Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.0 / 56.0 | -15.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.1 / 53.1 | -8.0 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.0 / 56.0 | -15.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.1 / 53.1 | -8.0 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
97 responses to “Congratulations to the Mets (not their fans). Let’s go Dodgers/Padres.”
Morning. lol bl. Your first part is funny.
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New battleground poles.
trump plus 1 in Pa and NC.
Daugherty did not identify the polling firm
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I guess he actually did- they are Emerson poles. Looked at it too early my time.
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Good morning, Tina.
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i am basically out today, so cannot start new threads
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Ok. Please submit expense report by 8:00 a.m.tomorrow.
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WTF?
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Each time stoner has done something, trump’s approval has gone up. All because of the help from the illiterate judge, Chutfuck.
https://wltreport.com/2024/10/09/jack-smiths-legal-tactics-turn-be-win-president/?utm_source=PTN&utm_medium=mixed&utm_campaign=PTN
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Trump +4 in Ras overnight tracking.
Last 5 days
Trump +7
Trump +5
Trump -2
Trump -6
Trump +4
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Judge Chutfuck should have never allowed stoners filing to begin with. Multiple grounds for throwing this weak case out now. All because she is upset that the sc justices (namely the chief Justice) slammed her work.
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If he does an average o those poles (thought he did 4 days?). It is trump plus 1.
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WSJ: More voters are calling themselves Republicans than Democrats, suggesting that the GOP has its first durable lead in party identification in more than three decades. The development gives former President Donald Trump an important structural advantage in the November election.
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Yikes
Weekly jobless claims +258000. (Significant rise)
cpi came in much hotter than expected.
Bad economic news today.
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https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/consumer-prices-surge-new-record-high
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Stoner and Chutfuck..
And Bitter doesn’t like Tina’s nicknames…
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If you read it carefully, the non-citizen driver’s licenses don’t allow you to vote unless you became a citizen since and didn’t update it.
You still have to be registered in Texas to vote.
Tempest in a teapot.
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GFY. It was on Twitter or whatever so it must be true. Would Tina exaggerate?
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BREAKING: Donald Trump has a 9-point lead on the ECONOMY among voters nationally, Gallup finds.
The economy is now “extremely important” to 52% of voters for their vote choice, nearing 2008’s total of 55%.
Who would handle the economy better?
🔴 Trump: 54% (+9)
🔵 Harris: 45%
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The Democratic Party is a death cult under the power and influence of Satan. They have built their platform on everything God hates.. lying, tyranny, mutilation of human bodies, sexualization of children, murder of babies in the womb… just to name a few.
Electing Trump will have minimal impact on this death cults agenda. We need many stronger and better leaders to defeat this plague on our country. The Woke Commie Dems must be defeated and removed at every level of governance and their agenda must be rejected by millions and millions of people over MULTIPLE elections. Their satanic ideology must be culturally rejected. They must be crushed in the ballot box over and over again. The platform must end up in dustbin of history as throughly rejected by the citizens of the United States of America in the 21st Century.
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With respect to the local economy, the office vacancy rate in sf is 34.5%. It has worsened since things reopened.
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Rds is 1000% correct.
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“The Democratic Party is a death cult under the power and influence of Satan”
I wonder how JeffP really feels about the Dems.
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Yikes
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But he is right (it happens, sue me, GFY) that electing Trump is not saving us from socialism. At most it delays it for awhile.
The problem is the educational system.
Last night the U of Michigan student body rejected a proposal by the pro-Hamas faction to donate all university club funds to Gaza. But it only lost 22-16. Sixteen students voted to have all university club activities defunded to send the money to Hamas.
We are turning out hundreds of thousands of Marxist from the “commie woke” educational system into society every year, and they are in all areas of government, corporate America, the military and of course back into the educational system too.
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I still cannot believe that Biden’s Beotch supported the more inflation act.
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Comment on Predictit
“We went from “COCONUTS!!!!!!!!!” to “coin flip” in a few weeks, didn’t we?
Next it will be “the popular vote is still in play!” and “we can still block Trump by winning the house!”
Then it moves to “I’m heading to Ukraine!!!!!!!!”
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Whoops wrong bill. That was the investment act that Biden’s Beotch supported.
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Who would handle the economy better?
Trump: 54% (+9)
Harris: 45%”
This is actually scary.
It tells you 45% of the country will vote for a turnip if it has a D after it
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Harris has been experiencing foot in mouth disease lately, with her uncanny stupid responses to various media events and trying to get the best of RDS, who appropriately slammed her “games.”
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Trump is in Detroit today.
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https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113282874299753124
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I have asked before and nobody answered. Does it cost money to belong to truth social?
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1 never get involved in a land war in Asia.
2 don’t go in against Ron DeSantis when your political death is on the line
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Bitter – interesting. I have no clue, ive never gone to the site. It’s insane to think that Trump literally launched his own platform because he was banned from twitter. I thought it would have been defunct by now, but I assume there are enough of his acolytes to keep it running.
