time period granted for Milwaukee.
3. It has been discovered that 2 million ballots mailed in from western NC have been lost by the U.S. postal service. A judge gave an emergency ruling that says: “too bad”.
4, In PA, a federal judge made an emergency decision to allow the acceptance of mail in votes until January 3. 2025. And anyone who had not yet requested one before the election polls closed on election night, could do so now.
5. In NV, a federal judge gave an emergency ruling that if the same person had two or more addresses, they could vote as many times as the same number of addresses listed on the poll books.
6. In AZ, a judge made an emergency rule to allow all illegal immigrants age 16 and up to vote, and they can do so between Wed. Nov. 6 though Dec. 6.
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Yikes, a version of please clap:
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Hey Scooter,
Did you know that back in medieval times, they cut people’s ears off if twere found guilty of horrendous crimes?
They called it the deaf penalty.
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That’s a five-word chant. Too much to ask of feeble minds. Kamala could do it, but only with a teleprompter.
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Harris in Allentown, PA today with 2 Latin unknown entertainers headlining her rally. Outside are lots of buses, commonly seen around her events, transporting audiences to and fro from them. Trump in Reading, PA, highlighting their rally are lots of women extolling praise and confidence for their candidate. Dueling messages for sure….
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Final atlas intel poles incoming.
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I’m surprised more people aren’t participating in DW’s prediction thread yet!
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I went there and it looked complicated.
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Jason’s out here trying to make it look like he has a life. No he’s just another rethug simping for a loser Donald.
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biding my time, I will make mine before midnight. i have to overcome my fear she will win and vote with my brain on the thread
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BL
Aaron Burr who? Trump is the most repugnant human to ever run for president. He will lose tomorrow.
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Oh poles – jl parners
trump +9
Moreno +6
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Ralston is wrong.
Fox news is right.
-Average smooth brain rethug on HHR. Can’t make this shit up really.
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Tina,
Did you call your therapist? You’d need one because I worry you’d be a nuisance around everyone tomorrow when Trump inevitably loses and goes to prison
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LOL
Kanadian Kommie a blood sucking parasite still in Mommy’s basement has an opinion on the US elections.
Adorable.
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His whole family voted in the DKos Presidential Poll.
Kamala won with 99.9999% of the vote, looks like one troll managed to cast a vote.
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Kanadian Kommie got his entire household to vote Kamala. Cry your heart out rethug.
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At least Tina is consistent. BL and Jason are steaming piles of HS losers who pretend like they have a spine. No you’re just a spineless rethug in “moderate” clothing.
Grow a pair Jason and BL.
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Ralstonhack make his “prediction” yet?
Of course, it is not a prediction, it is the message of how many non-postmarked votes have to be dropped off after the election.
Like he said yesterday, Nov3, “Dems essentially still have a week”
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Irony —->. Prominent white supremacist Richard Spencer endorses Kamala Harris
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rethug”
LOL
So clever, what else do you have from the DKos moonbat morons?
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Irony —->. Prominent white supremacist Richard Spencer endorses Kamala Harris”
So did Nick Fuentes.
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Dumbchuck knows Kamala Harris is a complete airhead and not fit to be Register of Wills but hey “everything for the cause””
Talk about “spine”
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the Womens’ vote…
I know hundreds and hundreds of women, many of whom I taught with in this county or my wife taught with in the neighboring county. We get together with many socially and we see what they post as Facebook friends and what other women I know comment on their posts.I can say with some certainty that AT LEAST 90% of these women are voting Kamala. It is not the abortion issue. It is not the economy or foreign affairs or southern border.
It is the “Trump is a big a$$ hole, foul-mouthed, despicable, abhorrent, bully whose behavior and speech is totally intolerable” issue. These women cannot get past THIS big issue to rationally discuss ANY other issues, nor to even admit that Kamala is seriously flawed in so many ways. Or that at least Trump supports sensible policies.
My wife changed her party registration from R to Indy because of Trump.
