Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.6 / 55.6 | -14.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.5 / 52.1 | -6.6 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
21 responses to “Waiting for polls.”
Reposting
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You gov bailout poles
quemala plus 1 in pa.
quemala plus 9 in nh.
The sample taken over a 7-9 day period appear small. With respect to the pa pole, indies plus 5 for trump.
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trump up by by 22.7 in Polymarket.
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I saw clips of trump at last nights Univision Hispanic town hall. Also, didn’t he already do the faux news woman’s forum? I like the host of the event. I think she is one of faux news rising star. However, I saw very little coverage on that.
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if there had been anything damning in either of them, you’d have heard about it.
he does both of those, which just two to three hours in total, and Kamala can’t handle 23 mins.
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i will be getting up a new thread with polls by 11:00 am
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Vic, I presume they were uneventful. I was worried about the Univision one as they have a tendency to be overly confrontational. I saw four clips from the Univision event and it seemed ver cordial.
I don’t get quemalas people saying that he is hiding and not doing any events.
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It’s not just grocery prices, fast food/restaurants are so expensive nowadays.
I went to a restaurant and paid $22 for lasagne.
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The stale UMASS/YouGov poll of PA mentioned above, there are 12 newer polls of PA, meaning this one was held back to be released when Harris was in need of some good news. After her interview and the FoxNews poll showing its 50/48 nationally, she needed some good news.
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That Fox poll is really weird. Trump leads by 2, but they have Kamala +6 in the battleground states and in the full sample leading independents by double digits. Those numbers, especially the battleground numbers, make no sense when compared to the aggregates of state-by-state polls. If she is +6 in swing states, she should have outside MOE leads in several states. I guess Fox is claiming everyone else is wrong.
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How does it help Dems if Harris loses?
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Silverfish was indicating that you gov is a “quality polling firm.” You know he will pump up that result.
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allows them to regroup and run as the minority party. Anything that happens in the next two year at minimum, but four years overall they will hang on the next GOP candidate, and they’ll have to answer it, unlike Kamala who won’t answer for anything she’s done
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Best moment of the interview imo:
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How did Eric (misspelled) Daugherty become so prominent at HHR? I don’t recall him being reposted here before this year.
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I don’t know how much meaning early vote has, but it does seem like we are seeing a trend.
New Mexico early vote Return 2020 vs 2024
2020
🔵61% (+39 )
🔴22%
🟡 17%
TOTAL: 262,782
2024
🔵50% (+12)
🔴38%
🟡12%
TOTAL: 44,816
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New Thread
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Latinx Adjacent Doctor
Looking at Georgia votes about 15-20% of all northern rurals in Georgia are non-voters from 2020. These are the WWC rurals GOP has long hoped to finally get to the polls as there’s about 2M of them registered to vote that didn’t in 2020.
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For what he paid the ex-wives in alimony and child support, they should be cordial. Lots of money and free of him. Great deal.”
WIns the false equivalency BS award of the
LIke all celebrity wives who get alimony and child support are “cordial”? What horsesh-t.
And of course, they were a lot more than cordial, they had a great relationship with Trump and were highly supportive of him. They would have gotten “alimony and child support” anyway.
Typical “holier than thou” nonsense.
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