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Hanging out in downtown Detroit with my adult twenty something son for the ALDS. This city has been completely changed for the better. The vibe is great. Really enjoying ourselves. It’s super clean now, businesses and retail everywhere now, almost no drug addicts/ drunks or homeless people harassing people…NO ENCAMPMENTS, feel much safer, restaurants and bars are hopping, hospitality has been great. I know that the Detroit police chief came down hard on any BLM rioting in 2020 and the moderate mayor has done a decent job. Much better than my San Francisco trip this summer.
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DW – hopefully we are saying that number 2 a lot in 2028.
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Trump in the lead at Predictit..
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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Just curious. How accurate has predectit been in past elections?
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/10/10/nolte-slew-of-polls-show-trump-has-real-momentum-in-swing-states/
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On noltes article, it’s apparent that cringebert gave Quemala a chance to revise her answer to the viewless about whether she would change things.
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General Election poll – Swing State’s
Arizona – 🔴 Trump +3
Georgia – 🔴 Trump +5
Michigan – 🔴 Trump +1
Nevada – 🔴 Trump +3
N. Carolina – 🔴 Trump +1
Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump +1
Wisconsin – 🔴 Trump +1
McLaughlin (🔴) #F – LV – 10/9
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Pull their license asap.
@benshapiro
CBS News this week:
1. They diced the “60 Minutes” interview with Kamala to cover for her incoherence.
2. After Tony Dokoupil asked actual questions of race grifter Ta-Nehisi Coates, the insane Lefties of the newsroom rebelled.
3. Apology by the brass.
4. CBS News tells its staff to pretend that Jerusalem is not in Israel.
Yes, they’re fake news.
Literally fake news.
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Trump is soaring on Polymarket. Up 13 points now.
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Can’t imagine the Dems aren’t going down without a fight. I know they’ve thrown everything but the kitchen sink at Trump, but can’t imagine they don’t have one more trick up their sleeves.
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News: The Culinary Union warns Nevada could go red for the first time since George W. Bush in 2004:
“We think if the election was today we would lose Nevada,”
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They are back with muh Russia 5.0
Trump spoke to pooty poot 5 times since 1/21.
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WTH, Whitmer ????
https://x.com/still_boneless/status/1844411917118603391?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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Ethel Kennedy passed away !!!
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Hide your daughters !!!
News – Bill Clinton hits the campaign trail focusing on rural voters – CNN
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Damn, did you all go out to lunch and not invite me ??
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BREAKING: Trump is proposing a new tax cut on car loan interest, per CNBC. He wants to make auto loan interest tax deductible. Trump also plans to promise a ban on Chinese-made autonomous vehicles.
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EXCLUSIVE: Kamala Harris’ campaign is drastically reducing its radio advertising in Milwaukee and making a “significant” buy on two hip hop/R&B stations in Philadelphia, signaling possible concern over black turnout in Pennsylvania.
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CIA ASSET
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Of the three blue wall states the one I’m most concerned about is Pennslyvania. Didn’t Dr. Oz lead in almost every poll up to the 2022 Senate election only to lose to Fetterman by about 5 points.
11-3 Oz +2 Insider Ad
11-3 Oz +2 Trafalgar
11-2 Oz +2 Remington Research
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2022/pennsylvania/oz-vs-fetterman
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potus elections totally different from off year Congressional elections
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What is up with the Whitmer video. Beyond being weird/creepy, it was absolutely inappropriate and she owes an apology to Christians, and moreso, to Catholics.
That was a blatant mockery of communion, with her playing the role of Harris, and a Dorito the body of Christ, implying that the State, and therefore Harris, are their Gods.
She absolutely owes and apology, and there should be widespread condemnation of this video.
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It is interesting that I suddenly have friends who are Mets fans. People I have known for up to 50 years never indicated they are Mets fans. Today their FB pages are full of OMG and Grimace.
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Can you say “Fair weather”…those are not fans. those are bandwagoners.
I posted when they were 22-33. I posted when they blew a 7 game lead to your Phils…two years in a row. I endured Bobby Bonilla…Dare I keep going 😉
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First the Whitmer video, and now this from Tim Walz Wife. I don’t know which is more cringe !!!
https://x.com/bubblebathgirl/status/1844422242480030150?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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BREAKING: FINAL 2024 NATIONAL POLL – Pew Research Center
🔵 Harris: 48% (+1)
🔴 Trump: 47%
🟡 Final 2020: Biden+10
🟡 Final 2016: Clinton+7
Sept. 30-Oct. 6 | N=4,025RV
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Whitmer’s wins hands down. It was creepy, condescending, mocking and disrespectful
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Tipp pa
trump plus 1
49 to 48
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Quemala hounding Rds seems desperate. The oxygen is being sucked out of her. She is in free fall.
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Is Bonilla still waiting to swing on the last pitch of the World Series? Are the Mets still paying him?