Of these college educated 50 and older women Trump is getting ABSOLUTELY CRUSHED. And this same age group are also NOT big Jim Justice fans either. That is why I predicted that Justice would get less than 60% in the U.S. Senate race in WV. They equate Justice with Trump in many ways.
*****************************
Different story with women who are 30 to 50 years old. Unlike the 50 and older women who are FAR more secure financially (with retirement pensions, SS, investment income), these younger ones (married, divorces or single) have to STRUGGLE economically (they usually have children) with quickly rising gas and food prices, child care, health care costs, insurance costs, etc. THEY are more tuned in to Trump and his message. Now the young and single women (18 to early 30s)–they are the ones that I know who are on a soap box on social media about abortion “rights” and how Trump and the Republicans are evil regarding interfering and limiting abortion “rights”.
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The Prediction Thread won’t let me post.
So I will post my predictions here later or whatever thread at the time.
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I take Walt at his word, that older women are going to vote for Kamala in WV.
I don’t know ANY R women who are voting for Kamala. They all think she is a complete zero and they are openly disdainful that Kamala thinks she represents them. My wife never liked Trump, I think tomorrow she would crawl across broken glass to vote for him.
Nobody disputes Trump is a narcissistic blowhard, but the idea that Trump’s “behavior” is any worse than the Biden family or the Clinton family is of course ridiculous.
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RCP betting average now up to 17 point lead for Trump. Went all the way down to 9, then 13 this morning and now 17.
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It is the “Trump is a big a$$ hole, foul-mouthed, despicable, abhorrent, bully whose behavior and speech is totally intolerable” issue. These women cannot get past THIS big issue to rationally discuss ANY other issues, nor to even admit that Kamala is seriously flawed in so many ways. Or that at least Trump supports sensible policies’
i think Walt is being pretty insulting to these women if he thinks they are that shallow.
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Pretty consistent among all the betting markets too, basically the same numbers.
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So therefore, are we to believe that women age 55 and over will cost Trump the election in PA, MI, WI, GA, NC and NV?
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Pretty shallow, and selfish indeed. So they are condemning generations that come after them to a life of socialism at best, full on marxism at worst, because they think he’s mean. Seriously?
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I think Walt might be somewhat a victim of confirmation bias in his post. Those criticisms is attributing to the women are remarkably the same as the ones he makes about Trump here a lot.
I would like to give women in WV more credit than Walt is giving them.
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it’s a short sighted, myopic and selfish view.
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Heh, I just told my wife what Walt said about women he knew in WV who were willing to ignore all the issues and vote for Kamala because they don’t like Trump’s language.
She said “Lord, those women need to get a grip and buck up”.
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Good afternoon, DW.
Do we have to post percentage of win for each state in the presidential race?
What about the senate?
The comments evidently are off for new posts, btw. there is not a comment screen that pops up, at least not that i am able to access.
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Not sure the configuration point to extend the number of days before comments are turned off. That’s why you cannot post on the predictions thread. If you just post here, I can then still update that page to show the predictions.
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I had the same problem, there is no way to post.
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
15m
BREAKING: GOP wins case against deep-blue Cobb County, Georgia, which wanted to accept 3,000 mail-in votes after the Election Day deadline.
RNC Chair Whatley: “We just got word that we WON the case. Election Day is Election Day.”
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no percentages needed. Here are the instructions:
Instructions: Place your predictions in the comment area below and they will be added to the grid shown here. For each race listed, simply supply the margin of victory, indicating the winner with NO DECIMALS. For example, Virginia Senate: Cao +3. The number will be transferred by a site administrator to the grid below, and colored blue or red to indicate the selection of your predicted winner in each race.
Deadline for new entries or changes: 12:00 a.m. on Election Day
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Of course…he has figured out exactly how many ballots to order up on Wednesday:
Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
1h
BREAKING: Jon Ralston has predicted Kamala Harris will win Nevada by 0.3 points.