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I think the Mets will still be paying him when we’re collecting social swcueity
Bonilla is waiting on the last pitch the same way Beltran is waiting on another curve from wainwright
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lol
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Just curious. How accurate has predectit been in past elections?
Supposedly the betting odds market for President has only been wrong twice since 1866. Assume that would be an aggregate or maybe it is Lloyds.
Prediciti wasn’t around then don’t know their particular record.
They don’t actually predict anything, people willing to risk money on the bets are following collective wisdom and polls. Many factors can change the odds on a daily basis.
But the betting markets are influential in the sense the numbers are widely circulated, and they certainly can influence enthusiasm and donations and the “I want to vote for a winner” sentiment.
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You can get burned badly on Predictit, btw. On election night 2020, Trump went to 90% based on returns from PA and WI showing him way ahead.
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While we are waiting for polls, here is a brief but interesting discussion on the BBC the day after the 1974 Election when the main Beeb poll was off in Labour’s favour.
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But remember, Trump is guilty of “misinformation”…
Joy Behar:
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You are correct. It was Beltran with the bat on his shoulder.
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Silverhack sounds desperate….
“We’ve been in a little bit of a Groundhog Day pattern lately. Polling data over the past week or so has been a mixed bag, but with more bright spots for Trump than for Harris if you squint. However, sentiment about the race has shifted in a GOP direction, sometimes to the point of outright panic by Democrats, in a way that isn’t really justified by the polling.
Versus a week ago, Trump has gained 0.3 points in our national average, 0.9 points in MI, 0.8 points in WI, 0.4 points in NV, 0.3 points in PA, 0.2 points in NC and 0.1 points in AZ. Harris has gained 0.3 points in GA. So a slight move in a Trump direction, and the race is on the verge of becoming truly 50/50 rather than virtually 50/50. But this is pretty minor movement and could also just reflect noise.
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More Silverhackiness…
Quinn is “bouncy”
“Take the set of Quinnipiac polls released on Wednesday afternoon, for instance. They were pretty good for Trump: Quinnipiac has him ahead by 3 in Michigan and 2 in Wisconsin, though Harris leads by 3 in Pennsylvania.2 The previous Quinnipiac polls of these states had been quite a bit better for Harris. And they have relatively large sample sizes.
And yet, there are dozens of polls released every week. And Quinnipiac polls tend to be “bouncy”: they’re not one of those firms you can accuse of herding. So how much should they change your view of the race?”
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“and the race is on the verge of becoming truly 50/50 rather than virtually 50/50.”
LOL
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Wisconsin vs PA
80% White vs 75% White
30% Rural vs 21% Rural
59% Non College White -50% non college white
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Here in NC, our state legislature just passed 5 million to help the counties handle voting issues and difficulties in the parts of the state impacted by the hurricane.
Hopefully, the Trump voters get out to vote in our mountains! It pays to have a super-majority GOP legislature!
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$5 million doesn’t seem like a lot for that kind of project…
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JUST IN: the WinSenate affiliate of Chuck Schumer’s Senate Majority PAC is up with this week’s ads, dropping an additional $33.9M in 8 US Senate races: OHSen $10,512,186 PASen $6,020,124 AZSen $3,412,830 NVSen $3,176,910 WISen $2,887,163 MISen $2,780,496 MDSen $2,646,361 MTSen $2,479,006
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interesting that they are still dumping money in MD
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Notice nothing for Florida or Texas Senate.
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“interesting that they are still dumping money in MD”
Yep. Even if he loses, it’s forced the Dems to throw money there that could have been spent elsewhere.
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OMG….. here she goes again. And these people had the nerve to call Vance weird . Look at poor Timmy. He’s like “please make it stop” lol
https://x.com/scottadamsshow/status/1844413155314892905?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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Alsobrooks has some tax issues now; she improperly claimed some state and local credits in her home, it seems, and owes a sizable chunk of money.
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Weird cult. His wife looks likes she uses illegal drugs. Remember, she enjoyed the smell of burning tires when he let mn burn
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GF doubt it matters, she’s a Dem. I will say, if Hogan can’t win there, no R will win that seat again…at least not in our lifetime.
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https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1844501284520657076?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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trump 48. (+2)
quemala 46
Michigan/insider advantage
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That would be good. A victory that large would keep the far left from screaming stolen election, where as a 270-268 with her winning 3M more votes would be a recipe for Chaos.
Plus the above map would mean we hold the House and maybe get to 54 seats
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General election poll
Michigan
🔴 Trump 48%
🔵 Harris 46%
Wisconsin
🔴 Trump 48%
🔵 Harris 48%
Insider advantage #B – LV – 10/9
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Latinx Adjacent Doc:
Pew 2020 final poll vs 2024. Pew has not changed their methodology whatsoever since 2020. Net Change:
Men: Trump+12
Woman: Trump +6:
Latinos: : Trump+18
Whites: Trump+7
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NT
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