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I’ve always liked the fact women were less subject to compartmentalization than men, simply by the differences in neural transmissions. However, this doesn’t seem to help how often they view life issues thru an emotional lens versus a pragmatic one. Woman turned off by Trump’s demeanor are prime examples of this, in lieu of not being able to objectively weigh and then vote for his more constitutional salient policies, over the overtly leftist ones of his opponent.
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Instructions: Place your predictions in the comment area below and they will be added to the grid shown here”
There IS no comment below.
No “leave comment” box.
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BREAKING: Jon Ralston has predicted Kamala Harris will win Nevada by 0.3 points”
We knew that was going to happen.
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So many dumb tweets from paid rethuglican cashtivists, so little time
Jason the rethug, what news do you have from your lord and savior Drumf today?
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According to TargetSmart in The Hill they said if most women were going batsh.t crazy for Harris, vote her in as the first female president, and stick a finger in the eye of the hated Trump-they would have already do so with EV….in 2020 Women consisted of 52% while in EV they have 53%.
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yes, put it in the COMMENT BOX here
until I can figure out how to reopen the comments on the predictions thread
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Ralston: Kamala wins
Jason the rethug: My lord and savior Drumf will win.
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Thanks, DW!
Maybe you mean to post them HERE and not on the prediction thread since there is not a comment box as Jason pointed out.
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Ralston is a hack. Ten days ago, he was saying Dems were in big trouble if it played out EXACTLY has it HAS played out, but somehow he sees her still winning.
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Thanks, DW.
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I have updated the instructions on the predictions page to direct everyone to post their predictions in the most recent comment thread.
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yes, put it in the COMMENT BOX here”
I don’t really understand what the big box on the prediction thread means.
But here goes:
Trump wins all swing states except MI. That includes NV where Ralstonhack beclowns himself, what a despicable ass. So 297-241.
Rs + 4 in senate WV, MT, WI and OH. I almost put it in Lake but I think she will come up just short. Same with Rodgers. If Trump wins MI then Rodgers will win too.
R +5 in House.
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Ralstonhack; I will be on MSBNC later.
Of course he will.
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I don’t think this includes Maricartel:
BREAKING: Arizona Republicans AGAIN expand their early voting lead – now to nearly 200K VOTERS. REP: 40.8% [954,306] DEM: 32.4% [758,342] OTH: 26.8% [625,731]
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12.2K Views
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Btw, 0.3% is less than 5000 votes.
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Looks like 300 net gain for the Ds in washoe after a few days of mail.
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The message is “maybe we could still steal it”
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The instructions were clear. You just give me a number for each state, indicating the margin, and then you indicate who will win:
MI: T+1
WI: T+2
VA: H+3
And so on. Then I will load your predictions into that grid.
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Baris just said what I said above:
Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
·
13m
Ralston spent the last entire weeks stating that if DEMs did not cut the REP lead to within 20-25k, they didn’t have a chance.
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NT from the battleground.
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@BehizyTweets
BREAKING: The Georgia Supreme Court just ruled that ballots cannot be accepted and counted AFTER the deadline by election officials anywhere in the state Democrats in Cobb County wanted to accept 3,000 mail-in ballots AFTER Election Day deadline, but the Court just shut down their plans THIS IS BEAUTIFUL.
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Victory Insights, a left leaning pollster:
NEW MEXICO
Nov. 1-3
600LV
Trump 45
Harris 50
US SENATE:
Heinrich (D) 50%
Domenici (R) 49%
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Could make a big difference.
BREAKING: Almost 14,000 mail-in ballots in Nevada currently don’t have adequate signatures and will NOT be counted unless they’re cured.
This is devastating news for Kamala Harris.
Democrats are already underwater in Nevada’s Early Voting. This will make it much worse.
For example, in 2022, 6,000 ballots statewide needing a signature cure were not counted. Nothing is going right for Kamala’s camp. They placed all their trust in creating a mail-in voting firewall, but it has dramatically FAILED in every way.
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